Transcripts For MSNBCW All In With Chris Hayes 20181106 : co

Transcripts For MSNBCW All In With Chris Hayes 20181106

Congresswoman Maxine Waters to respond to trumps toxic closing strategy. Rebecca tracer on the mobilization of women and what were going to see tomorrow. And later Michael Moore on why nobody has an excuse not to vote, especially this year. We have quite simply never seen a Midterm Election like this one, one in which in the words of president barack obama the very character of our nation is on the ballot. The early vote data is staggering. More than 35 Million People have already voted. In some states including right here in texas, there have already been more early votes cast than were cast in the last midterms overall. That includes election day. Across the country, organizers say they have never seen levels of enthusiasm like this. Theres a good chance that someone you know, maybe someone who wasnt even particularly politically engaged in the past this weekend, canvassing in an unfamiliar neighborhood in a lastditch effort to get out every last vote. We dont know, lets be clear, how all this energy will translate to election results. That said, it sure does seem to have republicans a little spooked. The president s closing strategy of fear mongering has reached racist levels including ads on the major news channels, a transparent attempt on twitter to keep democratic voters away from the polls. In georgia its getting ugly, or i should say uglier. After racist robocalls attacking democrat Stacey Abrams, the woman trying to become the nations first black female governor, the secretary of state she is now facing baseless charges from her opponent, the current secretary of state brian kemp, who is facing criticism for his own efforts at voter suppression. Kemp has now announced what appears to be a sham hacking investigation of state democrats. This is a desperate attempt by brian kemp to, once again, cover up his bad actions and his abuse of power. Hes abusing his power and hes not fit to be the next leader of the state of georgia. And so we begin in atlanta, georgia, where correspondent rehema ellis is covering the abrams kemp race. It has been a close one, bitterly fought. You have the man who is overseeing the States Election apparatus running that race. What does it look like there from the ground . Here on the ground at the Stacey Abrams location, weve got people who are working for a campaign and theyre conducting not robocalls, theyre conducting calls to prospective voters of Stacey Abrams. Theyve been doing it all day and they say theyre going to do it all tomorrow as well. They are also upset over the allegations coming from the secretary of States Office that you pointed out, these allegations that there might be hacking in some way. They say that whats most important here is that people remember that they have to get out and vote. But, you know, this thing really does depend on who you talk to, chris. Because when we talked to some people who are democratic voters, they believe that this is just a distraction, an opportunity for the the state brian kemps office to keep them away from the polls to, make them afraid. When we talk to kemp supporters, they say there is nothing to this except that they think that, than there is nothing to it. The Republican Voters think that indeed there might be something to it, otherwise kemp would not have alleged it in the first place. So this is its a very close race. You talk about the fact that there is a really strong early voting in this state. And one woman i talked to today said shes a staunch republican. She said shes afraid. It is a republican state. Some are afraid it could turn blue. Rehema ellis, thank you. Lets go back to texas where Garrett Haake is live in el paso where beto orourke is about to give his last rally of the campaign. Garrett, youve been covering this campaign closely. There was a sense i think they had run out of gas a little bit a few weeks ago. There was a sort of rising sense from the cruz folks they had this in the bag. Whats the mood now . Yeah, republicans were very confident at the start of early voting here and really through the first week of early voting. Then republicans ive talked to have seen that confidence tail off here a little bit. And the Orourke Campaign has gotten another surge of energy as they have been traveling around the state holding these big rallies. First in far flung places across the state like amarillo, lubbock you can, home of texas tech. The last few cities where they need to run up the score, in austin, houston, san antonio, el paso, orourkes hometown. The thing ive been trying to square since weve been down here, if you look at the polling in this race, every poll has favored ted cruz. In some place by a wide margin. It doesnt square with the enthusiasm ive seen. Ive covered both candidates at their rallies and at their events, and there really does seem to be something around the Orourke Campaign with younger, more diverse folks coming out, being extremely fired up, sort of Old School Texas democrats telling me theyve never felt anything like this in their lifetime. The Orourke Campaign has to prove a concept that they really cant prove until election day, which is that they have been able to put together a new coalition of texas voters, because all the old ways of trying it have not worked. The early vote has been enthusiastic. Its been a huge number. I know youre going to talk about that later. The Orourke Campaign sees a lot of signs of hope in that. They could run the most competitive election in texas in the last 2r5 years, and still lose by half a million votes. The math here is incredibly difficult. But the energy level here on the ground is undeniable. And i think when we wake up tomorrow morning, if we see lines around the block at some of these polling places, in some of these big cities in texas or the valley where theres a million voters who have never really been fully activated, 80 of them hispanic, we could be looking at an upset here. Again, it is an unprovable, unknowable thing this coalition, beto orourke is betting on that exists even tomorrow. Trying to solve the texas voting rubiks cube unsuccessfully and beto taking a different run. Garrett haake, thank you very much. Msnbc National Political correspondent Steve Kornacki has been covering the big picture from day one and he joins me now. Steve, what are you looking at as we head into tomorrow . I think the question here, when are we going to get some early signals tomorrow night about how this is shaping up. The answer is 6 00 p. M. Polls are going to start to close in indiana. Most of that state, of course, indiana home to one of the most Pivotal Senate races out there. Joe donnelly democrat, trying to defend his seat in a state trump won by 20 points. A lot of early voting in indiana. I think in the 6 00 to 7 00 hour, were going to get a sense right away of how donnelly is holding up. Of course, the better donnelly is doing, the better that could portend for democrats nationally. On the house side, of course, where democrats are trying to get that net gain of 23 seats that would flip the house, again, 6 00 is the hour. The district to check out, first of all, is the 6th district of kentucky. This is the lexington area, university of kentucky. Republicanheld seat, trump won it by double digits. Amy mcgrath challenging andy barr. Again, a couple things that are going to be tested here. This is a Battle Ground district. Lexington is about 40 of the population here. Is there Democratic Energy . Is there surge Democratic Energy in a college town with a lot of sort of white collar professionals, that constituency weve been talking about, young voters weve seen activating this campaign . The rural voters, Trump Country, places trump won with 65, 70 of the vote. Is the republican enthusiasm on par there, or is it down a little . And have democrats made inroads into Trump Country . So, a read out there in the 6th district of kentucky in the first hour, 7 00, an hour later, things get very competitive very quickly. The state of virginia, the polls close there. There are four districts in virginia. Republican districts where democrats are trying to flip. Heres one to keep an eye on right away. This is the suburbs of richmond. They anchor this district. Dave bratt took out eric cantor years ago. The suburbs, if they are there for the democrats, that would portend big things for them not just in virginia, but nationally. Its not just in the 7th district. How about right next door . Heres another one to watch. Well get early numbers. The 5th district. You know what the anchor of the Fifth District is . Charlottesville. Charlottesville is sort of the center of this district right here. This is a republican district. The democrats have targeted. The polling has been close here. Corey stewart, the Republican Senate candidate at the top of that ticket, is he a drag for republicans . Is there some kind of charlottesville effect . This district will be an interesting one to keep an eye on. Again, i think we can get a sense fairly early based on virginia and also florida closing at 7 00. If democrats start flipping seats in virginia, start flipping seats in florida, that could mean theyre going to go well over 23. One other i tell you to keep an eye on, we talk so much about the georgia governors race. If Stacey Abrams delivers on the promise of her campaign, new voters, it could have a Ripple Effect in the house. Rob wood all, this is a place traditionally very republican, but it came down to mitt romney won this thing over 20 points. Trump only won it by 6. Woodall is in trouble if you have surge turnout. Democrats are talking about think of this, gwinnett county. It flipped to Hillary Clinton, gwinnett county, in 2016. The population is exploding. It is diversifying rapidly. If Stacey Abrams delivers, i think youll see it in gwinnett county. There could be a Ripple Effect that could put this republican seat in jeopardy on the house side. Steve, those are great things to watch. Thank you very much for that. There are the two big rations going on in florida. Our own joy reid is in tallahassee for more on whats happening in the closing hours there. Joy, welcome. Joy, there is a really interesting relationship between Andrew Gillum running for governor at the top of that ticket and bill nelson. It really feels like the newcomer Andrew Gillum has been pulling up bill nelson in the polling. Theyve been polling the same. You talk to people from florida, it seems like the energy is gillum is sort of lifting up nelson. What do you think of that . Yeah, i mean, if you believe the polling down here, gillum has been consistently leading desantis, his republican opponent, whereas bill nelson has kind of flipflopped with the Current Governor rick scott and was behind for quite a bit of time, even when gillum was ahead above the margin of error. So what youre seeing now is that the momentum for gillum is actually starting to drag bill nelson forward to the point where bill nelson is actually leading in some polls outside the margin of error. Just when you talk to people just on the ground, we were in south florida yesterday, we were in fort lauderdale. People talk about gillum. There is not a lot of proactive talk about nelson. But what people are saying is theyll vote the slate. People are excited about voting for Andrew Gillum and willing to vote democratic down the ticket. And ironically enough, down the ticket means the United States senator. Right. What do you think, as we head into tomorrow, what is your thinking about how to think about whats going to happen tomorrow . You know, there are a lot of x factors in florida. It is an eightpage ballot, eight pages. Florida is notorious for these lengthy wordy amendments. There is one significant to progressive amendment 4, which would restore Voting Rights to millions of people who served their time for felonies. Thats the one that africanamerican activist, civil Rights Groups are focusing on and wanting people to laser focus on. There are other convoluted ballot issues in that ballot as well. There is concern the size of the ballot discourage down ticket voting. There are Competitive State Senate and state house races as well and so what democrats are hoping is that the enthusiasm for gillum and im here in his home city in tallahassee right now that the enthusiasm will encourage people to stay with the ballot. I know that, you know, during the Obama Campaign in 2008, that line was moving. It was another long ballot and people didnt necessarily vote down after they voted for obama. What democrats are hoping is that people dont do that. But we have seen i have to tell you, the excitement is real i. There is an excitement that is on par with what i saw for Stacey Abrams in georgia and for what youre seeing for beto orourke. If that holds, bill nelson has first call that night, Election Night tomorrow night should be to Andrew Gillum to thank him. In texas, stacy and gillum is doing their own way. In florida there hasnt been a democratic governor in over two decades if im not mistaken. Georgia its been a while. In texas its been 20 years. Theyre all trying to come up with math that works. Theyre taking approaches, not doing what democrats have traditionally done to win stayed weight in those places. Absolutely. If you look at the history of the way democrats have nominated a gubernatorial kabd datd, theyve gone with alex sync, the safe centrist candidate they think they can sell in the northern part of the state. You have to understand florida is not one state, its five states. There is a midwestern part, a very southern, very sort of alabamaesque part of it, rural parts. There is south florida which is different from the rest of the state toenlly, politically, every other way. Democrats have tended to play for the center of the state, the i4 corridor. The largest is tampa and they have zeroed on tampa and moderate. Somebody they think they will cross over and vote for. What Andrew Gillum has done, which confounded democrats in the primary, because he was running against one candidate, the daughter of the former governor of the state, bob graham, gwen graham, he confounded that. Hes running as a progressive, openly as a proet gres i have, hes running against the nra. Hes been to court with the nra. Nobody fights the nra. They follow the lead of the governor of florida, he is not afraid of her at all. Not afraid of the nra. Stood with the parkland kids. What hes doing is beto is doing and stacy is doing. They are younger candidates, they are dynamic speakers. They are drawing big crowds. They are standing with young voters. They are going to nontraditional places. Theyre going to rural parts of the state that dont normally get a lot of attention. They are running as their authentic progressive selves. As it turns out ironically enough, that works. People actually like an authentic candidate. I talked to republicans who dont agree with Andrew Gillum on policy, but they like him, the way he would govern the state and bring people together. I think gillum is probably the most strongly positioned of the three candidates were talking about to win. Theyre all very competitive. Its not like democrats have been fielding tons of competitive statewide candidates for governor of florida or democrats in georgia or texas. Joy reid, well talk more tomorrow. I cant wait. Yep. Thank you. All right. For more on what we already know about what could happen tomorrow based on early voting and more lets bring in democratic strategist tom, msnbc political analyst cornell belcher. Tom, ill start with you. Youve been giving regular updates combining the modelling you guys have and the early votes. What are the sort of broad conclusions youre drawing from that data . Well, you know, i mean, the first is the obvious, that were headed towards record breaking weve already broken records for Midterm Election in terms of people voting bunch election day as you mention. 35 million, when all those votes are counted, it will likely be north of 40 million votes. If those trends hold out, it will not only be a record for early vote, but in terms of the youngest, most diverse electorates weve seen in a Midterm Election. Were seeing massive surges, especially from Younger Voters, under 29, in rates weve seen in elections. Theyre coming out very high rates. Africanamerican voters, latino voters, women. Its really quite striking. Cornell, you know, weve talked, you and i have talked on the air about this, the fact the midterm electorates tend to be older, White Conservative in president ial years. A democratic strategist has to be music to your ears. Is there caution there . What is your thinking . There is some caution there, but i want to tie this conversation back up with the conversation you just had with joy. You know, beto, stacy and gillum, mayor gillum, they are part of the obama continuum, right . And to a certain extent, part of dean obama continuum. Joy was spot on. Weve seen establishment democrats trying to run races where they tr

© 2025 Vimarsana