are confident? yellow makar he will be all right, yeah. i think you will be all right, yeah. i think you will be all right, is that 0k? be all right, yeah. i think you will be all right, is that ok? we have got plenty of back—ups. we have exceptional players so there is no risk for us. as for scotland, edinburgh flanker hamish watson will start in place of the injured john hardie. it's the only change to the starting 15 and means their backline stays the same for the trip to twickenham, a venue where scotland haven't won since 1983. that's all from sportsday. coming up in a moment, the papers. thanks forjoining us. hello, and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. with me are kate devlin, political correspondent at the herald and peter spiegel, news editor at the financial times. nice to see you both, waiting patiently so we can get on air! now for the front pages, starting with the guardian. it says that theresa may is putting off the controversial rise in national insurance contributions for the self—employed until the autumn. the times claims her decision to delay the measure would be embarrassing for the chancellor who pledged not to show it difficult decisions on tax. the daily telegraph says the prime minister is refusing to back down and says she denies breaking a ma nifesto and says she denies breaking a manifesto pledge not to raise tax. conservative party whips warned mrs may that they did not have the numbers of mps needed to push the budget measure through the commons, according to the daily mail. the sun also focuses on the national insurance story and announces its own campaign: calling on the chancellor to scrap plans. theresa may could trigger brexit talks as early as next tuesday, says the express , early as next tuesday, says the express, after her trip to the eu summit. the head of the euro bank says the outlook for euro growth is more optimistic. a and e waiting times are the worst on record according to the daily mail, there is data on waiting time showing 85% of patients were seen within four hours in january and that of patients were seen within four hours injanuary and that is of patients were seen within four hours in january and that is far below the 95% target. we will stop with the ferrari over national insurance. we begin with the telegraph. theresa may rejects breaking the tory tax promise. the pm is defiant over national insurance as she faces budget rebellion from 100 of her mps. how is this not breaking a pledge, if they said they would not raise tax, and now they are? in the newsroom we watched press conference in brussels where she tried to explain why this was not the breaking of a tory party manifesto, i am was not the breaking of a tory party manifesto, lam not was not the breaking of a tory party manifesto, i am not sure was not the breaking of a tory party manifesto, lam not sure i understood it. i imagine most voters didn't understand it either. it was interesting if you look to the coverage interesting if you look to the cove rage of interesting if you look to the coverage of the different papers, how differently they played the press conference. the telegraph focused on her defending of the tax. 0thers called is shifting of the date of the legislation and that it is underhanded. everyone has a different view. the most interesting thing to me in the telegraph story of the 100 tory mps ready to sort of defy her. we have an amendment here being prepared with 30 mps signing on and that could have killed it. it seems only a matter of time before she has to make a u—turn. she did not close off that possibility. she left the door open that there might bea left the door open that there might be a u—turn at some point. all of us in the media today had a slightly different view of where this is going and she didn't really help us in the press conference. kate, you are nodding sagely. in the press conference. kate, you are nodding sagelylj in the press conference. kate, you are nodding sagely. i agree with all of that. one of the things the telegraph has rightly picked up on is her explanation about what had happened. it is important to remember that this is what happened after the general election so they are pointing to the small print three months after voters were told something in a manifesto, and she says no amendments or concerns were raised at the time and what she means by that is not by ordinary voters but by mps in the house of commons and it points to one of the problems which is why the tories are here in the first place. when you have a weak opposition you have no one pointing out this kind of problems to you so you end up creating a storm for yourself and really having your own mps becoming the opposition, and that is what we are seeing today. the sun is in a campaigning mode on the same story. fight fans campaigning mode on the same story. fightfans can, campaigning mode on the same story. fight fans can, we had a spite than man yesterday. they are saying, come on, grafters get behind us. man yesterday. they are saying, come on, grafters get behind usm man yesterday. they are saying, come on, grafters get behind us. it has been a terrible few days for philip hammond. his reputation as a safe pairof hammond. his reputation as a safe pair of hands is very much in tatters. just over this? i know it is important if you are self—employed and you will face these tax rises but is it really going to be his undoing? tory mps asking tonight one of the things she announced was that she was going to delay this and bring in a review, which they had announced, which would look at whether self—employed people could get more benefits, including parental leave, after they have a child. if you were in the treasury before the budget surely you would have linked the two already so you wouldn't have to come up already so you wouldn't have to come up with this attempt to buy them off 24 up with this attempt to buy them off 2a hours later and you would've thought through the policy to start with. the other issue, and what we have seen is the incremental, she has left it open a u—turn. david cameron recognised these things quicker, he is to put his hand up and say, we need a u—turn, and killed the story quicker. he would not have had a campaign on the front page of the sun. it is the tory press who are coming after her. it is the opposition within her own party and the press that had supported her thus far that is coming out against her and the sun has decided to campaign on this, one of the most conservative papers in the country, which tells you all you need to know about where it is going. the times are not quite saying a u—turn yet, they are saying a blow to philip hammond is theresa may backpedals on tax. we be talking about this earlier on, a small backpedal but it is about the timing. it is going to come in the autumn rather than in the spring. is that backpedal, i guess it. again at the last minute we were getting ready to set our front page and we thought it was more minor than the times is but this is the problem with the story, everyone is making their ownjudgment with the story, everyone is making their own judgment on it with the story, everyone is making their ownjudgment on it but in any case none of it is good news for the prime minister. know, and she got asked about in brussels as well and she was there to talk about the summit, which we will get to. let us look at the ft. a new scots poll is seen as almost inevitable, it says. there is a picture that of nicola sturgeon, scotland's first minister, with theresa may. how close can they get to saying there will be a referendum, without saying it?|j think this is a very good story because what it points to now is where the row is happening and the pace of how much this debate has changed in the last couple of weeks is frenetic. now the row is becoming about when, about the timing around when you can have a referendum and whether you can have it before or after brexit. we have a front—page story with the former scottish secretary, the man who was in charge last time the scots went to the polls about this, and he is saying it would fail one of the tests from the last time, one of the three key tests, and he is saying it wouldn't be legitimate to holder before brexit. that is something the uk government also suggested last week. yes, they need to make sure we were out of the eu before it happens, but if you run a second referendum we have to be sure of your numbers? the numbers are close but they still point to a defeat. the reason we thought this was an important story is exactly why you said it, the question of whether it is gone, and now it is a question of when. we have the source is very close to the prime minister and they see that nicola sturgeon is pushing for a referendum before brexit but they wa nt referendum before brexit but they want to push it to 2019. right now basically downing street has decided this will happen and she has set all the signals there will be a second referendum can we delay it long enough to make it harder? if you have a referendum while you are still in the eu there is a vague chance you never leave, whereas once you're out, trying to get back in again, with the spanish opposition such as catalonia and the thought of joining the euro it, it all becomes more complicated. in terms of actual independence for scotland if britain is out of the eu but scotland, more people in scotland voted to stay in the eu, willie not gareth and i is the eu, willie not gareth and i is the independence vote? it will galvanise some people, but there was an interesting strain of the independent state and you could tout rise them as wanting to be independent from both the union of the united kingdom and the union of the united kingdom and the union of the european union so there is this kind of question mark about whether if you take out the people who voted for brexit, are the snp representing the 45% anymore hasn't gone down to 2796? that is interesting. the other thing we have learned in the last few weeks is that it is northern ireland now as well as scotland. this is even more complicated for them because suddenly you are seeing a surge in national support because people are worried about a hard border and what has been for 20 years rather free—flowing economic zone. it is going to become even ever harder for her in the couple of years. let us look at a different story, nhs crisis, a&e has the worst month on record. this is waiting times for patients to be seen within four hours. 85% were seen in that target time in january, four hours. 85% were seen in that target time injanuary, which is short of the 95% target. hospitals are being told they have more money so they should sort it out. this story will not go away for the government. you feel for them, they are between a rock and a hard place. we have an ageing population of people are showing up the hospitals will often and it is almost like a permanent winter now and we used to long linesjust in the winter but now statistic show it will continue into the warmer months. there is just no more money. there is nothing that can be done. a lot of people we talked to in the treasury said that they thought that some of the initial money that they gave up front under david cameron would carry them through this parliament and at least there would be no crisis until the next parliament, whipped is clearly happening now as it is speeding up and they do not have the time and they have to find the money from somewhere back as we learned from the budget row, you raise taxes on anyone and it will be a problem. where will you find the money to fund the nhs? this will be an even money to fund the nhs? this will be an even bigger crisis for the venture in the coming months than any of this stuff that we're talking about. the health secretary has been saying today at a conference that if we give you more money for health and social care, to get people out of hospital when they are better, to support them at home, it eventually will come down the pipe and he's going to say he wants results. he will say that. the problem is the buck stops with him and i think that is where the public very much as. i think it is quite a difficult one. it is difficult to blame front—line doctors and accident and emergency departments. the ministers don't blame them, do they? on a population basis everybody realises there is a problem, when you are a patient coming up against, talking to doctors, the sympathy does not lie with the government, and that is the problem they have. let slip of the times. the picture story taken at the memorial to those who served in iraq and garristown. there is tony blair in the middle, looking rather grim faced. a man apart, it says. beneath prince andrew is finding some to laugh about a rather sombre occasion, which is a ratherjarring comparison, but rather discomforting moment for tony blair. a lot of people say you should not have shown up, which is probably the wrong call, but he has become a rather tragic figure. it was interesting his speech last week when he came out and talked about trying to reverse brexit. he has clearly tried to repeatedly reinsert himself into the political process and for ever he will be tainted by this. even people who respect him as a competentjust people who respect him as a competent just believe that people who respect him as a competentjust believe that he is now so tainted by this legacy of the war that any thing he says on brexit, he's the wrong guy at the wrong time and he has no credibility and it is actually a very moving photo for that reason. it shows him isolated and whether it was just a moment in time where he wasn't talking to anyone but it does tell the story of a barn at a place in his career now where he is politically isolated because of the legacy of the war. you can understand why the picture editor picked this. it is a man who is dammed if he doesn't and if it doesn't as well. were he not to be there he would have faced a lot of criticism as well so there is just no right answer on a lot of things if you are tony blair. now for the guardian. cover prams against pollution. a lot of stories of late of the levels of pollution in cities, particularly london. parents are now being advised to cover up their prams, particular school run. i moved here from another country, one of the other options i had was to move to china but my wife said it would be too much for our kids with the asthma and bronchitis but now we have to worry about it in london! it has gotten rather unsettling that on the walk to school you have scientists and health experts advising that you should cover the pram. my kids are older now and they are not in a pram but it is unsettling and these things are showing that they are causing rising levels of asthma and bronchitis in children in london has become one of the most polluted cities in terms of particular its and the things that children are breathing in. and as a new arrival to this country, it is rather unsettling. this has been going on for years. we have been walking to school with kids in pushchairs and heavy traffic. what this might encourage people to do is not to put covers on their prams but to get in their cars as they go to school. that could make it even worse. yes, you may indeed. thank you very much. we got through quite a few there. a surfeit of national insurance but i'm sure we have not had the end of it. that's it for the papers tonight. don't forget you can see the front pages of the papers online on the bbc news website. it's all there for you seven days a week at bbc.co.uk/papers. and if you miss the programme any evening, you can watch it later on bbc iplayer. thank you very much. nice to see you both. goodbye. good evening. it was a warm spring day across many parts of the country with lots of sunshine around. we ended the day here with this fun shirt —— sunset. it was captured in dorset. increasing amounts are glad to be spilling into the south of england but there are clear spells for the remainder of the overnight period. in the central and eastern areas we keep the clear sky is the longest under temperatures fall lowest. it is already chilly at there and we're likely to see frost in scotland. further west the cloud is building overnight so will be milder here. some outbreaks of drizzly rain across the likes of northern ireland and the west of scotla nd northern ireland and the west of scotland first thing. atm and it is still chilly in scotland but milder to the west with outbreaks of rain. cloudy to start the day in northern ireland. a land for possible. a fresh start to the day for east anglia and the south—east but drier bright from the word go. further west there is low cloud and possibly hill fog in the south west of england and wales as well. drizzle around the coast in the north and the north—west. through the day the cloud filters to the east and in east anglia and kent and sussex we hang on to the sunshine for a good pa rt hang on to the sunshine for a good part of the day. temperatures on friday are not so warm. some bright spells breaking through the cloud at times. wales take on ireland in the six nations rugby. it should be fairly dry in cardiff and mild and cloudy as well. in the weekend we start of the outbreaks of rain as the frontal systems move west to east across the country and introduce colder air on sunday. saturday looks like a decent day for many of us. this slow—moving front bring some rain to parts of northern england and wales and the south—west. to the south—east of that mostly cloudy but that cloud will break and allow temperatures to lift a 1517. much of scotland and northern ireland are also dry on saturday. 0n northern ireland are also dry on saturday. on sunday spells of rain work their way eastwards across many parts of the country and then a return to sunshine and scattered showers and it feels fresher. saturday is largely a dry day with decent spells of sunshine. 0n saturday is largely a dry day with decent spells of sunshine. on sunday rain moves its way to the east and things start to feel a bit cooler. goodbye from now. this is bbc news. i'm martine croxall. the headlines at 11:00: theresa may defends plans to increase national insurance contributions for the self—employed, outlined in yesterday's budget. the shift towards self employment is eroding the tax base, it's making it harder to afford the public services on which ordinary families depend. the health secretary says it's essential that a & e departments in england hit their target for waiting times, now that extra money has been pumped into care and health services. the queen unveils a memorial in london to service personnel and civilians who served and worked in iraq and afghanistan. and on newsnight — pledges promises and vows. the fall out from the budget continues as david cameron's former director of communications tells us being perceived to have broken

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