after iowa, new hampshire, two states that have determinative his historically dating back to the 1970s, both in the republican and democratic primaries. i don't think we will have a clearer idea. what is interesting about the outcome of the reason why you see people like bloombergg entering the race is only 4% of the overall delegates will be allocated in e first four states. even after that, we might go until march 17th because you've got over 60% will have been delegated by them. typically, the field starts to shake out after iowa, after new hampshire. if you look at polling right now, mayor pete is pretty well-positioned. that also could change. warren was leading the packac previously and iowa until she got pummeled in the two debates ago. te>> tucker: mayor pete as a child who represents a totally insignificant city in the middle west and hasn't done a good job doing it. if he is the frontrunner in iowa, the people are in trouble. >> who is a candidate? that is what democrats are struggling. if you look at joe biden, who has been leading the pack