Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg West 20160610 : comparem

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg West June 10, 2016

He wants four more years of obama and no one else does. The Associated Press sites two officials saying that political opponents are speaking out against brexit. John major and tony blair warned leaving the European Union could jeopardize the unity of the u. K. And threaten peace in northern ireland. Global news 24 hours a day powered by our 2400 journalists in more than 150 news bureaus around the world. Bloomberg west is next. Emily i am emily chang and this is bloomberg west. The rise of the machine. A robot revolution is headed towards us and tech will replace 80 of what doctors do. We will have a series on man versus machine. Uber switches gears after announcing it had no plans in the pipeline to offer scheduled rides. They can now book 30 days in advance. Larry page prepares for takeoff. The lid is off the googles cofounders pet project. We have the details of his flying car. To our lead. Technology will replace up to 80 of physicians, what physicians do in the near future. This is according to billionaire investor vinod khosta. And cofounder of sun microsystems. I sat down with him at the future mobile conference earlier today for an exclusive interview and asked him to explain that prediction. Vinod i wrote in 2014 a blog. It basically said more than 50 of all jobs that exist today will be dislocated in 40 years, roughly. 40 of 80 of the jobs, i do not know. But reading the past could not replace human judgment and now, we will. The progress is a stunning example of what people would say machines can do. And alpha go did. That is how it was described in a post i wrote about. It could not be done computationally and with brute force power. That was different. That is what is different about the new ai. It makes much better and more reliable predictions. It will be really good for society. It will mean great gdp growth, great wealth creation. We will have income disparity and we will have to address that. Emily if 50 of jobs are replaced with technology, will the same amount of jobs be created . Vinod i think it is somewhat unlikely. Emily more jobs will be destroyed then created. Vinod for the first time, we may have technologies that just replace more jobs than create. Economists are not qualified to judge what Ai Technology can do just like a doctor commenting on my comment is not qualified to say what a Software System 20 years from now can do. They are completely clueless. In fact, the go champion was clueless about what alpha go could do a week before the go match. And so, experts are the wrong people to ask when the changes are coming from outside the system. Generally. I think that there is a significant probability that jobs will be disrupted and disruption is good for somebody and really bad for other people. Especially for the people being disrupted. I think we will have to say, capitalism will have to do more than optimize for efficiency. It will have to optimize for efficiency and fairness at the same time. Emily you talk about the importance of Founder Led Companies and the power they have. If you think about the Big Technology companies, and the most powerful companies of today, google, apple, facebook, and amazon. One of those companies is no longer led by a founder. How much innovation is left at apple . Vinod Big Companies without founders have a very hard time. They do the sensible things. Sensible and innovation do not go together. If you are reasonable and a good manager and a good process person that can deliver things on time and on schedule, you are the kind of person that is essential to delivering goods, but disruptive to real innovation. You kill it. Founder led companies, larry page is an example, keep innovating. He does some crazy things. Introducing hardware . Walmart is not going to do its own kindle or its own amazon echo. What jeff is trying is all kinds of things. I think founders have personality traits that are unreasonable and maladjusted and that leads to innovation. NonFounder Led Companies have a much harder time. It is too early to say what apple can do. I hope i am wrong. But clearly, the Big Companies generally, especially outside of tech, have a hard time innovating. Emily jeff bezos made a big investment in india, 3 billion. Can india charge forward in the technological revolution . Or will there be insurmountable hurdles that will continue to hold the country back . Vinod i think jeff is a very smart guy. I would not bet against him. He studies the problem quantitatively, every single time. He is not an emotional person. He is very quantitative in how he looks at things. Even when he started selling books, he made an analysis of 50 different categories. I remember him talking about this in 1996 on why books would be the first and best starting point. When jeff says he is going to invest in india, and he has spent more time on ecommerce in india, i completely believe he is doing a smart thing. I do not think it is without risk. But it is risk adjusted. It is probably a very smart cision that he is making. I think if youre talking 10 years, india will be a great market. Emily there is a lot of talk about the environment bubble evaluations. What would you write about that . Vinod my beef with that is that it was written in response to all of the press about private valuations and markdowns. It is silly to write an article about a company like uber or dropbox or airbnb that someone at fidelity marks down. The recent case where they marked it down on a monthly basis and then marked it up again. If these companies were public, their stock prices would go up and down every single day. If they go up and down in the private market, why are they news . The press needs headlines to write about and they do. That to me, is a silly issue. Smart founders, on the other hand, should care about valuations. They get a great valuation, they should take it. Have enough money. When valuations come down, they should resume. When money is freely available, a smart founder uses it to reduce the marketing risk or a product risk or some other risks. Emily you have been publicly supportive of peter thiel. You tweeted about this a number of times. One of those tweets journalists need to be taught lessons. Where do you draw the line when it comes to freedom of the press and the criticism . Vinod the definition of what the press is, is very ambiguous now. Is a bloomberg journalist the same as a hustler magazine journalist . Iis a blog poster a journalist . To me, there are two things that matter. Anything that goes without checks and balances will go off kilter. If there are no checks and balances, there are people like gawker, and buzzfeed they resort to a style of journalism that makes the New York Times a chaser and reduce its standards of journalism. Clearly, the media has been under stress. But what i have seen is the Fact Checking out of the New York Times has gone way down since compared to 10 years ago. I dont blame them. They are chasing the instant news idea. What bothers me is when the New York Times starts chasing what denton calls scraps. And lowers their standards. Checks and balances on people are really important and the press plays an important role. If you ruin the quality of the press, that is a real problem. Freedom of the press is important but the quality of the press is important. I also think the diversity of the press is important. I care about what walker has done to the New York Times. I would like to say that the New York Times has gone from all of the news fit to print to all of the news that we want to print that we can get out immediately. That is a problem. Emily the Venture Capital industry has been under pressure for not hiring enough women and minorities. Im wondering what your position is on this . How important is that to you and how hard are you looking to change that . Vinod here is what i would say. I have three daughters so i care a lot about diversity. I think it is happening slowly, a little too slowly and it needs to happen more fast. I think the way to solve the problem is get more women into tech and engineering kinds of positions at the ground level so that 10 years later they can be a bigger part of the start up and the venture work. Emily my conversation there with vinod khosta. Khosla. Tom perkins died tuesday according to his longtime assistant. Perkins cofounded the Venture Capital firm that bears his name. And popularized the model of giving a small amount of money to startups and helping them grow. The firm went on to fund google, amazon, and genetics. He retired in the early 1990s but he will be remembered for controversial views that he has shared since. Two years ago, he wrote an oped in the wall street journal. Kleiner Perkins Released a statement at the time saying they were shocked by his comments and did not agree. The next day, he came onto this program to apologize. He offered his own theory on how to combat income inequality. Tom perkins the solution is less interference. Lower taxes. Let the rich do what the rich do which is get richer and along the way, they bring everyone else with them when the system is working. Emily you are a multimillionaire. Tom perkins i am not a billionaire. I have created some billionaires and i am not one. Emily you have owned fancy yachts and cars and underwater submersibles. Tom perkins an underwater airplane. Emily are you divorced from reality . Tom perkins i dont know if anyone can answer that, truthfully. I dont think so. Emily the other cofounders just released this statement on his passing tom was a pioneer in the Venture Capital industry. He defined entrepreneurial Venture Capital. Going beyond just funding to helping entrepreneurs realize their vision with operating expertise. He was there at the start of the biotech industry. He was our partner and friend and we will miss him. Emily uber is feeling the sting of a french criminal court. The service and two of its executives were fined 960 thousand for the uber pop service. This is the first to conviction in france. French prosecutors say they offer cab like services. Uber is rolling out a new scheduling feature which would allow riders to book rides 30 days in advance. It will begin in seattle on thursday before expanding to other cities. This is a turnaround. Here is the ceo talking about the subject in september. Some people still want to schedule rides. They want to know where the scheduling interface is. We say we want to be so reliable that you do not have to schedule one. But they say they want a schedule. I ask did you take a shower this morning . And they say yes. And i asked if they scheduled a shower. We want to be that surprising. At some point, that will not be surprising. Emily joining me now is ubers Global Experience director, tom. Why and how did travis change his mind . One of the voices that speaks most loudly is the voice of the rider. Time and again, riders have said they would like the ability to schedule rides. One thing we figured out how to do is to create a scheduling ride service for riders that build on top of our ondemand platform. That is what we are starting today. We listened to our customers. When your riders tell you something again and again, we say we hear you. Intellectually, everyone understands that there are numbers available. Emotionally, if you have that Early Morning ride to the airport you sleep better knowing it is taken care of. It is something we are excited to release. Emily i am excited about this because of that emotional reaction. Lyft started testing this earlier before you announced this. We have been working on this for quite a while. This is something travis has been talking about. This is not new to us. We have been working on getting it exactly right so it is extremely reliable. Emily how much additional business will this bring . We think this will be huge. Things like airport trips and busy executives that have a meeting that ends at a certain time, they will be using this feature. We cannot put a number on it. Emily in terms of logistics, how do you balance scheduling the right driver . From the riders perspective, this is a scheduled ride. The car will show up when you set the request for. From the Network Perspective and the drivers perspective, this is like any other ride. Our system manages your ride request and distributing it to the right nearby driver at the perfect moment. Drivers do not know this is a scheduled ride. Emily there is no idle time. As travis said, everything is about efficiency of the system. For us, the way to keep this up efficient is for our technology to get good at dispatching the right driver at the right moment. Emily what happens if there are not a lot of drivers in that very moment or the drivers are far away . How do you make sure you do not miss the scheduled ride . If you think about any given city, there may not be a driver in any given block, but there are drivers in the city. Our system makes sure you have a driver when you need it. Emily how do you think about that in terms of competition . Competition is great for riders and drivers. I am not the right one to talk about this but like everyone else, we listened to our customers and think about what is the best thing that we can do for them. Emily in terms of listening to your customers it is interesting. I was just speaking to vinod, and he said the customer is not always right. But what are some things you are thinking about . Interesting you mention drivers. Drivers are an important customer of ours. This week, we launched another big feature that was directly requested by our driver community. It is called driver destination. When they are ready to go home, they can say i am ready to go home, please only give me a ride heading in my general direction. That is a feature that we rolled out. We had not originally intended to do this but because of our driver feedback, we built that feature. Emily what is it like working at uber . It is awesome. The speed with which we launch is impressive. Emily thank you so much for joining us today. On bloomberg west. Coming up, it is a bird it is a plane it is a car. We dive into the project of larry page driverless planes. That is coming up next. Emily a story we are watching do not expect an acquisition of spotify anytime soon. The ceo says he will never sell out to a u. S. Tech company. He told reporters in stockholm, that entrepreneurs that sell their businesses is what is holding back the tech sector. What he is referencing is king digital all of these could grow big if the founders did not sell. Up next, the former head of google plus explains why med tech made sense after google and how vinod khosta convinced him to take the job. More of bloomberg west is next. E bond yields in japan fall to record those. Investors are betting grateful remain anemic and inflation will stay stubbornly low. The uks 10 year yield reached an alltime low on thursday. The bank of japan and other Central Banks are under fire, negative rates are a supernova waiting to explode. He said policies that have pushed dollars in two bonds will backfire one day. Into bonds will backfire one day. We are being told japans most popular messaging app remains on track to announce an ipo later today. It will probably be text biggest market debut this year techs biggest market debut this year. It is aiming to emphasize its profitability in places where it leads and will outline a strategy for expansion in the united states. Those are the headlines on bloomberg news. Global news 24 hours a day powered by our 2400 journalists in more than 150 news bureaus around the world. Last trading day in the week for the asiapacific. Were looking at a fair amount of risk aversion. That view is getting exacerbated a little bit. This, it makest you think about what the view is from the global economy. You can talk about the lack of inflation, the need for central youve have the fed and the boj a few hours apart coming out with their decisions. Have a look at where we are. Yield year japanese bond is at 14. Have a look at where we are as far as the currency markets are concerned. Dollaryen, that has been the case for the most part of the morning session in asia where you have a strong u. S. Dollar. About 1 . Kets, down for a slight weekly gain. You can find more stories on the emily longtime tech executive vic spent seven years at google working on google maps and google reader. 15 years prior, he worked at microsoft. He has moved on and leads a medical device company. It came with a persistent request of one of the firms backers, vinod khosta. Hosla. He called me about 30 times. He was relentless. It got so regular, friday night at 7 00, my wife would see the phone ringing and she would say i know that is vinod. Do not answer that. [laughter] he was relentless. I wanted to do something that really mattered. And when i came across this company, it had a big emotional effect on me. Heart disease is the number one killer of men and women. More women die of heart disease, three times more than breast cancer. To be working with a company that is building a product that can do tact and arrhythmia in your heart and do it in the privacy of your own home in 30 seconds, that is pretty impactful. The way the company is doing it through machine learning, i am passionate about that. It drew me. I knew it was an opportunity i had to take. Emily there are a lot of medical Device Companies out there that are trying to be the next wearable monitor for your heart rate. What makes yours stand out . We do and electrocardiogram. That is something that is regulated by the fda. It is a very important measure of your physiology and can detect a number of lifethreatening issues. One third of all strokes are due to atrial fibrillation. We view the fda as a partner. We worked the clinical valuation to get their support. Others do not go through the same rigor that we do. We had up to 71 peerreviewed clinical studies that referenced our products. Emily who is using this . Today, half the people that buy this product, by you because their cardiologist recommended it. They had some concern about their hearts. In my case, i had family history. My father had multiple issues. I wanted to be aware. I carry it with me to monitor how my heart is changing over time. Other people buy it because they were diagnosed with a heart issue. One of my favorite stories is people say i do not feel well bu

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