Transcripts For BBCNEWS Weather World 20170101

This time, nick miller is finding out how the Snowdon Railway keeps running despite extreme weather. This time on Weather World we are going up in the world, literally into the mountains of north wales, and our method of transport may surprise you. Its going to be quite a ride. Also on Weather World extreme storms and the battle to survive them, as Global Temperatures set new records. Winterfights back in the usa, but not in the arctic. It is still not cold enough on top of the world. Plus, wild winds how not to get caught out in extreme weather. I will be here at the 0are Marshes Nature Reserve in kent, taking a look at how the weather impacts Migratory Birds, from a quiet blue sky day here in kent to the hazards of a hurricane in the atlantic. And why everything in this welsh field is not as it seems. The new type of sheep and what it can tell us about the weather. Welcome to Weather World. This time we are in the north wales, in snowdonia, about to climb wales highest peak, Mount Snowdon. Now i am up for a bit of climbing, i am a fairly fit guy, dressed for the part, but i have got an easier option in mind. We are about to take a ride on the historic snowdon Mountain Railway. If you know anything about this part of the world, you will know that this railway is actually closed in the winter. But i have got a special ride lined up on an engineers train, because im going to find out how this Railway Copes with the harsh mountain weather. All aboard when youre ready, dewi this railway has been taking people to the summit of Mount Snowdon since 1896. An estimated 12 Million People have made thatjourney since then. The trains normally run from mid march until november, but it is the weather that dictates the schedule, and the toll the weather takes on the Mountain Railway means for the maintenance teams, winter is the busiest time of year. Mike, you are the Senior Engineering Manager of the railway here, and already we are getting a sense of the climb we have started. Yes, the railway follows the mountain. The maximum gradient is one in 5. 5, we havejust come up one in 6. 2, it alters as we go over the terrain, but it is a steep railway. And were going. 4. 95 mph. Yes. Mountain railway and weather. They too must clash a little bit. They do. 0bviously, wind, rain, snow, they all impact on our maintenance activities throughout the year. What is the worst element . In the operating season . Wind. We have wind limits for operating trains. And in the winter it is heavy rain on the lower mountain, and snow on the upper reaches. So you are doing a lot of maintenance. I will see some of that take place and hopefully get stuck in myself as well. The more, the merrier. Looking forward to it winter has arrived in snowdonia but there is no doubt that the main weather story of 2016 has been heat. Record heat. Hurricane matthew slams into haiti in october, Killing Hundreds as it cuts a path from here to the south east united states. A massive storm, fuelled by warmer than average ocean water. In the pacific, in september, taiwan feels the force of Typhoon Meranti the strongest since haiyan in 2013. In october, in south korea, cars are swept down flooded streets in the strongest cyclone there in four years. Rescues in spain, in december, animal and human, as torrential downpours lead to flash flooding. But in south america, rivers run dry. Not enough rain has caused bolivia to declare a state of emergency, facing its worst drought in 25 years. Israel, in november, fighting the flames, as a two month drought and arson leads to wildfires. Australia, and beach goers in melbourne struggle against strong winds whipped up by approaching thunderstorms. Several people died from rare thunderstorm asthma in november, after suffering Breathing Problems from pollen carried by the wind. In the uk, the first named storm of the autumn, angus, struck in november. Winds in the irish sea were so strong that this ferry was stuck there overnight until it was safe enough to dock. Not ideal if it is your maiden voyage. My first time on a boat. We were on there 24 hours. Just a bad experience. I wont be doing it again, i think. I was sick the whole way. You know when youre sleeping . It was lumpy and it made you feel sick. But the night i am glad i am off. It is impossible to link one whether extreme to a warming world but Scientists Say that extreme events become more likely and well before the end of 2016, the year was labelled as odds on to become the warmest on record. We have just stepped off the train to see the first piece of work happening on the line. Mike, what are you doing here . This is waterfall halt, a Storage Facility for tools, equipment for the railway. To make it safe we are building a platform and a storage area on the left, and another platform on the right hand side. And this all needs to happen fairly quickly, doesnt it . Because you have time and weather to think about. We are open again in march, and we cannot have any work on the Operational Railway from march. It is obviously quite mild at the moment but we have had freezing temperatures and we cannot lay concrete in freezing temperatures. When its heavy rain, itll wash everything out. Can i get stuck in . By all means, nigel needs a hand. Ok, lets go and find him. 0k, nigel, what do you want me to do . If you just grab hold of that onethere, please, mate, and over the top there. That way . That way round. I had it upside down thats a good start. While i try to get the hang of cement work, Sarah Keith Lucas looks back at the 2016 atlantic Hurricane Season. Here i am at the 0are marches nature reserve near faversham in kent. It is a great spot for capturing a glimpse of these wintering birds that are just settling into their home now for the winter season. Later in the programme, we will have more analysis about how the weather impacts these Migratory Birds. Earlier this year, there was some incredible radar footage of some birds that appeared to be trapped right inside the eye of hurricane matthew. Hurricane matthew was of course the strongest and the most deadly storm of the season. It initially formed off the west coast of africa before moving across the atlantic and strengthening, for a time, to a major, category five hurricane in the caribbean. It has been a particularly active Hurricane Season again this year, partly down to the declining El Nino Effect and the transition to more neutral conditions in the pacific. Lets take a look at how the El Nino Southern oscillation, or enso, has affected this years Hurricane Season, and why it has been so intense, especially compared to recent years. In the year up to may 2016, the enso was in the el nino, or warm, phase. The warming of the Equatorial Pacific often leads to stronger vertical wind shear in the atlantic. Wind shear refers to the changing wind speed, and or direction, with height in the atmosphere. Stronger wind shear leads to weaker hurricanes and makes landfall less likely. However, since may, the pacific has been cooling, becoming more neutral, and is now entering a weak phase la nina, or cool, phase, reducing the wind shear and hence promoting stronger and more frequent hurricanes. Another major factor in the summer was a big blocking area of high pressure, feeding warm and moist air over the Western Atlantic and warming the waters there by as much as four or five degrees, compared to the average. These warmer waters have provided the fuel to power the huge, formidable hurricanes that have formed in the region this year. So the very active Hurricane Season of 2016 has now come an end. Join me later in the programme, where we will take a more detailed look at some of these Migratory Birds and just how the weather affects their journeys. This railway carries more than 130,000 passengers a year towards snowdons summit. But some people get there the hard way on foot. However you choose to go high, you need to respect the weather and be fully prepared. Climbers battled fierce winds in the scottish highlands, in footage released to showjust how wild the weather can get. This high, this exposed, it is too late to simply turn back. We have just stepped away from the railway and this is snowdon peak. Now im here in one of the snowdonia park wardens offices at penny pass. You are one of the wardens, rhys wheldon roberts, and you are going to show me exactly what i need to be fully prepared to attack a hill or a mountain. So you know, mountains are quite cold, so you need warm layers, preferably a base layer first, then a mid layer, Something Like a fleece, maybe even two, if it is quite cold, and some comfortable, warm trousers as well. I have gotjeans on. They are not necessarily the right thing, are they . Not the best, they get quite cold when they are wet and they are really uncomfortable, so something that will keep you warm when you are wet is preferable. 0k, what else . You also need waterproof layers. Jacket, trousers, i would also take some hats and gloves with mejust in case they get wet. Good idea, the right footwear . In summer, you would have those boots, at the end there, just generic walking boots. And these . And these are winter boots, they have a much stiffer sole. They can support crampons as well which gives you more grip on the ice. They are an essential bit of kit for any snow on the mountain. And if it is very snowy i would need one of these . Another Essential Piece of kit. An ice axe. It provides some sort of support walking up the mountain and if you slip, it can help stop you. I want to know where im going, but i am ok because i have one of those lovely maps on my phone. They are a start, but you want a proper map and a compass like this. A phone can run out of battery or signal and become useless. That will never fail you. And it sounds obvious, but you need something to eat and drink on the way. Fuel is very important so make sure you pack your lunch and maybe your dinner, and some warm drinks if it is cold. And check the weather forecast. It sounds obvious but the weather at the top of the mountain is often very different from the weather when you set off. Absolutely, yes, here, it can be ten, 15 degrees colder on the mountain than down in the valley. Check the Mountain Forecast as well because it can be very different to the generic forecast. If i come back and climb in snowdonia, i will come anf find you as my personal guide, and i promise i will not wear these jeans. 0k, brilliant still to come fake flock. What Electric Sheep can tell us about the weather that real sheep cant. Captured on camera, by a bbc Weather Watcher, the building of the Queensferry Crossing in scotland, through the changing seasons. In november, Weather Watchers celebrated its First Anniversary and the number of sky snappers now totals more than 130,000. For many, it is about the beauty of the sky and the scenery around them, and sharing it online. Many people just walk along with their heads down, and they dont look up, they dont see the clouds, they dont see the sunrise, the sunsets, the rainbows, and they thank me for that, and i think that is probably the most rewarding thing. And you can become a Weather Watcher by signing up at bbc Weather Watchers online. We are taking a look at how the Snowdon Railway copes with the amount of weather. Weve stopped here at the rocky valley platform, it is about two thirds towards the summit, the elevation, about 680 metres. Already we are above some of the clouds, and you can tell how the weather has changed here. It is colder and windier, and of course, all of the track has to cope with these conditions, the heavy rain, the heavy snow, and of course, the big change in temperatures from one season to the next. Further up, mike is taking a look at how this piece of track is faring up. So, mike, how are we doing this . With this instrument here, a measuring trolley, we will put it on the track, amd this is going to tell me the distance between the two rails. It is going to tell me the cross level, the height of one rail to the other, and it is going to tell me the twist and the distance. I guess youre going to wheel it down the track. Shall i help you out with that . You can push. Ok, thanks. I willjust gently edge it down the track. This is a fairly exposed piece of track so it must get a fair battering. This is one of our sections of track which requires constant maintenance. In the spring, this will have moved, and we will come back and do some more maintenance, lifting and packing. We have moved down this short bit, so lets take a look at what you have learned. This is telling me weve travelled 12. 75 metres from where we started, telling me that at this particular point the track gauge is 806. 1; millimetres, and it also tells me that i have a cross level negative of 4. 9 millimetres. Thats a slight dip . That is a slight twist to one side. Does the track need any work . No, the instrument is telling me it is all within tolerance. Thats good news for you. Very good. But you never know what else youll find. Ill let you go and check some more track, mike. Thank you very much. Were going to get back on the train and back on the move and just a moment, but before we do that, it has been a cold start to winter here in snowdonia, but in that direction, a long way in that direction, there is a part of the world that should be very cold, but there is a problem. Its not cold enough. The not so frozen arctic. The amount of sea ice that survived summer 2016 was the Second Lowest on record, with Autumn Regrowth slowed both by Air Temperatures 20 celsius above normal and the warmth of the ocean below. During summertime, when The Sun Comes Up in the arctic, it reflects most of the suns energy back out to space. If you start removing the reflective sea ice cover, now the ocean absorbs the heat instead. So what you see now as winter comes, the arctic is very warm. Part of that is because now the ocean has to release heat again during the summer, back to the atmosphere before the ice can form. The frozen antarctic. Records here show sea ice has not suffered to the same degree as its northern counterpart. But even so, National Snow and Ice Data Centre Scientists Say that Antarctic Sea ice shrank to a record november low. A warming world does not mean the end of winter weather. In the usa in december, snow and ice caused damage and brought disruption to millions of people. Then there is the occasional wintry surprise, such as here in tokyo, which had its first november snowfall in more than half a century. And this, from siberia, what looks like rocks on the shore are thousands of natural snowballs, formed from small pieces of ice rolled ever larger by the wind and water. We saw earlier how to properly dress for the great outdoors, especially, of course, in winter, very important for humans. But you would think sheep, with their woolly coats, would be good to go, whatever the weather. But there is a unique experiment taking place here at the foot of snowdon which proves that they feel the weather, too. Just like this one. Come on. Lets find you a friend. You are a bit heavier than i thought you would be now, you may have noticed that this is not a real sheep. Neither is this one. Thankfully, pip jones from Bangor University is a real human. Why do you have fake sheep here . They might be fake but they tell us a lot about real sheep and the environment they experience ona farm. How . 0k, we have two things, we have our sheep, we also have a met station. And the station is measuring sun, plus wind, plus ambient air temperature, and those things together tell us how the sheep is feeling. So on a day like today when it is really windy that must have an impact on how the sheep feels. But how can you tell . Absolutely, its so much colder when the wind blows. That is called wind chill, and for warm blooded animals like us and the sheep, maintaining core Body Temperature in these conditions is increasingly hard as the wind blows. So what we are doing with these sheep is we maintain them at 39 degrees, with. This array of heaters here. And we also have a microcomputer. And what the computer is recording is how much energy the sheep is using to keep that temperature in the prevailing conditions. So we will pop it back in and have a look in a minute to see how much energy she is using. If i was a sheep farmer, what difference does it make to me, this research here . Ok, so, forfarmers, farming is essentially all about energy. We record the energy that in, thats the food that the animals eat, but there is also energy out in the equation, and weather is a big part of that. Keeping warm in conditions uses an awful lot of energy. Can i do something on my farm to help my sheep keep warm . Essentially planning your farm with weather in mind. Providing shelter the form of trees and hedgerows which the animals can use to take shelter from the wind especially, and that will reduce the energy used to stay warm. And the all important question is, how much energy has that used in the past few seconds . So in the last few seconds, she has used a 37 watts just to stay warm. And as the wind gets stronger and the air gets colder, there will be more and more energy use. Thank you for showing me the project. I have become quite attached to my fake sheep. It must have a name. This is mellin. Nice to meet you, mellin. Thats weather and sheep. Now, weather and birds. Here is Sarah Keith Lucas again. Welcome back to the 0are Marshes Nature Reserve in kent. I am joined by graham madge of the met office and previously the rspb. So graham, this is a very idyllic and peaceful day in kent. It is hard to imagine some of the hazards that these birds face on their long journeys, including of course the weather. Earlier in the year, there was some footage of some birds that appeared to be trapped right inside eye of hurricane matthew. Is this a typical kind of hazard that birds face on their migratoryjourneys . The situation is that they are crossing the path, the exact track, that many hurricanes take, so it is quite likely the birds do get caught up in these weather systems. In fact, we know from bidwatchers records in Northern Europe that many birds are brought to european shores on the back of these cyclones, as they move up into the north atlantic. So it is a very big threat that these birds face, and it is a very powerful hazard that these birds have to try and cope with in their lives. So i have heard some people say that birds can actually forecast the weather. Is there any evidence or Science Behind this . It is a classic phrase, one swallow does not make a summer. I think the evidence for birds being able to forecast the weather is probably quite thin. But what we do know is that birds are affected by the weather, so we all know that we get weather coming from different directions, and that very often can bring birds associated with it. So we get birds from North America turning up in europe, we can get birds from the tropical atlantic, from all sorts of places. So although birds might not be able to forecast the weather, by seeing interesting and exotic birds, it gives you at least an insight into what the weather has been like elsewhere in the northern hemisphere. Thank you so much, graham, for joining us. That is it from us here in kent, its back to nick in snowdonia. We have come as far as we can go now on the Snowdon Railway. This is about three quarters of the way to snowdon summit, but we cannot get any further, because number one, there is essential track work taking place, and if we did go any further we would just encounter snow on the track anyway. But before we start heading back down the mountain there is one more thing i want to show you. It is something that is crucial to the operation of the railway here, and the reason im excited is i am a weatherman and i have found a Weather Station nearly at the top of Mount Snowdon. Mike, how important is this piece of kit for you and the railway . It is crucial. It gives us weather information, specifically wind information, for the operation of the trains. In high winds, we cannot operate. And how do you look at that information, when you are down in the office in llanberis . This Weather Station beams data through a data link, we can pick this up on our computers down below, and we can get it graphically. And what is that telling you, from a screenshot of something earlier in the day . That is giving me the wind direction, the wind speed, the temperatures, and crucially, the gust speeds. Because obviously we have got an average speed here, and then we have got the gust speed. The gust speeds can reach in excess of 130 mph. Talking wind speed like that, the Weather Station, much as i love it, cant cope with wind that strong. So what are you going to do with it in the winter . Were going to take it down. We dont need the information through the winter. It is purely for the operating season. These instruments have a hard life. We will send them away and get them recalibrated and erect them again in the spring. Lets get this Weather Station to bed then. As they get to work, and before we go, when is a rainbow not a rainbow . When its a fog bow. This rare phenomenon was spotted in scotland in november. Water droplets in fog are much smaller than raindrops and as the sun interacts with them, the result appears devoid of colour, or like a white rainbow. Still not a rainbow as we know it, but closer, this rare moon bow was spotted in Northern England in october, as moonlight, rather than sunlight, interacts with moisture in the atmosphere. And finally, lighting up the sky and our imagination, the super moon, seen around the world in the november, the closest the moon has been to the earth in nearly 70 years. Which makes this lucky moment. There you go an example of picture perfect timing. And that is it for this time on Weather World. From snowdonia, thanks to mike, our driver, dewi, guard steve, and everyone else at the Snowdon Railway. Snowdons summit still awaits me, but i will be back one day. Ill keep checking the forecast. Come on, mellin. Lets introduce you to your friends. 0h, sweetheart. Ive got a nice little friendly sheep here for you. Laughter. Got it good afternoon. We have certainly kicked off 2017 on a mixed note, weather wise. Some of us have seen cloud and rain. The Radar Picture shows the rain across the southern half of the country. Further north, more in the way of sunshine, but also cold, wintry showers ploughing in across scotland and the north of england. That cold air that has been across the north has shifted its way further south. The frontal system that brought all of the rain, clearing away through the course of this evening. Then we are going to be in the colder, clearer conditions as we head through the course of tonight. Still wintry flurries across northern scotland, north east england, there could be some snow across the north york moors. At low levels, and around the coast, rain showers. Temperatures overnight down to freezing or a little bit below, evenin to freezing or a little bit below, even in towns and cities. In the countryside, a Sharp Frost First Thing monday morning. If you have plans to head out on bank holiday monday, looking a decent day. After that cold, frosty start, some sunshine around. Things looking dry across the bulk of england and wales. The chance of catching one or showers for east anglia, lincolnshire, across Eastern Parts of yorkshire. For much of Northern England, Northern Ireland and southern scotland, things are staying dry and bright. There could be some mistiness around first thing. For the north of scotland, we will see a feed of wintry showers coming in on a chilly north westerly wind. The northerly breeze making feel quite chilly in North Scotland and the north east of england. Elsewhere, lighter wind, dry and the north east of england. Elsewhere, lighterwind, dry weather and plenty of sunshine. By the afternoon, temperatures colder than they have been over recent days, three to five or 6 degrees. A clear day, but overnight, that means cold. We are likely to see template is plummeting, perhaps minus five degrees or so for rural parts of central england. It will be Turning Milderfrom the central england. It will be turning milder from the north west on tuesday. Cloud increasing here. Bringing light, Drizzly Rain Over Hills and coasts around northern and western areas. Further south and east, a better chance of staying dry, more in the way of sunshine. Temperatures five or 8 degrees. Colder than it was as we saw out 2016. Looking through into the middle part of the week, things are staying fairly cold, mostly dry. There will be some sunshine on offer, with temperatures between 3 and 9 degrees. Colder than it has been coming you can find more details on the weather for the week ahead by having to the website. This is bbc news. Im annita mcveigh. The headlines at five police In Istanbul Hunt for a gunman who opened fire at a well known nightclub, killing at least 39 people. This is the scene live outside the club. Police say the attacker left his gun before fleeing the scene. Mourners lay flowers free 12 Year Old Girl who was killed by a hit and run driver in 0ldham. Her 11 year old cousin remains seriously injured in hospital. They were Holding Hands together, and while they were crossing the road, the car was driving too fast. The royal family have attended a new years Day Church Service in sandringham, but without the queen, who still has a heavy cold. Also in the next hour hull officially becomes