Right after the big showdown. Dont believe me just watch caution. You are about to enter the no spin zone. The factor begins right now. Hi, im bill oreilly. Thanks for watching us tonight. Im yessed in the penguin suit because im attending the Al Smith Dinner where Hillary Clinton and donald trump will be speaking this evening. Youll see split screen scenes from that throughout this hour. People arriving, you know, the speeches are later on. The dinner honors the first catholic ever to run for president al smith who lost to Herbert Hoover in 1928. Now, lets get to the third and last president ial debate in 2016 and that is the subject of this evenings talking points memo. One suggestion, put aside, please, your emotions for a moment so you can better absorb this debate analysis because a lot of stuff coming at you. The headline is both Hillary Clinton and donald trump expose themselves politically last night. American voters paying attention now know exactly where the candidates stand. The back and forth on abortion is the best example. If you go with what hillary is saying in the 9th month you can take the baby and rip the baby out of the womb of the mother just prior to the birth of the baby. Know, can you say that thats okay. And hillary can say that thats okay. But its not okay with me. I do not think the United States government should be stepping in and making those most personal of decisions so, you can regulate, if you are doing so with the life and the health of the another taken into account. Now, its somewhat shocking and i mean that shocking that Hillary Clinton would support late term partial birth abortion citing the health of the mother. As we saw in kansas and in pennsylvania, the health of the mother could be anything. There are corrupt doctors who will abort for money on the most flimsy of physical excuses. In a humane country, the unborn must be protected to some extent by the government. Otherwise, we dont have any moral authority on anything. Next up, illegal immigration. Is that your dream, open borders . Well, if you went on to read the rest of the sentence, i was talking about energy, you know, we trade more energy with our neighbors than we trade with the rest of the world combined. Chris wallace citing the wikileaks hack showing secretary clinton saying to a bunch of brazillian bankers, quote, my dream is a hemispheric Common Market with open trade and open borders. Some time in the future with energy that is as green and sustainable as we can get it unquote. This isnt just about energy, mrs. Secretary. Its about what the eu does. Mrs. Clinton supports people moving freely in this hemisphere as they do right now in western europe. That is the truth. Now, we did i involv we get into the how the candidates really feel about each other. From everything i see putin has no respect for this person. Well, thats because he would rather have a puppet as president. No puppet, no puppet. Your the puppet. Its pretty clear you wont admit. , in youre the puppet. The russians. Puppets all over the world are outraged and they have a right to be. Then, things got even worse. Heres clinton on trump. Its not one thing. This is pattern, a pattern of divisiveness, of a very dark and in many ways dangerous vision of our country where he incites violence, where he applauds people who are pushing and pulling and punching at his rallies. That is not who america is. Its clear Hillary Clinton despises donald trump and visa versa. She shouldnt be allowed to run. Its shes guilty of a very, very serious crime. She should not be allowed to run. And just in that respect, i say its rigged. Because she should never chris, she should never have been allowed to run for the presidency, based on what she did with emails and so many other things. Finally, donald trump made a tactical mistake by continuing to suggest the election may be rigged. That may play well with trumps base, but he needs to win over independents and people who are skeptical of him. I want to ask you here in this stage tonight, do you make the same commitment that you will absolutely, sir, that you will absolutely accept the result of this election . I will look at it at the time. Now, that statement dominated News Headlines today. Wiping out all the political points last night. Giving the media yet another hammer to pound trump in to pudding. Talking points does not understand why donald trump does not understand that stuff like that hurts him. He clarified today in ohio. Of course i would accept a clear election result, but i would also reserve my right to contest or file a legal challenge in the case of a questionable result. Well, thats what he should have said last night and that would have knocked it out of page one. Summing up, nobody won the debate. So Hillary Clinton will likely maintain her substantial lead. And thats the memo. Now tore the top story, reaction from new york. Congressman Chris Collins early and strong supporter of donald trump. Am i making any mistakes in the talking points, congressman . No, bill. I think you have hit it very clearly. I would just add, i would give Hillary Clinton some style points as a career politician who has debated most of her life. I would give donald trump substance points on getting across, you know, the issues on the Supreme Court on certainly the issue with the borders, the differences between he and hillary on trade. He had some great style points or hillary had the style points. He had the substance points. But i agreed by not saying he would accept unilaterally the results of the election, that did become todays headlines for liberal press i was a little bit dismayed at that. We will move beyond it. His Statement Today in ohio was a statement he should have gave last night. I mean absolutely. That would have negated all that people could have gone back to look here is what trump feels about abortion, here is what he feels about immigration. Here is what secretary clinton and then make their decision. Now i predict that clinton will maintain a 6 or 7 lead across the country. New york is already done. Its 25 clinton is ahead here. So, donald trump is not going to carry his home state. In the house, where you sit, are people worried the democrats may take the majority back . Not in the house, no. We have always known just based on the fact that we had 247 seats, a margin of 59 members, the largest since 1928, we would tend to lose 7 or 8, even 10 seat this time. I think it will be in that number that we will return with 230, 235 members, still a very substantial lead because the math just doesnt work. Thats the only if the senate goes democrat, thats a big if, but the only constraint on Hillary Clinton carrying on president obamas policies and maybe even expanding into single payer healthcare would be the house when you see a candidate like donald trump who has basically stuck to his guns. I mean, if you dont like him, thats fine. But you have to admit the guy is not a phoney. He puts himself out there in iraq wards positions. Another politician would never in a million years do that i dont know if the American People i dont know if they feel easy with him. And thats what he had to do in the three debates is make it easier for them to vote for him. Do you know what im saying . Well, but i think the difference between status quo under Hillary Clinton, the change agent that donald trump is, putting america first, can i tell you the energy is through the roof from his supporters. Everywhere i went today. No doubt his supporters are rabid and thats what theyre counting on. There will be a lot of people vote for donald trump who a wont tell the pollsters they will vote for him and b havent voted before that the voting patterns will be upended. The demographics, particularly out west. They dont show that. There is a lot of hispanic voters, new hispanic voters out there. And its a tough road. Do you want to make a prediction on whats going to happen on november 8th . Oh, i think donald trump wins. He has to take ohio, north carolina, florida, and then either pennsylvania or nevada, iowa, and new hampshire. I do believe donald trump is going to be our next president because as the change agent and much like the brexit vote there is a lot of undercover voters voting for donald trump. He has the energy and the wikileaks is really disappointing to the Bernie Sanders supporters. I think they are more likely to stay home because they are showing the two faces and how disingenuous Hillary Clinton really is. There is no energy in her campaign. So, bill, i think its a turn out election and i think the turn out and Energy Behind donald will carry the day november 8th. All right. Congressman. We appreciate it very much. Thank you. Next on the run june, frank luntz pulled a couple of key moments from the exposition. Also, miller and watters with their unique, how about that . Unique takes. The factor is coming right back. Its not just a car, its your daily retreat. The es and es hybrid. Get up to 5,000 customer cash on select 2016 models. See your lexus dealer. I use whats already inside me to reach my goals. So i liked when my doctor told me that i may reach my blood sugar and a1c goals by activating whats within me with onceweekly trulicity. Trulicity is not insulin. It helps activate my body to do what its supposed to do release its own insulin. Trulicity responds when my blood sugar rises. I take it once a week, and it works 24 7. It comes in an easytouse pen and i may even lose a little weight. 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If you want help improving your a1c and blood sugar numbers with a noninsulin option, click to activate your within. Ask your doctor about onceweekly trulicity. Thats why this control enthusiast rents from national. Where i can skip the counter. And choose any car in the aisle. On average, four out of every five rentals at national is a free upgrade. Getting a fullsize and paying for a midsize . Whoa, oh, whoa, whoa, lovin every minute of it. As the boys from loverboy so eloquently noted. Im lovin every minute of it. Go national. Go like a pro. Continuing new with our lead story, analyzing last nights debate in las vegas, joining us from washington David Goodfriend former staff to president bill clinton now a faculty member at georgetown law school. You heard the bloviating from me in talking points and my discussion with the congressman. Where do you beparted from our analysis. I agree with most of your analysis, bill. The one thing we have point out is that going into this debate donald trump had had a very bad few weeks and was losing in major polling results. His task was to earn more votes from people who were turning away from him. And i dont believe he succeeded in doing that but i will say this. If there was one hero to me last night it was your colleague from fox news Chris Wallace. Yeah. We have the goldberg thing on him coming up. He was great. He was really good. Look, wallace is a pro. You know. If anybody can do it, he can do it. Agreed. Trump, he managed to swat away the scandal questions. I thought he did that fairly effectively. Then he said the phrase bad hombre, all right . Now some people are very offended by the phrase bad hombre. I would not have used that phrase. I would have said. [speaking spanish] now, isnt enough enough with this demonizing, i mean bad hombre . Isnt enough enough . Let me answer your question this way so we can keep to the substance. I was just down in arizona working on the campaign. I learned something really really opening to me. Arizonans whether they are latino or anglo or anything else, they are really familiar with immigration. They live it. Sure. Every day. And so these sort of jing goitsistic statements dont sell in arizona. Republicans especially, you look at senator flake from arizona, a republican. Senator mccain from arizona a republican. What they recommend is Border Security first and then everify among plawrs and then pathway to citizenship is pretty much what the Senate Compromise bill was from a few years ago. And that is where i think we ought to be focusing an intelligent discussion about immigration. You have to understand something and when you say you are working on the campaign you are working on the clinton campaign. Thats right. Clinton and trump are competing in arizona that state is in play when it usually isnt. Correct. There is something going on. Thats right. Trump, how he won the nomination was mobilizing this anger about the chaos, about the illegal immigration chaos. And it is chaos. There is no doubt about it since Ronald Reagans amnesty, it has been chaos. And the government cannot fix it for whatever reason. The trump comes in as a strong man and says im going to fix it that has a lot of appeal to people still this day. I would maintain, bill, that the real appeal and frankly people on my side should be careful not to just dismiss this out of hand. Its the economic insecurity that working class americans feel. And i think its kind of bad that trump has vilified a group of people instead of focusing where i think he is strongest. I dont see the villeification. I have known trump for a long time. He employs a lot of hispanic americans i have never heard him say a bad thing. Im not hanging around him 24 7. I thought that was so overblown. I did the interview when he said mexican rapist. Clearly referring to the people who smug other people into this country and who we all know abuse those poor migrants coming into Central American and southern mexico. He doesnt articulate well. And then when you confront him he doesnt apologize or reexplain it well. So it becomes lure. It becomes myth. Last night i thought trump with the exception of the rigged thing held his own i do believe Hillary Clinton will come out on the polls the next few days on top. Last word. Well, i tend to agree with that. I really hope though, looking at the next day after election day that i can come on the show and you and i can have a conversation and bring back civil discourse to the country. We need that right nau. We have had always had civil discourse on this program not always but 80 of the time. You are welcome any time counselor, we appreciate it. Frank luntz taking some moments from the debate and getting folks to respond on those dopey machines. Later, goldberg on Chris Wallace. Miller on god knows what. And watters talking to the folks after the debate. Upcome. Insult women. Its all talk. Well, here we go again. Its really bad judgment. Issues, not insults. She should be ashamed of herself. Coaching means making tough choices. Jim youre in but when you have high Blood Pressure and need Cold Medicine that works fast, the choice is simple. Coricidin hbp is the only brand that gives powerful cold symptom relief without raising your Blood Pressure. Coricidin hbp. Campaign 2016 segment tonight, the best moments from the debate last night. Our pal frank luntz polled 26 undecided voters in vegas with his electronic gizmo, whatever that thing is bebegin with Donald Trumps strongest statement. The problem is you talk but you dont get anything done, hillary. You dont. Just like when you ran the state department, 6 billion was missing. How do you miss 6 billion . You ran the state department. 6 billion was either stolen. They dont know. Its gone. 6 billion. If you become president , this country is going to be in some mess, believe me. All right. So we have lost the Trump Supporters. They were somewhere by saturn. Off the screen. Joining us now from San Francisco is frank luntz. So why did that come out on top . Because its accountability in a word. The American People are so desperate to hold the washington politicians accountable and donald trump gave a specific number. Now, bill, lets be candid there have been Fact Checkers who have challenged what trump has said. Even it was 3 billion, 2 billion, whatever number it was. The idea that the state department would waste hard earned taxpayer dollars, thats always a winner for what every candidate. When he said that i didnt know what he was talking about. I did the research. Basically there is 6 billion that was on the state department sheet that they cant rea