earlier. he's been in power for a while and it's likely to continue to fragment as time goes by. if these do shake people's confidence in the economy, that's likely to drive more protests. in libya and tunisia, the arab spring had its birth in job and economic crises. in sosh turkey the spillover from the syria conflict is pushi pushing refugees into the region and right now you look at syria and say this crisis could go on for years and years. if it goes on for years and confidence in the south grows lower, if erdogan continues to get pressured for his support of the rebels in syria, you could see a gradual decline, growing pressure on him and events like the one we're seeing here more