Much about on the campaign trail. It shows the race much closer, in fact, a couple of days ago he had the lead. In the most recent version it comes out every day at 6 00 in the morning, were now in day seven, the Hillary Clinton with a onepoint advantage over donald trump. That is much smaller, obviously, than what we saw in the average of what weve seen in other polls. Dont dismiss this out of hand. I know some people are as we look at a chart of it since it began. This is, as i said, day number seven. The trends are in fave of mrs. Clinton, theyre her friend. Instead of being down two, shes up one. Still margin of error stuff in this poll. Shes been doing better in the south, among moderates, so it is trending in her direction. But polls like this are outliers, and a lot of people will ask questions, how do they compare to other polls like abc or cnn which showed her up by five points. You know, we dont necessarily find any issues with this idb poll. Its history is quite solid over the last three election cycles, its been very, very accurate. In 2008 it was right on the nose with thensenator obamas victory over john mccain, hit it just right, and in the other years its been accurate as well compared to other polls. Then you start to look at methods, and a lot of the polling experts will say, well, the way they do the poll is different, or its not done well. Not the case with this either. Its a telephone poll, they call cell phones, land lines, similar in many ways to the polling thats done at other big media organizations, fox news included. The difference is, neil, it is an outlier, and we see this. Thats why one of the reasons we look so closely at polling averages, because when something is so different from the average, you start to wonder why. We dont know, but it is an outlier. Look at the averages, the swing states, still advantages for Hillary Clinton, but dont dismiss this other poll out of hand, because its been accurate in the past. Neil you know, its interesting for a Garrett Johnson in this poll and other polls, its his support thats crumbled. Thats pretty clear. Now, who is the automatic beneficiary, is anybodys guess. Some people think Hillary Clinton benefits, others where it could be donald trump. Yeah, youre right. Weve seen them go down, and this idb poll, he was higher than this, 8 there its actually pretty good compared to some other places. But youre right, in some of those polls we talk about whether its abc, cnn or our own poll, we have seen that Third Party Support go down. The candidates or their camps, theyre always knocking the methods, knocking whatever it is. Yesterday it was oversampling which, by the way, is not necessarily a fair criticism. There are more people who identify as democrats than republicans. And then on the left they look at a poll and say, oh, thats too close, forget about it. But its been accurate. Neil thank you, my friend, connell healthcare shane. Now, despite the closeness in that particular poll and others that seem to show this is still a race depending on the state although one that generally favors Hillary Clinton, you would think its a landslide, its over, pack it up, call it a day. As we rifle through some of these headlines, victory in sight, Donald Trumps chances of winning are approaching zero, hurington post huffington post, Hillary Clintons chances thats so weird. And politico, trump starts presumably that hes going to lose. So you just wonder, wheres the media coming from here . Is it a bit premature to just be saying based on that sampling its all over . Kell ridell, the Washington Times online editor. I know there is inconsistencies to the polls, but i do think i mean, some are closer than others. But to almost say its over, she wins in a walk with two weeks to go, that seems a little weird. What do you think . The press wants this to be over. The press has been root aring for Hillary Clinton since the beginning, and i i think they want the race to be over so they can take a victory lap. A Media Research center study was just released today. 91 of Donald Trumps coverage from the networks has been negave over a 12week period from july to october. And hes received the bulk of their coverage. Not Hillary Clinton. So, yeah, they want to put him down, and they think that theyve got the poll numbers to do that neil but they dont even care, do they . [laughter] and i should posit that donald trump doesnt do this show, hes not a fan of mine, although i think he likes me, thats just me talking vulnerable [laughter] the collective media isnt even trying to balance this out with the negative stories that are disproportionate on donald trump by a factor of 10 to 1. Its like this wikileaks story outside of the more egregious revelations dont even get covered. Forget about page 1, theyre not on page anything, and thats weird. No. Yeah, no, and you see in the polls over the past few months whoevers doing the explaining, defending themselves, is the one that takes the hit in the poll. When Hillary Clinton after the fbi came out with their indictment of her it wasnt an actual lawful indictment, but when james comey came out talking about her email server use e her numbers cratered. The same thing after wikileaks started to release some of these emails showing the connection between the Clinton Foundation neil right. Legitimate stories, all. Yes. Neil right. But this is a change election, and this is something that isnt being discussed, and donald trump is talking about it today. The obamacare story, i think, is going to be huge for him. I already spoke to two people today who had their premiums skyrocketing and dont know what to do. Theyve lost the plans, they have to search for a new one thats going to offer them less than what they had at a higher price, and hes got to get out in front of this story. Hes been doing a good job today at his rallies, as well as he did an interview with fox news on it. When people get hit in their pocketbooks, that makes them go out and vote. Its one of the key motivators neil it depends on how the media will spin that story. I saw one item, i think in usa today, but it posited all of this phenomenon with the higher premiums by saying, yeah, but a lot of those will be balanced out by big subsidies that will cushion the blow. In other words, pay no heed. Yeah. Its just the taxpayer that has to pay those subsidies, right . Where is that minnesota coming from . Money coming from . From the taxpayers pocket. Thats where the real reporting needs to come in. Well see how it plays out, but theres two weeks, theres still a lot of issues, this is a change election, and its the American Voter thats going to determine it. Neil thats exactly right. Kelly ridell, thank you very much. All right, we were mentioning whats going on in obamacare land, the premiums on average expected to shoot up 25 next year. Their penalties to consider, triple what we were seeing last year at this time. The biggest annual jump to date in this now six, sevenyearold program. Donald trump adviser betsy mccoy here to say i think i told you so because, give this young lady credit, when everyones saying this was the greatest thing since sliced bread which depending on your views on bread might not be such a good idea [laughter] but shes saying, look, if it sounds too good to be true, it probably is. Which is what we were saying when they were cooking this up. Donald trump pounding it no less than three times already today. We expect a lot more. What do you think he should be pounding . Well, first of all, contrary to what the president has said, this is not growing pains, this is not a starter house. Obamacare has a fatal flaw which will make premiums continue to go up very fast and enrollment continue to. Rink as a result. Shrink as a result. So the situation is only going to get worse. He should stress that his plan and also the Republican House plan offer americans coverage for people with preexisting conditions, they can keep their kids on their plan til theyre 26, things that people really like, but it will repeal the fatal flaw in obamacare so that Healthy People can afford to buy Health Insurance again. Neil yeah. But the fear that people have of a donald trump coming in and republicans ripping this up is that, you know, 10, 12 million americans lose their Health Insurance that is not going to happen. Thats exactly what im underscoring. Ive read both those plans very carefully, and they will also offer help for those who cant afford Health Insurance neil who will offer help . Taxpayers. And most importantly, neil, most importantly people with preexisting conditions will be guaranteed coverage under both the House Republican plan and the trump plan neil but is there a turnover period where youre junking one to protect those who did get the coverage . No. And heres whats really key. The people who are or chronically ill, who need on average ten times as i much health care as Healthy People, will be in a separate risk pool, and their insurance will be subsidized by everybody in america instead of the small number of people who are in the individual insurance market. Thats whats making obamacare fail. Neil but wont that make insurance go up for everybody . No, it wont with. It will be taken out of general tax revenues, not out of insurance premiums. Neil i dont know, that sounds weird. And more importantly, ive talked to the trump campaign, and theyre looking at suspending these incredibly big penalties on day one. Be. Neil and how do you pay for that if you suspend the penalties . There are more people incurring the obamacare penalty right now than are signed up for obamacare. And the penaltity is 995 on average, its 2. 5 of your gross income, but its a big penalty this year. Over 2,000 per household. So people are looking at that penalty, they ought to the realize that if a republican is elected to the presidency, theyre going to get that penalty probably waived right away. Neil all right. A lot of people are looking at this and saying, folks like you crching the numbers that if it sounded too good to be true, it probably was. People do like coverage for preexisting coverage, depending on if they like their kid, keeping them on their policy longer. [laughter] they had to realize when they were cooking this up that it was going to cost a lot. Did they hoodwink us when they passed it absolutely, they did. They lied. They told you you could keep your doctor, you could keep your plan if you liked it neil i think they were counting on more young people signing up, and it didnt happen. It was never going to happen because, as i said, chronically ill people 5 of the population use 50 of the health care. So to try and force young, Healthy People into those plans and pay the same price, we saw it in new york state. What obamacare is like was tried in new york state the decade before and absolutely collapsed. Everyone should have learned from the new york mistake. We warned them. I was Lieutenant Governor of new york. I saw that happen. I warned them it was not going to work. Its like trying to feed a chihuahua and a great dane on the same budget. Neil i see where youre going here. A chihuahua is a little dog, and a great dane is a big dog. [laughter] betsy, thank you very much. Betsy mccoy. All right, the Virginia Governor is saying, you know, it must be silly season, dismissing charges that he set up a candidate running for the state senate in his state because that candidates husband would be playing an integral role at the fbi deciding the fate9 of Hillary Clinton and those emails. The candidate lost, but this issue isnt going away. Are you on medicare . Do you have the coverage you need . Open enrollment ends december 7th. So nows the time to get on a path that could be right for you. With plans including aarp medicarecomplete insured through unitedhealthcare. Call today or go online to enroll. These Medicare Advantage plans can combine your hospital and doctor coverage with Prescription Drug coverage, and extra benefits all in one complete plan for a low monthly premium, or in some areas no plan premium at all. Other benefits can include 0 copays for an annual physical and most immunizations, routine vision and hearing coverage, and youll pay the plans lowest prescription price, whether its your copay or the pharmacy price. Or pay zero dollars for a 90day supply of tier 1 and tier 2 drugs, with home delivery. Dont wait, call unitedhealthcare or go online to enroll in aarp medicarecomplete. Neil all right, Virginia GovernorTerry Mcauliffe says there is no there there, it must be silly season, all this scrutiny of his Political Action committee donating about half a Million Dollars to dr. Jill mccabe, democratic candidate for the state senate. She went on to lose, but people are looking back at that donation because it so happens she was married to andrew mccabe, now the Deputy Director of the fbi and a key figure in overseeing what the fbi was going to do about those Hillary Clinton emails. A fella that wants to get to the bottom of all this is the Virginia Republican party chairman. John, you have called for more information, the email, the correspondence, the communications between the campaign and the governor, i guess . Enlighten me. Right. Well, you know, weve made a foia request to the governor. We want to know what the communication was with between dr. Mccabe during this campaign and governor mcauliffe. And, you know, out of nowhere the Lieutenant Governor of virginia calls a person whos never run for office before and asks her to run for office in a district that is completely unwinnable for democrats, and they proceed to give her almost half a Million Dollars out of a super pac, and the Democratic Party gives her over 200,000. And then that race is over, and then all of a sudden this, her husband is appointed to be the, you know, second in command at the fbi and is overseeing the clinton email investigation. So its, these coincidences that the clintons find themselves in and our governor, they look shady. Neil you know, john, they come back and say there was no quid pro quo, he gave, or his Political ActionCommittee Gave more money to two other candidates. I dont know that they won or lost, but that this is nothing special or different. What do you say . Well, you know, they had an established candidate running already in that district, probably someone who had a better chance of winning, at least the candidate thinks so. I live in the county where this district is, its a very conservative district. And, you know, for them to clear the field for this particular person whos never run for office before just as one of those coincidences that the clintons keep having happen to them. Oneil neil so lets play this out and what might come of your request in trying to get more information. Would it even be that blatant . In other words, in the communication would are you looking for a smoking gun, someone on the governors staff saying do you know who her husband is or that kind of stuff . I mean, short of that you might come up empty, right . Well, i think no, i dont think so. I think no matter what happens, if you look at the timeline of this and, you know, what were hoping to do with the foia request is find out what Terry Mcauliffe knew and when did he know it. And with this foia request if we get back communications between him and his campaign or her campaign and his office where theyre talking about the fact that hes a highranking fbi official. And, you know, one of the things that created this situation in the first place that made us really question whats going on here is the denial that came out from jill mccabe and the fbi. She put out a statement that you all reported where she basically denied that her husband had any involvement in the campaign whatsoever. The fbi then came out with a similar statement that said he had no involvement, and they were emphatic about it. Well, my staff spent five minutes on facebook, and you could still go on dr. Mccabes Campaign Facebook right now, and you see her husband campaigning for her on election day. Hes in mail pieces which are paid for and authorized by the mccabe campaign and by the Democratic Party of virginia. Hes on social media saying write up a sign that says why youre voting for my wife. Thats fine in normal cases for a pows to do that, thats expected for a spouse to do that, thats expected. But when dr. Mccabe and the fbi both say he had nothing to do with this campaign, weve proven that false with a very cursory review. And the erosion of the public trust in the fbi relationship is really whats at issue, and this is another example of it. Neil but is it affecting polls . One side seem to put the state out of reach for donald trump. Maybe im reading it differently. Hes even withdrawn, you know, monies from the state himself thinking that maybe its a lost cause. What are you hearing . Well, i mean, that was an erroneous report, that they withdrew resources. In fact, he invested 2 million in ads. Hes running tv ads neil but the polls look pretty tough still, dont they . They look tough for republicans, miraculously, every year. In to 13 our governors race, Ken Cucinelli was dow