Seen in iowa, where carson has already taken the lead . Which the donald disputes sot trump i am number 2 in iowa. I said, i dont believe it. Campaign critics have been saying trump is out of touch after a monday town hall in which he described starting off his career with quote a small loan of 1million from his father. Expect that issue to be raised during tomorrows republican debate. Where contenders like marco rubio, jeb bush, and john kasich are trying to convince voters their government experience and demeanor is more befitting of the oval office. Kasich hitting trump on twitter after the businessman and reality star bragged that he made ford keep jobs in ushitting back with one word, nope. Stephanie donald trump is in iowa tonight. The rally starts at 6 oclock. Its at sioux city west high school. And well bring you a live report stephanie and that cnbc debate is tomorrow night at 7 in boulder, colorado. Look for a complete wrap up, including live analysis from our local five expert dr. Steffen schmidt, tomorrow on local five news at 10. Jack fresh off that debate, Iowa Republicans will get another chance to meet a lot of these candidates in person. 10 candidates are confirmed for the Republican Party of iowas growth and Opportunity Party this weekend. Its saturday from 10 to 4 at the state fairgrounds. Its on halloween so its familyfriendly with a halloween theme. The two frontrunners, dr. Ben carson and donald trump have been invited, but are not yet confirmed. The iowa gop Communications Director spoke about what voters can expect on local five news midday. Well give them 15 minutes on stage to do whatever they want, bring their family on, etc. If youve even been to the stat fair soapbox its like that situation jack people often wonder how president ial polls can predict the winner of an election. Stephanie well, there might be a better way of forcasting the future president. Chief Political Correspondent amanda krenz shows us how you dont have to look any further than your local costume shop. Amanda intro 27 06 theres actually research that shows the more popoular a Halloween Costume, the better the candidate does in an election. With the trump factor that may not be case. Past president s, like kennedy and reagon. Former first ladies. And the current commander and chief make for very Popular Halloween costumes. Cathy 17 50 do you have thing. The Iowa Caucuses away. Its the office that are winning the popularity contests. At the theatrical shop in valley junction, customers are mostly clinton and donald of course with trump you have the option of which makes him the purchase here. Cathy 17 28 the new the most popular in the polls is the more popular on purchases. And there have actually been studies done to show that halloween masks can predict winners. Theres a theory in the costume business that the winner in every election since 1980 has been the candidate whose masks were most popular on halloween. Heres a look at the numbers from the Spirit Halloween index for the past five elections. fs you can see the person who won the presidency, also sold the most halloween masks in that election year. But if you ask the owner of this halloween express, there could be a shakeup this time around. Brian 22 14 donald trump has definitely been the most popular one, we stocked deep in him. Reorders across the country. But brian olsen says in this case, the most popular mask doesnt necessarly translate to the customers top pick for president. Brian 23 33 i think we get a spllit with donald trump of favortism or dislike. Many people are coming in who plan on wearing this as a joke trump. No matter what reason people have for dressing up as the donald. And whether or not the sales will predict the winner of the caucuses or general election. These candidates faces. And hairstyles. Are a huge hit at halloween retailers. Amanda tag 27 47 if you want to be donald trump, you better hurry, supplies are moving quickly. In des moines, amanda krenz, local five news, we are iowa. Stephanie amanda thanks and we asked around our frequent political contributors here at local five for their predictions. Rick klein, abc news political director said trump without a doubt is my guess as most popular . Hillary masks have been around for 20 plus years. Trump is new to this scene. And the hair possibilities endless. And our local five analyst, dr. Steffen schmidt at iowa state goes a bit further. Quote democrats will do a trump mask with donald as the devil with horns . Republicans a hillary mask with her as a witch. Stephanie we want to know is your Halloween Costume taking a political theme this year . Tell us your plans on facebook and twitter. Or wait til halloween and send us photos we may end up showing them on the air. Jack to pella now, where a family run business went up in flames overnight. It happened at the coffee cup cafe on oskaloosa street just before ten last night. As flames overtook the restaurant. Theres damage with much of the roof collapsed. Fire isnt known yet. The family who was not there at the time. Were starting a new business inpella have one in sully, it was going and now this is a big knock for them jack tonight at six how the Pella Community is rallying support for the owners. Well show you of support, particularly on social media, at six. Jack heres more support for a small business. This time, its a donut shop owner in west des moines. The donut king on grand avenue shut down five weeks ago because the owner lou king, broke his hip. Hes the one who gets up in the middle of the night to make all the donuts. So with him sidelined, the business couldnt continue. Well this morning it was time to get back in business all the regulars were there, including some people whove been customers of lous for 20 plus years. As youre aware, im here and todays his first day, so i feel good. I hope he feels the same was i feel. Were just exuberant that its open. Theyre just the friendliest that its open. Theyre just the friendliest people inside and we really missed him while they were closed. The customers loyalty that ive had over the years has been tremendous. This kind of proves it. Jack lou king bought the store back in 1975. Lous pretty tough. Hes before. Of his left leg in good to see you stephanie 2shot coming up on local 5 news at five. You may be able to thank el nino for a little extra cash in you wallet. Well tell you why. Jack but next. The arrest video that has the nation talking. Is this going too far to get an unruly kid back under control . Well have the latest. Youre watching local iowas most accurate forecast with chief meteorologist brad edwards. This is local 5 news at 5, we are iowa. Welcome back a violent classroom confrontation between a cop and a high schooler in South Carolina is triggering outrage across the country. Heres the video that shows a School Resource officer pulling a female student from her seat. Then slamming her around in front of the class. Jack the officer is now on paid administrative leave, but critics are demanding he be fired. Jason carroll reports. ben fields are you gonna come with me or am i gonna make you . South Carolina Police officer ben fields, seen here, is on administrative leave this morning after his violent takedown of a High School Student was caught on camera monday afternoon nat sound you can see the sheriffs deputy tossing a female student to the ground after she refused to get up from her desk. nat sound then throwing her across the classroom floor. ben fields your back, give me your hands, give me your hands. County sheriffs dept. we dont want anyone to rush to judgment, but we also feel that the video was very very disturbing according to police the Richland County student was asked to leave the classroom. When she refused, fields was called in to arrest her for disturbing class. School Officials Say the video is quote extremely disturbing and has banned the deputy from all district schools pending an investigation the sheriffs department, whos also looking into the unclear what camera started rolling. lt. Curtis wilson Richland County sheriffs dept. well have to look at this in its totality to understand exactly what happened. Is this a pattern, is this something that hes done before. The deputy has been the subject of two lawsuits in the last 10 years in 2007 a couple claimed he used Excessive Force when questioning them about a noise complaint. The husband says fields slammed him to the ground, cuffed him. And. Began kicking him but the jury ruled in fields favor in 2010. In 2013, a student claimed fields falsely accused the teen of being involved in a gang. The school expelling him that lawsuit is ongoing man when you see a video like what weve seen earlier today it certainly alarms you. And makes you a little bit afraid of what is actually happening within our schools the deputy has been working for the School District for 7 years and was recently awarded the culture of Excellence Award in 2014 for proving to be what they say was an exceptional role model to the students. nat sound jack fields is one of two resource officers for Spring Valley high, he has been asked to not return to any richland property. The fbi is launching an investigation. Stephanie chief meteorologist brad edwards joins us now. Brad independent weather experts its a dirty job, but somebodys got to do it jack there he is the chief meteorologist brad edwards expanding his skillset. Spending the day yesterday with the des moines public works road patching crew. Stephanie well show you more of what he learned at six. But brad, you said it there a dirty job . Jack brad edwards joins us now with central iowas most accurate forecast. Brad . Brad adlib brad adlib weather adlib rainy into the evening central iowa. The rain should taper off into a few showers after midnight. Our temperatures will hover in the upper 40s which might give you the shivers but just wait until wednesday when the winds crank up from the nw at 2030 mph we should be able to get our temps back up into the low 50s, but it will be really cold wednesday night with those strong winds and temps falling into the 30s. Thursday will bring back some sunshine, but it will remain a little breezy and cool. There is some good news for all those trickor treaters heading out friday night. It looks like friday will be little milder with highs in the mid 50s and less wind. As we head into the evening hours, i think it will stay dry until late friday night. That is when more rain will be saturday morning. By sunday and monday we are looking at some really nice weather with sunshine and warmer temperatures brad wxhang adlib Jack Stephanie thanks, brad few showers after midnight. Our temperatures will hover in the upper 40s which might give you the shivers but just wait until wednesday when the winds crank up from the nw at 2030 mph we should be able to get our temps back up into the low 50s, but it will be really cold wednesday night with those strong winds and temps falling into the 30s. Thursday will bring back some sunshine, but it will remain a little breezy and cool. There is some good news for all those trickor treaters heading out friday night. It looks like friday will be little milder with highs in the mid 50s and less wind. As we head into the evening hours, i think it will stay dry until late friday night. That is when more rain will be likely that should stay with us through saturday morning. By sunday and monday we are looking at some really nice weather with sunshine and warmer temperatures brad wxhang adlib Jack Stephanie few showers after midnight. Our temperatures will hover in the upper 40s which might give you the shivers but just wait until wednesday when the winds crank up from the nw at 2030 mph we should be able to get our temps back up into the low 50s, but it will be really cold wednesday night with those strong winds and temps falling into the 30s. Thursday will bring back some sunshine, but it will and cool. There is some good news for all those trickor treaters heading out friday night. It looks like friday will be little milder with highs in the mid 50s and into the evening hours, i think it will stay dry until late friday night. That is when more rain will be with us through saturday morning. By are looking at some really nice weather with sunshine and warmer temperatures brad wxhang adlib Jack Stephanie jack coming up on local 5 news at five. How far people will go to make a guinea pig comfortable. Stephanie but next. Southwest airlines is adding a new direct flight from des moines. But that means its dropping a popular route. Well tell you whats out. Stephanie in consumer news today you should expect to see lower heating bills this winter. Stephanie thats thanks to predictions of warmer weather in the eastern us in the coming weeks, courtesy of the weather phenomenon known as el nio. That warmer weather is expected to lower demand for fuel during the winter, resulting in an aboveaverage stockpile. Monday, Natural Gas Prices tumbled nine percent to a more than threeyear low. Prices have fallen 20 percent this month alone. Stephanie General Motors is recalling onepointfour million cars due to fears they might catch fire. Most of these vehicles were also recalled back in 2007 and models two decades but gm says more than 13 those vehicles after being fixed, prompting this new recall. Gm says the result of oil leaking onto a hot manifold. Most of the fires occurred while the cars were off. Those affected by the recall can go to a gm their vehicles fixed for free. Jack a shakeup for southwest Airline Service out of the metro. The Company Announced its switching up some routes from the des moines airport. They will now offer up twice daily flights to st. Louis, beginning in april 2016. But what that means is southwest will end service to Chicago Midway International airport, also in april. The des moines airport says theyll continue to work with Southwest Airlines as they optimize their route structure. Jack we couldnt let you go without showing you this. Its the tiniest wheelchair youll probably ever see, and its for a guinea pig stephanie estella the guinea pig lives at a california animal sanctuary. She broke her back when a small child squeezed her a little too hard, and she cant use the lower half of her body. The sanctuary organized a fundraiser via facebook to construct a custom wheelchair for estella. She now uses the chair to improve her enrichment and activity level. The sanctuary says estella is enjoying life to the fullest. Jack well be right back. It wilhours for much of central iowa. The rain should taper off into a few showers after midnight. Our temperatures will hover in the upper 40s which might give you the shivers but just wait until wednesday when the winds crank up from the nw at 2030 mph stephanie thank you for spending your time with us tonight. Jack we are working hard on another great newscast for 6pm. Watch for were proud to say we are iowa