John who will be our next president . Pollsters and pundits claim they know whos likely to win or mot win. I dont trust them. Theyve been wrong so often. When i want to know whats likely to happen i turn to the people with the best track record, people who bet, people who put their own money on the line. Put their money where their mouths are. In past elections the futures markets run by Companies Like intrade. Com, consistently predicted Election Results more accurately than polls and pundits. This is useful information that should be available to people. Unfortunately our control freak government shut down intrade and banned most Good American prediction markets. Government says gambling is contrary to the public interest. Fortunately american politicians dont control the whole world and today a british betting site bet fares where people are allowed to bet on politics. Bet fares says the frontrunners are clinton and bush. Whoa, sounds like were back in 1992. Voters sure like familiar names. Bet fares says Hillary Clinton is well ahead of jeb bush. He has a 46 chance of becoming americas next president. Bush has a 17 chance. Still its a horse race that 46 means hillary is not favored to win the presidency. 54 chance she wont be president thankfully. And at 17 , jeb bush is only slightly ahead of marco rubio rand Paul Scott Walker and others. What does it mean for libertarians . We believe government that governs best governs least. And best government leaving us free to pursue our own affairs. Matt welch is editor of reason magazine, you cant be happy with the frontrunners. Ecstatic with the frontrunners. Because theyre the frontrunners right now they get the bulk of the Media Attention right now and theyre going to remind americans on a daily basis they dont want a coronation. Hillary clinton was the frontrunner through most of 2007 and 2008 and democrat base didnt like having a coronation then and backed barack obama. Jeb bush has some of the highest negative Favorability Ratings because people dont want another bush. Im fine with them being frontrunners now, its going to dull ability to be frontrunners later. John you think voters dont like royalty. Someone is going to rise up from the left and challenge Hillary Clinton. We dont know who that is going to be. What the issue is going to be. What i worry is issue is Elizabeth Warrenbill de blasio economic populism, minimum wage type of issue, thats where a lot of passion is in the democratic base. That will push hillary to be worse on economics than she is right now. John and destroy our futures perhaps. This royalty Business People like familiar names, south korea the elected president is daughter of a former president. Bangladesh the Prime Minister daughter of the countrys founding father. Singapore the Prime Minister is the son of a nations first Prime Minister. Voters are stupid . You know, rand paul, last i looked is the son of somebody of some interest to your audience it. Gets your name in the door and allows you to raise money early on. Jeb bush, he wanted to scare everybody off. His brother did that successfully in 1999. Announce first, the establishment is going to go away. Thats Hillary Clintons strategy. Its not jeb bush. John immigration, hillary supports obamas executive orders. Bush is more center, he doesnt support the executive orders but wants a path to citizenship. The best thing about the bush family in my judgment has been their generally proimmigration stance that America Needs immigration, we should be compassionate and not kick out 11 million 14 million Illegal Immigrants that are here. How we get there is how we saw george w. Bush who wanted to do a reform package and never got passed. John minimum wage hillary wants it raised. Bush said i think state minimum wages are fine. Its better than a federal minimum wage, certainly. Again bush is on education and a bunch of other issues an affirmative kind of republican out there. Hes a tax cut and spend republican. John and did some really good things promoting School Choice in florida, which hill sear not a supporter of. Shes charters schools and against vouchers. The best single thing about jeb bush as governor. More educational choice in florida than most places outside of louisiana at this point because of him. John hillary supports trade restrictions. Go to 2008 speech at the Democratic Convention she took credit for everything that happened in the 90s that was good under bill clinton. Wanted to bathe in the holy glow of creating 20 million jobs and the second half of her speech, she condemned every single one of the policies that made it happen. Especially free trade. Nafta is wrong, instead of having al gore debate ross perot. She blamed the financial crisis on a piece of legislation here husband signed so she is not bill clinton on economics at all. John her economics just scare me. Dont let anyone tell you its corporations and businesses that create jobs. Hello . The idea that that is popular message is crazy if you think about it. These people running on this have been losing elections right and left. Nancy pelosi is out of power. People who ran on the economics except in deep blue states and cities have lost. John there are several ways to measure where people fall on the political spectrum and issues. I put the worlds smallest political quiz on my website. It scores you based on how you answer ten questions about Economic Freedom and personal freedom. And matt and i joined 292 Million People who have taken that test. We scored up near the top of the libertarian category. No surprise. The testmaker, advocates for selfgovernment scored the candidates based on statements theyve made. Hillary appears to the left but on the statist side statest means authoritarian, they believe governments should control lots of life. Jeb bush scored closer to the center he favors more Economic Freedom. The scariest politicians are those who dont want us to have personal or Economic Freedom. Total statist and would score at the bottom of the diamond. Did i describe statist accurately . I believe so, they want to use the state to enforce beliefs about economics and private personal behavior. John im surprised that jeb bush comes out to the left. He went to the left because he supports free speech and doesnt want laws against consenting adults and sexual activity. He always sounded notes that were more reasonable and tolerant of them. John hillarys instinct is to regulate everything. Here she is in 2005 demanding tougher laws against video games. We are determined to stop a situation in which video games with pornographic and violent content are being peddled to our children. John i had lunch with her once, and her instinct is to just everything can be fixed with regulation. If youve worked in public life or in government for that long you see nongovernmental activities with the a fair amount suspicion these are marks that can you shake down for Campaign Cash or you just dont trust that they have the same benign motives that the rest of us do. John thank you, matt welch. Lets discuss one person who says shes not running. People feel like the system is rigged against them, and heres the painful part. Theyre right. John the system is rigged against the Little People . Thats what progressives say and senator Elizabeth Warren gets people worked up about it. There is nobody in this country who got rich on his own. You moved your goods to market on the roads the rest of us paid for. You hired workers the rest of us paid to educate. You were safe in your factory because the Police Forces and fire forces that the rest of us paid for. John that passionate speech has been viewed more than a million times on youtube. So far, though when warren is asked are you going to run for president . No. John she sounds pretty certain why. Doesnt she run . There are so many things she wants to do. I think we need to lower the Interest Rate on Student Loans. I think we need to put more money into medical research. I think we need to raise the minimum wage. John on all arguments that appeal to leftist groups like movon. Org washington director is ben wickler. You must like her want and her to run . Absolutely. You might be an Elizabeth Warren fan and you dont know it yet. Right now as warren points out, the government has its thumb on the scale on the side of parasitic corporations. Shes for the exim bank that gives money to boeing. There are a thousand ways the free market is involved in the government of the United States. John why isnt she involved in the exim bank. Id like to ask wall street why the federal government charges lower Interest Rates to wall street banks than students for Student Loans. The Student Loan Debt is now 1. 2 trillion dollars. 7 Million Students are in default. Bankers are more likely to pay them back. First of all, i remember financial crisis recently which the federal government wound up putting a whole bunch of money in wall street. It goes to Student Loans. Corporations, for profit colleges are gaming the system and pulling in giant amounts of Student Loans they know that students wont be able to repay because the students never graduate. That is the rigging of the system and elizabeth war sen against it. Every american would look and say that is a corrupt and bad system. John lets take the speech which is so popular you didnt build, you didnt get rich on your own. We paid for the roads the education the cops and firefighters, none of that is federal money, thats state and local government but the federal government is spending 3. 5 trillion dollars, you want them to spend more. Are you crazy . No the speech is a basic idea that people that wasnt a speech about the federal government. That was a speech about the idea of government of about the fact that were interdependent in the world. John senator warren talks about protecting entitlements like Social Security. We believe that after a lifetime of work, a person is entitled to retire with dignity, and that means protecting Social Security, protecting medicare, and protecting our pension. John because people like me want to cut it. We say its unsustainable, and lower the payments so theyll last. What would you do . Well youre saying lower the payments because you want to make sure there are payments in the future, right . We agree that Social Security payments are important. So the question is how to make sure people retire with dignity . What Elizabeth Warren is calling for is expanding Social Security benefits. John where are you going to get the money . You get the money by adjusting the tax system to make sure everyone pays their fair share. John taxing the rich . If we set up a tax system that reflects the basic idea that every american pays their fair share and has a chance to get ahead. We will pay for the things we need and everyone will be able to prosper. John dream on thank you for joining us and for you to join the discussion and where you fall in the political quiz, tweet us and use the hashtag election 2016 or like my Facebook Page so can you post your result on my wall. Coming up, ill say who i plan to vote for but next, candidates who make me nervous because we make such a big deal about their religion. This is not just a political issue. It is a biblical issue. If youre taking multiple medications does your mouth often feel dry . A dry mouth can be a side effect of many medications. But it can also lead to tooth decay and bad breath. Thats why theres biotene available as an oral rinse toothpaste, spray or gel. Biotene can provide soothing relief and it helps keep your mouth healthy too. Remember, while your medication is doing you good a dry mouth isnt biotene, for people who suffer from a dry mouth. People ship all kinds of things. But what if that thing is a few hundred thousand doses of flu vaccine. That need to be kept at 41 degrees. While being shipped to a country where its 90 degrees. In the shade. Sound hard . Yeah. Does that mean people in laos shouldnt get their vaccine . We didnt think so. From figuring it out to getting it done, were here to help. I am totally blind. And sometimes i struggle to sleep at night, and stay awake during the day. This is called non24. Learn more by calling 8448242424. Or visit your24info. Com. John most americans want their president to believe in god. A poll found 53 said they would be less likely to vote for an atheist. Theyre more likely to reject an atheist than a candidate who never held office before or one who is gay or one who had an affair . No surprise at all todays president ial candidate says they believe in god. But some make a bigger deal of it. Were it not for the transformative love of jesus christ. Ted cruz announced his candidacy at the worlds biggest christian university. I believe god isnt done with america yet. And that is why today i am announcing that im running for president of the United States. John my former colleague Mike Huckabee and former senator Rick Santorum emphasized religious values. They want to ban samesex marriage and abortion. So does gary bauer president of the Group American values. So for you, a president ial candidate must be religious, deeply religious . No, i wouldnt say must, john. Just as in a libertarian competition people would want to know if you had read fountain head. You probably would be too. John you prefer meezus or atlas shrug. I didnt just look up atlas shrug, i read them. What reporters are doing is saying look faith is important to me and going to form my views from race to poverty to war and peace to the other hot button thaushs mentioned. John lets cover some of the issues. In your ideal world abortion would be illegal everywhere . Theres no way were going to get in america to a place where all abortions are illegal. The question before is there one abortion out of 1 1 2 million or 2 million a year that anybody is willing to regulate. And abortion in the seventh month an abortion to pick the sex of the baby. There arent many countries that elevated the right to take the life of an unborn child into a high constitutional privilege the way we have in the United States. John gay marriage, should not be allowed . Not recognized . Marriage between anybody other than a man and a woman has not been recognized in this country up until about the last decade. John why . Its very recent very sudden young people are against you on this . The only poll that matters is one where people actually vote. And i find it interesting that the samesex Marriage Movement still resists having votes on this issue. Theres been an effort in the last couple years to make anybody who says i believe what several thousand years of civilization says that marriage is between a man and a woman. Theres been an effort quite effective to make the person look like theyre some sort of raving bigot a maniac. John tell a pollster one thing and do another thing. They are afraid to say publicly. A businessman can be kicked out of his company. A food chain can john lets talk about that the most recent controversy centered on indianas law that would allow a religious person to say, i dont want to bake a cake for a gay wedding. I dont believe in that. Democrats spun this as an attack on gays. A hostile legal right to discriminate. Look as a libertarian isense you are concerned about this, the initial appeal to change marriage law was based on libertarian argument. Live and let live. Why cant we live our lives. John right i say you shouldnt have to prove youre religious to make a decision like that. I understand. Isnt it interesting how in less than a decade the whole debate has moved from the live and let live to we are going to use government to force you, by law to participate in something that your faith may tell you is an inappropriate thing to participate in. Im amazed john from tolerance to force. Exactly. What is it that the president Hillary Clinton the Big Government crowd. What is it that they would do to that momandpop owner of the pizza place that doesnt want to cater a samesex marriage. John fine them, put them out of business . And reeducation, put them in jail. It seems odd in america that were going down that road. John seems odd to me that we continue the drug war. Shoe that work out for you . The thing that america lacks is not more people who are high. John agree. Its not about that. Its about banning it and the problems that causes. I think were going to find out in short order that make it legal causes tremendous problems. John colorado and washington so far it hasnt. Wait and see how it plays out. The most religious candidates Mike Huckabee, ted cruz, santorum theyre not doing well in the betting. 5 for cruz 4 huckabee. Santorum, i dont get it, he is a senator good looking, speaks well, never does well when people vote. Santorum did fantastic when people voted in the race four years ago. Its a stronger field this time