hand over my mouth and nose and strangling me with the other hand. >> the moment she tries to escape and he pulls her back. how she got out alive. reversing the curse. the cubs and the indians set for a major world series showdown after decades of not making it this far. >> baseball gods are probably really happy right now. >> the stage is now set. just hours before the epic matchup. and we do say good morning, america. we go on the record right now. we're going to be tired tomorrow morning. because we're staying up. we're staying up for game one. >> the baseball gods are doing their work. >> and you're happy. >> sure. absolutely. >> the cleveland indians, 68 years. >> a long time, yes. >> also the cleveland cavaliers get their ring tonight. >> ooh. >> big day for cleveland sports and 108 years for the cubs and paula faris. that's her team. today, and you, too. you got a little something. >> i have to, i think. >> get the visine out tomorrow. we got a lot more on that coming up. also hillary clinton bringing out the big guns on the trail. >> yeah, we just saw president obama. he was on "jimmy kimmel" last night, not holding back, having a lot of fun. even reading some mean tweets. let's take a look. >> my mom bought new conditioner and it sucks. it isn't even conditioning my hair. i blame obama. barack obama, bro, do you even lift? well, i lifted the ban on cuban cigars. that's worth something. >> he had a lot of fun there. also got a little serious about donald trump. we'll have more on that in a moment. but first we want to get to that breaking news. there was a deadly accident on an amusement park water ride in australia. four people were killed. abc's linzie janis has the breaking new details. good morning, linzie. >> reporter: good morning, robin. this is a very common kind of a big amusement park has been on or at least seen a ride like this one. it's considered one of the more tame attractions for families, even young children. that is what makes this deadly accident so terrifying. overnight four people killed in an amusement park accident. two men and two women died when a raft overturned on the thunder river rapids ride in australia. the water ride malfunctioning, throwing people from the raft and trapping others underneath. >> one of the rides have sustained a -- some sort of malfunction, causing to people to be ejected from a ride. another two people were caught inside the ride. >> reporter: park workers rushing to help the injured. horrified witnesses at the theme park describe the chaos after the incident. >> we just heard the guys in front of them flipped off and they turned around and saw the whole thing flip over. and heard everyone screaming. she came out hysterically crying and then two people that worked here took her away. raft floating down a rapid river pulling the raft along a conveyer belt. now investigators are trying to understand what caused the raft to flip over on the conveyer belt. australia's prime minister speaking out about the tragedy. >> it is a very sad day. and we trust that there will be a thorough investigation of the causes of this accident over the days that >> reporter: according to australia media there were reports of problems with the pine looking into that and poring over security camera footage to figure out what went wrong. the park is closed. >> i would imagine that, okay, thanks very much. we move on to that massive manhunt in oklahoma for a man who killed two relatives, attacked police officers and civilians and livestreamed on facebook. jim avila is covering it from midwest city, oklahoma. good morning, jim. >> reporter: good morning, george. the fbi and u.s. marshals have now joined the search here. named michael vance who is accused of shooting six people, killing two of them, and wounding two police officers. he hasn't been seen in more than 24 hours, the leads are getting cold, and police are wondering if he might be dead from his own wounds. overnight, two oklahoma sheriff's deputies released from the hospital. victims of a violent rampage that has led to a statewide manhunt. >> two gunshot victims, that's affirmative to the leg and foot area. both patients are conscious. >> reporter: the man believed to armed and dangerous. he's wounded and posted his getaway on facebook. >> let me tell you it hurts. >> even if we have the firepower, we certainly don't want to have to get in a shootout with someone armed with an ak-47. if people see him, do not approach. >> reporter: 38-year-old michael vance suspected of murdering his aunt and uncle in a small town 35 miles outside of oklahoma city. and allegedly shooting those two pickup with an ak-47. vance then accused of attacking three more people while he made his getaway, stealing two different getaway cars. >> i'm about to steal another car like right now. this is gonna be intense. >> reporter: jonathan and his pregnant wife had their car taken from them at gunpoint. >> he's got an assault rifle and tells us to get out of the car. >> letting you all know this is real, see that's a gun. that's t >> reporter: poly, standing on the side of the road watching the car-jacking, was shot in the leg. >> my boyfriend said, get down, get down. so i got down, but i had already been shot. >> reporter: vance displayed his own injuries on facebook. >> wow, that really hurt. see, i'm bleeding where the police shot me. >> reporter: police are warning the public that if they see this man to stay away from him. communicable disease and police are worried he might try to spread it. >> oh, jim, thank you. the race for the white house two weeks to the day till election day and hillary clinton is leading in the polls and calling on her top surrogates including president obama to make her case. as donald trump takes media coverage into his own hands. and is here with all those details. good morning. >> reporter: good morning to you. two weeks to go and it is time for the closing arguments. donald trump is going after the media and those polls claiming that they're rigged. hillary clinton is feeling so confident right now she's happy to let others do the attacking for her. donald trump claiming the system is rigged launched one of his famous attacks on the media overnight. >> these people are among the most dishonest people in the world, the media. >> reporter: and he's now trying to cut the media out of the equation altogether. launching a tv show on his facebook page, his aides there inside trump tower anchoring coverage leading up to his nightly rallies. >> what's going on? >> give them a second. it's all right. >> yep. >> reporter: on the other side, hillary clinton feeling so confident she's now leaving her heavy hitting to others. from elizabeth warren. >> get this, donald. nasty women are tough. and on november 8th, we nasty women are going to march our nasty feet to cast our nasty votes to get you out of lives forever. >> reporter: to joe biden. >> i'd like to take him behind the gym if i were in high school. i mean, all kidding aside, wouldn't you? i mean, for real. >> reporter: even president obama getting in on the action on "jimmy kimmel." >> but what we haven't seen before, i think, is somebody questioning the integrity of elections and the will of the people. >> reporter: trump landing a the president all too happy to play along. >> president obama will go down as perhaps the worst president in the history of the united states, exclamation point. @realdonaldtrump. well, @realdonaldtrump, at least i will go down as a president. >> yeah, ouch. so clinton is now feeling so confident she's not just campaigning for her own win on the top of the ticket but also for downballot candidates, too. both clinton and trump are in that all-important battleground of florida where clinton has a lead in the poll, george, and voting is already under way there. >> okay, cecilia, let's dig into the polls right now. our latest tracking poll out shows clinton holding that 12-point lead over trump. want to bring in jon karl to talk about where things stand and jon, clinton is really solidifying her hold on the race right now. >> reporter: absolutely. pesh now give hillary clinton nearly 84% chance of winning the election. and, george, understand why, take a look at our abc news race ratings. of course, the red states are those that are advantage, donald trump. blue states, advantage, hillary clinton. right now, just in the states where hillary clinton is already leading, she gets to 308 electoral votes. that's more than enough to win the presidency. >> of course, it's possible that there's a massive shift that changes everything across the board. but absent that, let's look at what the most plausible path is for donald trump to get those 270 electoral votes. >> reporter: this is the way the trump team sees the race in their path they take this map, they say they'll hang on to the traditionally red states of utah and arizona, convert nevada, win nevada, win the state of florida, they're still not there yet. win the state of north carolina. and then win the state of ohio, hang on to iowa, they're still not there yet, george. but then they win the state of new hampshire. that gets them to 269-269. then they have their eyes on the second congressional district of a single electoral vote that would get them to 270 as you can see. a very narrow path to victory. >> one of the problems at least four of those states, just about every public poll in the month of october has her ahead right now. and the early vote has started. >> reporter: yeah. and the early vote is not looking good for donald trump. we already have about 7 million americans that have voted. 1 million voted just yesterday. we don't know how they voted but we do have some information on who has voted. and if you look at the state of nevada, 52% of the ballots cast only 30% by republicans. far outpassing more democrats when they won the race four years ago. north carolina, 55% of the ballots requested have been requested by women. and as you know, we have a big gender gap in this race. women are voting overwhelmingly for hillary clinton. >> okay, jon, thanks very much. >> all right, thank you, jon. let's bring in matt dowd. how are you doing, my friend? >> michael, i'm great. how are you? do you think he can pull it off? we saw how tough it could be for him, though. >> no candidate in modern times has come back being this far down at this far late in the process. nobody has ever done it. i think it will akin to the bills comeback against the oilers about 20 years ago. >> i was an oilers fan, yes, i do. >> four touchdowns down. in the fourth quarter. and they came back. he'll have to channel his inner doug flutie and need more than a couple of hail and a few our fathers. >> our tracking poll has hillary clinton up by 12 but the just released cnn poll has her up only by 5. people want to know why is there such a major difference. >> i think it's important for the viewers to look at this and if i were everybody, i would take all the polls, average them and get to where the number realistically is. i think it's probably around seven or eight. when you have a seven or eight-point lead, you will have polls that are real, that are true, that will have her at 11 and 12. or five. if the number sits in the middle. that's why you get those two. >> we heard in cecilia vega's report, elizabeth warren hammering trump about those nasty women remark. yet, in the new cnn poll, it shows trump is still getting 41% of women voters. does that tell you anything? >> even in a large electoral loss in a national loss, donald trump's going to get 55, 57 million votes in this election. even in a loss. and of that number he's going to get 25 or 30 million women votes in this. part is not just donald trump but it's a comparison between hillary clinton and many of those women di clinton more than they dislike donald trump. >> jon, one of the things that the trump team seems to be counting on right now is that there's some kind of a systematic bias in all of these public polls. >> they think these polls are overstating democrats. they believe that there is a basically a hidden donald trump vote that is out there sort of silent majority to borrow nixon's phrase that will carry him through. but, george, you would have to believe that all of these polls polls. >> okay, two weeks from today we will find out. now to bad weather on both coasts this morning. we're feeling the chill in times square and, ginger, there's some major storms out west. >> robin, look at this. the lightning in newport beach, california. something you don't see every day. the video showing you there was a san diego high school football student or a football player that was struck by lightning. thankfully he is okay this morning. and that was just the first storm. there is another storm on the way. that's the one that went through. this one will impact parts of central and southern california by thursday into friday. look at some of those storms at 4:00 a.m. you could see some mudslides in some of the burn areas. and a quick look, robin, that freeze watch from virginia up to massachusetts. >> oh, boy, we'll keep an eye on that. i know you will, ginger. thank you. now to amy with the morning's other top stories starting with the controversy over soldiers' bonuses. >> that's right. we have new details after the pentagon ordered some veterans to pay back the bonuses they received for serving in iraq and afghanistan. members of congress say they're outraged. guard told lawmakers about this issue two years ago and congress did nothing about it. thousands of soldiers have been ordered to repay the money because a national guard official handed out payments that soldiers didn't qualify for. militants have launched a four-hour attack on a police academy in pakistan. at least 59 cadets and guards have been killed at the facility in quetta near the afghan border. isis and the pakistani taliban have claimed responsibility. and back here in this country, four after a string of random attacks on the campus of temple university. surveillance video showing there a mob of up to 200 people assaulting and robbing students after they couldn't get into a local theater on friday. well, get ready for sticker shock if you're looking into the price of obamacare plans. the average premiums are expected to rise by 25% next year. many consumers will also be limited to choosing plans from just one provider. finally you don't want to certainly don't suggest you doing what this man did. he chased after his car, look at him, on the freeway. he had pulled over but forgot to use the parking brake. if not for a sign that eventually stops the car from rolling, this could have been a lot worse. and, of course, those drivers, thankfully, slowed down. but there he is, look, still running after his car. the other drivers did -- were able to avoid hitting him, thank goodness. i don't know what he thought he was going to do. did he think he would catch the car? >> he's been watching a lot of movies. >> let's just say he wasn't thinking. >> thankfully he's here to still think though. that was from the thinking of the other drivers. >> good point. thank you. >> i appreciate that, amy. now, all eyes are on cleveland tonight. the indians are hosting game one of the world series against the cubs. and right across the street, the cavaliers are getting their nba championship rings. our cubs superfan paula faris is in there in the middle of all the chaos. good morning to you, paula. >> reporter: good morning, michael. mention sd happening right here at quicken loans arena. honestly, just steps away from progressive field where they'll be playing game one of the world series tonight. they've even changed the start times to accommodate fans and cleveland fans feeling the winds of change finally blowing in their favor. tonight begins the tale of two cities, two teams in the best of times after decades of the worst of times. >> baseball gods are saying about this matchup. >> the baseball gods are probably >> reporter: the chicago cubs and the cleveland indians both hoping to break their curses and taking extra precautions. >> you want to wear the same underwear. you don't want to have to change your underwear out. i mean, you wash it, but -- >> reporter: the cubs dubbed the lovable losers haven't won the world series since 1908. but cleveland fans say chicago might be getting a bit greedy. in the past 50 years chicago has won 11 major sports championships. cleveland, only one. champions once again! >> reporter: and that was just a couple of months ago when the cavaliers finally broke that losing streak. stephen king even tweeting enough with the cubs! how about some love for the cleveland indians? go, tribe. cleveland essentially has been universally mocked as the "mistake by the lake." even movies like "major league" poking fun at the indians. >> every newspaper in the country has picked us to finish last. >> reporter: but now a renewed feeling of possibility. while much of america is pulling for the cubs, you have george stephanopoulos on your side. >> i'll take it for sure. >> reporter: okay, so we mentioned that movie, "major league." cleveland fans were pushing for charlie sheen to dress up as his character wild thing and throw out the first pitch. he said he would be honored if asked. but last night, he said he couldn't make it. they might be calling upon the lefty. >> i'm ready. you win, change your underwear. >> let's go to ginger. >> michael, decent tonight weatherwise. not as great tomorrow. your local weather in 30 seconds. first the tuesday trivia brought to you by gain flings. later today. the overall timing of this low pressure system hasn't changed at all and should drop most of its rain during the night and into wednesday morning. a half inch to one inch of rainfall is possible with this system by the time it departs on wednesday afternoon. clouds should linger normal temperatures by friday. in fact, many areas have a good shot at 70+ degrees again by friday afternoon, with warmer than norma former congressman gary condit breaking his silence when we come back. we come back. by willie nelson ] ? on the road again ? again," [ rear alert sounds ] [ music stops ] ? just can't wait to get on the road again ? 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>> i saw her one time. >> reporter: for dr. phil this week a blockbuster booking, former congressman gary condit talking about chandra levy, the intern he was accused of having an affair with before she suddenly disappeared in d.c.'s rock creek park 15 years ago. he denies both the affair and any involvement in her murder. >> i saw her one time outside the office at a restaurant and she came by my >> came by your condo once. >> maybe twice, yeah, i think it was twice she came by. >> reporter: this is the first time condit has spoken about the case since he sat down with abc's connie chung back in 2001. >> did you have anything to do with her disappearance? >> no, i didn't. >> did you cause anyone to harm her? >> no. >> did you kill chandra levy? >> i did not. >> reporter: eventually police ruled condit out as a suspect in levy's murder but the man they immigrant named ingmar guandique had his conviction thrown out in july of this year, the entire case based on an unreliable witness. >> now, our wish is that the right person whoever did what they did to my daughter, we get answers. >> reporter: condit has always maintained his innocence. he suggested to dr. phil that the d.c. police tried to railroad him. >> there's nothing unusual about my speculation about that but -- >> were the police making something out of that? trying to? >> absolutely, yeah. yeah. well, they were trying to make something out of everything they could. >> the condit interview airs thursday on "dr. phil." susan levy says she believes there is much more that gary condit isn't saying. for the past decade he's been practically in hiding live ing selling ice cream. we'll move on to new testimony from the woman featured in that now retracted "rolling stone" article about an alleged rape at a university of virginia frat house. jurors got to see the videotape deposition and new detail, amy. >> she's only known as jackie. her story helped bring attention to sexual assault on campus, now her testimony could help the case of a former associate dean of the school suing over the way she wa "rolling stone" article. overnight for the first time jurors hearing from the woman at the center of that now infamous "rolling stone" article, "a rape on campus" in a videotaped deposition played in court monday, the uva opportunity known as jackie says that she was under impression that the article was about assault advocacy and details of her alleged rape were not going to be published. i was "i was 20 years old and had no idea there was an off the record or on the record. i was naive." was going to be misquoted but felt pressured by the magazine to participate in the story and that when a friend of hers mentioned her concerns to the reporter, sabrina responded there is no pulling the plug at this point. it is moving forward. it became their most read noncelebrity story ever. erdely highly critical of the uva administration including former associate dini coal eramo. >> how would you >> it made it look like i used the trust of young women to cover up rape and that was so far from anything i would ever do. it's just unbelievable to me. >> reporter: eramo is suing erdely and the magazine for over $7 million saying she was painted as a chief villain. jackie disagreeing with the article's portrayal of eramo saying the dean never discouraged her from reporting the alleged assault, quote, she wanted to see me get some kind since its publishing the "rolling stone" article has been refracted but jackie maintains that she was assaulted. testifying in deposition that while she believes erdely manipulated her story in order to write something sensational, she believes her intentions were good. i believe she did the best she could. and eramo is suing for more than $7 million saying the article damaged her reputation, her career and her health and this trial is expected to go on at least till the end of this week. >> okay, amy, thanks very >> and we have the big board coming up. coming up on our big board the first lady is being called a rock star on the campaign trail. but will she run for office next? we're going to find out about that. plus, what about justin bieber's on stage meltdown. is it too late to say sorry. >> ding, ding, ding, ding. >> in honor of you, amy. we're back in two minutes to talk about that. >> cheer, michael. nice job. i've been taking probiotics gx from nature's bounty to maintain healthy digestion and help with the occasional so wherever i get stuck today, my "future self" will thank me. thank you. thank you. thank you. hang on, go go go back. thank you. do i get stuck in an air duct? it's a funny story really... 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[ cheers and applause ] >> she is spectacular but i was telling somebody backstage. michelle was never wild about politics. michelle once explained to me i have a lot of mess around and politics is just a big mess. >> and, cokie, she has repeatedly, michelle obama, repeatedly been asked this and repeatedly she has held steadfast no but democrats in illinois they got some openings coming up and hoping she may change her mind? >> i think she's saying no way, absolutely, absolutely no way. but you know part of -- that's part of the reason she's so effective, robin. everybody knows that she's the real deal. something herself so anything she says actually sounds authentic because it is. >> but, cokie, if she doesn't run for public office what do you think she'll do next. >> she's consulted with other first ladies. she and laura bush are good friends and she's made it clear that let girls learn, a program to keep girls around the world in school is something that she says will be her life's work. and military families will also >> both of the obamas are very young. in their early 50s. they have a lot they can do. >> i know she will continue to be effective and help a lot of people. >> wherever she is. >> and thank you, cokie. next up, a police chief is now defending his department's ridealong program after a civilian passenger was caught in a dangerous shoot-out on sunday. take a look. [ gunshots ] >> shots fired. >> all right, abc'sio joins us now and, gio, steve frazier who is the chief of police in madeira, california, this is what he's saying. >> i think our policy is sound in regards to how we approach and look at ride-alongs. i don't foresee any changes necessarily coming down the road. >> now, we hear him saying he doesn't foresee any changes. does that surprise you and, secondly, what's going on with this case? >> first, i guess we should say officer -- the chief said this because these four -- these police officers ride-alongs are very important talking about community outreach, showing the community how important police work is and you also are looking at recruitment, whether people who say they're going to be police officers actually want to do the job. >> well, but a shoot-out will help you figure that out. >> talking about 14 shots, two shots that went through this car, one of the bullets went right between the this is dangerous. >> yeah, very much so. of course, if you're going to be with police officers. we see this all around the country, ride-along programs. >> they'll look at this and look at this video and they're probably going to use this training video across the country because, in fact, this particular department is going to be using this video as part of their training and also you got to look at these bulletproof vests. this officer in this case had bulletproof vest. she did not have anything on. so i don't believe that they're going to look at this and say there there's not any change coming. i think they'll have to look at that and say we'll have to do something. >> protect the passenger a little more. >> absolutely, gio, thanks so much. okay. hit it, lily. hit it. ? is it too late now to say sorry ? >> the biebs' popular song "sorry," the singer walked offsta here's a video of him posted on youtube. >> the screaming during these breaks has got to stop. >> drop the mike moment. former editor in chief of "people" magazine and our dear, dear friend larry hackett. >> good morning. >> is here. this is not the first time. >> it's not. he's going through pop star growing pains. there is a new movie out called stabbing screams, go see that. that wasn't so bad. look, he's growing up and going through this for seven or eight years and trying to bring his audience along and they're not ready to go. i think like you said though we've seen these petulant outbursts before. we'll probably see them again. and, you know, he was having a bad night. >> he said i want to connect with you in the break so stop screaming but he's a young kids at a concert. his beliebers. >> exactly. >> there is a point where these kids say enough is enough. >> the kids, no, i don't think so. he refused to do selfies a while ago and had his teenage bad years where he was misbehaving and withstood that. they'll withstand this. he came back out and apologized so all is going to be forgiven. i think the trip will be for everyone who became a pop tar or teen idol, does the audience move along. he's trying to drag them along. usually they kind of sit back the audience does mature eventually and if you're worth it they'll stay with you. if not you get added to the pile of teenage pop ex-stars. >> you mature as your audience mature. >> people screamed for me and then they stopped. >> he does make good music. i'm curious, do you guys, cokie, gio, do you have any favorite bieber songs? >> who? >> i knew cokie would -- cokie. >> elvis. well, gio, i know you do. >> "love me tender." >> "beauty and the beat." >> what that comes on. >> "love me tender". >> my baby likes "baby." >> what do you mean? >> come on. >> "what do you mean". ? what do you mean ? i like "right here" with drake. yeah, i was listening -- i just like you i'm listening to the justin bieber, for a second i was like, what am i doing? >> all is forgiven here. way to go, cokie, with elvis, keep hope alive. >> cokie, gio, thank you, larry, thank you, as well. the terrifying home invasion caught on tape. a woman sleeping when a man enters through the window and we're going to find out how she know how you earn the title ... world's best mom? by starting each day with a perfectly balanced mug of... i've got this. mom! mccaf? coffees brew a smooth blend. that's not too strong, but never weak. mommy's not a napkin honey. so you can savor every sip. mccaf?. you wanna see something intense? pantene expert gives you the most beautiful hair ever, with ? ? strong is beautiful. you guys ever try one of these bars made over at right twix? why? our special cookie is cascaded with caramel and cloaked in chocolate. you never wondered? 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[ male announcer ] try both. alright, did you know i was the mommy slam dunk champion? really? yes, really! don't sound so surprised. ahhhh! i go to the right. i go to the left. fake 'em out. mama go up, up, up! she did it. -again? you can't avoid gravity. but unitedhealthcare can help you avoid financial surprises by helping you compare costs and doctor quality ratings. unitedhealthcare uh-huh frmthsdz and we are back now with that scary home invasion caught o abc's diane macedo here with that story. good morning, diane. >> george, good morning. this might be the most terrifying example of life imitating art. the woman says she fell asleep watching the show "a stwrapger in my home" and the next thing she knows there is a stranger in her home with one hand on her mouth and the other on her throat and maybe the worst part of it is he's still out there. it's a brazen home invasion caught on surveillance camera. you can see a man lurking outside a ft. worth home saturday while a young woman is and, look, he's turning around like looking in the window watching me sleep. >> you can clearly see the man's face as he searches for a way to get in. eventually crawling through a window. inside the woman had fallen asleep on her sofa watching the investigation discovery show "a stranger in my home." >> i woke up to him putting his hand over my mouth and nose and strangling me with the other hand. at first i was immobile because i thought i was in a dream. >> reporter: now face-to-face with the intruder the woman notices the open win tries to make an escape. >> when i saw that window i thought in my head, this -- if you're going to get out of here alive this is your one and only time. >> the man drags her back inside. >> i start screaming for help so he takes off running. >> she's shaken but not injured. ft. worth police are now hunting for the man in the video. >> anybody who is bold enough to go inside of someone's residence knowing that they're home is someone that we are concerned about. >> reporter: so obviously a dangerous man but the good thing shot of his face so the victim is really hoping sharing there will help catch him so he doesn't have the chance to do it in anybody else. the thing is with this often you freeze and don't get a chance to scream. >> watching a movie about that happening. i can understand why she thought she was in a dream. >> lucky she was able to scream. >> glad it ended up all right. thanks, diane. great to have you here. >> our next hour a parenting alert. a new headline about sids and your baby. decade turing back the clock last night and now the booted couple joins us this morning. introducing tresemm? botanique a blend of coconut milk and aloe vera in a professional-quality formula, inspired by nature. blended by professionals to replenish for stunning healthy-looking hair. tresemm? botanique professional. at your fingertips. professional. ?"all you need is love" plays? my friends know me so well. they can tell what i'm thinking, just by looking in my eyes. but what they didn't know s from the moment i woke up... ...to the moment i went to bed. so i finally decided to show my eyes some love,... ...some eyelove. eyelove means having a chat with your eye doctor about your dry eyes because if you're using artificial tears often and still have symptoms, it could be chronic dry eye. it's all about eyelove, my friends. ? there are 16 fresh-picked oranges squeezed into each added sugar, water, or preservatives. tropicana. (chuckle) ( ? ) come on, dad. ) ? they tell me i'm wrong ? ? to want to stand alongside my, my love ? ? whoa, talkin' 'bout my love ? ? talkin' 'bout my, my love ? you ready, dad? ? whoa-ooh ? ? ooh-ooh-ooh-ooh-ooh, ooh-ooh ? back here on "gma" got a second hit of fresh snow in more where that came from. look at this. that low that's going to bring cleveland some rain for tomorrow night's game will eventually get up into those higher elevations. look how close it is to new york city. it's trying. >> too close. >> too close, exactly, robin. heavy rain and a few thunderstorms along that cold front. look what time that is. thursday night through friday morning. that's going to be bad if you have any flights that way and temperatures, i need to show "good morning america" is brought to you by rent-a-center. prison in connection to an accidental shooting that killed a 14 year old girl last year. a judge sentenced robyn merchant... .... to nearly four years in prison. she gave a semi- automatic rifle to her son, dillon winter-roth, who was only 16 at the time. when another teen was holding that rifle, it went off, and fired a bullet at 14 year old emma redlinger of hospital. the shooting happened in february 2015 at 1207 west fourth street in vinton. authorities say it was william hines junior who was holding the rifle when it went off. he was 17 at the time. prosecutors charged him with involuntary manslaughter and interference with official acts. his trial begins next month. high school students in elkader are preparing this morning to host a debate. it's happening tonight and will feature candidates running for seats in the iowa house. those candidates bergan in house district 55, and democrat patti ruff against republican kristi hager in district 56. that debate begins at 7 at central community high school in elkader. and now here's your first alert forecast. plan on a cloudy tuesday with a slight chance at a few rain showers developing later today. the overall timing of this low pressure system hasn't changed at all and should drop most of its rain during the night and into wednesday half inch to one inch of rainfall is possible with this system by the time it departs on wednesday afternoon. clouds should linger well into thursday with a return to much above normal temperatures by friday. in fact, many areas have a good shot at 70+ degrees again by friday afternoon, with warmer than normal temperatures going well into next week as well. today: isolated showers developing late in the afternoon and evening. wind: se 10-20. high: 56 tonight: showers and a few thunderstorm s likely. windy. wind: se 15-25. low: 50 tomorrow: showers and a few thunderstorm s likely, mostly in the morning. windy at times. wind: var 10-20. high: 56 tom. night: mostly cloudy and cooler. good morning, america. it's 8:00 a.m. donald trump behind in the polls launches a nightly news show on facebook covering his own campaign. hillary clinton calling on her biggest supporters to join her out on the trail turning out big names to turn out the vote just 14 days to go. parenting alert. the new headline about sids and your baby. where they should really be sleeping the first year and how dr. besser breaks down the new guidelines. bus stop showoff. the mother who is showing her son it's okay to stand out and be goofy every single day. we're counting down to halloween with the mom who has the whole family in on it. and they're out of the ballroom and here live. "the brady bunch" star maureen mccormick and her partner artem flying all night on the "gma" express dancing into times square to say -- ? tell me all your problems ? why are we eating this? i can't have cake in front of me and wait. >> you don't have to. >> but you know, first of all, we do say we're very excited to have the booted couple here, maureen mccormick and artem. >> smiling, full of energy. this morning they're here. they gave it everything they had in the ballroom and look great. so glad they could fly all night to be here with us. we also reason to celebrate as robin just alluded to, delish. the woman credited with starting the cupcake craze is here, sprinkles, the greatest cupcakes and, michael, she has something very, very special, i understand. >> yes, this is my mom's cake recipe. my favorite, yellow cake, chocolate icing, and candace nelson is her name. she has a new cookbook one from my mom so i'm honored to show mom a little love. >> louise, we thank you. >> that's your breakfast. >> after two bites you may have to count the calories for the rest of the day but it's good. >> amy is not being left out. >> not at all. >> you got to put the cake down and do the news. >> i stuck to the frosting so i could still do this, but it's good. i can't wait to dig in afterwards. the big story this morning, donald trump slamming the polls and the media as he faces a shrinking path to victory. he and hillary clinton both campaigning in florida today. trump now claiming the polls that show him trailing clinton are phony and rigged and last night in tampa he accused her of taking advantage of minority voters. >> just look at what clinton and her party have done to the inner cities and to the african-american and hispanic communities. they failed them, they betrayed them, and they've abused them. >> clinton says she will no longer respond to trump's attacks but she is enlisting her top supporters including senator elizabeth warren to take direct >> get this, donald, nasty women are tough. nasty women are smart, and nasty women vote. and on november 8th we nasty women are going to march our nasty feet to cast our nasty votes to get you out of our lives forever. >> president obama also made the case for clinton while visiting "jimmy kimmel" last night. well, millions of americans are voting early. the crowds broke records on the first day of early voting in texas. more than 67,000 people turned out in the houston area alone. well, there was a deadly mishap at an amusement park and it's raising new safety questions. four people were killed at australia's largest theme park when a malfunction on a river ride caused two people to be thrown from a raft. two others became trapped. investigators now trying to figure out what exactly went the hospital as the search intensifies now for their alleged shooter. michael vance posted his getaway on facebook. he's accused of murdering his aunt and uncle before shooting those two officers with an ak-47 and stealing their patrol truck. police say he later attacked several other people while stealing more getaway cars. and in medical news, a warning for women. the gender gap is closing when it comes to alcohol. a new study showing women are now drinking nearly as much as men. that is especially true for younger women. researchers say campaigns warning about the dangers of alcohol need to now be aimed at both genders. and finally, an unusual disturbance at a busy intersection in portland, maine. this man dressed up as a tree was standing in the middle of the road. police warned him not to branch out into traffic. >> here it goes. here it goes. >> but when he put down his roots in the street again, yeah, he was hauled off to jail. his name is asher woodworth. not making that up. how he would affect people's natural choreography in the street. >> you can't even finish that. >> you took that story just for the puns. >> cracking myself up. >> that was good. thank you, amy. thank you. news that goes pop there, lara. very excited to share "pop news" with you for a very special reason. >> i've heard. >> oh. >> uh-huh. "pop news" time, everybody. "agents of s.h.i.e.l.d." known for tackling superhuman cases in the marvel universe, our very own superhero, george, is stepping up to get answers in a role we'd say he's familiar with. >> it's an honor to be here, george. >> let's get started. director may. >> after an intro like that i think i deserve some equal time and would like to ask the director a question. >> go ahead, north. >> what is s.h.i.e.l.d.'s purpose if it's not protecting us from the inhumans? ? actually inhumans and humans share -- >> inhumans are human. and the science is in agreement with me. in fact, we share 99.8% of the human genome. >> it really is that close? i had no idea. >> wow. >> still in my range. >> george, you really are good. i had no idea. that was excellent. >> i would like to know how you prepare for a role like that. it's transformative. >> it really is. i really had to stretch. >> george, as we know is a method actor, never ever breaks character. you can watch his "marvel's agent of s.h.i.e.l.d." that airs tonight on abc at 10:00. i am smelling recurring role. >> yes. >> i'm watching that. >> we don't want to lose our george to the big screen. also in "pop news" this morning, another "pop news" exclusive, rob "the gronk" gronkowski also tackling a new character. this is a new role for "undercover lyft." he plays the role of goon, the lyft driver in a video for the company taking unsuspecting about football right in his new england stomping grounds. take a look. >> hi. >> hey there. >> how are you. >> good. how are you? >> not too bad. thank you. >> where are you from gentleman. >> i'm originally from dallas. >> ooh. >> grew up mostly in the detroit area. >> are you a detroit lions fan because -- >> unfortunately. >> -- i'm a patriots fan, and it like hurt my feelings that you said you were a detroit lions fan. >> unfortunately, i said. >> gronk. you ever hear people say that in new england, the gronk? >> not quite like that. >> you got to know who the quarterbacks are, right. >> i know who tom brady is. >> i love that guy. >> okay, good. >> not a clue who he was. the nfl tight end introduced himself as goon and went with the name tom a couple times. no one noticed and took until he got out of the car and did his special kaboom smashing of the ball for them to realize the gronk was driving them all day long. all of that you can see on the very funny. the gronk wants to play. >> i'm glad he was in an suv. he's a big man. >> is he bigger than you? >> he makes me look like a baby. >> really. >> yeah, he is a big guy. >> i had no idea. >> just watch him on sunday. nobody can tackle the guy. >> yeah, he is good and funny and cool. all right, finally, everybody, back here at home, shaquille o'neal may have just launched a new brand and a new career, not a new brand he is now part owner of a krispy kreme franchise in downtown atlanta. shaq, you know we love our doughnuts, just saying. he announced the news by tweeting out the krispy kreme logo saying, your favorite doughnut just got even hotter, baby, so now the man known as the big daddy and the big cactus may soon be known as the big doughnut. krispy kreme also announcing the shaq is the brand's new global spokesman. >> i grew up on krispy kreme. >> well, let's bring them on. >> oh. >> you've been in the krispy kreme family forever. me too. >> nice and warm. >> yeah. >> nothing better, so sounds like it's a great investment, shaq. that's "pop news," guys. >> all right, lara, thank you. coming up, those new guidelines about where your baby should sleep their first year. dr. besser here with a recommendation to keep them safe. plus, we've got "dancing's" booted couple, "the brady bunch" star maureen mccormick and artem. they are here live. see them dancing in the ballroom. to me the acidity of foods and what they can do to your teeth. thinning of the teeth and leading to being extremely yellow would probably gross me out! my dentist recommended pronamel. it can help protect enamel from acid erosion. my mouth feels really fresh and clean and i stuck with it. i really like it. it gives me a lot of confidence. pronamel is all about your enamel. maybe almond breeze tastes so good because it's the only almondmilk made with california blue diamond almonds. but if you ask our almond growers... there's no maybe about it. almond breeze. the best almonds make the best almondmilk. proud sponsor of usa volleyball. technology is useful. i just bought a book. and while i was telling you about the book, i downloaded a song. when we were just chatting about that song thing, someone arranged a date. guilty. the point is, life is digital. so, carmax, created a site where you can reserve a car online. come in when it's convenient, your car will be waiting. just another thing to make buying a car better for you... reads this tweet that i just posted. oh, that appears to be trending. how tall are you? 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? good golly miss molly you sure like to ball not ? >> welcome back to "gma." calvin johnson, lindsay arnold nailing the jive on "dancing with the stars." they're still in it, unfortunately, maureen and artem are not. they'll join us in a little bit. but first we want to get to that big parenting alert. new recommendations for keeping babies safe while they sleep. here's a look at the new guidelines. oh, you know putting babies to but don't take shortcuts. there are new recommendations to make sure they're safer while they snooze. the american academy of pediatrics releasing new safe sleep guidelines on monday to help prevent many of the 3,500 sudden unexplained infant deaths including from sudden infant death syndrome, sids, that happens every year in the u.s. the academy now recommending that babies should sleep in the same room as their parents for risk of sids by up to 50%. staying in the same room but not the same bed. more new advice, skin to skin contact for the first hour of life reduces the risk of death and so does breast freezing and, of course, babies should be put to sleep on their backs. and our chief health and medical editor dr. richard besser will join us now. same room, not same bed. that's key. >> that's right. these recommendations have been a long time coming. it's been a while since they've leading cause of death in the first year of life. there's been no movement in about 20 year, so the big message from this is in the same room but not in the same bed. in the same bed there's worry about smothering. you also don't want to feed your baby or fall asleep on a couch or an armchair. breastfed babies, half the risk of those who aren't, and a pacifier can reduce the risk. >> a pacifier. how so? >> they think it may just keep the baby a little more alert. if it falls out you don't have to put it back but it's interesting. >> all right. so you're going to give us example here because how many times do you see things that want to be beautiful and comfy but what's safe? >> you look at this and think, oh, my, it's so cozy and comfortable. it's exactly the wrong way to go. so let's make this safe. you want to get rid of the blankets, okay. those go in the basket. get rid of the pillow. >> all right. >> get rid of these nice lovely stuffed animals. >> i know. >> okay. you want to have a nice firm mattress, a tight fitting sheet and put the baby down on her back to sleep, and that is the people want to put something on the baby. what do you suggest? >> okay, so a couple things, first make the house comfortable so that you are comfortable wearing just a light outfit then you can put your baby down in one more layer than you would wear. so it can have a onesie and then a zip-up, okay, but no blankets because the blankets can entangle and can occasionally smother. >> just layer like we do. they're just like us. >> it may not be the way you like to sleep but the safest for your baby to sleep. thank you, rich. coming up, "dancing's" booting couple maureen and artem are here live. come on back. ? 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"one week? that definitely works!" rapid wrinkle repair. and for dark spots, rapid tone repair. neutrogena?. ? back now with all the "dancing with the stars" action. the couples pulled out all the stops last night. see calvin johnson right there. because they were dancing through the decades. >> calvin and james tied at the top of the leaderboard. one couple, though, danced their final tango, and jesse palmer is here with the details. hey, jesse. >> hey, lara, that's right. it was the end of an era for maureen mccormick and her partner artem. we'll hear from both of them live in a moment, but the stars stepping back in time. ? good golly miss molly ? >> reporter: dancing across the decades in monday's era night. after a time traveling showdown between team future and team past, an elimination. >> maureen and artem. mccormick and partner artem chigvintsev bidding farewell to the arena. >> i'm so proud that i faced one of my biggest fears and i did i mean i lasted seven weeks. >> marcia, marcia, marcia. ? the brady bunch ? >> reporter: and despite some tension throughout the season. >> back, step, step. >> i'm going to just stay positive. ? >> reporter: the pair steadily improving each week. >> 8. >> oh, my gosh. >> reporter: to see you where you came from week one to where you are tonight, you are a different person. >> reporter: the television star leaving the ballroom grateful for every step on the dance floor. >> it was a dream for me. it was beautiful. ? >> reporter: and with just seven couples left, the competition is now heating up. next week it's getting scary. there's going to be a very special halloween show, michael and lara. >> ooh. spooky. jesse, thank you, my man. and maureen and artem are joining us now. welcome both of you. >> artem, i wanted to ask you. looked like there was a blunder out there. did you trip on maureen's dress? what happened? >> yes, towards the end i kind of slipped on the dress and it's a bummer because that was the dance we were leading with, oh, my god but -- >> life happens. >> life happens. >> live tv, right. >> i remember, maureen, when you came here and i heard you say in the course of the competition, you felt like you were the worst dancer in the world. did you expect to ever get to the point where you felt as comfortable as you did? >> no, i never did. i really didn't and, honestly, i thought i'd be lucky if i survived a week, you know, but i just wanted to give it my all and, you know, yeah, it was so cool. there were moments in dancing with him when i felt like i was floating. >> that's great. i mean, i know, let's face it, it's not easy to spend that up much time and put that professional dancer. there was some tension at times. do you think that in the end made you stronger and helped you lift maureen, so to speak. >> i think we understood each other better. it's all a learning process and everybody learns so different. you kind of have to adapt to it and see how you can you make best in the situation and it was a learning process but i think we figured it out. >> you did. tough part because -- i mean, emotionally it's a tough thing but physically it's tough and you tore two muscles in your back. >> i did. >> how are you feeling now? >> great. i feel so good. yeah, i tore two muscles and had to go in for an epidural, which thank goodness i could do because it really helped me get through everything, but i feel great. i'm like -- i can't wait to go back and do pilates and swim and jog and do all the things i love so -- >> we want to bring in our dancing expert. >> bring her in. >> that can relate to everything >> hey. >> physically, emotionally. ginger zee. >> she was so amazing on "dancing with the stars." >> she said the same thing about you. >> you were so beautiful. you said that to me and i thought you were inspiring. i loved watching you and, artem, i know how great a teacher you are since we danced together. i'm so proud of you. congratulations. >> thanks. >> what is your insight, though, on them, on the show right now and on where the couples are heading? >> yeah, at this point i feel group dance, it's hard enough knowing that first dance, you add the second so mentally you're going, what, then the honeymoon is over for your body and it starts to break down and you start to go, wait a minute and really, the couple, the honeymoon is over for you guys because you start to act like you would act in a relationship. >> it's true. it's true. >> what will you miss most? >> oh, you know what, the crew. the nicest crew ever. >> well, we'll miss watching you every week. artem, you did a great job. thank you for entertaining us and, ginger, thank you for your insight. >> you don't want to miss "dancing with the stars." it's monday night at 8:00 eastern, 7:00 central right here on abc. and don't go anywhere. we'll come back with ginger with more weather. >> actually i'm going to freeze you out here this morning and get even colder tomorrow morning but let's check your local at ag later today. the overall timing of this low pressure system hasn't changed at all and should drop the night and into wednesday morning. a half inch to one inch of rainfall is possible with this system by the time it departs on wednesday afternoon. clouds should linger well into thursday with a return to much above normal temperatures by friday. in fact, many areas have a good shot at 70+ degrees again by friday afternoon, all right, thanks, ginger. coming up, we've got "broad city" and abbi jacobson live until times square. and cupcakes for everybody. sprinkles' founder is here sharing her best recipes and one from this guy's momma. >> momma's chocolate cake. >> i got to taste that. >> i'm sharing. . >> now from kcrg tv 9 and our partners, here's today's moms every day interview. >> hello i'm tara rodman and joining us today is tonya hotchkin, thanks for joining us. >> thank you for having us. >> there might be viewers out there who are unfamiliar with tanager place, could you tell us what your business does and community? >> yeah. so tan did engineer place has been around 137 years and really just serving children and families. we serve over 5,000 children a year. and we have three pillars of excellence really that we focus our programming on, and that looks at prevention, treatment, and then research. and really our aim is to really provide children with behavioral and mental health struggles in the community, >> okay. so if some family wanted to get involved or needed your help, how could they go about doing that? >> yeah. so we have a website at www.tanager place.org, all it is a phone number, feel free to reach out at any point in time. if there's anything that a family says my kid is struggling with this or a good resource if my kid had this, feel free to reach out because we had so many programs and things that o offer for our camps to mentoring program to community-based services. really we have a lot of comprehensive services that really wholistically serve children and families. >> and you serve just eastern iowa? >> yeah. so eastern iowa. >> that's quite a broad -- >> yeah. >> well, i so appreciate you coming and sharing tanager place with us. it sounds like a wonderful organization. >> yes. thank you so much for having us. and everyone feel free to reach out. >> absolutely. thank you. >> thanks. ? welcome to my house ? and we do welcome you back here to times square and so just so you know usually we're inside but we are getting ready for the election in two weeks so they had to build the set. right, right, so we're out here freezing. >> we're out here freezing but there's even though we're freezing how many are excited for halloween? >> which in turn leaves us to our first story which you have. >> so funny you should mention that, michael. yes, we have this mother of five, her name is julie mudrick and she dresses up as a halloween character at the bus stop and goes and picks up her the entire month of october and did this because one of her children was a little -- a bit shy and feeling different and wanted to show that being different is okay. would you like to meet this mom from virginia? she's at the bus stop. so let's see what she's dressed up as today with two of her children. there she is. hey, julie. >> so, adorable. adorable. so, julie, wanted to do this why do you do this? >> well, i started in 2013 because my son was a perfectionist and was hard on himself and was shy and i wanted him to know that it was okay to be different and to stand out and sometimes people laugh at you and sometimes they wouldn't but that's okay. life shouldn't be so serious especially when you're a child and find fun among the mundane and so i started dressing up. this, mom? >> they loved it actually. they look forward to every october and all the kids on the bus stop do too. and my daughter last year started school earlier and i said do you want me to dress up for your bus too and she said can i dress up with you for the elementary school kids so she's been my partner for two years now. >> wonderful. has it helped your son, julie, at all? >> it has helped my son so mh. he's in sixth grade now and he's a little shy still but that's just his personality but he has been goofy and has done thing that's wouldn't have done are, you know, three years ago and it's so refreshing and, in kt fact, he told me in middle school he's looking forward to dressing one me then. >> coming out of his shell. >> they're out of their shell this morning. that's for sure. >> definitely are. >> i got to tell you that was a that you found a way to help your son and to have a little -- come on. you have a little fun with this too, don't you, julie? >> that's right. i do. i do. it's a good creative outlet. but it doesn't take much time at all and that's something that i put into it, i try to find pieces around the house and come up with fun costumes with those little pieces. >> it's a long month, october. different outfit. >> november is going to be a stop seem to enjoy it too. >> they love it. they really do. i've had a few moms come up and thank me and they said my son looks forward to this every day and i love it. i love it other kids have found out they can have fun and enjoy life and spread joy. >> any chance the other moms are going to join you? >> actually, yes. we have a surprise for halloween. we're going to dress up as we're going to do part of the "thriller" dance. that's our surprise for halloween. >> please tell me a camera will be rolling. please tell me you're going to tape it. i'm sure that's going to be priceless. but, julie -- >> okay, great, we'll do that. >> please do. >> thank you very much. thank you. wave. can you wave? >> she is all in. i'm glad the kids are at school and don't know about the surprise. that is good. i have somebody who i'm she is one of the leading ladies of the hit comedy "broad city" and now she's got a hilarious new book out called "carry this book" and it's abbi jacobson, everybody. [ applause ] >> hi, abbi. >> hi, guys. >> hi. >> how is it going? >> it's cold. >> nice to see you. >> hi. >> hi. >> good to see you. >> it rolls, be careful. >> whoa. hi. >> great to see you here. >> yeah, this is so cool in times outside. >> so cool and cold. >> it's really cold. >> you're getting ready for the fourth season of "broad city." congratulations on that. >> thank you very much. >> amy poehler is executive producing the show. you have so many incredible guest stars on the show and you had hillary clinton. >> yeah. it was pretty insane for us. i don't know, i mean it meant so much to everyone that works on the show and obviously il i to have someone of that caliber. >> i know. completely around but we had such amazing actors but just to have hillary was another level. >> what was it like when you got the call. >> we didn't get the call. we had been kind of trying to get in touch with her -- someone in her campaign, something for awhile. we wrote it way before we shot it. and i guess we did get a call. when we got a call, we got an e-mail, we were just -- it was we really didn't -- >> tell us. >> so the book, it's called "carry this book." basically every spread is a different famous person or famous fictional character's contents of their bag. >> imagined by me. sort of like my own little fan fiction of what they might carry with them. >> so i'm looking at one board here. this is hillary clinton -- what you fantasy size she's carrying in her bag. >> yes. >> let's have a look at that. >> some items. >> obviously there might be a just a couple things. >> lady gaga fan club card. >> yep. >> old school blackberry. >> hot sauce. >> she's just like -- yeah -- >> one of my hero, billie jean king. i i love her glasses. >> she loves her glasses. >> uh-huh. >> your character on the show does a lot of sketches so this is a play off your character's -- ? i went to our school so my character abbi is an illustrator does on the show is stuff i've actually done and doing it on the show is kind of made me want to get back into it so, yeah, for the past like six months i've been working on this and it's been so much fun. >> draw what you imagine -- >> i did it at night after we were writing the show. it was very intense. i lost feeling in my fingers. >> you gave santa at hamptons house -- >> yes. and drives a mercedes. i feel like santa probably gifts >> who do you have. >> i have beyonce. very funny, cho lula, the hot sauce and "the secret." i'm sure that's what it is. >> i don't know if i got the right hot sauce brand. that's my brand. >> you did a thing of deodorant ban and said we do use the same brand. >> beyonce's bag is basically just me realizing that or fantasizing that we use a lot of the same brands so it's basically -- >> we had hillary so now i have donald trump. you have donald trump right here. >> equal time. >> equal time always. >> donald -- i could probably update it every week with new things. >> i like the comb. that's very nice. >> and the huge gloves. >> how to build walls for dummies. >> i'm reading the sign. >> it's a pen. it's a very nice pen. >> building walls for dummies. >> good read. >> yeah, his i could have lot more. >> so do you draw from just what you read about people, what you know, some of them i'm sure you know personally so has anyone said, you know what, i do have those things in my bag. >> i don't know a lot of these people personally. the only person that help mood he do it was amy poehler because i did leslie and i was like give me some stuff. what do you think she would carry. but, yeah, i did basic research and then used my imagination. yeah. >> it's what you do. >> you do it so well. on instagram is sweet with pictures like that. very sweet. >> moi mom will love that. i do a littttle pull for her li carol burnett. >> moms are the best. >> so are you. great to meet you. >> nations. >> thanks so much for having me. >> yes. you know what, my daughter goes to art school so i'm glad it comes in handy. >> there we go. >> absolutely. >> and "carry this book" is out now. coming up, lara and her physical therapi joint pain next. you're doing well in your recovery, right? >> so far so good, robin. we were just chatting and have a lot to talk about. i want to welcome you back to "gma" and ask how many of you are finding dory fans? yeah. oh, yeah. well, i've got great news for you. and for you at home. "finding dory" is out this the adventures of everyone's favorite forgetful fish can now be viewed in our own home. yeah, it's exciting plus for you guys in times square, all of you, are getting the digital code so you can download "finding dory" right now. yes. so cool.plan on a cloudy tuesda slight chance at a few rain showers developing later today. the overall timing of this low pressure system hasn't changed at all and should drop most of its rain during the night and into wednesday morning. a half inch to one inch of rainfall is possible with this system by the time it normal tempera >> okay. they're going out. they're going fast, lara. >> all right, ginger, thank you so much. and now we're going to talk about the best ways to prevent joint pain. i had to have surgery and my hip replaced because of a congenital condition but a lot go through -- how do you say it. >> argue throwscopic surgery. >> thank you, osteoarthritis, big problem. good news there are ways to strengthen the body and help we're going to get into that with todd, my physical therapist in a moment. some very simple exercises i promise will help you but first here's the back story. >> i know all too well severe joint pain can be absolutely debilitating. >> oh, my god. it's so hard. >> osseoarthritis, the most common form of joint pain affects 27 million americans. almost 20% of them are under the age of 60. it is painful and it is the most people think the condition is impossible to avoid. the simple result of growing older. but that's not true and doctors say there are ways to prevent or at least put off the worst of osseoarthritis. >> the prevailing thought is that if you keep your muscles strong, flexible and in good balance, you're going to prevent abnormal joint stresses. >> reporter: although doctors cannot always predict who will get osseoarthritis. they think certain kinds of exercise, though, can go a long y >> i think one of the most important things when it comes to exercising is to be assessed. to make sure you're doing exercises that are appropriate for you. >> all right, we're joined by my physical therapist todd wilkowski. thank you, thank you, thank you for helping me. it's been three months since my surgery, up, moving. i ran two miles yesterday and a lot of this is -- well, it's all about exercise. and what we're talking about today is exercising, when you avoid surgery altogether. how important is exercising? >> exercise is important because it brings blood flow to the joints and to the musculature and also important for weight control. we know that when someone is carrying a couple extra pounds for each extra pound they carry it increases the stress that they're hit by six pounds and three pounds of extra stress at the knee joint if if you're feeling those aches and pains just getting up and moving can really make i difference, a ultra g treadmill and took away some of my body weight to run so it was less pressure on the joints, the difference it makes is unbelievable. so getting up and moving is critical. >> it's critical and like you referenced the ultra g, to actually understand what it feels like to take a little bit of that weight off and how much better the joints actually felt when you were exercising there. >> all right, so let's talk about some myths. you'll be our myth buster. there are a lot of questions people have. first i want to say arthritis is active people so a lot have asked those questions, what's the deal. why so young, i know i'm only 26 but it happens so we're here to help you with important information. number one, here's a myth, guys. we want the audience to participate. tell us if you think it's a truth or myth. cracking your knuckles causes arthritis in your joints of the hand. most people think that's a myth. i got a couple -- todd, the real answer. >> it is a myth. [ cheers and applause ] even though i tell my the popping at the dinner table, it's actually a response of -- a release of gases within the joint. it's -- >> it's no big deal. >> to big deal. no scientific evidence to back up that it causes arthritis. >> okay, myth number two, heat is better than ice for sore joints. is that a myth or is that true? heat is better than ice for joints? a couple of truths in there. what do you say, todd. >> it's a myth. it actually -- it actually depends on the time of the day when you're using it. ice usually better in the evenings or after someone has been active on a joint and it's inflamed. it helps alleviate the pain. we usually recommend heat earlier in the day to warm the joins up or prior to exercise >> that's the way we do it and then ice. let's get up. we want to show you a couple of quick exercises. oh, wait. they're sayg one more myth buster. when it comes to exercise, no pain no gain. is that true or a myth. >> what do we got? >> we got a mixed bag. >> it is a mixed bag. there's actually some truth to that and myth as well. >> all right, everybody wins. >> what's the deal? >> the truth is, a little bit of muscle soreness is normal. pain and soreness you experience for 24 to 36 hours after exercise in the muscles, good. intense sharper pain that you that's something where you want to avoid that exercise and, you know, seek attention from a medical professional. >> that throbbing, trust me, you'll know it. they're very different. that's exactly what we discovered. we'll have to do our exercises and do them and put them on our website because we've run out of time. thank you for all the myths and thank you guys for helping us participate. so much great information out there. really important to know so we'll definitely post that. coming up, cupcakes. after a workout who doesn't need all right, back now with cupcakes and my friend and pastry chef candace nelson, she just released her first cookbook. i'm so proud of you. >> thank you. >> it's called the "the sprinkles baking book" with over 100 of her favorite recipes including one of my favorites from my own mother's kitchen. my mom's butter cake. welcome. >> thank you so much. chocolate cupcake and we've got our butter and sugar cream in here so we're just going to ramp that up a little bit and then add these eggs and i'm pretty excited because we are sharing this recipe and so many more in my cookbook. and this is actually my favorite recipe, got me -- >> you have a favorite cupcake. >> this is my favorite cupcake. got me through both of my pregnan pregnancies. >> you opened up your restaurant. it is the only cupcake -- only restaurant back in sprinkles started as a first cupcakes only bakery but you know what, we do so much more now. we're doing ice cream. we're doing cookies. and all of those recipes are in my cookbook which is launching today. >> yep. >> and i'm super excited because we've got my favorite recipes, we've got, you know, sprinkles recipes. >> a lot of friends' recipes and celebrity recipe. >>s we got some including your own momma's butter cake which is in the book. >> you know what, i love how sweet you are to your momma and i hope my boys are watching. i hope someday they honor me the way you always honor your momma. >> thank you. i appreciate that. hear that, momma. >> you got a good one. all right. so when your batter is done you want to scoop it with this. >> okay, i can do that. >> do a couple of those. you group up abroad like i did and how does that influence your like love of cooking and baking. >> you know what, i grew up overseas and always wanted to feel like i was part of my homeland, up baking american desserts with my mom and led me to cupcakes, the great american dessert. it'll look like that and you'll throw it in a 350-degree oven for 18 to 20 minutes. kind of want to make sure the top is dry and that it's ready po pour. they're a delicate creature. >> we'll move on from my scooping. >> here we have our frosting which you'll find the recipe on the website. bittersweet chocolate and -- >> all healthy. >> all healthy. all good stuff. you want to use an offset spatula to create that nice handcrafted feel. >> mine doesn't look as ha handcrafted. mine looks a little disheveled. >> it looks extra handcrafted if what i love about this, it's perfect for halloween cupcakes because it's nice and black and you can throw anything on here like a little fondant ghost and ri decorations. >> tons of cupcakes. ooh. a little ghost right there and the "the sprinkles baking book" is out today. make sure you go and get it. we'll be right back. you two are eating. we're over here working. you're eating. "gma's" countdown to a clean plate. >> i mean, you know, part of the job, right? bye. violence message now has song and music video. "greatness" yesterday. the music video features keeps singing alongside harding middle school students. the song aims to inspire kids that good grades are cool, and college is something to strive for. he is donating 10-percent of his profits to college funds for the kids in his "greatness" video. sleeping in the same room with your newborn for up to a year could greatly decrease the risk of sudden infant death syndrome. that's according to a new report from the american academy of pediatrics. infants between one and four months old sids. researchers believe when the baby is resting closer to their mother, they may be more comfortable. the report warns parents against sharing a bed with their children. instead, newborns should sleep on a firm surface, alone. and now here's your first alert forecast. plan on a cloudy tuesday with a slight chance at a few rain showers developing later today. the overall timing of this low pressure system hasn't changed at all and should drop morning. a half inch to one inch of rainfall is possible with this system by the time it departs on wednesday afternoon. clouds should linger well into thursday with a return to much above normal temperatures by friday. in fact, many areas have a good shot at 70+ degrees again by friday afternoon, with warmer than normal into next week as well. today: isolated showers developing late in the afternoon and evening. wind: se 10-20. high: 56 tonight: showers and a few thunderstorm s likely. windy. wind: se 15-25. low: 50 s likely. windy. wind: se 15-25. low: 50 darien: why have the latest smartphone if you can't use it wherever you go? switch to u.s. cellular for our best plan yet: 7 gigs of data per line for only $49. all for just $49. the best part? we put towers in places the other guys don't. because u.s. cellular thinks you deserve a signal that works wherever you are. switch to u.s. cellular and get a whopping 7 gigs of data per line >> announcer: it's "live with kelly!" today, from the new series, "the crown," john lithgow. and recording artist and author, phil collins. makeup kit, as we continue with ?halloween hacks!!! week?. plus, performing also michael buble returns for another day of cohosting. all next on "live." and now, here are kelly ripa and michael buble! 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