to bike t toberfest. >> i don't do politics. >> melania trump speaks about the accusations. >> caution, you are about to enter the no spin zone. the factor begins right now. ♪ ♪ >> hi, i'm bill o'reilly. thanks for watching us tonight. where the campaign stands right now. that is the subject of this evening's talking points memo. abc news poll, good news for donald trump. has him just four points behind hillary clinton. nbc news poll not so good news. is he down by 11 in that one. and cbs news poll trump down by 9. talking points believes the fox news poll, which has trump down by 7 is most likely the most accurate. but, with three weeks remaining, the question is can that gap be closed? there are a few things that donald trump must do. first, put aside the feuding. gets him nowhere with voters to take on people like paul ryan. second, while he must defend himself against charges he believes are sciolous. he should charges and hone in on three major themes: wikileaks stuff mr. trump has plenty of mo for wednesday night's debate. as for hillary clinton she is off the campaign trail this week resting up for the campaign in vegas. that's smart. she is ahead. she can't sit on lead. if the secretary dominate on wednesday night she is in. but if trump hammers her, misclinton will have to compete. her best strategy in vegas is to mostly ignore trump and talk directly to the voters, trying to convince them she is not corrupt. now, the big picture. it all pretty much comes down to four states. florida, ohio, north carolina, pennsylvania. trump needs to take three out of those four and win the west, that is nevada, colorado, and the rest of the red states out there. no question that hillary clinton is better positioned right now. but, again, things change fast in this terrible campaign. i say terrible because it j s. just one personal attack after another on both sides that has weakened both trump and hillary clinton. i think the question becomes for her and for voters, is she going to be able to govern? you talk to lots of people who are her supporters, and they say, you know, she may be elected but will be a weak president. and part of this is she has got to kind of face -- this isn't just about trump. it's about her. >> now, the polls show many americans, perhaps most, are voting against, rather than for, one of the candidates. first time in my life, that has happened. that's the memo. now top story reaction joining us from rehabilitation charles krauthammer. recent polls say only 10% of americans are still persuadable. with new smears every day on both sides, i'm not sure that statistic is valid. what say you? >> well, it's hard to know exactly what it means to be persuadable. i think what's remarkable about the two candidates is how well known they are. you go back over the last few election cycles. did anybody -- was there a lot of people who knew about romney before he ran? even john mccain? >> john kerry? you go back and it is very unusual to have two candidates who are universally known, name recognition up there at 90% have. been around for a good 30 years. so, opinions were formed going in to the campaign, we have now been at it for a month and a half, they are out there, i don't think there is very much new. what is new, and i think the one thing that trump can do is the wikileaks stuff. that's new information coming out almost every other day. and it isn't enough to say that she is a crook or a liar or whatever, because look at what's in wikileaks. you got to pick three items. and there are a lot. just pick any at random. >> but, wait a minute,. >> and make that the point of your attack on hillary clinton. >> so, if i'm trump, then i'm going to go the open borders comment. i'm probably go going to go catholic church and what that really is the message. but most of the wikileaks stuff isn't about hillary clinton. it's about podesta. the campaign manager. saying questionable things to the campaign staff or clinton people saying que state department and state department saying questionable things. so, there is no video or audio of hillary clinton saying anything and even the open border quote, it's hard to get that in context because we don't know the whole speech. i don't know if that's going to really resonate as much as the trump stuff has. >> no. it's not going to. of course. a tape will beat text every time. sex will beat corruption any time. nonetheless, since we are not at the peak of that frenzy, we are going into the last debate it doesn't matter if the overwhelming majority of the stuff in the wikileaks is about staff. have you got 90 minutes to talk about 10,000 emails. you only need one or two or three items having to do with hillary. one of the most damaging is that she says you've got to have a public position and private position. that goes to the essence of her weakness that people think probably correct i had most of the time that she doesn't believe in anything and that she is driven by ambition. in the wikileaks release today or over the weekend, you see her scolding her speech writers because they weren't able to crystallize what her campaign is about. and i think she suggested the four fights, it sounded like a slogan for the leadership of the chinese communist party. they don't know what it's about because it really isn't about anything. >> it's united we're stronger or stronger together or. >> yeah, whats to that mean? >> hope and change. let's go back to hope and change. that's a god one. now, wallace, chris wallace, he is your pal. you hack around together. wouldn't it be his job, rather than trump's job, to bring the wikileaks stuff up and specifically say, you know, what did you mean about the open border? what did you mean about private and public? what did you mean? and then holder to account on that? do you expect wallace to do that? >> i think he will. i think he should. and i think that's what he ought t to do with either candidate. to choose something they have said and make them defend it but the point of the debate. >> wait, wait, wait. all right. so you think -- and so i do. i think he will bring up the wikileaks tape with trump if he goes back to the access hollywood stuff, i don't think is he going to do that. i don't think wallace is going to go back to the access hollywood stuff, do you? >> if he does, you pivot right off it. that's the point. the problem with trump for the last three weeks is that he has had all kinds of attacks and he simply can't get off the personal offense that he feels he has to respond to it doesn't matter if his own dignity he won't get off of it. everyone knows, his advisors know he needs to be pivoting off and go after her weaknesses which are many. he seems incapable of doing that. that's why he is behind in all the polls that you have cited. >> okay. now, in your opinion, humble opinion,. >> not really. >> can trump win? i mean, say he has a good district attorney bait on wednesday, can he close it. >> i don't think that he can do it himself. he needs an act of god or an act of putin. act of god would be some kind of medical problem with his opponent. act of putin would be something in wikileaks that links her directly to some kind of quid pro quo. some evidence that in return for money from who knows where something tangible was given. that happens to be our standard. i think it's much too low a standard. it should be access. but we seem to accept the granting of access in return for money that's how our system works. that's not a fatal offense. if there is something of a quid pro quo right in there, involving her directly, we heard today about the fbi and state department wanting to trade favors. that's underlings right down there in the bureaucracy. >> it's got to be her. >> if it is there that could swing it to the point where trump with a good close could pull it out. >> all right. you know the press isn't going to report it very strongly. >> that's why god invented fox. >> but we have been fair in this campaign. we're not looking to take anything out of context. at least. >> but if something comes up. it will be reported here. >> that's for sure. >> charles. thanks very much. next on the run down, we have some polling from important states, individual states. carkarl rove will help us with that the bikers talking politics. also, melania trump defending her husband up ahead. the wolf was huffing and puffing. like you do sometimes, grandpa? 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(children giggle) symbicort. breathe better starting within 5 minutes. call or go online to learn more about a free trial offer. if you can't afford your medication, astrazeneca may be able to help. campaign 2016 segment tonight. as we said in the talking points memo, there are very few key states that will decide the presidential race. here's new polling. north carolina, according to cnn poll, it's pretty much a tie. hillary clinton 48%. donald trump 47%. same thing in nevada. clinton 46%, trump 44%. within the margin of error. in ohio trump leads 48% to 44%. joining us from austin texas, karl rove. i just asked charles krauthammer if he sees trump winning, you know, long shot. he would say. the betting people say 80% chance hillary clinton is going to win now. what do you think of those odds. >> i think he has a very steep uphill climb. you talked at the beginning how he could win this by taking ohio, and florida and pennsylvania and north carolina. >> he needs three out of the four. i don't think he is going to win pennsylvania. >> okay. so he is not going to win pennsylvania. assume he wins everything else, he is at 253. he has 17 electoral votes to pick it up. you say he has to pick those up from the west. nevada with 6. colorado with 9 and new mexico can a and i don't know anybody who thinks he has a chance in new mexico. >> he doesn't. >> last time he led in the poll in colorado was on the 23rd of september. just before the first debate. 13 polls out there. three have been he led. all of them prior to september 23rd. one was a tie and nine of them hillary has led and real clear politics average she is leading by 8. that's awful steep. let's say he gets colorado and nevada, that still gets him only to 268. even if he wins maine, too. i is at 269 and one short of the electoral college. >> has to get some place like new hampshire. are you giving him iowa in that calculation, by the way? >>. no i would not give him colorado, so give him iowa and he is at 259. >> okay. and then if he picks off new hampshire, that wouldn't be enough, he would still be short. >> yeah. if he gets nevada, it gets him to 265. if he gets to new hampshire that gets him to 269. if he wins the second district of maine it gets him to 270. again, new hampshire behind in new hampshire. >> assuming he loses colorado, because as you say it's trending against him. when you said september 23rd. i want to remind irving that's the access hollywood day. >> no. october 7th is access hollywood. september 23rd is the last day of the polls before the first debate. >> okay. thank you for correcting me. things started to go south after access hollywood, even though the first debate hillary clinton won the debate. it wasn't, you know, a kill shot. but then with her winning the debate and then the access hollywood, that's when you started to see these individual states go. now, trump is in wisconsin tonight. we're going to -- we might give the folk as look. i don't know whether he is wrapping up or not. might give you 90 second look at it he thinks he has a chance in wisconsin. is that realistic? >> there have been a couple of polls that show that ron johnson the republican senator is within striking distance of democrat fine gold, russ feingold whom he beat six years ago. maybe trump is taking some potential from that. again, he is going weird places that i'm not certain he has got a shot in and this is one of this elm. >> would you not send him to wisconsin? >>. no look, i think he has got to pick up -- he has go to play the inside straight. he has got to try to get a big state. maybe that big state is wisconsin. they have got better data than i have probably got access to. the public polling data doesn't point to wisconsin. he was closer, he has been closer at times in pennsylvania. if you have been close once maybe you can get close again. >> still campaigning there. he pulled out of virginia and i don't think anybody expected him to win virginia because he got hammered there in the republican primary. but, at this point now, is there anything that trump can do in the debate on wednesday and then for the next two and a half weeks to persuade people, you know, in pennsylvania? is there anything he can do? he has got -- big splash somehow. >> look. he has to run a real campaign. i thought there was a lot of wisdom in the campaign between you and charles. both of you in your own way saying he has wasted time. think about it, the we spent the week after the first debate speaking about miss universe. spent the week after the second debate both defending himself against all of these charges that have have rose as a result of the october 7th tape. picking a fight with the republican party and ending the week talking about a sinister plot to deny him his election. he has got to get focused on the issues. pick out three, maybe four, and stay on them and got to be depicting himself as agent of change and drawing on the things that happened in the real world to talk about each and every day. let me give you an example. last wednesday, the governor of minnesota, a democrat, a very liberal democrat came out and said obamacare is unsustainable and unaffordable. if i were the trump campaign, i would have jumped on that. and gone all out the next day saying even a democrat who believed in this program in the beginning realizes -- got to do that each and every day. >> he can't win with the tabloid stuff. >> right. >> he has got to get away from that and say here is what i am going to do for you. >> got to stop looking defensive. >> hillary clinton has got to ignore trump like look, i'm not a crook or whatever. >> she has got to depict herself of a candidate of some change. can't look at exclusive -- >> she has really hitched her tail to the president. mr. rove, thank you. directly ahead. one national poll has been trump friendly. we will take a look at that situation. also, comparing past presidents like bush the elder to trump and clinton. is that a fair thing to do? factor is coming right back. woman: how do we protect them from $4 billion in new cuts to california schools? man: vote yes on proposition 55. woman: prop 55 doesn't raise taxes on anyone. man: not on working californians, not small businesses. no one. woman: instead, prop 55 simply maintains the current tax rate on the wealthiest californians. man: so those who can most afford it continue paying their fair share... woman: ...to prevent new education cuts... man: ...and keep improving california's schools. woman: vote yes on prop 55 to help our children thrive. impact segment tonight, as we reported most of the polls have hillary clinton beating trump in some cases handily but not the rasmussen. there, trump has been mostly ahead over the months. although mrs. clinton has now drawn into a tie with the margin of error. we also are following trump speaking in green bay, wisconsin. we will put up a split screen so you can see. he has got a nice pretty little girl there is he talking to. first, here is amy holmes in the studio. your poll has been more friendly to trump than the others. why? >> it has been sometimes. sometimes not. in fact, we have had hillary ahead by a couple of points since august pretty consistently. you can see every poll has different methodology. we look at three days in succession. 500 people, new each night. and we have it broken down 50% male, 50% female. nationwide. national poll. also a four way race. >> the four way race is the only way you have to do it. >> right. >> today had you clinton up by 2. statistical tie. >> if you look at the margin offerer. >> look at cbs and nbc. nbc has got clinton up by 11. cbs 9. that's a big difference. >> it is a difference and they also have a margin of error. if you look at the trend lines, the polls tend to go in the same direction. so, for example, we had hillary up, you know, by couple of points. then we had the big access holiday story. that was like dropping a grenade into the trump campaign. and then we had her 7 points ahead of in trump, which is well beyond the margin of error. then you have the debate. and the folks, you know, settling in their impression of that. then, of course, revelation, something we are finding at rasmussen that is different in this election cycle is how sensitive voters are to headlines. and the headlines have not been great for mr. trump. >> so people are paying attention? >> very close attention. that raises questions about the power of the media what headlines they choose and how those drive voters perceptions. >> absolutely knows it i'm sure in the next three weeks we're going to see both sides mainly trump. >> right. let's take a look or listen to mr. trump thought wisconsin. >> our depleted military and take care of our great, great, great veterans. [cheers and applause] we're going to support the men and women of law enforcement. [cheers and applause] we will again repeal and replace obamacare. here is one very important, too. wisconsin. we will save our second amendment. [cheers and applause] which is under siege. and we will pointed justices to the united states supreme court who will uphold and defend the constitution of the united states. you have 22 days to make every dream have you ever dreamed forever yourself and your family come true. on november 8th, the arrogance of washington, d.c. will come face to face with the righteous verdict of the american voter, which is huge. i'm going to fight for every citizen from every background from every stretch of this nation. i'm going to fight for every child living in poverty. we have so much poverty. hard to believe. i'm going to fight for every mom of every child. drugs and gang violence. i'm going to fight for every community whose job and dreams have been ripped out and shipped to other countries. so many. i'm going to fight for every person in this country who believes government should serve the people not the donors and special interest. [cheers and applause] i'm going to fight to bring us all together as americans. we live in a very divided country. we're not going to live in a divided country much longer there is going to be spirit. >> i want to talk thank amy holmes for being with us. that's exact preview of what is he going to say wednesday night. second amendment, obamacare, is he going to go issues. that's why we took it for you. that's a preview. plenty more ahead as the factor moves along this evening. melania trump trying to convince women to vote for her husband. show you some of that watters talking politics with the bikers. >> what do you want to seat next president of the united states do? >> number one, not be a crook. don't lie to us on a continual basis. >> actually keep our money -- >> --we hope you stay tuned those reports. to combine a safe sleep aid plus the 12 hour pain relieving strength of aleve. now i'm back. aleve pm for a better am. theno one surface...out there. no one speed... no one way of driving on each and every road. but there is one car that can conquer them all, the mercedes-benz c-class. five driving modes let you customize the steering, shift points, and suspension to fit the mood you're in... and the road you're on. the 2016 c-class. lease the c300 for $369 a month at your local mercedes-benz dealer. like their photo claims tool. it helps settle your claim quickly, which saves time, which saves money. and when they save, you save. that's auto and home insurance for the modern world. esurance, an allstate company. click or call. esurance does insurance a smarter way, which saves money. like bundling home and auto coverage, which reduces red tape, which saves money. and when they save, you save. that's home and auto insurance for the modern world. esurance, an allstate company. click or call. which is good for me 200-degree range of sight hey! and bad for the barkley twins. take care of all your most important parts with centrum. upgraded to our most d3 ever. ♪ personal story segment tonight, melania trump interview on w. ainsley earhardt on "fox & friends" tomorrow morning. >> it is three weeks before the election. all these women coming out. and they are allegations that they are not true. why now? why three weeks before the election? and what they are accusing my husband, that is not the person that i know. >> what is your message to these women? what would you like to say to them? >> that all the allegations should be handled in a court of law and without evidence. to accuse somebody is a man or a woman, it's damaging and it's unfair. >> joining us now from boston, democrat mary anne marsh and las vegas republican monica crowley. all the polls say the same thing, that hillary clinton's winning with women by historic margins right now, obviously that's why melania trump was put out to talk about this. do you think that trump can persuade some women, monica, who have drifted away from him? >> well, donald trump is doing fine with republican and conservative women. but you're right, bill, when it comes to the electorate, is he running historic gender gap of about 20 points. any republican was going to face a very difficult challenge given that the democrats have nominated the first woman and the historic gender gap. it's always advantaged democrats. i think in donald trump's case he has faced a tougher challenge because is he an alpha male candidate who has said these indelicate things about women in the past. i think going forward he needs to talk about all national issues, as women's issues. meaning economic growth, job creation, building the wall, dealing with illegal immigration, obamacare, which a lot of women care about, which is almost total collapse right now. and the existential threat posed by fundamentalism. >> you didn't answer the question can he win them back? say he does all of that and takes your advice. can he win them back. >> i think he has a chance if he starts speaking directly to them about the issues that directly effect their livelihood and the security of their families. >> i asked trump last week, mary anne, and pence when they were on last week. are you going to target women and they didn't have a plan to do that. i was kind of surprised about that. >> it's too late for him to win them back. what he needs is a low turn out. he can't win them back. he in a box. historically what you would do is run a really negative campaign that would turn women off from voting. but if women show up, and vote, he loses. if they stay home, he wins. >> if he does with mary anne suggests and goes into some of the emotional issues of economics and pocketbook and security, why couldn't he peel off some independent women to get them back? i mean, there is no great love for hillary clinton in the independent precincts, mary anne. >> he can't peal off enough. it's gone too far. >> how do you know? >> i look at the polling. did you go in the regression analysis and to go back to that tape, 10 days ago, that's when the bottom fell out with imwith. he has regained republicans back. he is still about 6 points short of having all the republicans back. but he has lost women. >> he lost independent women. >> yes. and he lost white college educated women, largely in the subwish bushes which for the past 60 years have always voted republican in the presidential elections not this year. almost impossible to get them back. >> i have tight 20 seconds. melania trump going out. smart move, monica? >> very smart. she is her husband's greatest and most staunch character witness. we need to see more of her. she is right to point out that this is a coordinated hit job. >> mary anne smart to put melania out there. >> it is. elections are conducted in the court of public opinion and not in the court of love. voters are going to decide whether they believe donald trump and his accusers. >> melania trump gets a lot of attention. >> she hasn't been on the campaign trail. she doesn't have standing with voters right now. >> all right. ladies as always. we appreciate it comparing presidents like reagan and bush the elder to clinton and trump. is that fair? then watters walking on the wild side in florida with the bikers. you don't want to miss this one. moments away. cartels, militias, terrorist groups. they all need a place to park their cash and cherna is their dirty little piggy bank. we're going to insert into the country while nobody is looking. we're going to steal their money, sir? no, we are going to destroy it. we're going to finish this mission. anything we find is ours. do you want to trust a bunch of black water marks? i mean the rush, i've never felt anything like it. if we stay here we're going to die. then we die. . . thanks for staying with us. i'm bill o'reilly. in the factor follow up segment tonight. i hope you saw the movie killing reagan last night. it was a great political drama. the highlight for me was the strength ronald reagan showed after he was almost assassinated. most americans have a deep respect for president reagan. joining us now from nashville meacham. arthur of the brand new book destiny and power about another american icon the george herbert walker bush. so, is it fair to compare men like reagan and bush the elder to clinton and trump? >> i don't see how we avoid comparisons. you know, president reagan himself, as you know, had an active historical imagination in many ways he modeled his conduct of the presidency on the man he vetted for four times, franklin roosevelt. he understood that you had connect with people. he understood the art of leadership really from watching and living under president roosevelt. president bush was a devote at a of president eisenhower's and thought about him and how he led. >> so as presidents, i think they need predecessors to guide how they do it. and i think as voters we need some kind of historical g.p.s. to try to figure out what we're getting. >> certainly, this election, no matter who you support, you have to charismatic individuals, trump and clinton. and you have though, ahong with that, very dubious his mays and there are no rules anymore. that's different. i don't know if people understood like ronald if you read killing reagan, when reagan was an actor, he hung around with earl flynn. he did things that, today, would be every day all day cable news. yet, wasn't mentioned at all in the 1980 campaign. so, there are no rules now. and i think that diminishes everyone who runs for higher office. >> you know, the scrutiny is greater than ever, unquestionably. as you say, you know, president reagan, when he came into office in 1981 had to deal with, what, the morning shows, an afternoon paper, a morning paper, the network news, and was just then beginning to have to deal with nightline, which had come out of the iranian hostage crisis. you know, they were able to actually think in terms of a message of the day or a message of the week. >> but it was more than that, john. there were boundaries. look, the journalists knew that dwight highway hour had a personal indesdiscretion, they knew that jfk was a womanizer. they knew lb diswrmplet was a womanizer. they knew all of this. but they didn't report it. it wasn't. it wasn't done. now report stuff hike this. they seek it out. iran and isis tonight stand a chance up against access hollywood. that is the reality. >> the tabloid culture totally infected the political culture. to system extent after watergate. you know. this you lived through it right after that no reporter ever wanted to be caught being the one that was credit columbus. credi cr. >> dulous. kick folk in the shins as much as possible. >> there was a time in the presidency he was confronted by a man named stone phillips. do you remember this. >> i do. >> stone phillips went in there to ask him about rumors of a personal indiscretion. i will never forget this because phillips and i were contemporaries. bush the elder looked at him and said "watch it." that was the end of that. that was the end of that. all right. these days, all day long. >> actually, your example is a good one. he actually said about that -- i couldn't believe he would say something like that in the oval office. >> referring to stone phillips? >> yeah. and dealing and it was that sense of decorum. reagan had it. bush 41 had it. there is also a generational difference, right in the reagan and bush were -- reagan was born in 1911. bush was born in 1924. bush was the last president of world war ii generation. in many ways i think the 20th century ended 8 years early with bill clinton defeating. >> that ushered in the tabloid culture that we all enjoy so much. hey, i want everybody to check out meacham's book bush the elder, well worth reading. >> thank you. >> watters is up next. is he hanging with the bikers. can't wait to see his outfit. watters is next. there are no bad suggestions here... no matter how lame they are. well said, ann. i've always admired how you just say what's in your head, without thinking. very brave. good point ted. you're living proof that looks aren't everything. thank you. welcome. so, fedex helped simplify our e-commerce business and this is not a passive aggressive environment. i just wanted to say, you guys are doing a great job. what's that supposed to mean? fedex. helping small business simplify e-commerce. a farmer's market.ve what's in this kiester. a fire truck. even a marching band. and if i can get comfortable talking about this kiester, then you can get comfortable using preparation h. for any sort of discomfort in yours. preparation h. get comfortable with it. >> back of the book segment tonight. wawrst world. you may have noticed we are sending jesse watters to unusual places to talk politics. that's because all voices are welcome here on the factor. cleaning that in mind, watters went to daytona beach, florida to check out bike toberfest ♪ ♪ >> what is biketoberfest all about. >> all about the bikes. hot guys on bikes. >> drinking and girls. >> in that order? >> no probably girls and then drinking. >> wawawa. >> are you a ladies men. >> yes. >> where are all the girls around you right now. >> i fit in, right? >> sort of. >> >> what am i doing wrong. >> the collar is. >> just a little, hold on. >> one of us had their own personal stylist and one of us shop lifts from fashion bug that's what i know. >> bill o'reilly, do you think he would survive down here. >> damn right he would. >> any advice for me here at bike toberfest. >> where did all these people come from. >> floating party. >> are you supporting trump or hillary. >> i'm not voting. >> why? felony conviction? >> no. just not in to either of the candidates. >> i don't like either one. >> the hell with hillary. >> i'm a republican. >> whoa. >> if he don't win, i'm either one. >> i'm a republican. >> if he don't win i'm moving to iran. >> that might be a bad decision. are there any hillary voter out here in. >> i haven't seen one yet. >> what do you want to see the next president of the united states do? >> win. he's got to win. mr. trump has got to win. >> what do you think the next president needs to do? >> support the second amendment. >> number one, don't be a crook, don't lie to us. >> come to daytona biketoberfest and trump will. >> in terms of this country right now, what is your top priority in. >> we got to secure the border ps that's the bottom line. >> what should the next president do about the southern border? >> i have no clue. close it down? open it up? i don't know. >> fence it off with a 30-foot wall. >> wall just got taller. >> yes. >> who is going to pay for snit. >> let trump do it. he said he would. >> what do you want to see the next president do? >> the very first thing i want to see him do -- >> you mean her. >> i'm just being humorous. >> what would you like to see our next president do? >> legalize marijuana for one and take our country out of debt. >> if we are so high we can't get out of debt? >> i don't think we can get that high. >> i want health insurance and i can't get it. >> i thought obamacare was supposed to solve that problem. what do you think he should do about all of this crime in the inner city? >> start having better police force and policing it better. >> what do you think the next president of the united states should do? >> oh my god, man, honestly make something better. i don't know. >> what do you think the top priority for the next president should be? >> let's make congress do its job. >> what would you like to see the next president do about isis. >> blow them up. get them out. >> blow them right to hell and take the oil. >> every thing my kid did in that country isis has took over. >> have you ever been water board snd. >> like surfing or something? >> all i need is some good waves and tasty food and i'm fine. >> here we go. rea ready? can i try on your jacket? >> sure. >> there you go. >> is this a slim fit. >> always remember one thing. i'm watters -- >> and this is your world. >> yeah, you finished it for me. >> so here's watters, i think trump will carry biketoberfest. >> by a landslide. >> the people who just don't care, there's a lot of them. they're into their hobbies. >> it's the fumes from the exhaust, confusing people. >> i think it's other fumes. watters played football on saturday, right? >> still a little sore. great hands, though. they call me o'dell beckham. >> how many touchdowns did you throw me in. >> i think you through me five. >> i looked like eli manning out there. >> you actually did look like him. you were wearing jeans and tucked in shirt. >> i'm old school. i tuck in the shirt. you're going to vegas? >> i am. >> see you on thursday with a reaction from the debate. now factor tip of the day, arnold palmer, a legend, something about him you might like to know. the tip moments away. they rebounded because a decision was made to protect them. making the right decisions today for your long-term financial future can protect you and your family, and preserve your legacy. ask a financial advisor how retirement and life insurance solutions from pacific life can help you plan for your future. when you're close to the people you love, does psoriasis ever get in the way of a touching moment? if you have moderate to severe psoriasis, you can embrace the chance of completely clear skin with taltz. taltz is proven to give you a chance at completely clear skin. with taltz, up to 90% of patients had a significant improvement of their psoriasis plaques. in fact, 4 out of 10 even achieved completely clear skin. do not use if you are allergic to taltz. before starting you should be checked for tuberculosis. taltz may increase your risk of infections and lower your ability to fight them. tell your doctor if you are being treated for an infection or have symptoms. or if you have received a vaccine or plan to. inflammatory bowel disease can happen with taltz. including worsening of symptoms. serious allergic reactions can occur. now's your chance at completely clear skin. just ask your doctor about taltz. factor tip of the day, arnold palmer can teach us all something. first an amazing promotion on billoreilly.com. sign up or re-up your premium membership, get any of my books free of charge. and "the candidate" free and a copy of the constitution. what more can we do. three freebies for signing up or reing up. marcus of austria. as an european interested in american politics, i agree with your talking points. this is a sad time for the voter. but you should also be self critical about contributing to the polarized environment. we tell the truth here. if that's polarizing, so be it. we don't endorse and we try to book the most honest people and let the chips fall. sweden, i believe most american polls are oversampling democrats. why should we view them as reliable? that's a good question. reanalyzed the polling from 2012 and found that the tallying was close. now this time around the trump people believe their supporters are not being polled to a great extent. there in lies their hope. victoria, chino, california, ar family watched "killing reagan." found it riveting. i think tim mathisen was lights out. what a great movie. now i fully understand what happened the day reagan was shot. texas, i worked for the reagans in the '60s and want to applaud the filling. mike bennett, california, in light of your latest book "killing the rising sun" do you think the younger ones -- excellent question. we have the best armed forces in the world. but if a draft were reimposed, problems would occur. those drafted in world war ii were children of the great depression. wanda from fresno, california, had to search to find "killing of the rising sun" at the costco here. it was under the table. very unusual. costco is now the number one sell of my books. big birthday to margaret, 106 today. way to go. wow. finally tonight, the factor tip of the day. the legendary golfer arnold palmer recently passed but left behind something important. the old school guy put down on paper some of the lessons he learned while achieving superstar status. a book called "around palmer a life well played" is a fascinating read, how he dealt with his daughter's cancer and his own cancer is a must read part of the book. factor tip of the day. and that is it for us tonight. please check out the fox news factor website. also we'd like for you to spout off about the factor from anywhere in the world, name and town if you wish to 0 fen. word of the day, do not be indolent when writing to the factor. tomorrow i'll be on colbert in support of "killing the rising sun." i'll be on colbert tonight. tomorrow we have a great debate preview program scheduled for you. as you know, anything could happen at any time. we've got our troops deployed all over the place. so we're looking forward to tomorrow and wednesday and thursday because the debate, this will tell the tale of the election. no doubt about it. again, thanks for watching us tonight. i am bill o'reilly. please always remember that the spin stops right here because we are definitely looking out for you. breaking tonight, just 48 hours until the third and final presidential debate and both campaigns are dealing with major new controversy. welcome to "the kelly file." i'm megyn kelly. developing on the campaign trail tonight, new complaints about a rigged election, new accusations against donald trump, his wife steps forward to defend his behavior and there are new bombshells from wikileaks. let's begin with the clinton campaign, one of her top state department lieutenants tried to make a deal with the fbi in the middle of its investigation into her e-mail

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