welcome back. it's about the last minute campaigning and bill clinton is going to be in florida stumping for charlie that state. the blue state democrat is currently locked in a tight race with rub with republican larry monday edition of "morning joe" starts right now. good morning, it's monday, november 3rd, big week ahead of us here on "morning joe." with us onset we have the chairman of deutsche incorporated donnie deutsche. >> this is like espn. >> is that what we call them? political analyst and professor at nyu former congressman harold ford jur. and we have the managing editor of bloomberg politics mark halper halperin. and white house correspondent for the "wall street journal." >> hello over there. >>. i think ben roethlisberger was awesome last night. >> there's a lot to get to. >> we're going to let you stand along a train track spaced 20 yards apart and shout at each other. >> can i go to the headlines, they are really good. >> what are you thinking? >> i think it's going to be a painful day. >> for you? >> perhaps. >> does that mean big republican sweep? >> i'm thinking. let's see. despite millions of dollars spent, new polls show the senate may be slipping out of democrats hands. the gap is widening in states where they were trying to hold on and tightening in states they were safely blue. senator jeanne shaheen is clinging to a lead inside the margin of error in new hampshire. senator kay hagan in north carolina up just 1 on republican thom tillis. the same poll has pat roberts catching up to orman. mitch mcconnell is expanding his lead and his chances to become majority leader. in iowa republican joni ernst has opened her lead to 7. bruce braley is trending downward losing his home congressional district. still the balance of power may not be settled on wednesday morning, but louisiana's democrat is lead iing by 8 poin. if she doesn't win outright, it shows her trailing bill cassidy. and though republican david perdue is up in michigan, that state is likely headed to a runoff. in georgia runoffs last nine weeks and perdue is favored. joe, tell us how this looks to you. >> you know, it looks like thing rg trending the republican direction. it still does not look like 1994, 2006, 2010. it could. i mean maybe the democratic turnout is going to be miserable and maybe the republican turnout is going to be extraordinary. you still see a lot of close rac races. republicans doing very well in some states, but you can't get the band out and sing happy days are here again because they are still fighting in north carolina. they are still fighting in kansas. they are still fighting in georgia. they are still fighting in louisiana and maybe mark halperin, that goes to the republican party. but anything could happen. one of two things are going to. happen. one, the republicans are going to learn from the mistakes in the turnout game from 2012. >> it might be. >> and they are going to take back the senate and have the big night. or two, they didn't learn those lessons and don't know how to target voters and democrats are going to hold on. which one? >> democrat strategy was three things. . eliminate the republicans as unacceptable choices, too extreme. change the debate to be about economic issues and three, the turn. out game. they failed on two of of the three. so the turnout is all they have. it may be enough in some places to allow them to win. >> why is it so close in kansas? why still close in georgia? why still close in louisiana? i think it could be a big republican night. i am not throwing water on the games that we have seen. that iowa poll people saying 7 points, it's not 7 points. the des moines register poll is the gold standard out there. they get it right. i find it hard to believe iowa is not now in the republican safe. >> where republicans have had good candidates like in georgia and iowa, they are doing better. >> donnie deutsche, democrats also in colorado, and i have had democratic operatives and say this and sortd of cringe. they have talked about the colorado race where democrats were so intent on trying to make the republicans seem extreme on women's issues they are turning into the clown show the republican party has been. and i'm talking top ranking democratic strategists who have run the democratic world saying, come on, we assume that women only care about contraception? most women know that debate was over a long time ago. women care about jobs, wages, the rich getting richer. they care about education, their kids going off to college and not having a job out of college. it's really sort of been -- >> you're going to wake up wednesday very happy. >> why is that? >> it's going to go republican. >> i'm not sure that's going to make him happy. >> somebody on twitter said your party is going to win. i said, are you reading the things my party -- don't know what my party is. >>. the republicans will win. there's two little pieces of nugg nuggets that are good news for republicans in '16 and beyond. i was fascinated in a recent poll of my len yells are leadin republicans. the republicans have figured out we are never going to win another election unless somehow we appeal to that audience. my final point, this is the best thing that happened to barack obama. >> it's hard for a republican sitting here to say this buzz people say -- you're right, barack obama still believed in 2012 that if you won reelection republicans would suddenly say, he's legitimized and we're going to work with him. . it's going to take i think this final step for him to go, do i want to get things done or not. and for republicans to then have no where are excuses, they are either going to make capitol hill work or screw it up and if they screw it up for two years, they will lose in 2016. >> i think it's the best thing for the country as far as accountability. do you want to run washington or do you want to run your mouth? >> that's good. senate major ri leader harry reid says a win for joni ernst in iowa would all but ensure he'd lose his majority status. tom harkin drew criticism on buzzfeed. >>. this senate race i've been watching some of these it ads. they are sort of this sense that joni ernst, she's really attractive. she sounds nice. i u got to thinking about that. i don't care if she's as good looking as taylor swift or as nice as mr. rogers, but if she votes like michele bachmann, she's wrong for the state of iowa. >> actually that's a good point. it's true. if a republican said that, it would be over. carol lee, might that backfire? >> yeah, i think it might. if there's one thing that any politician, particularly a seasoned one like harkin should know, you don't talk about women's looks in that way. i was in iowa last week and the ernst campaign is very in tune to these kinds of things and is very quick to jump on anything that has remotely a whiff of sexism attached to it. so it's just not something that belongs in a race like this and it's sort of surprising to hear it coming from somebody who understands the state and has been around for so long. >> so what was your feeling when you were out there when you were reporting in iowa last week? did you see a trend? did you feel a trend going joni ernst's way? >> you did, and i was there with her for a couple of events. and i was with vice president biden did an event with braley. i talked to a bunch of voters at that event and some coming to that event had voted for barack obama in 2008 and 2012 and had regretted voting for him. so the presence of the president in a state like iowa was dominant. joni ernst talks a about it a ton. anyone who has watched her, she's a natural on the campaign trail. so she had a lot of appeal with the voters there. definitely down on the president and really looking for somebody different. she seems to be tapping into some kind of sentiment there. it looks like she's going to end up winning. >> can you imagine a female candidate saying that about a male? i can't, it just wouldn't happen. >> i was degraded because they would always say that about me. because he's so good looking and has such chiselled features. nobody has ever say that about me. it's actually stupid that somebody would say that after being in politics that long. >> e she hasn't put out a campaign that's anything that's serious, humorous and very much in the fight. >> can i ask carol a question? >> i will ask a question. >> isn't this how this game works. donnie was talking about millennials are a snapshot. this could change tomorrow. and we're going to have polling saying millennials are trending republican right now. hispanics still supporting democrats, but not the way they did a couple years ago. you go state by state by state, republicans will show you the gender gap in many states now slunk. what has happened to the democratic party that they are most loyal voters? i would say of african-american voters have departed. >> two years ago republicans know in missouri and indiana cannot agree on a simple criminal definition of rape. it's certainly impacted the races where you should have elected republican senators but they did well. as you look at hispanic voters, there's more of a kinship with republicans and democrats on those issues. if republicans can talk about immigration reform, you can fundamentally change the map for them over the next few years. i would argue if republicans win the most important thing they win the senate is sequencing. how they go about what they want to do. if they try the affordable care act, all bets are off. if they start with a narrow tax reform bill, trade promotion authority, if they start with some energy reform, keystone, lifting the ban on natural gas exports, they could change the wa optics. if they do that, those are the things that would help appeal not only to the millennials but help the to move the country forward. >> actually have a message. >> this is obviously luckily for the republicans. i want someone to answer the question why this guy is at 42% if i'm giving him talking points, gas is under $3, pass the most important legislation in 50 years, save the auto industry, kill osama bin laden. >> i know, what's the deal? >> the medium is the message. >> donnie, explain that. barack obama is why barack obama is important. >> let me get to the governors races. >> you both said this. number one, the president is not as comfortable as talking about business success as other presidents. and you said it a few weeks ago. ebola and isis, the enormous unknowns have colored this race and impacted these races negatively in the last few weeks. >> mark halperin, i'm going to show you the governors races. one point separates scott walker in wisconsin. rapid fire here. in florida one of the nastiest races of all, charlie crist has a lead. >> who wins that one? >> democrats are crazy confident about that race. i'm not sure why. but libertarian is helping crist. >> if the national win counts in wisconsin, it counts in florida and will carry both of those over. >> except charlie crist is a better candidate. >> i don't know the national win matters because governors have their own record and not barack obama. >> jason carter trailing in georgia but close to nathan deal. >> if there's a run-off maybe u. >> brownback is down to paul davis. >>. a fox news poll what happened? >> he just thought people were arrogant. that's pretty close to certainty. >> doesn't that help orman? >> orman cannot count on that. >> i don't know if i'm a republican that's going to vote against a republican governor and vote democratic for the first time in my life, i don't know i'm going to go democratic twice. >> orman is an independent. >> he's a democrat. he had claire mccaskill begging him to run because he was the democrat's best chance of holding the seat. >> you know that, but his message has been they are disciplined. >> i always told people. as far as -- my family was a crest family. colgate commercials mean nothing to us. we bought crest. if you're in kansas, i'm not joking here, this works. if you're in kansas and your brand is republican, you may deviate from that brand one time. i don't know you deviate from it twice. i actually think voting against brownback could help roberts. >> if orman wins, think about it also that the talk about an independent running for president, it grows largely because you see the path. if it can happen in kansas. >> halperin, you're running for president? one final thing. for all of you pundits and pollsters out there saying greg orman is an independent and we don't know if he's a democrat or a republican, i'm taking bets right now on whether if he wins he's going to caucus with the republican party or democratic party. i'll give you 5 to 1 odds that he caucuses with the democratic party. you know he's not going to caucus with the republicans so just quit. >> all right. we're going to end the block this way because we're going to be doing so much politics. . it was a magic night for 19-year-old lauren hill with an inoperable brain tumor whose dream was to play college hoops in cincinnati. knowing hill has just weeks to live, the ncaa moved up the state of her team's opening game to last night and she would be healthy enough to play. hill scored four points make the first and last baskets in the victory here. here's hill after the game. >> i just feel so blessed that this is all happening. i'm just really happy. this is a really good day. this just -- it makes meso happy. >> beautiful. ncaa did good. still ahead on "morning joe," a daring feat in the windy city as nik wallenda breaks two world records. >> i did this in '78. >> i u think the story we just did is much more interesting. we'll talk to him in our 7:00 hour. first man's best friend sides with the cops over his meth-cooking owner. that's a problem. did your dog turn you in? you're watching "morning joe." we'll be right back. you probably know xerox as the company that's all about printing. but did you know we also support hospitals using electronic health records for more than 30 million patients? or that our software helps over 20 million smartphone users remotely configure e-mail every month? or how about processing nearly $5 billion in electronic toll payments a year? in fact, today's xerox is working in surprising ways to help companies simplify the way work gets done and life gets lived. with xerox, you're ready for real business. let's take a look at the morning pap. brittney maynard who has become the face of the right to die movement ended her life on saturday after being diagnosed in january with aggressive terminal brain cancer. maynard moved from northern california to oregon to gain access to the state's death with dignity laws. this fall she became a spokesperson for advocates of assisted dying after posting this video discussing her decision. on saturday as planned she took a life-ending prescription in her bedroom surrounded by loved on ones. she was 29 years old. we look at this from the "washington post." a series of setbacks for the coalitions efforts to defeat islamic state militants. in syria fighters linked to al qaeda have defeated u.s.-supported rebels. the militants seizing weapons and numerous defections were also reported. then many iraq the country's government is confirming that isis is responsible for killing 300 members of a sunni tribe in ann bar province. these are strikes carried out in retaliation for that massacre. u.s. officials say iraqi security forces are planning to launch a major offensive. it includes training 20,000 troop oefrs the next few months. >> do you like going to sporting events? >> sometimes. >> pi love track meets. i went to one this weekend. >> it's a good thing that you live here and not in iran. >> why? >> because you could be thrown in jail. >> "the los angeles times" says a woman was sentenced to prison for trying to watch a men's volleyball match. the 25-year-old british-iranian woman was arrested outside a stadium in tehran in june while protesting a ban on women attending games. >> what's wrong with those people? >> women are also banned from attending soccer games. >> seriously? >> we look at this. one of the most headlines grabbing people, kaci hickox, the nurse speaking out after successfully challenging maine's attempt to force her into a mandatory quarantine following her return from west africa. in an interview on "meet the press", new jersey governor chris christie initially placed her in isolation because, quote, an abundance of politics was at play. she's also promising to limit her activity at home in maine. >> i understand that the community has been through a lot in the past week and that i do, you know, apologize to them for that. i will not go into crowded public places. i have had a few friends come visit me in my home and that's absolutely fantastic. >> okay. "usa today," a brave pooch in. alabama helped lead local officials to his owner wanted for allegedly producing crystal meth. he ran out of his back-door when police arrived with a drug warrant and officers lost sight of where he went. they asked his dog to go get him. and that's exactly what he did. bo led authorities to henderson, who was booked on five counts -- dogs are smart. he's cute. i like that dog. >> a good-looking dog though. coming up, the rise and the fall of the so-called insurgent candidates of the republican party. bill crystal joins the table. >> licking his chops. >>. licking his chops. this is his week. >> we'll be right back. this is his week. >> you can't hold a good man down. >> we'll be right back with much more "morning joe." ♪ there's confidence... then there's trusting your vehicle maintenance to ford service confidence. our expertise, technology, and high quality parts means your peace of mind. it's no wonder last year we sold over three million tires. and during the big tire event, get up to $140 in mail-in rebates on four select tires. ♪ ring ring! progresso! i can't believe i'm eating bacon and rich creamy cheese before my sister's wedding well it's only 100 calories, so you'll be ready for that dress uh-huh... you don't love the dress? i love my sister... 40 flavors. 100 calories or less. there are more reasons than ever why now is the best time to be on verizon. one: verizon's the largest, most reliable 4g lte network in the country. that's right america. with xlte in over 400 markets. two: and here's something for families to get excited about. our best pricing ever! get 2 lines with an incredible 10gb of data to share for the low price of $110! or just $140 for a family of 4! and three: get $150 credit for every line you switch. the more you switch, the more you get. verizon. so ally bank really has no hidden fethat's right. accounts? it's just that i'm worried about you know "hidden things..." ok, why's that? no hidden fees, from the bank where no branches equals great rates. it's costly. 29 past the hour. joining us for the opinion pages, couldn't wait to get on this set and start gloating, the editor of the weekly standard, bill crystal. >> she's nice to e me. there are reasons she might want to behave with you. >> the chief white house correspondent mike allen. we're going to start with "new york times" how obama lost america. carol lee is still with us. president obama's approval rating on foreign policy is around 35% in most recent polling. the public isn't necessarily turning neoconservative or pining for days of bush. instead it mostly reflects a results-based verdict on what seems like poor execution in the slow response to isis is a piece of the obama care rollout and second term asleep at the moments. it's a problem of leadership that reflects badly on liberalism but doesn't vindicate conservatism. >> let's stop there. bill crystal, you made a great point on this yesterday. this isn't a validation of what washington, d.c. republicans have done over the past couple years. this is more of a condemnation of barack obama's leadership. not even ideology, just poor leadership. >> i think it is ideology to some degree. most are referendum on the president and this will be a negative one for barack obama. a lot of consultants will take credit. but i was laughing, joni ernst who has been a fantastic candidate in iowa. most of the republican consultant community, most of the d.c. sharks like mark jac s jacobs. remember him? the self-funding business. man, they love a self-funder. >> write big checks. >> he was the guy. joni ernst, we never heard of her. it's amaze musing when the d.c. republicans take credit. >> do republicans take over the senate pretty easily? >> i think so. i'm normally a pessimist, but i continue to be. >> virginia is a real outside shot. >> it will end up with nine or ten seats. kansas may lose. it's fun to lose a state that everyone thought two months ago. what did d.c. republicans do? they moved heaven and earth to nominate pat roberts. let's see how close it is. >> before we get to mark, if there's a republican sweep, is it going to be because everybody wants to repeal obama care and make changes that republicans were hinging their yit on or is it something else? >> what are you hearing out there when you're reporting? >> it's just a general dissatisfaction with the way that washington is working. the republicans have an edge because of the president -- the democratic president is in power. i think what's most interesting to me and our "wall street journal" poll is the number where 67% of voters want the president to move in a different direction. that's a really big number. and it was the most standout number in that poll and that includes 47% of democrats. so either way that things go on tuesday, the president is under a lot of pressure to make some sort of dramatic change. that's the other question, is he going to do that? history would show you he's not necessarily a guy who does make dramatic changes in moments like this. but certainly there's a desire in the country for some kind of break in the gridlock in washington and for the president to move in a new direction. >> you're exactly right. unlike bill clinton who after he lost brought in dick morris, do not expect dick morris to be brought into this white house. in 2006 after george w. bush got creamed, don rumsfeld was out the next day. the republican party leadership may be seeing a tipping point when it comes to its recent struggle for insurgent candidates. this is mainstream republicans may have won this year. >> four years ago today, the banner headlines in all the paper were gop takes house and rand paul was elected to the senate. that was an outsider insurgent break china class of candidates. the republicans were ahead this year though are very different. much more, as you say, main line, chamber of commerce. the republicans did this cleverly and under the radar. the party outside groups spent big, worked hard to keep out the christine o'donnells, to keep out the todd aikens and get electable candidates. the most important thing in this story is republicans now say they are going to run this playbook in 2016. american crossroads saying they are going to push this message of an electable candidate, not just someone who satisfies the base. >> i just don't know if american crossroads can take credit for the republican elect rat saying we're just not going to elect dumb candidates. we actually may want to rwin th senate. we may want harry reid out of power. and i think they have made that decision time and again. anyone watching from d.c. who is a consultant who raises lots of money from dumb rich people, they should just really go back to how well they did in 2012. >> crossroads did spend some money, but a lot goes to the campaign committee which gave them some training. very basic stuff the democrats have done for two cycles. bill, my question for you, republicans have smartly kept the message on if you want change in washington, you have to vote for republicans. did they emerge from this if republicans keep the house? do they emerge with any ideas to say u to the president, look, we want and therefore voters wanted us to do x? >> they have a mandate for some changes they could get the president to sign like energy legislation. >> if they run on that, do you think the president will take the message? >> that's a good question for the president. you'll find republicans wanting to show many more than they should to get things done. if the president comes to that on energy. legislation, modifications and obamacare, on this point that mike allen was making. there's some bad tea party candidates in 2010 and 2012. the establishment gave us george allen and tommy thompson. >> pat roberts. >> the establishment it did not tell tom cotton to run. >> the establishment told tom cotton. >> the truth is one reason republicans are doing well, and i have said this before, the quality of candidates. a lot of younger candidates, not traditional career politicians. it's a mix. those who said the tea party establishment would destroy the republican party, they have united pretty well behind pretty attractive candidates. cotton, gardener, ernst. >> you actually really have seen sort of some of the tea party ideas delivered with mainstream sensibilities. >> the main thing the media decided obamacare doesn't count. the top issue people voting for joni ernst is obamacare. both moving towards repeal but setting forward a serious alternative to obamacare. that is key. >> early on when the history of this cycle is written, tough go early on and you have to look at all of the obamacare commercials that flooded the early states, drove the numbers of these democratic senators down. it's not happening now, but they were smart. they did it in january, february, march and they drove those numbers straight down requiring democrats to spend a lot of money early. that actually was the smart tactical move of this campaign. >> mike allen, thank you very much. bill crystal, stay with us. still ahead, it gets physical at a nascar race in texas. what caused jeff gordon to confront a fellow racer. but first a day before the election, are democrats shifting their focus to 2016? the executive editor of real clear politics joins us next. we'll be right back. 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[thinking] i'm still working. he's retired. i hope he's saving. i hope he saved enough. who matters most to you says the most about you. at massmutual we're owned by our policyowners, and they matter most to us. whether you're just starting your 401(k) or you are ready for retirement, we'll help you get there. republicans are good people. they are all americans. we're americans first. so they are patriots. they love this country. but they got bad ideas. and i always try to explain. i have members of my family who i love and have bad ideas. i still love them. i just wouldn't put them in charge. right? you all got somebody in your family like that. you're going to have them over for thanksgiving, but you don't want to put them in charge. >> that was president obama in michigan over the weekend. >> i said something like that to newt. i said it's not personal. if my mother were running congress the way you were running congress, i would run her out of town. >> mary jo would do a great job. tom bechb and with us on onset political correspondent casey hu hunt. >> you guys do the averages better. iowa, des moines register poll, it really took the breath out of a lot of democrats in that state. what's the number look like there? >> that poll was a kick in the gut for democrats. with ernst up 7 points, that kicked her up to 1.8%. the des moines register poll is a bigger lead than any other poll, but also one of the most accurate polls in that state. >> it always is. it somehow even figures the caucuses out right. i have never figured out how they do it. it's the gold standard for polls. >> it is. she doesn't wait for party i.d.s. she calls people and gets responses. that's one of the debates in the polling community. that poll really concerns democrats. >> what about kansas? fascinating race. >> yeah, as we have seen, orman is up less than 1% in the average. this is a state where we'd like to see more polling. there hasn't been a lot of polling there. i don't know if we're going to get anymore today as a final round, but this is as close to a toss-up as you can possibly have. >> casey hunt, you know everything, who is going to win? is this the most fascinating race? >> the one thing i think is most interesting about kansas is even republicans will acknowledge they are prepared for that to be unsettled on election day. they think it it's going to be that close and they are prepared to go to a recount if they need to. >> one word on kansas. he might win, you just got to assume it's a 43-43 race. the undecided go to the challengers. i'm pessimistic about kansas. >> so the moderate republican party started in the 1978 in california. tax cuts, tax cuts, for good. reason because taxes were so high. i really believe, and i'll ask this because you'll undercut me. >> there's a good balance o of republicans on this panel. >> which is which? >> an open heart as wide as iowa skies. but going back to brownback in kansas, cut taxes, cut education, the deficit has exploded and their mainstream republicans that said he shouldn't have cut taxes. is this sort of -- is this a closing of a chapter of just mindless tax cuts at all costs within the republican party? >> i think if you look closely, he cut taxes on the wealthy and on corporations assuming that would stimulate growth. it doesn't produce as many revenues. he had to cut education. he split his own party. the tax cuts were more populous. they did try to give tax cuts to middle class and working class. that's the way the republican party goes. brownback is a lesson of the orthodox tax reform agenda is not politically viable. the bill from the chairman, it's more like brownback's tax cuts than like a reagan camp. >> you're exactly right. it's got to be working class and middle class. the poor are getting poorer. billionaires getting 14% tax rates while their secretaries are paying 28%. i have never had one boo me when i said it is time to make billionaires pay a a minimum 28% tax. every republican i have ever spoken to outside of washington, d.c. agrees with me. it's obscene. a 14% tax rate for billionaires is obscene. tax cuts going to the richest of the rich is a policy that's going to cause brownback his seat. >> if paul ryan is smart, he can redo the bill and make it much more populous. it will increase his influence and set a tone for the presidential race. if i say one thing about the senate, if bill is right that republicans lose kansas. if i'm right that michelle is going to be a stronger run-off candidate and if new hampshire goes democratic and north carolina stays democratic, that makes the democrats not have an unbelievable path to keeping the majority. >> can i say, and yesterday i said i made a lot of people. unhappy by saying great candidate, going to run a great race, going to do better than his father, still going to lose. michelle nunn a great candidate, no way she's going to get the majority in a run-off that nobody is paying attention to. they are paying closer to the s.e.c. championship game than that race. >> control of the senate is at stake, she can win the run-off. >> north carolina, what's it look like there? >> kay hagan is hanging on in the average. >> that is a crazy race. >> that thing has been close but nothing. still ahead, how will young voters impact tomorrow's election? we take a deeper look at the a poll from harvard university. but first, this play is pretty good representation of how the jets season has been going. let's see. that's kind of a bad day. we'll be right back with the weekend's nfl action, next. wethey were a littlehorizons to mbit skeptical.ss, what they do actually is rocket science. but at ge capital we also bring expertise from across ge, like lean process engineers we asked who does what, when, where, and why that step first? ideas for improvement started pouring out. with a little help from us, they actually doubled their output speed. if you just need a loan, just call a bank. at ge capital, we're builders. and what we know... can help you grow. alriwe need to do somethinguble widifferent. ranch. callahan's? ehh, i mean get away, like, away away. road trip? double wings, extra ranch. feels good to mix it up. the all-new, fuel-efficient volkswagen golf tdi clean diesel. up to 594 miles of adventure in every tank. you know how fast you were going? 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>> hands it right over. he was right near the goal line so he lungs for the score. dropping to 1-8 after a loss to kansas city. >> all very upsetting. >> i'm a jets fan and i'm rooting against them at this point. they are unwatchable. >> this is from nascar's sprint cup race. jeff gordon and brad keselowski making contact. as jimmie johnson is there celebrating his victory, gordon confronts keselowski. a brawl between the drivers and crew members. everybody is getting involved. gordon the second competitor to fon confront kez lousy ski. they will review the brawl and penalties could be issued. they have a lot of firsts to review. >> they are dragging guys off. >> that's dangerous stuff. people get killed. >> hafryou're a busy guy, but d you see the ole miss and auburn game? >> ole miss played their hearts out. >> an inch away from winning that game. >> their defense played a heck of a game. the quarterback fumble, i hope he's okay. >> straight ahead, they are at 3 and alabama is 4. the crazy thing is 4 of the 5 best teams are from alabama or mississippi. >> their schedule is too tough. >> florida state, they are not good. florida state is just not good. >> i think your guy is going to sneak. up on him. >> i think they may. they just have to beat the number 3 team and number 1 team and lsu. wait, that's really hard. >> straight ahead on "morning joe," much more on tomorrow's big. election. the fix is in. plus did the good old boys club in washington, d.c. strike again? 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[ female announcer ] lactaid. 100% real milk. no discomfort. welcome back to "morning joe." mark halperin is still with us. joining us is moderator of "meet the press" chuck todd. >> we brought chuck in for an important reason. we're going to make sure he garn teens miami wins. >> i'm optimistic. >> she's not that good. >> we can all take the bus there. >> and many washington, msnbc political contributor and editor of the fix, "the washington post" chris. >> if he does join isis, then fsu will at least make him sit out for a half. i'm sorry. >> nobody likes your joke. >> i offended people in new york. >> do you think that fsu would actually make him sit out for a half? >> stop, it's not funny. >> coach's decision. >> they would threaten it. >> i have refused -- >> they get away with literally everything. there's a lot to talk about in the news. chuck is uncomfortable. i'm joking about fsu being so lenient with their quarterback. he can do anything. >> tuscaloosa pd is on top of those alabama players. >> i guarantee you if one of our guys joined isis, they would sit out a whole game. >> you're going to go to the corner. turn around. nobody wants to see you right now. >> harvard is undefeated by the way. i'm going to the game this year. >> fight fiercely. harvard, fight, fight, fight. >> despite millions of dollars spent, new polls show the senate may be slipping out of democrat's hands. the gap is widening in states where they were trying to hold on and tight i think in states they were to be safely blue. senator jeanne shaheen is clinging to a lead in new hampshire. democratic senator kay hagan in north carolina just 1 on republican thom tillis. pat roberts is catching up to greg orman but still trailing. mitch mcconnell is expanding his lead and his chances to become marriagety leader. in iowa joni ernst has opened her lead to 7. bruce braley is trending downward even losing in his home district. the balance of power may not be settled on wednesday morning. a democrat is leading in louisiana's primary by 8 points, but a head to head run-off shows her trailing bill cassidy and republican david perdue is up over michelle nunn in georgia. that state also is likely headed to a run-off. in georgia, runoffs last nine weeks and perdue is favored. i have u a headache. . >> we have so much to talk about. chuck, i have been saying for months. no trend that suggests a way u. you wake up and see the des moines poll, you see mitch mcconnell now up by 8 or 9 in kentucky. you certainly may not be. a massive republican night, but certainly the senate is well, well within reach now. >> definitely within reach. but i have to say i have been looking at our poll all night. the final poll is always -- it's very close to where things are nationally at the end. we show a one-point tick in the democrat's direction. we showed interest in the election is only a 1-point difference between the two parties. you have a republican party that's more unpopular today than in 2010. this is not what a republican wave looks like. so i have to say, you see the evidence in iowa. you see frankly evidence in georgia where it seems to a runoff is only a 30% chance. and yet there is the counternumbers -- >> state by state by state. >> i think chuck would agree it's different from 2010. president obama's approval rating. >> it's only about 2 points lower than it was in 2010. and look, this could be all about obama. the whole thing could be about that. i'm just saying, there's something that democrats are fighting about this election. >> it's partly about obama. but the quality of candidates, we were talking about this off air, the quality of candidates matters. it's not like you looked at a map and said iowa and colorado, they are going to go republican. they are going republican because. joni ernst ran a great campaign. >> what are they winning on? >> candidates matter. >> of course. candidates matter a lot. and i think we're way too much looking at data and way too much looking at the models. the individual campaigns have mattered hugely. bruce braley has been a terrible candidate. . >> because tough go state by state, it's not going to be a classic wave election like '64, '74, '94, 2006. mark halperin you brought up a fascinating point. the president's schedule the next two days? >> at the white house. >> the president is staying home. >> as of now. but he's off the trail. not even out for house candidates. >> even george w. bush was come paining. >> he was actually. i think he was in some races. >> i will say, though, in the senate races, it's hard to beat incumbent democratic senators. republicans have spent a long time since they picked off more than two incumbents. they have to beat a lot of incumbents. they are fight iing hard to hol their jobs. again, you have to say democrats are not objective. you talk to all of my sources, republican and democrat, republicans unbridled confidence, democrat, some are already gaming out. how can we maybe keep enough close enough to win the senate back. >> i always go back to 1998. these cycles of bill clinton and barack obama have been so eerily similar. republicans win a right wing landsli landslide. two years later, the new democrat wins. and two years later, what happened in '98? we were thinking huge republican win. we almost lost the house and newt lost his job. >> there was overreach. >> exactly. that's happening here. i got to stop mark here. there's no national republican message. if the republican party, if we republicans win, what is our message the day after? >> if you want change, you got to change your senator. >> what is the message? >> i'm not saying it's a lofty. >> i'll go change my outfit. that doesn't do anything. >> that's not a message. that's not a mandate. >> it may be enough for them to take control of the senate. >> what about the day after? >> one thing about '97, bill clinton signed welfare reform. he cut a deal with the congress on tax and budget policy. he had a strong economy in '98. barack obama didn't think it was a mandate to go after. republicans have to confront good campaigns. they have ignored the leads. republicans will do better with hispanics in 2014 having resisted the gang of eight bill than they did in 2012. >> i want to get the fix on tom harkin. chris, senator majority leader said e he would lose his status. an outgoing senator tom harkin drew fire for this comment about joni ernst that surfaced over the weekend on buzzfeed. take a look. >> in this senate race, i have been watching some of these ads. there's sort of this sense of joni ernst, she's really attractive. and she sounds nice. but i got to thinking about that. i don't care if she's as good looking as taylor swift. or as nice as mr. rogers. but if she votes like michele bachmann, she's wrong for the state of iowa. [ applause ] >> that's interesting, chris. she's real purdy. i don't know i would have expected that from tom harkin. tell us what you make of iowa. obviously, a big poll came out yesterday. but what's tomorrow look like to you? >> that's the one, i think, if you're looking at how the whole country is going to shake out. i think bill makes the right point. we probably wouldn't have thought iowa would be the big. race six months ago. bruce braley has been bad. joni ernst has been good. candidates do matter. i think tom harkin, look, if a republican said that a democratic candidate was winning because at least in part because she's attractive, which is what tom harkin said, it's not a great thing. it's going to change the race. i can't imagine it's going to change the race. but would bruce braley rather tom harkin say that? yeah, probably, because part of joni ernst coalition is to win women who live in and around des moines who are probably socially liberal, moderate, fiscally conservative to the extent there's a tron say, the only reason he's winning is because she's a woman. that can get you going to vote. >> let's turn to some of the tight governor races across the country. somebody here has to keep things moving along. just one point separates mary burke and scott walker in wisconsin. >> a week ago, i would say burke. he's not in a winning campaign. i would argue he's lost the campaign, but he can still win the election. >> is that for 2016? >> i think he's already damaged. >> i think he will win by 3 or 4 points. everyone will say, whoa, scott walker wins three elections in wisconsin. that's impressive. >> it's sort of a mindness to christie. >> that was excellent the way he slapped down chris christie. >> chris christie, i like chris, by chairman of the governors association and he goes into iowa twice in the last ten days to campaign for branstad who is only up 25 points. >> i said terry branstad, chris christie is trying to get him over 60. he's at 59. we have to get 62. >> walker has been pinned down for a long time. it's hard for him to catch up. >> in florida one of the nastiest races of all has charlie crist with a narrowest of leads. >> that is just an ugly, ugly, ugly race. >> they tweeted out the results of that. 526 respondents chose charlie crist. 524 chose his opponent. this is a classic example of we hate both of them. literally. they are both so deeply unliked. not just because of this race. rick scott his first four years, very unpopular. charlie crist was a republican, then independent, now a democrat. you saw $70 million spent on tv. i just want it to be over. >> rick scott, let's talk about that. rick scott actually became, i think in a way, he became sort of a trend setter in a way you wouldn't want to become a trend setter of what we're going to see more of of the big money in politics. he was a 35% on the day he was sworn into office. it's the first time i ever saw that. this year we're going to see it a lot. >> most of the winners on election night are going to be under water. it's weird. they are going to win -- it's this negative environment and all the money that was spent. i look at this scott skpras you sit there and say he barely won in an incredible republican year in 2010. how does he -- that's it. if he were running against anybody else, he's probably down 5 points. . if there were a tom wolf type candidate that came out of nowhere? >> democratic in florida is that they had to get a republican who switched parties? >> if graham is a member of congress after tomorrow, then all of a sudden they have a bench. >>. let's go to georgia. jason carter trailing in georgia, but close to incumbent nathan deal. and the kbov nor of kansas is now down 6 to democrat paul davis. >> brownback, no one liked him. but he's getting pounded in a state he should be 10 points ahead in. >> he passed a tax reform measure in a way that rubbed a lot of insiders a wrong way and made him feel like he didn't have a winning formula. he's also been someone who overflossed with the kind of populous deal you need to have to keep the party united. i think he will probably lose in kansas. >> what's that mean? >> iowa could go republican for governor and senate. kansas will go democrat probably for governor and perhaps for senate. >> populism is back. >> it's not like they never elected a democratic governor. it does show the populous trend, anti-obama sentiment, this anti-wall street sentiment. some of which is healthy. but the republicans were running the more populous campaigns. >> you have a smurky twinkle in your eye. >> that's a very high compliment. >> the last time we were all together. i used a cheap slur on the new york 11 guys comparing them. it was a cheap. >> can i say -- >> it was offensive to some italian friends of mine. >>. i said some things that i thought was kind of funny. if i had to start apologizing for things. >> i hear you going down that road. it was wrong. >> by the way, michael graham, is that his name? i saw his poll, he's up by like 12. he threatens to throw reporters off a balcony. what was i doing when i was running for reelection? >> spend five minutes reading the staten island newspapers endorsement of michael graham. they endorsed michael. it happened last week. put it into the google machine. it is amazing. it basically says, yes, he's been indicted, yes, we have heard some things about him with a gun. i was like, but he's still better than the other guy. it's the anti-endorsing endorsement. >> by the way, i'm gook l iing right now. chuck, does miami beat fsu? >> i think they can. still ahead on "morning joe," daredevil nik wallenda. >> he has an act for danger. walking two tight ropes suspended 200 feet in the air. he joins us later this hour. first, tragedy in the sky. . >> this is the crash of a virgin spaceship raising question about the future of space travel. we'll be right back. yoplait light is now better than ever. it still melts in your mouth. with 90 calories. and is now aspartame free. yoplait light. it is so good; it's better than ever. faster than d-con. what will we do with all of these dead mice? 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"the los angeles times" investigators say pilot error is to blame for the crash of a spacecraft that left one pilot dead and the other severely injured. the pilot unlocked a lever too early causing the rocket to break apart. investigators will work with virgin galactic to further analyze debris from the accident. the spacecraft is designed to take as many as six passengers on sightseeing flight where is they can experience weightlessness. the crash is a major setback to the program. >> so the pilot, i guess, parachuted out. >> how can off lever? >> there was a co-pilot killed, but they are going to charge $250,000. >> there's a waiting list. >> there are certain people who already paid that money out of pocket. there's been a lot of fits to get this up and rung. the next story from "the washington post." organizers calling it the largest ever protest to the washington red skins over the team's name. in minnesota yesterday before washington took on the vikings, a crowd of as many as 4,000 people marched on tcf bank stadium. demonstrators vowed they would take the campaign to every remaining redskins game this season. let's go to "the new york times." it's a new era in downtown new york. the first employees will arrive this morning at one world trade center. as america's tallest building opens for business. . publishing company announced three years ago it would move its magazines including voeg and the new yorker to the 104-story building occupying more than a million square feet. >> wow. >> that's amazing. >> very prominent. >> we look at this coming to us from the "new york post." it was a kenyan sweep yesterday at the marathon. it was a little chilly, but they did it. sosm of the most grueling race conditions. the former world record holder has titles in berlin, london and now new york in just over a 13-month period. >> you ran a half marathon last year. would you consider running a marathon? >> i would love to, but you have to invest a lot of training. i'd like to. >> have you thought about running a marathon? >> no, i like a treadmill because i can hit stop. >> i like to have my sweet tea there. >> "usa today," the thriller night crawler starring jake gyllenhaal narrowly opened the box office. . "ouija" rounding out the top five. "gone girl" was at number four. jake gyllenhaal will join us later in the week. >> his sister was here. >> she's so smart. >> she's in a play that just opened on broadway. >> i knew you were going to ask me. i know it's got a couple good actors in it. the real thing, it just came to me. >> isn't bradly on? >> and he works at johns hopkins in the cafeteria. >> he says he's been there for four years. coming up, what it's like to live in isolation for suspected ebola contamination. one doctor talks about his grueling 21 days. but first rocking the youth vote. what americans under 30 think about the country and politics. ♪ it's not about how many miles you can get out of the c-max hybrid. it's about how much life you can fit into it. ♪ the ford c-max hybrid. with an epa-estimated range of 540 miles on a tank of gas. and all the room you need to enjoy the trip. go stretch out. go further. an unprecedented program arting busithat partners businesses with universities across the state. for 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researching retirement strategies. well that's what type e*s do. welcome home. taking control of your retirement? e*trade gives you the tools and resources to get it right. are you type e*? right there on a o'indication, both candidates are of high integrity. this race is nothing like that. >> no. >> they talk about the choice that we have in making an endorsement in a race could not be much uglier. >> he's running on the thug line. >> joining us is the director of polling at the harvard university and also the director of the earth institute dr. jeffrey saks. >> we talked about the my lel yans trending more republican than democratic. every time you hear that a certain demographic group is locked down forever for one party, i go back to karl rove's permanent majority statement. what's your take away from this poll? why are young voters trending more republican right now? >> i think the most important thing to understand is things go in cycles. think about this. we started in 2000. this is the 26th survey. democrats were plus 2 in the 2000 election np plus 2 in the 2002 election. it wasn't until katrina, george bush, good campaign by john kerry. he won the youth vote. and barack obama cemented them for several years. now we're resetting this generation and thinking about both parties the same way. they want to have a conversation and make a difference. >> isn't it a good reminder for both parties don't take anything for granted? don't take any bloc of voters for granted? >> both parties are despised. the country does not like washington. and unfortunately no matter what happens, we're going to continue to get the kind of politics that the public doesn't want. >> jeffrey, you and i have talked about debt now for seven, eight years on this show. i would like somebody to tell me what major statewide candidate has brought up in a meaningful way entitlement reform, driving down health care costs in a meaningful way. instead we get these stupid 30-second commercials that it don't address the real issues. i think the key is follow the money. this is really going to be known atz billionaires election. there's so much money come figure from big money. most of it well disguised so it won't even be reported until after the election. what seems to be going on is oil and election. big money from the left. but the huge money is oil and gas money. you can look at the numbers and the left and the right are both equal. it's like the arms rice rays between the soviets and the americans. it's equal. you can say big oil all you want to. that's not factually accurate. >> where's the big money? the big money is with the big oil companies. >> the total money is not equal. wait, wait, wait. >> the koch brothers by themselves are putting $300 million in sboo this election. >> you're a one trick pony u. you say koch brothers, koch brothers, koch brothers. when you get on the money, one area you always talk about oil and gas when there are environmentalists on the left that are putting in millions and millions. if you add up all the money, and i'm going to ask you to choose sides, but add up all the money. it's about income on both sides. >> it's not that people are thinking about either, but go ahead. >> number two, we asked them, who is to blame in washington, d.c. it's not obama, it's everybody. a significant majority say everybody. the message about this poll is they are not pathetic. they care about the country. >> we're grown ups at this table. >> we just follow the money. >> november 2008 when you watched obama come out in chicago, you couldn't help but say, wow. and of course, we are are disappointed. now take the millennialmillenni disappointment they must have. they had a promise. they had a ray of sunshine. and i think an instant gratification generation is going to be more profoundly disappointed than us adults and i think that has a lot to do with it. >> i think about this generation as having two halves. the first was part of the obama movement. it started in 2006. the second half came of age during the great recession when they saw their parents and their friends lose their houses and jobs. >> how important was that? isn't that a game changer? every time they went to best buy, they could get a cd. i sat around and looking. there was so much money. even in the middle class. and now they graduate from college. they have good degrees, great degrees even. and they don't find work for two or three or four years. how much of an impact does that have? then you take a working class person that doesn't go to college. >> it's a game-changer. focus groups around the country, people break down in tears asking about the economy's impact on them. >> if you don't talk about big money, i promise to ask you a question. >> i think this is important to you and important to me. it's another area we agree the rich are getting richer. average wages have gone down since 1973. average wages down. not republican, not democrat, it's a society. and yet i hear nobody talking in a meaningful way about how we erase that. >> that's correct. >> so how do we connect millennials to an election process that talks about contraception, benghazi, all these issues that for most 18 and 19-year-olds, they just -- they want to know where they are going to get their next job. >> even though the labor market is relatively good right now, unemployment has come down, the wages are falling buzz of technological change, because if you don't have the skills, you can't get a decent job because the old kinds of jobs are gone. and nobody wants to discuss this because these are deeper structural changes skblp they are structural. you can't talk about that in a 30-second ad, can you? that's another challenge this country is facing. >> they have done research. the effectiveness of negative ads is 90% more profound than nonnegative ads because you can attach facts. even if they are false to it, a positive ad, it's very hard to say anything factual in a positive ad that sticks. in a negative ad, you can bury people with facts. that's never going to change. the other problem -- >> and as donnie is right, it's the front page story of "the new york times," hidden donors spent heavily. >> on message. >> point is, i'm a democrat. it all changed with obama. there's as much -- it may not be as focused. it's dispersed, but this is a world where money is playing on both sides. >> okay, final question for john. >> it's out of control big bucks. >>. john, what are they voting on? you say they want to be connected and they want to make -- what is the issue? what difference are they making when they are making a vote in this election? i don't get it. >> it's not about tran transacti transactional politic ticks. bun place to start is student debt. that's the one issue that men and women of all ages care about. that's the one thing that brings everybody together. >> you think a candidate has made such a difference there are young people going out and voting on it. >> is that happening? >> it's not happening. that's what obama did so well. he empowered people. >> we're going to talk about where we agree. i really believe and jeffrey really believes there's such a chance in 2016 and beyond for a radical transformation of politics the same way steve jobs transforms the way we talk on the phone. >> we have to break. out of the status quo. >> i think it's more ripe for change now than ever before. i really do. >> absolutely. the parties are locked into the status quo right now, both of them. >> you didn't say big money. i'm proud of you. >> that's why they are locked in. >> wouldn't you agree, though, that they are waiting for massive change? >> in the iowa caucus in 2008, obama won the youth vote 55 to 10. lost everybody over the age of 30. millennials helped elect obama. >> thank you very much. we'd love to talk to you after the election. dr. saks stay with us. >> with pleasure. >> we're going to have some rules. there will be some. >> can he say big money again? >> he can. >> i think he can. >> because we know he's going to say whatever he wants to say. >> i'll be staying. up next after making across the grand canyon, nick washingtwallenda takes a stroll above the windy city. isolation for 21 days despite showing no signs of the ebola virus. the story of the doctor who endured those three weeks plus why he felt ashamed when he returned from west africa. that's horrible. more "morning joe" when we return. woman: everyone in the nicu -- all the nurses wanted to watch him when he was there 118 days. everything that you thought was important to you changes in light of having a child that needs you every moment. i wouldn't trade him for the world. who matters most to you says the most about you. at massmutual we're owned by our policyowners, and they matter most to us. if you're caring for a child with special needs, our innovative special care program offers strategies that can help. into one you'll never forget. earn points for every flight and every hotel. expedia plus rewards. synchrony financial partners with over two hundred thousand businesses, from fashion retailers to healthcare providers, from jewelers to sporting good stores, to help their customers get what they want and need. banking. loyalty. analytics. synchrony financial. engage with us. right now, officials in north carolina are awaiting the results of the ebola test for a a patient who developed a fever after returning from liberia on saturday. the patient is now being monitored at duke university hospital. the results expected some time this morning. and here with us now from washington, senior writer for "the washington post," francis selle sellers. she wrote the cover story of the upcoming issue of "the washington post" magazine on dr. lewis reubenson. the physician was exposed to the ebola virus from a needle injury while treating patients in sierra leone. he was admitted to the national institutes of health and isolated for 21 days from the time of the needle prick. on october 7th, they discharged him who showed no signs of the ebola virus. on october 17th, his incubation period finally ended. here's his account of his time in isolation. >> no one could visit me in the unit. the nih folks were wonderful. they are a really good group, but. i had to sit in a hospital bed. i wasn't sick. there's a video camera from there 24/7. they promised me they didn't look at it, but it's there. every time you went to the bathroom you had to tell someone because they need to treat it and treat it as if you're infected. the response is way out of proportion to the need, which was exactly opposite of my existence for the last three weeks where babies were dying and no one was coming to help. >> joining us now is francis seller, senior writer at "the washington post." what breaks my heart is what i said before we went to break. he almost felt humiliated or something coming back. >> we should be he was sick when he first went in. he was really well looked after at nih when he came back. people went out of their way. cdc helped hum out. he had this exposure in sierra leon. nih really helped him. and then there's a period where his story is playing out against this other story that's happening in the united states, which is really the bigger issue. thomas eric duncan was at the same time in the backdrop being admitted after the mess in dallas where he wasn't admitted the first time. that's the backdrop to these stories. just as we're seeing now with kaci hickox, we have an election that's a backdrop to a story. . so politics and fear begin to play in. i don't want to put words in anybody's mouth, he was very well looked after when he was sick when he first arrived. it's not as if e he shouldn't have gone in to start with or he's criticizing anybody. it's that these other things play into how you treat somebody, how you quarantine them and those are broader questions. i worry that science is not taking the lead there. >> yeah, you're right about the shame of returning and him talking about that. what is the part of the story that we're not getting as we cover these individual cases and the controversy surrounding them that you captured from this interview? >> well, something like this, there's an enormous burden of trust when somebody tells you this story. there was a story o of a doctor coming back and he decided not to use his name because he was worried about the quarantine and the stigma being associated. these are not risk takers these doctors who go out there. they wouldn't hurt themselves. they would be dead if they were in these situations, and they would never hurt anybody else. they have been risking their own lives going into these wards to save people. they come back here and know when they are not symptomatic. there's no evidence they can pass on the illness. so that's sort of the frustration. while you see various governors, as we have seen recently, suggesting they should be isolated, that's a huge burden on anybody who would think about going out again. you're not only going for a motto work in these hospitals, but then you come back and there's another three weeks even if you have no symptoms, even if you have no exposure. but even if you have no exposure of being potentially quarantined and not able to go back to work, that risks stopping other people from going out. >> thank you, we'll be looking for the latest "washington post" magazine and your story. still ahead, why this pit bull found himself caught between police and his owner. first, our next guest did this blindfolded. daredevil nik wallenda joins us next. you pay your auto insurance premium every month on the dot. you're like the poster child for paying on time. and then one day you tap the bumper of a station wagon. no big deal... until your insurance company jacks up your rates. you freak out. what good is having insurance if you get punished for using it? hey 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>> i think there's going -- >> a day or two out. >> i think it's going to be painful. >> for you? >> perhaps. >> does that mean big republican sweep? >> i'm thinking, i'm thinking. >> let's look at the polls and see what the kids think. >> new polls show the senate may be slipping out of democratic hands. the gap is id woo widening in s where they were trying to hold on and tightening in states that were supposedly safely blue. shaheen is clicking to the lead against brown in new hampshire. hagan of north carolina up just one on republican tillis. the same poll has senator pat roberts catching up to independent greg orman but still trailing. meanwhile, senator mitch mcconnell is expanding his lead and his chances to become majority leader. in iowa, republican joni ernst has opened her lead to seven. democratic braley is trailing downward, even after losing his home congressional district. the balance of power may not be settled on wednesday morning. senator landrieu, democrat, is leading in louisiana's primary by eight points. if he doesn't win outright, a head-to-head runoff shows her trailing republican congressman bill cassidy. though perdue is up four over michelle nunn in georgia, that state is likely headed to a runoff. in georgia, runoffs last nine weeks. and perdue is favored. joe, why don't you tell us how this looks to you? >> it looks like things are trending in the republican direction. it still does not look like 1994, 2006, 2010. it could. i mean, maybe the democratic turnout is going to be miserable. maybe the republican turnout is going to be extraordinary. you go through those numbers. you still see a lot of close races. you still see the republicans. who are doing well in some states. also, you can't get the band out and sing happy days are here again because they're still fighting in south carolina. they're still fighting of course in kansas. they're still fighting in georgia. they're still fighting in louisiana. maybe all this goes to the republican party, but anything could happen. one or two things are going to happen. one, the republicans are going to learn from their mistakes on the turnout game from 2012. >> it might be. >> and they're going to take back the senate and have the big night. or two, they didn't learn those lessons. they still don't know how to target voters. and democrats are going to hold on. >> democratic strategy for the cycle was predicated on three things, eliminate the republicans as unacceptable choices, too extreme. change the debate to not be about president obama but about economic issues and three, the turnout game. they basically failed on two out of the three. the debate is about the president and they've not eliminated the republicans. the turnout is all they had. may not be enough in so places to let them win. >> why is it so close in georgia? why is it -- >> pat roberts. >> i think it's going to be a big republican night. i am not throwing water on the gains we've seen. that iowa poll, people saying, sellen opponents, it's not seven points. we all know the des moines register poll is the gold standard out there. they get it right. so i find it hard to believe that iowa's not in the republican column. >> why is kansas close? because pat roberts has been a bad candidate. why north carolina close? because tilless hasn't been a very good candidate. where republicans have had good candidates like georgia and iowa they're doing better. >> at the end -- >> i'm sorry, colorado. >> donny deutsch, democrats also in colorado. and i've had democratic operatives say this and sort of cringe. and talked about the races where democrats were so intent on trying to make the republicans seem like extreme on women's issues that they are now turning into the same it's been the last -- and i'm talking top ranking democratic strategists who have run the democratic world saying, come on. we assume that women only care about contraception. most women know that debate was over a long time ago. they're looking stupid. women care about jobs. women care about wages. women care about the rich getting richer and the poor getting poorer. women care about education. they care about the kids going off to college and not having a job after they get out of college. it's really been a sort of -- >> you're going to wake up very happy because i think other than north carolina -- >> why's that? >> of course it's going to be republicans -- >> i've got to stop you because somebody on twitter said your party's going to -- i stopped that and say you don't know what my party is. >> the republicans will win. there's two little piece of nuggets underneath that good news for republicans in afc '16 beyond. young millennials are leaning republican. leading democrats are really going backwards on hispanics. the republicans have figured out, we are never going to win another election unless somehow we appeal to that audience. and i also believe my final point is i think this is going to be the best thing to ever happen to barack obama. >> it could backfire ultimately. >> it's forward a republican sitting here to say this. because people say you're just -- no, you're exactly right, donny. barack obama still believed in 2012 that if he won re-election, republicans would suddenly say, oh, he's legitimized, it's going to work. no, it's going to take i think this final step of republicans take over. to go, do i want to get things done or not. for republicans to then have no more excuses. they're either going to make capitol hill work or they're going to screw it up. if they screw it up for two years, they will lose in 2016. >> stinks for republicans and -- >> i think it's the best thing for the country. accountability. do you want to run washington or do you want to run your mouth. >> senate majority -- that's good. senate majority leader harry reid in so many ways says a win for joni ernst and iowa would all but ensure he lose his majority leader status. outgoing senator tom harkin drew some fire for this comment about ernst that suffered over the weekend on buzzfeed. >> i've been watching some of these ads. and they're sort of this sense that joni ernst, she's really attractive. and she's -- well, i got to thinking about that. i don't care if she's as if looking as taylor swift. or as nice as mr. rodgers. but if she moves like michelle obama, she's wrong for the state of iowa. >> actually, that's a good point i'm going to say what you just said. it's true. if a republican said that, it would be over. carol lee. might that backfire? >> yeah, i think it actually might. if there's one thing that any politician, particularly a seasoned one like harkin should know, is you don't tom about women's looks in that way. i was in iowa last week. the ernst campaign is very in tune to these kinds of thing and quick to jump on anything that has remotely a whiff of sexism attached to it. so it's not something that belongs in a race like this. it's sort of surprising to hear it coming from somebody who understands the state and has been around for so long. >> exactly. car carol, what was your feeling when you were out there reporting in iowa last week? did you see a trend? did you feel a trend going joni ernst's way? >> yeah, you did. i was there. i was with her for a couple of events and i was with vice president biden did an event with braley. i talked to a bunch of voters at that event. and even some of them coming to that event had voted for barack obama in 2008 and 2012 and had regretted voting for him. so the presence of the president in a state like iowa was really -- it was dominant. joni ernst talks about it a ton. she's also, you know, anyone who's watched her, she's kind of a natural on the campaign trail. and so she had a lot of appeal. voters there are definitely down on the president. and really looking for somebody different. and she seems to be tapping into some kind of sentiment there. and it looks like she's actually going to wind up winning. >> can you imagine a female candidate saying that about a male -- i can't. just wouldn't happen. >>cy was always degraded because they always would say that about me. just because piece so good looking. and has such chiseled features. nobody ever said that about me and my life. it's actually stupid that somebody would say that after being in politics that long. she hasn't put out a campaign that is anything but serious and, you know, quite frankly very much in the fight. >> can i ask one other question? let me ask carol the question first. can i then ask you a question? isn't this how this game works? harold, so donny was teaching about how millennials are now just snapshot, this could change tomorrow. and we're going to have the head of the harvard polling here saying millennials are actually trending republican right now. his fannics still supporting democrats but not the way they've done. state by state by state, republicans will show you gender gap in many states now has shrunk tore four, five points. what has happened to the democratic party that their most faithful and loyal voters, outside of african-american voters, have departed? >> the republican, as everybody on the panel knows, in missouri and indiana could not agree on a simple criminal definition of rape. and it certainly impacted the race. the democrats did well. as you look at latino voters, there's really more of an akinship with republicans than democrats in those issues. for republicans, can talk about immigration reform in the right way. can really fundamentally change the map for them over the next few years. i would argue if republicans win the most important thing in the senate is sequencing. how they go about what they want to do. if they start with a narrow tax reform bill, perhaps trade promotion authority which obama's asked for but reid won't give it to him. if they start with some energy reform, keystone, perhaps lifting the ban on natural gas exports. they could change the optics light not only on washington but their party. i'm not convinced they can do that but if they do that, those are the kinds of things that would help appeal not only to millennials but i would argue would help move the country forward. >> they need to surprise a lot of people. >> this is obviously, luckily for the republicans, has become a referendum on barack obama. i still want someone to answer the question why this guy is at 42% when if i'm giving him talking points, unemployment's 6%, gas under 3 bucks, paxed the most important legislation of the last 50 years, saved the auto industry, killed osama bin laden. >> the medium is the message and barack obama is the medium. >> i mean, you give a report card -- >> he missed the message. barack obama is why barack obama is -- >> exactly it. >> let me get to governor's races. you both said this well. number one, he's not -- the president's not as comfortable talking about business success as some other -- but he's not as comfortable talking about those things. you said it well on this show a few weeks ago. ebola and isis, enormous unknowns, have colored this race and impacted these races negatively on the president's part and the democrat's part in the last few weeks. >> i'm going to show you some of these tight governor races. just one point separates mary burke and her opponent in -- >> you don't think they're going to make the difference? >> i think the national wind -- >> in florida, one of the nastiest races of all. crist with the narrow ist of leads. 526 respondents chose crist, 524 chose scott. >> democrats are crazy confident about that race so i'm not quite sure. libertarians really helping crist. >> if a national win counts in wisconsin it counts in florida and will carry both of those over. >> charlie crist is a better candidate. >> i just don't know that the national win matters. because they have their own record to be judged on. >> close to incumbent nathan deal. >> can carter win that one? >> if there's a runoff, maybe. >> sam brownback is now down six points to democrat paul davis. >> a fox news poll. what happened to sam brownback? >> discovered in a way people found a little bit arrogant. at this point, pretty close to certainty. >> doesn't that help orman? >> it does some. orman cannot count on that. >> i don't know. if i'm a republican that's going to vote against a republican governor and vote democratic for the first time in my life, i don't know that i'm going to go democratic twice. orman is an independent. >> oh, whatever. orman is a democrat. he had claire mccaskill begging him to run because he was the democrat's best chance of holding the seat. i'm just saying. >> his message has been very disciplined as an independent. >> i'm just saying if, you know, i always told people as far as -- people, have happenthat h. my family was a crest family. colgate commercials meant nothing to us, we bought crest. if you're in kansas, this works, if you're in kansas and your brand is republican, you may deviate from that brand one time. i don't know that you deviate from it twice. i actually think voting against brownback could help roberts at the end of the day. >> if orman wins, think about it also, the talk about an independent running for president, perhaps one on this set here, it grows, largely because you see the path if it can happen in kansas -- >> wrong. >> halperin, you're running for president? >> one final thing. >> for all of you pundits and pollsters out there that's saying greg orman is an independent and we really don't know if he's a democrat or a republican, i'm taking bets right now. all right. on whether if he wins he's going to caucus with the republican party or the democratic party. i'll give you 5-1 odds that he caucuses with the democratic party. you know he's not going to caucus with the republicans. so just quit. >> do a little game on -- >> joe, your family you should -- >> we still are. >> forever. always has been. always will be. >> we're going to end the block this way because we're going to be doing so much politics. a magic night for 19-year-old lauryn hill, a college freshman with an inoperable brain tumor whose dream was to play college hoops at mt. st. joseph university in cincinnati. knowing hill has weeks to live, the ncaa moved up the date of her team's opening game to last night in hope she'd be healthy enough to play. she scored four points. here is hill after the game. >> i just feel so blessed that this is all happening. just really happy. this is a really good day. and it just makes me so happy. >> beautiful. ncaa did good. still ahead on "morning joe," kaci hickox is apologizing for her actions. >> i like her. she goes a little too forward that way. she goes a little too forward this way. >> -- during he mandated isolation, but not before taking the shot at the man who put her in that isolation. you put me in a bubble. you don't put baeb in a bubble. >> i think she said something like that. >> plus, bo, incredibly ow obedient. we'll explain. >> first, here's bill karens. >> what a weekend we just got done with. winter just like that. first off, we're down in the appalachians. this dumped heavy snow up to a foot in the mountains. and then outside of columbia, south carolina, we had four inches of snow. it snowed in central south carolina before it snowed in new england this year. kind of a wacky weekend. it was very cold all the way down to north florida where they had a frost. so let's talk about what happened next. we had the big nor'easter. that patriots/broncos game barely missed out on the heavy wet snow and the winds. it did snow about three hours before kickoff. all of that went up into maine. we got almost 20 inches in eastern missouri. this was a record shattering for even bangor maine. had 14 inches of snow. by far the earliest they've had double digit snowfall. what does that mean for now? you can see it rocketing up. it's still windy. still chilly. even the deep south we were down to 38 last night. now we're at 46. we're heading in the right direction. so what is next? we have a big rain storm heading for areas texas, oklahoma and arkansas. this will be around for election day too. we'll have to keep that in mind. it really shouldn't stop too many people from getting to the polls. a slow warm-up in the east. but not bad. we get rid of a lot of the frigid air. we will have that heavy rain and maybe an isolated flooding threat down there in areas of texas, arkansas, louisiana. i think most trouble thing for all of that can look into the future of these weather model, we have another possible nor'easter coming and then another huge shot of cold air right behind that for next week. if you don't like the cold and chilly weather for the eastern u.s. we leave you with a shot of washington, d.c. after a cold weekend and bluchtblucht blustery winds. a nice day ahead. you're watching "morning joe." we'll be right back. new york state is jump-starting business with startup-ny. an unprecedented program that partners businesses with universities across the state. for better access to talent, cutting edge research, and state of the art facilities. and you pay no taxes for ten years. from biotech in brooklyn, to next gen energy in binghamton, to manufacturing in buffalo... startup-ny has new businesses popping up across the state. see how startup-ny can help your business grow at startup.ny.gov let me get tyes?straight... lactaid® is 100% real milk? 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sometimes? track meets? >> i love going to track meets. i went to one this weekend. it was awesome. >> it's a good thing that you live here and not in iran. >> why? >> because you could be thrown in jail. >> is this an awkward transition? >> no, it's not an awkward transition, it's the truth. >> iranian court sentenced a woman to a year in prison for trying to watch a men's volleyball match. the 25-year-old british-iranian woman arrested outside a stadium while protesting a ban on women attending games. >> what's wrong with those people? what's wrong with those people? >> women are also banned from attacking soccer games. >> seriously. seriously. all right. let me get the bangor daily news. one of the most headline grabbing people, the names out there, kaci hickox, the nurse speaking out after successfully challenging maine's attempt to force her into a mandatory quarantine following her return from west africa. in an exclusive interview on "meet the press," she said new jersey governor chris christie initially placed her into isolation because, quote an abundance of politics was at play. she's also now promising to limit her activity at home in maine. >> i understand that the community has been through a lot in the past week and that i do, you know, apologize to them for that. i will not go into town, into crowded public places. you know, i have had a few friends come visit me in my home. that's absolutely fantastic. >> okay. "usa today." a brave pooch in alabama helped lead local officials to his owner who was wanted for allegedly producing crystal meth. edward henderson ran out of his back door when police arrived with a drug warrant last week and officers lost sight of where he went. investigators asked his dog bo to, quote, go get him. bo led authorities to henderson who was booked on five counts of -- >> a snitch. >> dogs are so smart. >> come on. >> he's cute. i like that dog. >> good looking dog though. >> what's going to happen to the dog? >> coming up, a story of perseverance, recovery and friendship. they take on a 103 story building while both rehabbing from major strokes. >> that's a good story. >> we'll be right back. [ male announcer ] tomcat bait kills up to 12 mice, faster than d-con. what will we do with all of these dead mice? tomcat presents dead mouse theatre. hey, ulfrik! hey, agnar! what's up with you? funny you ask. i'm actually here to pillage your town. 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[ cat meows ] wethey were a littlehorizons to mbit skeptical.ss, what they do actually is rocket science. but at ge capital we also bring expertise from across ge, like lean process engineers we asked who does what, when, where, and why that step first? ideas for improvement started pouring out. with a little help from us, they actually doubled their output speed. if you just need a loan, just call a bank. at ge capital, we're builders. and what we know... can help you grow. there are more reasons than ever why now is the best time to be on verizon. one: verizon's the largest, most reliable 4g lte network in the country. that's right america. with xlte in over 400 markets. two: and here's something for families to get excited about. our best pricing ever! get 2 lines with an incredible 10gb of data to share for the low price of $110! or just $140 for a family of 4! and three: get $150 credit for every line you switch. the more you switch, the more you get. verizon. you're going to see a provision to seal the border. and make sure our immigration policies are more open and transparent to the many people who do want to come here illegally. that's going to happen. you're going to see a bill actually reach the desk of the president if we finally have someone besides harry reid sitting in the senate. >> mitt romney says a republican led congress will pass immigration reform. but before election day, we're looking at how the hispanic vote will impact results. pew research center reports that more than 25 million latinos are eligible to vote this year. a record number. here with us now, co-founders of the polling and research firm latino decisions, matt and gary, the co-authors of the book "latino america, poised to transform the politics of the nation." >> good to see you again. we've been talking this morning, a lot of analysts talking about how the young voters are actually breaking more republican than expected. women, that gender gap has narrowed. what about the hispanic vote? >> one the things we're finding is they're not necessarily breaking more republican. just less democrat. obama, huge latino vote. finding a lot of decreases in that enthusiasm. >> the president was heckled in connecticut yesterday by a lot of people that were, wanted him to pass immigration reform. >> it's really going to hurt democrats especially in places like north carolina where the president delayed action in order to help hagan and her re-election bid. you feel like you've had promises broken to you. when you have to get up early or leave work early to go stand in line, the ennews yas sell -- >> one analyst talking about how conservative a lot of hispanics are. as far as values go, rock solid values. i'm not talking about necessarily the social issues. i'm not just talking about abortion or gay marriage. just talk in general. hispanics share an awful lot of values with republicans who can't get out of their way to get the support. >> using the word conservative to describe themselves, but there's so much hostility. you don't really say like, i'm conservative so i'm going to vote for this guy would -- >> what's the most important for voters? >> jobs and economy. we hear about education and health care. education is the most frequently talked about among people would have children. the median age of latinos are 27. lots of people in the child rearing stage. the quality of public education's important. >> if they're voting on issues, can you tell which way they're leaning in the midterms? >> in the midterms, we think they're continuing to lean democratic. there's no question. there's less enthusiasm for the democrats. they're leaning in that direction. gary mentioned education. education is an area where the republicans i think more than social issues can make inroads because lots of latino families are stuck in really poor schools and a lot of republicans like a jeb bush have been talking for a long time about education reform. >> speaking of jeb bush, i think the guy who opened that clip, mitt romney, will be our next president, either him or bush. what do you advise these guys? they've got to get through the primaries. >> wait, you say you think mitt romney or jeb bush -- >> yes, will be our next president. without question. probably romney. it could get interesting in bush wins. we talked about this last time. america wants a do over. america was right about a lot of things. when the crap hits the fan, everybody wants to go back to serious for lack of a better word. how do you advise them to understand in a general elebct n election, they've got to do better? >> what separates the old mitt romney from the 2012 mitt romney is the old mitt romney tried to reach out to different groups anded in 2012 because of the primary process, he was pushed right. same true for jeb bush in 2016 if that's what he attempts to do. i think there's a real problem. i disagree. i'll take that bet. that neither mitt romney nor jeb bush will be president of the united states because i think the latino vote will be heavily democrat in a presidential year when, say, hillary clinton -- >> i'm surprised to hear you say that about jeb bush. campaigned with jeb in miami. the guy was remarkable with hispanics. >> he is remarkable. as gary said, he can't take the bait and go that far to the right. >> he hasn't taken the bait yet, has he? >> rememberness book he released, he had to clarify things. where he said we shouldn't be giving out citizenship for all these illegals. he's going to want to go to the right for the primary. >> guaranteeing a republican in the white house. >> i'll take that bet. >> you heard it here. >> i actually think if the republicans get smart, they've got a better than even chance. >> they're smart, you'll see it in the midterms. >> let me ask you guys what if republicans -- i'm just speaking for myself as i consider to be economically very conservative and also conservative with a small "c." but on immigration, i support legalization. i do not support citizenship. i support legalization with the pathway to citizenship. i can make an economic reason to hard core conservatives like me. you want hispanics who are working to contribute to social security and contribute to medicare and contribute to taxes. you want them to be legal because that brings us millions of dollars. but as far as citizenship goes, i think everybody should have -- somebody from pakistan should have an equal chance of getting here as somebody from mexico. >> if you look at the rhetoric, you look at the policy rhetoric from the immigration advocates, all they want is to put people on a path to citizenship. doesn't need to say you're going at the front of the line, you're going to get citizenship. they just don't want people stuck in a permanent status to say you can contribute to social security. there's got to be a pathway. >> that's exactly right. for people to put some hope that their position here becomes permanent. >> right. it's an issue of fairness. >> a huge percentage of undocumented immigrants are actually paying into the social security system right now. >> it's a real scam about -- for people who don't know about what they actually do is people that are building buildings will send in phony social security numbers. social security administration will wait six months to say, wait, there's the wrong now. they get the undocumented workers. a lot are paying social security. anyway, fascinating conversation. any predictions tomorrow? >> i have two predictions. the first is you'll see at least one instance where latinos saved a democrat who otherwise would have lost an election. >> colorado? >> colorado's the best bet but also kansas and georgia are close. huge latino population, in both those states. >> we've been hearing georgia, the hispanic population has been growing. could hispanics make a difference in georgia in the runoff? >> the other thing i would look for is i predict there will be at least one case where a republican who has reached out to the latino community does better than expected. >> okay, the book is latino america. >> guys, come back after the election. >> up next, new details overnight in the investigation into the virgin galactic crash. what officials are now thinking was responsible for the accident. that, plus a look at what will be driving the markets. we go like to the new york stock exchange. 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>> sure. >> $250,000. i wish people could find other ways to spend that better to help people maybe. just saying. i'm a guy of means. i would be embarrassed to spend money to do that with what's going on in space. >> it's weird, i've never heard of them. cnbc's sara eisen. >> we've heard of her. >> good to see you. we are coming off a pretty strong two weeks here for u.s. stocks. absolutely roaring back from what appeared to be a scary october at first. guess what, stocks are up. the s&p 500 more than 8% since they hit that bottom in the middle of october. coming off the best two weeks in nearly three years. set to open a little bit lower. typically november is actually a pretty strong month for u.s. stocks. want to mention auto sales because that could be a big mover today. starting to get them out. they trickle out from different auto companies throughout the day. it does appear that october was another strong month for growth in u.s. autos. we just got chrysler numbers, guys. chrysler sales for october, up 22% from last year. it's unbelievable. really, what's driving it is trucks and suvs. those lower gas prices are helping americans go to their favorite kind of pickup trucks and sport utility vehicles. honda came out, up 6%. nissan also up double digits. we'll get gm and ford a little later. this continues to be a bright spot when it comes to consumer spending and when it comes to the u.s. economy. >> i get my pickup truck, two months ago. >> the market is never wrong and what does that tell you about tomorrow, if the market's up 8% in the last two weeks? they're betting heavy republican. and the market is never wrong. so that will -- forget everything else, forget all the pundits -- >> i don't know, sara, i'm skeptical -- >> we know we're -- >> i'm skeptical because we've heard very little talk about the midterm elections here on the floor. yes, the market is up, but don't forget, we're coming off a pretty solid earnings season where profit growth has beaten 10%. we're talking earnings growth. the u.s. economy is doing well. we just had a strong gdp number showing our economy grew 3.5%. we just ended quantitative easing. things appear to be on a good path. you could point to the gains and see that it's mostly due to better news in the economy and earnings as well. but since you did bring up the midterms, the big wild card is if we don't get a result by wednesday, becausevestors hate uncertainty. remember in 2000 when we didn't have a result between bush and gore, the s&p 500 dropped more than 7%. if we're talking about a runoff situation, that could add a little bit of tension to the markets. the outcome, a lot of strategists here, and they say not a lot is going to change either way when it comes to economic reform. >> the stars changed colors. >> so you're saying -- >> sara and -- >> thomas is like going pretty -- >> listen to her business report. >> great business report. >> look, they changed colors. >> this is really fascinating. >> this is the technology -- >> i just noticed this. look at eisen, thank you so much. >> we can put a man on the moon and now look what we can do. watch, they're red now. white. >> all right, we got a serious story. up next. >> okay, up next, bonded by tragedy, the touching story of the inspiring friendship between a u.s. senator and 12-year-old boy. stay with us. oats go! wow! go power oats! go! go power! yayyyy! i have $40,ney do you have in your pocket right now? 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>> senator mark kirk and 12-year-old jackson cunningham start to climb up chicago's willis tower, 103 stories straight up. kirk and cunningham were together step by step. just as they've been through rehab. the two connected shortly after kirk suffered a major story troo years ago. the same thing happened to jackson when he was 8. caused by a blood clot. he wrote kirk a letter. >> do not give up on yourself. all the hard work is worth it. >> reporter: a beautiful friendship was born. it's full of affection and teasing like this trash talk before today's stair climb. >> you know why he blows me away? because he cheats. if you cry tomorrow, we can hug it out. >> reporter: behind it all, the very serious and demanding work of rehab. >> when i first met jackson, he really couldn't run. now he can run. >> reporter: what about the progress you've seen in the senator? >> it's been a lot. from being in a wheelchair and him walking with his cane. >> reporter: earlier this year, the two were part of a 40-yard dash at the university of illinois. >> oh, we got a winner! >> reporter: when we first met the pair last year, kirk invited jackson to visit him in washington. next time, kirk wants to add something. >> physical fitness goal, to be able to jog around capitol hill with him. >> reporter: you want to help him on that? >> yes. >> reporter: kirk did only a portion of the stair climb, a fund-raiser for the rehabilitation institution of chicago. at the top, he was there for jackson who finished all 2,109 steps. >> he just was like a jack rabbit. >> reporter: two unlikely friends pushing each other to new heights. >> all right, what a great story. coming up, what, if anything, did we learn today. i'm meteorologist bill karins. we're going to continue to watch rain developing in the middle of the country. this is the next storm to watch. thankfully, this one does not have snow or ice with it. we could have some minor travel problems in and out of san antonio. mostly late today and then during election day. have a great monday. it's ok thas like my homemade. it's our slow simmered vegetables and tender white meat chicken. apology accepted. i'm watching you soup people. make it progresso or make it yourself hi, are we still on for tomorrow? tomorrow. quick look at the weather. nice day, beautiful tomorrow. tomorrow is full of promise. we can come back tomorrrow. and we promise to keep it that way. driven to preserve the environment, csx moves a ton of freight nearly 450 miles on one gallon of fuel. what a day. can't wait til tomorrow. in the country. we operate just like a city, and that takes a lot of energy. we use natural gas throughout the airport - for heating the entire terminal, generating electricity on-site, and fueling hundreds of vehicles. we're very focused on reducing our environmental impact. and natural gas is a big part of that commitment. i make a lot of purchases foand i get ass. lot in return with ink plus from chase. like 50,000 bonus points when i spent $5,000 in the first 3 months after i opened my account. and i earn 5 times the rewards on internet, phone services and at office supply stores. with ink plus i can choose how to redeem my points. travel, gift cards, even cash back. and my rewards points won't expire. so you can make owning a business even more rewarding. ink from chase. so you can. a judge in maine on friday ruled that nurse kaci hickox who had been ordered to remain quarantined in her home after working with ebola patients in africa, is free to go any place she wants. places like over there. and further over there. hickox was reportedly so happy with the ruling that she started vomiting blood. before the restrictions were lifted, kaci hickox openly violated quarantine orders thursday by taking an hour long bike ride with her boyfriend. said her boyfriend, help, she's gaining on me. >> all right. >> okay, wow. it's time to talk about what we learned ta eed today. >> i learned there is nothing more painful than talking about their love of saddle shoes. nobody should have to endure that. >> okay, they call them saddle oxfords first of all. >> i don't like saddle shoes. >> saddle oxfords. saddle shoes what are those? what is that? john wayne wore saddle shoes. what are you talking about? >> seriously. >> says the man who dresses more like a wasp than me. where's your sears sucker suit? >> you don't wear sears sucker after labor day. >> the polls. they're just trend lines. this is not to deter you from voting. this should encourage you because every vote counts. >> after the show today, we're going to be answering all of your midterm questions online so tweet us @joenbc and @mika and use #msnbcvote. >> i'd like to say hi to all my friends in tallahassee. >> i'll be answering all questions on a subway in times square. >> that does it for us. donny, will you please not come back? no, come back. >> it's if too early, it's "morning joe." we'll see you tomorrow. we apologize for everything. we take it all back. here's craig. i'm sorry. the final countdown. last minute stomping coast to coast and by president obama himself. his name isn't on the ballot but his shadow looms large as voters get set to decide who's in charge. and that could be kentucky senator mitch mcconnell, but his fate may hinge on whether one longtime colleague can hang on and whether louisiana and georgia go against the runoffs. also happening this hour, the supreme court considers a case steeped in middle east politics and whether one young boy's u.s. passport should say