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These connections with voters are a key ingredient in the iowa caucus recipe. we put msnbc s richard lui on the trail of other big numbers to watch for. good morning. now you re make me hungry. you want pizza. that s right, chris. long time coming but ten hours to go and the heat is on. so here s how to follow tonight s outcome by the numbers. we start with the number three, no candidate who has come in lower than third place has ever become president. it s the iowa winnowing process. 150, that s the average number of people at each caucus location, the intimate setting means next to you could be your boss, neighbor or pastor speaking or leading the balloting. 118,696, that s the number of people caucusing in 2008. that was a two-decade high. higher numbers could mean more independents which could help ron paul, lower numbers mean people are staying home. that also helps paul because his ....
Hillbillies. sit down, son. one iowa farmer feeds 155 of you. do you like to eat? looks like it. you think farming is easy? the average iowa farm is larger than 300 football fields. take a fleet of tricked out machines and lp b[ bleep ] to m it work. how tough is your job in don t answer. you look like you can use a break. iowa has the sixth lowest unemployment in the nation. des moiness are rank the richest metro in the country and the second happiest. yes, you can have it all. player. stop worrying about what we know. spend a little more time on what you don t know. next time you fly over, give us a wave. we ll wave back. we re nice. i m trying to figure out what my favorite line is. maybe it s you like to eat? looks like it. was that no, not a great imitation. anyway, very funny. he said he s happy. he s got a lot of response to that and people are taking it ....
Office is not for the 1%, as you point out the 1% are doing fine. this is a campaign about helping the middle class of america. michael, if this is a campaign about helping the middle class of america, can mitt romney win? oh, i think he can. a lot of ways simply because mitt has, over the years, shown his abilities to connect with people. he s governor of a state which requires, you know, that very inmate relationship with the voter because, as chief executive on a day to day basis you re dealing with comings and goings of people s lives and i think mitt romney can tell that story. a lot of the frustration you re seeing along rank and file republicans is that, up until now, he has not told that story. and so that s one of the ways they want to connect with him to see in that story line do we see our values represented? i think the more mitt is able to do that, beginning here in iowa, particularly if he has a successful night, the better off it s going to be for him longer ....
His policies, because of the fact that he has brought think country out of the second economic disaster since we faced since the great depression. chairman of the rnc, good morning. good morning. i don t know what else she s supposed to say, but, yeah, bold prediction i guess. i m guessing you disagree, based on your op-ed in the des moines register. the case for the president. you know, you ve got to admit that what seemed like a huge opening for the republicans does seem to have narrowed a little bit. look at the polls and in head-to-head matchups the president does very well and on like ability he still does very, very well. i guess i disagree with the premise, chris. but first of all if you look at voter registration in iowa, we re winning that battle 2-1. all of the gains made by the democratic party in 2008 they ve been totally reversed. if you look at head-to-head ....
Is like asking a congressman to fix washington. bad idea. i m mitt romney. i believe in america. who has the best chance to beat obama? rick santorum. gingrich found guilty of ethics violations. mitt creates romney care. i m joined by howard bragman. good to see you. i ve never seen anything quite like this. let s go through these. michele bachmann s new ad, hit the air this week. let s take a look. born and raised in iowa, only one candidate has been a consistent conservative fighter who fought obama care, fought increasing our debt ceiling, even as other republicans were cutting deals with obama. comparing herself to margaret thatcher, gutsy, isn t it? she s pretty gutsy, anyway. does it work? no, it s not. what s interesting, positive ads just they re like eating a frito, they go over your head and they have no sticking power, it s negative ads that do the real work in the campaign. we ve seen what impact ....