The summer forecast statistically speaking is for a chance of rain daily and warm temperatures. Does that mean it will rain at your location no probably not, we use P.O.P's (Probability of Precipitation) for rain chance this time of year. That is the probability that the forecast grid/point in question will receive at least 0.01" of rain. The Seabreeze and frontal boundaries bring enough lift for a thunderstorm or two to pop up around the area. We forecast for 9 counties while coverage of rain may only account for 20-40% of the area many go days or weeks without seeing a drop while the forecast says 30% daily. This brings my "favorite" saying to mind ( must be nice to get paid and be wrong all the time ) inset eye-roll from me here. That is just it this time of year some locations get more lucky than others. That's why I refer to it as the rain lotto, you have to get lucky for the shower or storm to pop up at your location. This week will see a fair amount of that in the forecast. A weak front moves through tonight and tomorrow. Most of the showers and storms will fade through the evening but a stray chance of a shower or storm overnight will remain. The front and the seabreeze should be near the coast tomorrow. This will offer the rare chance of a better shot at a shower or storm right along the coast. Chances remain around 30% overall. Wednesday to Saturday we will have an east influence with a broad low and tropical moisture to our south the better chances of rain will be in our Seabreeze favored locations (Jackson / Calhoun / Gulf / Franklin / Liberty counties). Saturday or Sunday we could start to see the tropical moisture lift north into our area but guidance is run to run at this point so, for now, I'm keeping the summer pattern as the forecast. As far as the tropics go no imminent threats of development. Will watch the CAG (Central American Gyre) and the front stretched into the Atlantic for long-range possibilities but nothing all that concerning at the moment.