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Smart, florida s vote, republicans and democrats are polling about the same, 42-42, 39-40. about the same. look at these north carolina numbers. republicans accounted for 50% of all absentee vote in 2012. democrats accounted for 38%. now it s 42-45. it s proof that it looks like the democrats have the mechanic advantage. all of our modelling in presidential politics, two equal campaigns. we have never had a situation where the trump campaign doesn t have much of an organization. it s more of a concert tour. what are the implications of that? some have argued as trump did in the primary, it doesn t matter. we re going to see the first test of that because say what you will about the clinton campaign, they have designed a very effective machine with top people. and i think that republicans are greatly disadvantaged in these states because we never went through the presidential campaign of raising money and giving it to the states to build ....
reporter: all this as more than 3.3 million americans have already voted. according to an analysis by cnn and catalyst, which shows democrats improving their positions in north carolina, nevada, arizona, and even utah, compared to this point in 2012. democrats in an all-out push to the finish. in florida, former president bill clinton lamenting the bitter campaign. there s been a lot of acid poured down the throats of american citizens. reporter: and in pennsylvania, vice president biden doing it the old school way. the press always asked me, don t i wish i were debating me. no, i wish we were in high school so i could take him behind the gym. that s what i wish. reporter: vice president biden is heading to ohio on monday. the state s 18 electoral votes are in the strategy to block donald trump. ....
Methods of donald trump? everything he does violates the political rules. don t attack fox news, don t say offensive things. he s made that work. democrats are overjoyed bip what s happening to see donald trump soaring, jeb bush struggling, marco rubio struggling. what is most important for november 2016 is that trump has pulled the entire immigration debate. so more than the republicans are comfortable with. they have to do so much better than they did in 2012. democrats should not necessarily be thrilled overjoying right now, if that s the word to use. i m old enough to remember in 1980, there was an incumbent named jimmy carter and they were overjoyed when a former actor ronald reagan got the nomination them thought it was a lock that he got reelected. the entire tenor, you remember after 2012, mitt romney ....
By a two to one margin people who watched the speech said yes. he s focused on the right things. are republicans focused on the right things. the inverse. 35% saying they are and 61% say they are on the wrong things. if you ask about obama s proposals, will it unite or divide the country? 54 to 40. specifically on that tax increase on the wealthy two different ways of looking at it. is it a bad idea because the wealthy will help grow the economy? 35% saying it s a bad idea and 63% saying it s a good idea because the wealthy can afford it. that s consistent with polling we ve seen down through the years. that s why it s an issue the president himself ran on in 2012. democrats like to run on this. i think in laying this out that s something the democrats may be running on in 2016. going by your margin of ....
Record numbers right. people forget that. turnout went down all over the country in 2012. it s been a trend i think is unmistakable. the national implications of this race. democrats know if they lose this special, it s weird this is a republican seat, and the pressure is on the democrat if they can t win a seat like this, they can t make a credible case they can win seats, period, right? and that s because this is a district that president obama won by a narrow margin. a sweet seat. he won it by one point in 2012. democrats were trying to go after bill young for ten years, it seemed. they could never find a democrat that had the guts to go against a popular guy even when they recruited possibly strong candidates, bill young beat them easily. never really had a race. if democrats can t win this seat, they struggle to make the case in a larger sense. and the media sort of works against them in this. works against either party. you know, both sides will tell you today ....