Things are looking; right . Yeah, ted cruz. Said earlier this morning that he absolutely believes he is a path to victory even if he loses indiana and hes in the race until the end. The numbers, though, appear to be trending away from cruz in the Hoosier State. Heres where the polling stands as of this moment the day before election day. Latest poll comes from nbc news and the wall street journal. It has trump at 49 , beating cruz by some a15 points. Now, that poll has changed the indiana polling average to more than seven points in trumps favor. Trump tops the 40 mark at about 40. 5 . Cruz brushed aside the polling saying there is a 30point swing. Now, the way he gets there, what hes talking about is a poll from last week that had him up 16 points over trump. However, that poll very well could be an outlier at this point. Cruz as you mentioned making a bunch of stops today. Five all across indiana. His first at a restaurant they really morning as you see there. Afterwards he took questions from reporters and insinuated that trump would be an embarrassment to the country. Listen here. Do you really want to go through the next four years with a president who if your child came home and simply uttered the words coming out of that president s mouth would make you punish your child . Would make you embarrassed for your child . Now, one more note on the polling, connell, that nbc wall street journal poll showed 58 of likely primary voters disapprove of cruz and kasich teaming up to try to beat trump in indiana. Well see with the polling tomorrow whether or not that had any affect on votes, final votes there. Yeah, it doesnt seem like its working out. Blake, thanks. The other thing was ted cruz throwing that hail mary or some on social media called it the hail carly. Announcing Carly Fiorina as his vp pick. Which also doesnt seem to be working out. And it seemed to have any positive effect for senator cruz, does it, david . I dont know if it hurt him, but that poll as blake said certainly hurt him over the weekend. Yeah. It doesnt seem to have helped too much. All along the choice of fiorina. There were three reasons. One that you were able to sort of put Something Else on the front page, get people talking about something other than trumps big victories last tuesday. The second was to get women to give cruz a second look where maybe they might not have otherwise. And the third of course is thinking ahead to california. But if cruz does as badly in the Hoosier State as that one poll suggestions, and its not the only poll certainly. But if he does that badly, then its hard to imagine certai impossible to imagine him getting to a contested convention if that happens. But, you know, does he continue to campaign . He might. He might continue it. If it turns out that badly for him. Well, that is kind of the question now. Its funny that we found ourselves in this position, all the twists and turns this race has taken. But to your point, this is not the only poll. Yeah, the nbc wall street journal poll shows a larger lead than some of the others. But it looks like trumps ahead. So if we get to wednesday morning and trump has won indiana and taken, say, all of the delegates. Taken all 57, what odds would you put on cruz moving forward . You think its 6040 . 50 50 . Or will he get serious consideration to dropping out . I think if trump were to get all of the delegates that cruz would have no chance at all of winning ultimately. Wee go on is another question. There are more things concerned here than just the president ial vote at the convention. There are also concerns about what sort of platform is the Convention Going to produce . What sort of rules is it going to put in place . He might, you know, try to come up with some kind of justification to go on beyond that. He would almost be like Bernie Sanders, you know . It would start to resemble that situation, yeah. Thats what it would look like. I was at a sanders rally yesterday. Everyone there was so excited and hopeful right here at the Industry Center in indiana. And it was just sort of hard to talk to some of them and say, you know, you really think he has a chance to win . That may that could well end up being the situation that cruz finds himself in if he really gets killed in indiana. Or maybe theres another twist in the race. Thanks. From the washington examiner. Now, to get into these numbers in indiana, Deirdre Bolton is back to help us break down the race ahead of our coverage tomorrow night. Hey, deirdre. Hey, connell. You said it. Youve been talking about these polls which show that donald trump is expected to do well tomorrow night. But lets take a look at where the delegate count stands right now. As you can see donald trump clearly in the lead. 996, followed by cruz, followed by kasich. So heres the thing. According to our inhouse map, connell, and you know this as well as i do, even if cruz were to win this winner take allstate of indiana, along with nebraska, along with montana, donald trump feasibly could still get to that magic 1237 number. So here we go. Is tomorrow night cruzs water . Thats the question. 57 delegates up for grabs in the great state of indiana. Youve been talking about the polling. I want to show you some of the counties were going to focus on tomorrow night. If you go right to the middle of state. This is of course where you have indianapolis, in marianne county, you remember this. Donald trump there the other night with bobby knight of all people; right . I mean this is the point of trump. He seems to get endorsements from people, from leaders that locals really care about. Bobby knight one of them there. Southwest as well. Were going to be watching this. This could be very much favorable to trump and also northwest. Im going to click in. Its sort of three or four counties up here. Gary, indiana all the way over. And then as you keep moving east with you actually have notre dame here and that in the past at least has been a support for moderate republicans. But essentially in this northwest coast, struggling steel industry, probably going to be very favorable to donald trump. All right. Good stuff. Begins at 6 00 p. M. , when neil begins his coverage. Lets talk about this campaign and a little bit of detail, i know hes getting set. But facing the possibility of more protests tonight after what we saw last week in california and over the weekend again. Bush 41, advisor mark joins us now on all of this kind of thing. And i was out there in california for it. If it maybe helps donald trump in the long run. Some people think in a primary, it does. That it, you know, gives them something opposing force and something to talk about and say that it actually helps trump. What do you think . It does because theres an outrageous ironiy here, connell. And that set these leftist activists whose ultimate objective was to get citizenship for illegal aliens, using violence and the rights of american citizens to make their point. And this is why, by the way, weve seen 64 increase in republican turn out in the primaries thursday far. Partly because of the way trump has leveraged this issue. It is interesting. We were up there as i said covering the one youre looking at now just outside San Francisco the airport where the protesters were able to rush largely because the local Police Officers allowed them to break the barriers and run almost into the hotel where they were scheduled to speak on friday. I wonder, though, if we move to a general election matchup and assuming its trump and hillary that this thing comes back to haunt mr. Trump because it points out how much anger, how much opposition there is on this particularly immigration that is out there that trump will have a hard time countering these argument because these people will always be out there. What do you think . Yeah. I agree, connell. But i dont think woulder going to see much of a difference in the general election. I think there is a great concern for our Border Security across demographic lines with the electorate. You take a look. We have a fresh example in montgomery county, maryland on friday where an illegal alien was sentenced for the murder of a man in which he stabbed maybe about 89 times and cut out his liver. These reminders among some illegal aliens there are grave criminals have really stirred this fear and anxiety in the electorate, and i believe were going to see that show in polling once we have the candidates figure out and determined. Yeah. Costa mesa which were looking at now was actually worse in Orange County in terms of the violence and the number of arrests that had to be made out there. It makes you think if trump and blake was just reporting. We talked with david about it. If trump wins tomorrow, say, in indiana and really does in his mind not only in his mind but in actuality clinch that maybe trump and the protesters, you know, as opposed to trump and his primary opponents. I think so. But im telling you. I believe that what that does is helps them; right . It helps them a lot across the demographics because people are outraged. Look, were talking about an electorate that has struggled for seven years in this economy. Their wages are depressed. Theyre underemployed and, look, then they see an illegal alien, taking some jobs, penetrating our border, theres a complete insecurity. Economic insecurity, national insecurity, and that is whats going to cut across these demographics. So i believe youre right. I think these protests ultimately will help them because theyll rowel up and theyre going to be thinking wait a minute. Are they going to show nup cleveland as well with our nominee . I think were going to see in a general election, this is going to play to trumps advantage. Im sure they will. And pro trump organizers will show up. Even if he does have 1237. These are america last protesters. They believe in america last. Yeah. Thats it. Trumps slogan right there. Hillary clinton in the meantime on the other side of it is trying to put her email troubles behind her; right . Why the real trouble for mrs. Clinton, though, may be just beginning. Well get into that next show me movies with romance. Show me more like this. Show me previously watched. Whats recommended for me. X1 makes it easy to find what you love. Call or go online and switch to x1. Only with xfinity. Show show me more like this. S. Show me previously watched. Whats recommended for me. X1 makes it easy to find what blows you away. Call or go online and switch to x1. Only with xfinity. I think the fbi is running into a problem that theres too much to investigate. I believe theyre going to have to make a summary finding as to violation of the National Records act or keeping of the taking of the documents and of course the classified portion correctivities and president clintons activities and the Clinton Foundation, theyre going to have to leave that until after the election. Connell now, a clinton email investigation going beyond the election. Said this could be bad news. If it does, why is that, alex . Well, i think this would be one of the worstcase scenarios clinton being next to criminal indictment or even losing the election. Imagine in this scenario that lays out that the fbi does something and makes some announcement about the emails but says theyre going to continue investigating the Clinton Foundation and what if shes president when did that going on . That means trying to get anything done. Shes going to have this whole cloud over her. And even imagine this general election. Youre going to have saying talking about the 90s. Those were good years for americans. But i think its going to remind a lot of people. There were a lot of scandals during the on its and republicans are going to say Hillary Clinton gets elected president , youre going to see a lot more scandals, thats all were talking about. Connell all she wants to do, though, is be elected president ; right . So to your point, wouldnt it be worse if she were to be indicted, say, people would be speculating now or before the election is solved or the convention in july . Isnt that the worst case . You think this would be worse for mrs. Clinton . Well, of course we dont know what the fbi is going to say. In the best case snare she would love for the fbi to say we did a lot of investigating and couldnt find anything. I think they want to get this behind them. Connell yeah. They want to be able to say, see, we said from the beginning its nothing but republicans pushing it. Which, by the way, its not just republicans. There was a Bernie Sanders supporter writing fbi, youre our last hope. Connell right. So this is the kind of that were take her down. Connell i know everybody saying hes sticking around because of the cause, to get his issues heard. That may very well be true. But he has to think part of him says, boy, what if something happens. Bernie sanders hasnt really talked about it. He said in that debate im tired of talking about all of these dam emails. Hes still in it. He may go all the way to the convention. And just thinking, what we call the fbi email primary. What if something were to happen between now and the convention . Thats the what i think Bernie Sanders is thinking in the back of his head. Connell a lot of it is just showing up, and he would be there. And he would have all of the delegates and where else would they turn but to Bernie Sanders go i guess; right . I mean people might argue for somebody else, but hes been in the race and won a lot of primaries. So he would have that argument. I mean this is way down the road in a. Well, the former oversight chairman is that theres so much information and the more they look into it, the more stuff out there. Saying this is a big deal. Weve talked soph about emails that theyre going to have to do something before this election. But, you know, maybe when theyre looking at some of these other Clinton Foundation stuff, theyre saying we still need connell imagine a president Hillary Clinton dealing with still dealing with this. Well, thanks, alex, we appreciate you coming on. You bet. Connell paul ryan in the meantime the speaker of the house racing to resolve the puerto rican death crisis. Puerto rico is a great story. Talking about all the speakers in that. What he should do. 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Prints hearing prince had no will but the estate estimated at around 100 million. A judge with the first hearing taking place there today. And well see what comes out of this if anything. But thats beginning at this hour. Puerto rico another big story defaulting on 370 milliondollar payment. So that puts pressure on the speaker of the house. Paul ryan. Gary joins us on where all of this goes from here. Gary, good to see you. The speaker wants to do something. The argument that he would make is, hey, lets act on puerto rico now, make it a conservative move that we make. Not let the democrats control later on because it will be more painful. What do you say . I think hes asinine at this point in time. Puerto rico is never going to pay any of this money back. To even bail him out with one taxpayer dollar is just getting flushed down the toilet. And what we have to remember here they were 24 billion in debt and couldnt handle it back then. But now 70 billion in debt, look, this is a combination of wall street getting a billion dollars in fees, voicing these bonds upon the public, buying them for extra yield. And knowing that theres going to be promises going and people getting a little bit too greedy. And youve got to deal with the fact that puerto rico is a socialist state where half the people are on welfare, and you have a situation where starting teachers get 24,000. But starting Government People get 75,000. Until they change that, nothing good is going to come of it. Connell all right. Youre not a supporter necessarily of speaker ryans plan here. So, gary, what would happen . I assume your ideas are lets do nothing, no bail outs, no nothing. But youre a markets guy. You watch this. And what would happen if puerto rico was allowed to be out there with no bail out of any kind. Would anything happen . What would the result of that be . I dont think so. I think hedge funds are going to lose money. Mutual funds are going to lose money and puerto rico is going to have to figure itself out. The markets are looloo wearing than what would happen in puerto rico and sometimes youve got to declare bankruptcy. You just cant put a 10pound salami in a fivepound bag and they dont have revenue to pay today, yesterday, or going forward. And its amazing anybody would want to continue to kick the can going down road. Bill guess what . Were doing in greece and all these other countries and thats the mo right now. Connell just progressive we can do two things at once, showing you live pictures coming in from the state of indiana now. Ted cruz is campaigning with the governor, mike pence there in marianne, indiana today. Donald trump came out and said it seemed like he was endorsing mr. Trump because his praise for trump at the beginning of the statement went on to say he will be voting for cruz. But there he is campaigning with ted cruz. Gary, to finish up this conversation with puerto rico, and this does relate to politics, we talk about the economic or market risk. What about the Political Risk for the republicans in your view doing nothing . Sometimes, you know, even if theyre right. On principles theyre right, you get the blame for it. Im sure that goes i