the care of their newborn babies. >> cleveland rocks, today with game one of the world series and a sickoff of the nba season. and president obama gets down to business with some mean tweets. >> barack obama, bro, do you even lift? well, i lifted the ban on cuban cigars. that's worth something. >> "early today" starts right now. good tuesday morning, everyone. i'm ayman mohyeldin. >> i'm frances rivera. another day on the campaign trail, that means more nastiness. we are two weeks from election day. donald trump and hillary clinton are launching a fresh barrage of attacks on one another, almost insuring the worst is yet to come, and trump says his campaign woes are nothing more than a media narrative created by a biased industry. >> when the polls are even, when they leave them alone and do them properly, i'm leading. john podesta rigged the polls by overshampalling. ov oversampling democrats, but the corrupt media never talks about these things. but the media isn't just against me. they're against all of you. >> trump prefaced those statements by declaring himself the leader in the election on his favorite medium, twitter, only to be rebuffed by his own campaign manager hours later, who conceded he was behind. national polls show trump trailing clinton by over five points. trump is now trying to circumvent the media all together, launching a nightly campaign broadcast fvia faceboo live. they say it may be a precursor to a rumored trump tv channel. especially if he loses. however, it's these comments by trump regarding one of his accusers, jessica drake, that had many shaking their heads. >> it's all fiction. they were made up. i don't know these women. it's not my thing to do what they say. i don't do. that i don't grab them on the as they say, the arm, and one said, he grabbed me on the arm. and she's a porn star. now, you know, this one network came out recently, he groobed me, and he grabbed me on the arm. i'm sure she's never been grabbed before. >> and there were comments trump agitator and massachusetts senator elizabeth warren seized on, campaigning alongside hillary clinton in new hampshire. >> he thinks that because he has money that he can call women fat pigs and bimbos. he thinks because he is a celebrity, that he can rate women's bodies from one to ten. he thinks that because he has a mouthful of tic-tac, he can force himself on any woman within groping distance. i got news for you, donald trump. women have had it with guys like you. >> and they weren't the only democrats going after trump. vice president joe biden compared trump to a petulant high schooler and president obama said this to jimmy kimmel about trump's twitter tendencies. >> as i have mentioned before, what i don't do is at like 3:00 a.m., i don't tweet about people who have insulted me. i try to sleep so that in the morning, i'm actually ready for a crisis. >> when you watch a debate and watch donald trump, do you ever laugh? do you actually ever laugh? >> most of the time. >> the president also took a moment to poke a bit of fun at himself and read from mean tweets. check this out. >> barack obama is the nickelback of presidents. obama couldn't negotiate getting a whopper without pickles. my mom bought new conditioner and it sucks. it even isn't conditioning my hair. i blame obama. barack obama, bro, do you even lift? well, i lifted the ban on cuban cigars, that's worth something. >> today on the trail, donald trump holds a series of rallies in florida. governor mike pence in ohio and eric trump swings through new hampshire. hillary clinton is also in florida, while bill clinton swings through north carolina on his bus tour, elizabeth warren will also make a visit there. vice president joe biden stumps for clinton in pennsylvania. developing overnight, an intense manhunt continues in oklahoma for a suspect in a double murder. authorities say michael vance killed two family members and shot and injured two police officers sunday night. vance, who was hurt, then stole a police car and fled, police say, and then proceeded to live stream his get away on facebook. >> what's up, y'all. this is real. tats a gun. that's the real deal. you want to know what's up next, stay tuned to your local news. this is more intense than what i thought it was going to be, to say the least. because i'm about to steal another car. like right now. [ bleep ] is going to be intense. >> a probable cause affidavit showed he ditched the car and stole another car, shooting and injured the driver before allegedly killing his aunt and uncle. he drove 150 miles west and shot a gas station clerk. he was accused of sexually assaulting a child. a wanted poster said he has a medical condition and may try to spread disease. he's armed, possibly with an ak-47, and extremely dangerous. >> another story we're following from australia where at least four people were killed on a ride at that country' most famous theme park called dream world. people were riding the thunder river rapids. the c ero of the park expressed deep shock and sadness. the park is closed as an investigation inunder way into the cause of the accident. we'll bring you more details as they come in to nbc news. >> breaking news. police under attack in pakistan. government officials telling nbc news that gunmen launched a deadly attack inside a police training academy. some of the assailants were wearing explosive vests and they detonated, killing 61 and injured scores more. pakistani troops fought back engaging in a gun battle that lasted over 4 hours. most of injured are said to be police trainees. about 700 pakistani police recruits were in the building at the time. so far, the taliban has claimed spot for the attack. >> we're learning more details about the fatal california bus crash that killed 13 and wounded 31. >> all passengers with the exception of one has been positively identified. the tour bus was confirmed not to have seat belts. there was no appearance of braking. there were no skid marks from the bus at the time of the collision. >> ten of the victims were women. three men, including the driver. the tour bus was returning to los angeles after a casino to palm springs. early sunday morning, that's when the incident happened. the bus received a safety inspection earlier this year with no mechanical problems reported. it's still too soon in the investigation to provide a definitive answer as to what caused the crash. just ahead, early voting is having a huge impact on campaign strategies in the final two weeks. >> first, bill karins and possible snow in the forecast, i hear. >> getting to be late aubloctob and we had snow in a couple spots. in the cascades, and also from the great lakes to the new england area on thursday. what a storm this is. beautiful storm, mostly lauz it's off the coast. bringing showers to coastal areas and central california. the forecast today is going to call for a good travel day throughout many areas of the country, especially from texas to the east. if we have any issues, mostly light rain in fresno and toward mammoth lake. temperatures in the 60s and 70s. we also have a world series game to talk about in that forecast coming up. >> really? missed that one. just kissidding about that. >> just ahead, important new guidelines for all parents of newborn babies. plus, outrage over a pentagon order that is forcing some national guard members repay the cash bonus the military offered them in the first place. "early today" is back in two. little dakota's nose was quivering in fear. because it knew an ordinary tissue was near. the fiery tissue left her nose sore and red. so dad slayed the problem with puffs plus lotion, instead. puffs have pillowy softness for dakota's tender nose. with lotion to comfort and soothe when she blows. don't get burned by ordinary tissues. a nose in need deserves puffs, indeed. now get puffs plus lotion in the squeezable softpack. one pan, less than 30 minutes. because if they aren't going to eat it, at least you didn't spend too much time making it. campbell's one dish recipes. made for real, real life. ...another anti-wrinkle cream in no hurry to make anything happen. neutrogena® rapid wrinkle repair works... ...in one week. with the... fastest retinol formula. ...to visibly reduce wrinkles. neutrogena®. clean better than a manual... electric toothbrush was going to he said sure, but don't just get any one. get one inspired by dentists, with a round brush head! 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the results of the elections, somebody might reach across the aisle and grab a cold drink. >> they deserve it after this election. early voting is under way in many states across the country. and specifically, where chris jansing was in mev nnevada, it be decided well before election day with estimates projecting over 60% of the vote will be cast by then. we have new early voting numbers. nbc news can report over 6.5 million votes already cast in the 2016 presidential election. now, something that the clinton campaign hopes will help them rake in the early votes, star power. >> absolutely. the campaign has steeped itself in the new york/l.a. celeb scene, hosting fund-raisers with the biggest and brightest stars. now they're putting them to work with some of the biggest stars stamging concerts. you can catch jay-z in cleveland or jennifer lopez in miami, bon jovi in pittsburgh and tampa, and katy perry in philadelphia. >> lots in the last two weeks of the election. >> new guidelines for parents with babies a year or younger. the american academy of pediatrics say infingerprints should sleep in their parents' bedroom for the first six months of their lives, but the parents should not share their bed as it increases the risk of sudden infant death syndrome. following these steps could help reduce the risk of s.i.d.s. by up to 50%. the syndrome still remains a leading cause of death among babies, killing about 3,500 in the united states each year. >> new details regarding the growing national guard bonus scandal after the pentagon ordered thousands of veterans to pay back bonuses. now, the issue has made its way into the 2016 race, as you can imagine. democratic nominee hillary clinton saying she's out pm raged by the scandal putting out this statementing, saying i am appalled that national guard officials are attempting to recoup money from soldiers who accepted bonuses a decade ago. and in a rare moment of bipartisanship, her rival donald trump agreed and promised to never let it happen if he takes the white house. >> the corrupt system can also force brave national guardsmen from california to return the bonuses they were promised, something that would never happen under a trump administration. >> one of the few common grounds that they share. few being a key word. just ahead, alarming new details regarding the cost explosion of the affordable care act. why am i so devastatingly handsome, i'm in a fragrance... ...ad, and my sweethearts gone sayonara. this scarf, all that's left to remember. what! she washed this like a month ago! how's a guy supposed to move on! the long lasting scent of gain flings. when you ache and haven't you're not you. tylenol® pm relieves pain and helps you fall fast asleep and stay asleep. we give you a better night. you're a better you all day. tylenol®. because it knew an ordinary wastissue was near.ar. the fiery tissue left her nose sore and red. so dad slayed the problem with puffs plus lotion, instead. puffs have pillowy softness for dakota's tender nose. with lotion to comfort and soothe when she blows. don't get burned by ordinary tissues. a nose in need deserves puffs, indeed. now get puffs plus lotion in the squeezable softpack. fast forwarding today, tonight, all eyes on ohio. the first game of the world series will be played in cleveland, pitting the cursed chicago cubs against the cleveland indians. across town, the nba season kicks off tonight with the cleveland cavaliers kick off the year as the reigning nba world champions. th they'll also get their rings and raise the banner before taking on the new york knicks. to more serious matters, ash carter will co host the global coalition to defeat isis. he's expected to discuss the current offensive to retake mosul from isis control. >> what's up with netflix right now that has investors curious? and i'm curious, too, considering i'm always on netflix. we're joined live from london. good morning. >> good morning. it's a busy day in business today and all the eyes are on the titans with report cards coming out from apple today. later this week, amazon, alphabet and twitter reporting. first look at the apple iphone sales today. netflix, positive comments from the ceo of netflix about the tie-up between at&t and time warner. the comments are noted by washington because in the past he has been for and against consolidation in the industry. he has given a caveat, though, saying as long as hbo and netflix are treated the same on the platform, meantime, you mentioned obamacare. sticker prices on obamacare plans may cause some heart burn this year as they have gone up. now, window shopping on the federal marketplace site healthcare.gov, started on monday, and already the increases are much higher than last year. if you look at the high end, about 116% is the size of the increase. at the low end, 2%. meantime, the average is about 25%. federal officials say most customers will qualify for aid, so that should cut the overall premiums. let me toss it back to you. >> we'll see if that affect s hw many people sign up. >> it's the saturday night live skit that's taken the country by storm, and it has nothing to do with elections. can you guess what it is? >> plus, a lady gaga moment you have to experience. that's next. ♪ at walgreens, you're free- free to seize the savings on medicare part d. from one-dollar copays on select plans to rewards points on all prescriptions, it's easy to save big at walgreens. ♪ just stop by walgreens. ♪ then sit back and enjoy the savings. walgreens. at the corner of happy and healthy. fortified.tored. replenished. emerge everyday with emergen-c packed with b vitamins, antioxidants, electrolytes plus more vitamin c than 10 oranges. why not feel this good everyday? emerge and see. i'my bargain detergentgh a couldn't keep up.isaster. so, i switched to tide pods. they're super concentrated, so i get a better clean. tide. number one rated. it's got to be tide but zzzquil is different have pain medicine because why would you take a pain medicine when all you want is good sleep? zzzquil: a non-habit forming sleep-aid that's not for pain, just for sleep. because it knew an ordinary wastissue was near.ar. the fiery tissue left her nose sore and red. so dad slayed the problem with puffs plus lotion, instead. puffs have pillowy softness for dakota's tender nose. with lotion to comfort and soothe when she blows. don't get burned by ordinary tissues. a nose in need deserves puffs, indeed. now get puffs plus lotion in the squeezable softpack. president obama will go down as perhaps the worst president in the history of the united states, exclamation point point, @realdonaldtrump. @at least i will go down as a president. >> a little trash talking even by the president. >> and when you've got a good comeback and a phone drop, you're all set, especially when you're the president. >> last week, saturday night live episode, it was the highest rated of season, bit there was one sketch that involved tom hanks that was popular with all of you out there. watch. >> how is it hanging? i'm david pumpkins. and i'm going to scare the hell out of you. ♪ >> okay, so that was the haunted elevator sketch. >> huge, huge hit. it went viral. and david pumpkins costumes quickly sold out at several halloween retailers. if you're still thinking of what you want to be and you're a huge "snl" fan and want something related to that, there you go. >> i want to see if i can go online and do that. do you know what you're going to be? >> we're doing a grease theme. we dress iptogether. this year, a little sandy and danny. >> check out this video from lady gaga. ♪ >> yeah, you guessed it. brace yourselves, folks. carpool karaoke is back. lady gaga is riding shotgun with none other than james corden. the next super bowl headliners will be singing her song s tonight. i saw a little online. no better performer than lady gaga to have in the car. >> look at her and tony bennett when they got together. >> they totally get into it. >> going to be awesome. >> just ahead, the one indictor that might tell all of us who might win the election. >> plus, the attorney general headed for the slammer. you're watching "early today." i'll take it from here. i'm good. i just took new mucinex clear and cool. ah! what's this sudden cooooling thing happening? it's got a menthol burst. you can feel it right away. wow, that sort of blind-sided me. and it clears my terrible cold symptoms. ahh! this is awkward. new mucinex fast-max clear & cool. feel the menthol burst. and clear your worst cold symptoms. start the relief. ditch the misery. let's end this. because it knew an ordinary wastissue was near.ar. the fiery tissue left her nose sore and red. so dad slayed the problem with puffs plus lotion, instead. puffs have pillowy softness for dakota's tender nose. with lotion to comfort and soothe when she blows. don't get burned by ordinary tissues. a nose in need deserves puffs, indeed. now get puffs plus lotion in the squeezable softpack. the early today travel forecast has showery type weather from san francisco to sacramento early today. around boise, some showers, same with seattle and portland. how about the world series forecast? two cold weather cities. cleveland, hosting game one tonight. 47 degrees, partly cloudy. game two on wednesday, chance of some showers and maybe a chance of rain, too. so cold world series but it should be fun. someone is going to end their curse. >> both teams are used to pla n enning in that kind of weather. >> moving on to another story, the california police officer involved in a car chase that turned into a shootout is on paid administrative leave. the madeira, california, police chief said officer julian garcia will take some time off following the event. police confirm 14 shots were fired at garcia's car, narrowly missing him and a civilian there as part of a ride-along program. he was on the job for just two weeks. he's being praised for his handling of the situation. >> heroic. under gun fire. a new officer went through his training, did extremely well. we're so proud of him. >> madeira police continue their search for those two suspects. >> former pennsylvania attorney general kathleen kane is out of jail after serving just two hours of a possible 23-month sentence. she quickly posted bail. once a democratic rising star, she was convicted in august for illegally leaking grand jury records in an effort to embarrass her rival and then lied about it to another jury. she can remain free while she appeals her sentence. >> it takes a village to raise a child. that's what they want this 8-year-old to know after her father was gunned down in the line of duty. they escorted the youngest of 8 as she returned to school for the first time since the tragedy. her father had been with the palm spring departs for 25 years and was planning to retire in december. he's now survived by his wife and children. >> they can rely on the community to get them by. >> polls are one way to forecast the race for the the white house, but halloween retailers say masks have a 36-year streak in predicting the president. this index shows that since 1980, the candidate's face that sold the most masks went on to actually win the election. so this year, can you guess? donald trump leads hillary clinton by about 10% in mask sales. and here's another that predates world war ii. the scholastic skunt vote has accurately called out the election 15 out of 17 times since 1940. this year, hillary clinton won the kids vote with 52%, 17 points ahead of donald trump. let's see if --? this is a year that has been unprecedented in so many ways. gnaw sure what it's going to be. i'm ayman mohyeldin. >> i'm we're tracking heavy police activity in a san jose neighborhood as officers are pacing at what looks like an apartment complex. this happens as a car was shot with bullets blocks away. a very messy scene in oakland as a driver races through city streets, slamming into a total of four cars. what we're learning about a fatality from the scene. tracking rain that's still lingering this morning. the chance for isolated showers for many people on their way to work. "today in the bay" starts right now. a very good now tuesday morning to you. very busy already. thanks for joining us. i'm laura garcia-cannon. >> we'll get to active scenes both in san jose and