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He s taking counsel with the rest of the national security team, jonathan. i think you re right, they will look for the nuances in what has occurred and play them forward. final thought, as you look at the events of this mutiny and you think back in history, go back 100 years ago to the russian revolution. go back to 1917 is when the czar falls but it s 1905 when the mutiny on the naval vessel occurs. that lights the fuse that ends up, to the professor s point, blowing up that particular dictator. the challenge and he s right, will be making the turn, making the transition, if that occurs. wow, retired admiral james the vie disthank you for being on. and professor and contributor for the atlantic magazine, brian ....
Putin s have this quality, which is when they re in place and in power, they seem eternal. and when they collapse, it looked inevitable. yeah. you know, so we re just going to have to watch. u.s. intelligence officials have told me for some time that the most likely replacement for a putin in russia would come from the right rather than from any sort of progressive or pro-democratic left, that his threat was, in effect, from folks like prigozhin and others. for folks watching from the outside, is a russia without putin potentially worse, more aggressive, more authoritarian? it s more unstable for sure. mm-hmm. there isn t a long liberal tradition in russia. there was an attempt in 1905 when they lost the russo-japanese war to create a liberal regime. it didn t work. ....
Or he again, even if he dies in his sleep or he is hit again, even if he dies in his sleep or he is hit by a bus, there will be a crisis or he is hit by a bus, there will be a crisis that or he is hit by a bus, there will be a crisis that follows as people battle a crisis that follows as people battle to a crisis that follows as people battle to replace him.- a crisis that follows as people battle to replace him. what can we take from russian battle to replace him. what can we take from russian history - battle to replace him. what can we take from russian history that - battle to replace him. what can we i take from russian history that might give us a clue as to how this might play out here? play out here? there have been arlour play out here? there have been parlour games play out here? there have been parlour games over play out here? there have been parlour games over the - play out here? there have been parlour games over the past - play out here? there have been| ....
in the past, when russia has come across real setbacks, it has often had to equalize to recover, when it lost the crimean war in 1950 they freed the serbs, when they lost to the japanese in 1904, 1905, they had their first constituent assembly. unfortunately too late because one or 2 million prisoners were released. when the regime took the country into a dead and when he bankrupted the country six years later they brought forth someone else, and someone greater who abolish the communist party. when the correlation of forces have suffered, they have to equalize in order to recover. right now the western sanctions ....
This could be one of the most important things that many of us have watched in years. entirely possible, i want to begin by saying we all need to be humble in our predictive power at this point. it is uncertain how this is going to spin out, allen. but as you and i have discussed many times, history guides us and gives us a case that we can look at. it is starting to feel more, to me, like about 100 years ago, just over 100 years ago, 1917, the russian revolution. i don t want to overstate that. but if you think of prigozhin as similar to those russian sailors, famously, on the battleship who revolts in 1905, it plants the seats that ultimately lead to the overthrow of saar nicholas the ....