Is he going to come out. We will take his speech. Supposed to be about 12, 15 minutes. Then after trump john kasich is going to talk and ted cruz. Thats going to bleed on over and we will go in and out. We are nimble here. We have a lot of analysis on the program because there are two new polls tonight to tell you about. First we have dana peri4j4 p c who is force to do sit here for an entire hour because if i falter she has to take other. Then we have john roberts. Is he inside the gala. Is he not allow to do eat because he didnt pay any money so he cant get any food. We have Rick Leventhal, he is outside the gala. There is rick. Is he with the protesters. Now, watters is also there. But no one knows where watters is. This absolutely true. We sent Jesse Watters down there and we dont know where he is. So, maybe the sc the protesters have kidnapped him and we are waiting ransom. We have geraldo, we dont know why but he is in the newsroom. There is a democratic debate tonight between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. We will tell you a little bit about that that comes up after the factor. And then in miami just because we want to do torture him, we have Bernie Goldberg who has a pocket hankie and is ready to go. Thats all i can tell you right now. I dont really know where this is going to go. So what were going to start with, again, we have no script here at all, is the brand new fox news poll. And dana and i are going to talk about that and hopefully trump will get his butt out to the stage and start to talk so we can cut to that. Now, first, this is 2016 g. O. P. Nominee preference. Yep. All right. Trump 45 . Yep. Thats up from 41 in march. Everybody thought he was on the downside. He added four points. Cruz 27 . Is he down 11 points since march. Umhuh. Do you know why . I dont know why. No idea . No. I dont. I actually dont. Because he you know, in this intervening time trump had a couple of bad weeks especially when he lost in wisconsin. Usual, right. And cruz wone in wisconsin. Right. Cruz is winning in the delegate hunt all across the country. I think i dont know if this poll is just an outlier or not but losing 1111 points is a lot. I dont know why cruzs numbers dropped 11. And then con kasich went up 8. 17 in march. Is he it 25 now. Just two points behind cruz. It could be that cruz has dropped as kasich has come up so that you had all these other candidates drop out. People are taking a look at their options. On the democratic sides its tied clinton and sanders, 48 for clinton. 46 for sanders. Thats in the margin of era. Clinton is down from 55 in march. Thats a 7 point drop. And the berne meister is up 4 in march. Dead heat. Thats interesting because sanders could win here in new york. That would be colossal upset if that ever happens. There is one other thing about that too which i find doctoring. In that month clinton support has declined by 11 points with women. And Bernie Sanders is up 9 points with women. Okay. In one month if you have Hillary Clinton what did she do to the ladies . Did hillary do anything to maybe they are all just feeling the berne. I dont know. Here is the really weird part to quote hunter thompson. This is really weird. Ready . All right. Running against Bernie Sanders, john kasich 43 , sanders 47. Beats kasich. Cruz 39 . Sanders 51 . Beats cruz by 12 points. And trump 39 . Same as cruz. Sanders 5 . 14 points he beats him. I cant imagine. Do you have any idea . I dont. Last night Bernie Sanders had that huge event here in Washington Square park in new york. He says it was 27,000 people. In headtohead matchups one of the things we always focus on is hows would any of these republicans do against Hillary Clinton because we just assume she is going to be the nominee. Lets give clintons numbers. We will get back to the sanders thing because i just dont believe it. Anyway, kasich against clinton, kasich wins by 9 the, 49 to 40 . Cruz tie, 45 cruz, 45 clinton. Trump 41 , clinton 48 . Clinton loses by 7 . Clinton 38 . Lets go to geraldo because is he more in tune with Bernie Sanders. Do you believe these numbers that sanders is boating the republicans like that . Its pie in the sky. That picture you have up of the Grand Hyatt Hotel. Yeah. 15 seconds on the Grand Hyatt Hotel. When you and i were just starting out, 1976 the city was in the toilet, the Grand Hyatt Hotel ab a hotel called the commodore. Thats right. You couldnt give it away. It was a rat hole. 42nd street. It was the w sum of all evil junkies, filth homeless so a young 27yearold uses fathers influence give me that hotel to fix it up. He got a 40 year tax abatement, the Hotel Commodore became the Grand Hyatt Hotel. 27yearold made they deal. 1996 he sold his half interest for 143 million. That 27yearold was donald trump. Thats right. Trump. What does that tell you . It tells you put aside all of the issues that we have i obviously have problems with immigration the rest of it but to go back to what is his strong suit, the guy asked on the celebrity apprentice. This is a brilliant businessman actually employed people and paid taxes and those people have paid taxes it shows you a level of competence in this and the chief executive that is, i think what he should be emphasizing instead of this crazy stuff. Do you know why Bernie Sanders is beating all three of them . He is beating trump by 14 points. Its because thezm5n medical marijuana. No, no. [ laughter ] we have a kid here very typical, 35,000 a year employee, graduated college not so long ago. Paying 8 interest on her college loan that she is going to be paying off until she is, what, 45 years old . Thats why. I understand. The Younger Voters dont make up most of the electorate. This is across the board 53 49 , sanders beats trump. I dont believe it. I have to say with all due respect2b the fox news poll has been good. I dont believe. This i just dont. I think sanders appeals to the idealism. Oh, come on. He is a socialist and he wouldnt get anything done. He would be sitting sitting thee eating ice cream from vermont all day. I agree. He should run for president of National Student council. Lets go to watters. Somebody has found watters and hauled him out of the bar. He was there. What are you doing, watters, exactly down there. Tell the folks what you are wait for trump to come out. Well, you told me to come down and talk to some of the protesters. Did i that. It got a little out of control. There was some punches thrown. I was a little overdressed for the event because im going to go inside the gala after this. Of radicals. You had antiwarju people. Had you angry latinos. The guy is using fascism in the background here. A real motley crue of radicals here. We mix it up and ask them some says questions. Lets see a little of that roll the tape. What do you dislike about trump . Everything. Racism, xenia phobia. The fascism get these people out of here. We dont like this. Scapegoat the torture. Its asinine. He has plummeted theh level the already pretty bad level of like republican right wing discourse about National Security matters just gone i think we are skating dangerously close to a hitlerlike situation in the sense that is he talking about deporting groups that are divided along racial lines. And. Obama supports too. Do you think is he like hitler . Obama deports people too. Do you think is he like hitler. Long Campaign Interview if this is who you interview. Change tactics when i become president which is what he said. I think that makes you untrustworthy right off the bat. Why are you out here today . Well, trump, is he dictating hate and just protesting it. And i dont think its right. Whatsqu that . He is hate. Is he spewing out words of hate against all races and i dont think its right. What did trump say that was hateful specifically . Mostly against my friends, hispanics. What did he say . He wants to build a wall. Keep my friend here of hispanic culture out of the country. They are sending their rapists. They are sending their worst people hot [bleep] is they. Who is they . Does this look like aa÷ly rapist to you . All right. So, you know, okay. What were going to do now is were going to take a short break. Trump is are you going to stay outside or are you going in, watters . Are you going inside now. If you dont need me,thuc im going inside, bill. Why dont you go inside. I dont know if we are going to get any more rationale discourse from those people. Maybe. But you talk to some people inside after the speeches. Okay . Then i want to set everybody up to Everybody Knows what were doing. No script tonight. A big republican gala in midtown, manhattan. We have trump come on stage soon. Then john kasich. And then ted cruz. We will go in and out of those speeches. We have a bunch of analysts standing by. Some new polling for you and all of that as the factor continues all across the u. S. A. And all around the world. I take these out. To put in dr. Scholls active series insoles. They help reduce wear and tear on my legs, becuase they have triple zone protection. And reduce shock by 40 . So i feel like im ready to take on anything. Trust number one doctor recommended dulcolax constipated . Use dulcolax tablets for gentle overnight relief suppositories for relief in minutes and stool softeners for comfortable relief of hard stools. Dulcolax, designed for dependable relief for your retirement, you want to celebrate the little things, because theyre big to you. And that is why you invest. The best returns arent just measured in dollars. Td ameritrade®. Youre down with crestor. Alright now theres a way you can get crestor for 3. Adding crestor, along with diet, lowers bad cholesterol. Crestor is not for people with liver disease, or women who are nursing,pregnant, or may become pregnant. Tell your doctor all medicines you take. Call your doctor if you have muscle pain or weakness; feel unusually tired; have loss of appetite, upper belly pain, dark urine or yellowing of skin or eyes. These could be signs of serious side effects. Ask for the crestor 3 card. Ask your doctor about crestor. All right. Thanks for staying with us, we are doing unscripted factor tonight because we have are republican gala in midtown manhattan. We are waiting for donald trump to speak. We have a new poll the Washington Post abc news. We are going to have Bernie Goldberg to help us analyze. First question about about trump is among women. And 24 favorable among the ladies. 75 unfavorable. So, thats hold firm now that trump is friends with megyn kelly again. This has got to go way down, right . You know, let me say one thing before i get to the poll, donald trump wants to build a wall. I think he should build a wall to keep Jesse Watters out of this country. Cheap shot, goldberg, come on, man, he is out there with the folks. I am willing to acknowledge that may be a cheap shot. I have said to you before, bill, that this will not end well for the republicans. If those numbers hold up, of the ones you just mentioned is just one of them an unfavorable thats off the charts. It cant end well for the Republican Party. You are right. Here is more startling number. I dont understand this number. Africanamericans favorable for trump 7 . Og unfavorable 91 . What did donald trump ever do to africanamericans . Im not getting this. Far and away the biggest repudiation of any political candidate. You know what . Thats a fair question. He certainly hasnt done anything specific. You can make the c se that he made comments about mexicans. That mexicans, you know,nuy latins, americans dont like or latinos in this country dont like. You might make that case. Right. He hasnt done anything to my knowledge that would offend so many black people. But i think its the persona. Hillary clinton is very popular among black voters, very popular. She panders to the black electorate a lot. You know, they like her. If she is the opponent of a donald trump. Can you see how they might say we like hillary, therefore, we dont like trump. But there is no rationale reason. You are on to something there. Africanamerican viewers if you will write me and let me know, i will do it tomorrow. We will do a segment on it among hispanics, 15 favorable for trump. 81 unfavorable. So that, you know, runs the table, women, blacks and hispanics. Thats not a surprise. Let me get out the ted cruz numbers. Women, 37 favorable. 53 unfavorable. Among africanamericans, 34 favorable for cruz. Thats not a bad number. Huhuh. Unfavorable 51 . Hispanics, even though senator cruz is hispanic, favorable 32 , unfavorable 46 . Hispanics really dont know him very much. Thats what that number says. Africanamericans, like cruz, a lot more than they like trump. Again, why . Well, they like him a lot more than they like trump. But, they probablykm like david duke a little more than they like trump. There is no rationale for either the favorable for cruz among africanamericans or unfavorable. I dont understand the number. Well, one of the problems is and hear me out on this. Is that you are looking at this rationalely. And that may not be the right way to look at anything during this political season. Its there is not a lot thats been rational. No, true. These poll numbers may reflect that. Usually there is a thread of emotion and a thread of linear thinking through here, the two things and i said this to miss dana. We are going to take a break. I dont know who that guy is i thought it was rich little in the beginning, but it isnt. He is just, i guess, introducing trump. So what were going to do is take a break. Were going to come back. Everybody is holding where we are. And when donald trump comes out we will go right to him. As the factor continues. And we appreciate you watching tonight. Rich little, everyone. Its a natural source of fiber and five essential vitamins. Amazin prune juice and amazin prune light. From sunsweet, the feel good fruit. With a full tank of freedom, find your own highway well take you wherever you go. Take you wherever you go. This is my retirement. Retiring retired tires. And i never get tired of it. Are you entirely prepared to retire . Plan your never tiring retiring retired tires retirement with e trade. [ boss ] it is a very smart plan. So were all on board . [ paul ] no. This is a stupid plan. Hate drama . Go to cars. Com. Research. Price. Find. Only cars. Com helps you get the right car without all the drama. Only cars. 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Man 2 not sure, probably offshore, foreign, pros. Man 1 what did they get . Man 2 what didnt they get. Man 1 i need to call mike. Man 2 dont use your phone. Its not just security, its defense. Bae systems. Continuing with the live oreilly factor. We are awaiting donald trump at republican gala in midtown, midatlantic. Before would do that, go to dana perino. Do you understand the numbers for donald trump. Not particularly well. You look at the cruz number which you said was better was 34 . 34 . I think that could be two things. One, as we have seen in his hunt for delegates across the country, he has a superior organization. And his campaign is organized in all of those states. So it could be that they have done a little bit more personal onetoone outreach on that score. All right. With trump, that number of 91 unfavorable from the black community is almost the exact opposite of when Hillary Clinton has been in states with the high africanamerican population she has won that vote by about anywhere from 85 to 91 . Very loyal voters. So maybe they got mad at trump for attacking Hillary Clinton that one time . They are loyal to her . Lets ask rivera. You are on the street, rivera. Yes, i am. Why 91 7 . I had two pentagon officials visit me yesterday. Both black women, they were coming to arrange the Army Celebration birthday. They both said they would feel afraid toan attend a trump function. When you remember who gets beat up at trump rallies, yes, they are activists but the black lives matter, occupy people. They are very often black people. He had a southern strategy, donald trump. He had a southern strategy, donald trump, remember. He why didnt he condemn david duke . He knew who david duke was . Everyone knows who david duke is. I put that off to you made a very good point that the videotape that has been shown of the confrontations at some trump rallies, sometimes has featured white Trump Supporters hitting black protesters. Almost always. Almost always. That, rivera, i think you may have hit it . A very negative vibe. Played over and over and over and over on black entertainment television, on the internet, on sites that africanamericans go to on social media. Its over and over. I think rivera has hit on it is that the first time in 20 years i ever. [ laughter ] but i think thats it. Would you say . Im going to have to say its the first time i will join. You goldberg, do you think he is right . I do. I think that makes a lot of sense. Its the pu uju of images. If you see a black kid, no matter what he did 10 seconds earlier, walking upstairs. Leaving the arena and some old white idiot coal cocks him. Physical people are watching that video and they are going to say