anything -- anything can happen here. paul: let me ask about haley. she has been trying to consolidate that non-trump vote. are there enough of those voters in the republican coalition that if she emerged as a single alternative she could put it together and beat trump? >> i think there is. trump typically has been around 50%, 23 states, the republican process given the nod at the end of the day of the iowa winter or the new hampshire winner. i think if she does get things going in new hampshire, she could give trump a real race considering the problems and difficulties he has got to mount a successful second term challenge.