Whatsoever. Trump has been up by roughly 30 points since last summer. Among those who know iowa republican politics best, the possibility of a shock the World Upset is vanishingly close to zero. No Way Trump doesnt win. Almost impossible. Iowa surprises people a lot. I dont think we have that kind of surprise in us right now. Reporter that was his view even before the release on saturday of the final Nbc News des moines register, Media Com Iowa poll conducted by the Revered Pollster ann seltzer, showing trump at 48 with a 28point lead. Only deepening the pervasive sense that trump has iowa in the bag. But the Iowa Poll also showed haley, for the first time, overtaking desantis, arguably turning their fight for second place into caucus nights main event. In this race, there has been no punches thrown from the contenders after the guy at the top, so here we are