Password * Remember me New to Energy Central? Applying for membership with Energy Central allows you to connect with a network of more than 200,000 global power industry professionals. Total production US tight oil production fell by 1 million b/d to 6 million b/d in February, the lowest level in 3 years, as cold winter weather affected production in several states. This was just a blip, and based on preliminary data we expect production to have fully recovered in March. Supply Projection With the horizontal rig count now having recovered to well over 400 as of last week (according to Baker Hughes), current output can be almost sustained, as is visualized in our Supply Projection dashboard: