of an electoral committee dominated by beijing elites, has been selected as the new leader of hong kong. she has vowed to heal divisions in the territory, as pro democracy groups denounced the election. the majority of residents in the china—ruled city have no say in deciding their leader. now on bbc news, as theresa may prepares to invoke article 50 some news to bring you from the united states of a nightclub shooting in ojai. it is reported that one person has been killed and 14 that one person has been killed and 1a others injured early this morning, that is in a shooting at a nightclub in cincinnati, ohio. the news chief says they are in the middle of a horrific situation that occurred at the nightclub with multiple victims. we will bring you more on that when we have it. now on bbc news, as theresa may prepares to invoke article 50 for brexit, we investigate scotland's dilemma. scotland's streets are full of tributes to those who have helped shape the country and wider europe. thinkers, politicians, warriors. but now, scotland is torn between two identities — its british self, and its european one. scotland can now no longer belong to both. this dilemma is brewing into an acute constitutional crisis. what effect will leaving the eu have on those whose livelihoods have been shaped by european membership for decades? what we need to know, and know fast, is where our future workforce is going to come from. and how will scotland cope as britain leaves the single market? 80% of all the food we sell out of scotland goes to europe. europe is the ball game for our export right now. scotland did not choose this. it rejected brexit, but brexit is being thrust upon it. what will that do for the 300—year—old union between scotland and england? we are being taken out of the eu against our will. that is a democratic outrage. it is not about whether there could be another independence referendum. of course there could. it is about whether there should be one. this week, the prime minister will trigger article 50 and pose special questions for those in scotland and northern ireland that did not vote to come out of europe. nine months ago, just before the referendum on european union membership, i made this observation. it seemed hypothetical at the time. would a vote to leave the european union propel scotland further down the road to independence? it certainly changes the independence proposition in ways we haven't begun to consider. it would confront scotland with a new national question. which union do you want to be part of, the british one or the european one? that is an argument we haven't started to have. it is not hypothetical now, it is real and urgent. the uk appears to have voted out, scotland has voted in. we voted to protect our place in the world's biggest single market and the jobs that depend on it. what i am proposing cannot mean membership of the single market. we voted to safeguard freedom to travel, live, work and study in other european countries. brexit must mean control of the number of people who come to britain from europe, and that is what we will deliver. i want to take the opportunity this morning to speak directly to citizens of other european countries living here in scotland. you remain welcome here, scotland is your home and your contribution is valued. last summer's eu referendum left the uk looking like two different countries, articulating two mutually hostile visions of the future. a second independence referendum, if and when it comes, will be fought on different terrain. how does brexit change the independence prospectus? it makes it in some ways more likely that scotland will become independent, but also more difficult. it does. this time round, nicola sturgeon is linking scottish independence with eu membership. they are inextricable. that wasn't the case first time round. you also have the problem in the snp where a good third of their members support getting away from brussels, so how does she square that? opinion polls suggest that some who voted no to independence in 2014 have moved into the yes camp because of brexit. but what about those who want out of both unions? this is lossiemouth. moray thrives by making and selling whisky across the world and bringing in tourists. in the eu referendum, moray came closer than any other part of scotland to voting leave. why was it the closest? i think the age demographic comes into it, and the military factor. we are very much an raf, navy and army area, and a lot of the people that have settled here are very pro the union. the snp has made the assumption that anybody who votes for independence will want to remain in europe, but that is just not true. most of them actually want to get out of europe. it is something i learned when i was an snp candidate. i hadn't appreciated it untilfour years ago. why do so many people here want to leave the british and european union? the snp supporters in this area are really staunch ones. they are passionate. the bottom line is that they really want independence. they are fiercely independent. a few miles to the east, the river spey empties into the sea. the river feeds two of the country's biggest industries, whisky and tourism. the mainstream currents of scottish public opinion contain many unexpected eddies. moray is happy to send mps from the snp to westminster and holyrood, but in 2014 voted no to independence. a substantial minority who voted yes to independence went on to vote to leave the european union. a second independence referendum offering independence in europe would present that group, those who wanted independence for scotland, but to leave the eu, with a new dilemma and a new choice. which union do you want to leave more, the british one or the european one? whether you are for eu membership or against it, something that unites many people is that these decisions should not be imposed on us, they should be taken for ourselves. in 2014, the no campaign said to vote no to stay in the eu. then we were told to vote remain to stay in the eu. scotland voted both of those things and are still faced with getting taken out of the eu against our will. that is a democratic outrage and it resonates with many people. how does that appeal to democratic outrage measure up against economic anxiety? moray is not a wealthy area, margins are tight, many incomes low. brexit raises questions for all of us about the viability of the companies we work for, and the jobs that sustain us. scotland's first minister will have to appeal to the public for whom there is already too much uncertainty. europeans make up sometimes up to 90% of our business in june, july and august. it is important they are made to feel welcome. how much do you rely on migrant labour? 40% is quite normal, but i know that hotels in london it is 100% of staff. that is going to give us real issues. it is not as if this is a new problem for our industry because we have had immigrants, either from the commonwealth or from europe, for as long as i know. but what we need to know, and need to know fast, is where our future workforce is going to come from. in britain there's roughly one million people employed in the hospitality industry. unemployed is 800,000. if you could get that 800,000 people to move to our industry, we are immediately 200,000 people short. trade changes. this is the railway station from which whisky was sent around the world. the distillery remains, and the industry is one of scotland's great success stories and brexit is unlikely to change that. the rest of the food and drink industry in scotland cannot be that confident. this industry is now bigger in scotland's economy than oil and gas. this factory makes shortbread, another distinctively scottish product. more comes off this production line in a day than many of us could eat in our lifetimes. it generates this level of business because it is free to sell across europe. will those markets still be open after brexit? no—one knows. 80% of all the food we sell out of scotland into international markets goes to europe. europe is the ball game for our export story right now so a quarter goes to france alone, so ongoing access to that market is going to be critical. to grasp opportunities for growth over the years. how much of a threat does brexit represent? presumably after brexit, those who buy the products will continue to buy them? i don't think demand will be a problem. scotland has an increasing reputation as a land of food and drink, producing quality products. but there are huge unknowns about what brexit means. if we have huge export taxes on our products, we could become uncompetitive very quickly. after the brexit vote, the scottish government asked the uk government if scotland could negotiate a separate deal to stay in the single market. the leader of the scottish conservatives says that's not possible. it's not about what i think, it's about what 27 other nations think, and they have said no. the foreign minister from spain said no. other european leaders said that is not on the cards. we negotiate with the uk as a whole, we don't negotiate with different bits of the member state. we don't suggest that that will be straight forward or without legal, technical and political complexities, but we set out the complexities on the basis by which they could be overcome. we accept reluctantly that scotland leaves the eu but have measures that support our economy. in 2014, this was not the proposition. this is a real possibility, that a hard customs border might be drawn across the island of britain. for scotland, thatis island of britain. for scotland, that is still a hypothetical question. but for ireland, that's very real. this road bridge crosses the border between the united kingdom and the republic of ireland. it's one of more than 200 places where you can make the crossing, and it really is an invisible border. you could drive across here without noticing you'd left one country and entered another. after britain leaves the european union, it will be legal for citizens of 46 other european countries to come here to the republic of ireland and get a job and claim benefits and use the services. but a few yards in that direction, there would be no automatic right to do any of that. that changes what northern ireland's biggest party, the democratic unionist party, campaigned for. why did the dup back brexit? there's a number of reasons. the european union is very good at creating regulations, it created 2,800 on agriculture alone. ultimately, we believe that power is better invested at the local level, so we want more power to the local authorities, to regional assemblies, and ultimately to westminster. not to be vested into europe whether there's little accountability. do you except that britain's decision to leave the eu poses huge problems for the border between northern ireland and ireland ? oh, it does, yes. do we have a hard or soft border? both britain and ireland have indicated they would prefer to have a free—flowing border. the truth is we had something like 16,000 troops here, and many police officers, and several roads closed, and it didn't stop things getting across the border. so i can't see that they will be able to enforce a hard border with 200—300 customs officers. the nationalist sdlp are fiercely pro—european. like the scottish government, they want the uk to negociate a special status for northern ireland that would keep it inside the single market, and keep the border open. for years, we have spent time getting rid of the border, making sure people could freely move and do business across the island and people could integrate. the good friday agreement made sure that both the republic of ireland and northern ireland were members of the european union. we have an ability as irish nationalists to further integrate in that context. taking all that away is very damaging to our political and economic progress. what is the special status for northern ireland that you want to secure in europe? what does it look like? it looks much like what we have now. whether or not we remain members of the european union, it doesn't need to be that way. we can do business and we can move across ireland. we don't have to try and harden that border. in fact, it isn't possible. there are 260 border crossings from the north to the south. the idea that you could control that border in some wayjust doesn't make any sense to me. i believe the problems we will face will be much less than the problems the republic of ireland will face as a result of the brexit vote. i think the irish government will have a lot of difficulties to deal with, not least that the country that they export most to is outside the european union. the opening of the irish border has been transformative. 20 years ago, there were watchtowers and military checkpoints here. you can't come down this way. this border town was sunk in poverty and unemployment. partition devastated the economy of this area. newry was a thriving port, midway between belfast and dublin. and that locational advantage with partition was a major disadvantage. it was tied up in the hard border. our sister town across—the—board, dundalk, was labelled el paso. the rural hinterland was stigmatised by the british media during the troubles as bandit country. little wonder no—one wants a return to hard border. london and dublin both say cross—border trade should remain free. but how, when the uk might well be porting goods from around the world that contravene eu import rules, could you stop those goods moving illegally across this border and into the european single market? again, no—one knows. but, if you live here, it's the most urgent question. i didn't sign up for this, this is not my dayjob, i'm not a politician, i don't want to be doing this. but i have grown up in this place, and i've seen it at its worst, and i've had the privilege of participating with others in its rebirth. and i don't want to lose that. membership of the european union has also transformed the irish republic. europe is at the heart of its national identity, and has been key to normalising its once acrimonious relationship with the uk. britain and ireland joined the european community on the same day in 1973. it is shared membership of that single european market that has made that border between them unimportant to the point of invisibility. in dublin, there is widespread dismay at the prospect of new border controls. the question is how hard the border is. even the softest borders, with switzerland, with norway, that are around the european union, have a requirement for customs clearances for document checking, etc. so that'll have to be the minimum there. that will be disruptive. even if you have that going to take place in some magical way that british customs will be embedded in irish ports, which i can not see, politically, then that has a consequence. there have to be additional costs imposed on exporters in the north going to the south and vice versa. whether or not there's free movement of people is a different issue. free movement of people isn't free movement of work, and free movement of work isn't free movement of goods. and all three have somehow been conflated. ireland's border question finds an echo in scotland. for if, as london and dublin both desire, a way is found to allow trade to continue freely across the border, wouldn't that set a precedent for an independent scotland trading with a uk outside the eu? are there parallels between ireland and devolved scotland and the predicament that brexit puts a devolved scotland in, having voted overwhelmingly to remain? i think it does. this is one of the tensions playing out in ireland. there is an awareness growing — a solution for northern ireland could also have ramifications in scotland. so this idea is growing, that if a border solution was found, could that then be a case used by an independent scotland, or a pro—independence campaign in a future referendum. to say, you did it for northern ireland, why can't you do it for us — why can't you do it with us? the border is one question, others remain. what currency would an independent scotland use? how would it close the gap between what it spends and what it raises in taxation? for that gap is wide. and could it, should it, join the eu? this is the territory on which a second independence referendum would be fought. i can confirm today that next week i will seek the authority of the scottish parliament to agree with the uk government the details of a section 30 order. the procedure that will enable the scottish parliament to legislate for an independence referendum. i think, just now, we should be putting all our energies into making sure we get the right deal for the uk and for scotland in our negotiations with the european union. that's myjob as prime minister. right now, we should be working together, not pulling apart. we should be working together to get it right it for scotland and the uk. that's myjob as prime minister. for that reason, i say to the snp, now is the time. —— now is not the time. theresa may could stop another independence referendum in its tracks by agreeing to negotiate a separate deal for scotland. why would she do that? i have not had anyone in the snp to tell me how a deferential deal only one they recognise is geography. how can someone working in rbs working in edinburgh need something different in the eu negotiations, need something different from someone working at the same office, but in london? how can a fruit farmer in perthshire get something different from one in kent? i have asked again and again why this differentiation doesn't seem to apply, but geographic differentiation does. no—one in the snp can tell me. we know you are doing work on the currency question, we can no longer say we will shed the pound sterling? i'm not been difficult here, but i'm not going tojump steps and get into detailed discussions now. what i accept, and have always accepted, is that scotland is, those of us who advocate independence have a duty to answer the questions people need answers to, and that includes questions about economic stability and around the currency. in this context, it will undoubtedly include questions about our relationship with the european union. firstly, we are in a processjust now when i have judgments to make, and so the prime minister, and i will make those in good order and based on what i think is best. i am not going tojump ahead several steps. when it comes to fighting for independence in a second referendum, will you be straight and say, scotland inherits, as an independent country, a part of the deficit? there will be pain, spending cuts, tax increases, big borrowing, or a combination of all three. i will always be straight with people. scotland as part of uk has a big deficit. we have had for the past five years, spending cuts. brexit is undoubtedly going to make the uk's deficit worse. it will lead to greater spending cuts in the uk and greater pain as a result. the question for scotland is not how do we escape magically a deficit, it is how do we best equip ourselves to deal with that deficit and grow our way into a more sustainable position with our own values underpinning the decisions we take? that is the decision that would be in play if scotland was making that choice again. scotland voted to stay in both unions. it's being told now that it can't have both. it's also being told it can't choose. the decision will be made at westminster. the political strain that will place on the anglo—scottish union is surely clear. good morning. we could get used to weather like this in spring. plenty of sunshine, and it does look aureus out and about. this was the scene a few moments ago in the western isles, looking gorgeous in the clear skies. for the vast majority of us, thatis skies. for the vast majority of us, that is how the weather will stay for today, clear and sunny. that is how the weather will stay fortoday, clearand sunny. one exception will be shetland were thicker cloud is coming and going. temperatures could reach 19 celsius in the warmest spot, probably across the north of scotland later this afternoon. overnight tonight, more in the way of low cloud drifting in from the north sea, some fog patches dotted around as well. chilly for scotla nd dotted around as well. chilly for scotland and northern ireland, with pockets of frost first thing on monday morning. it may take a few hours before this frog to burn away, but eventually it should do for most of us, another dry day with plenty of us, another dry day with plenty of sunshine and lighter winds, so it will start to warm up with highs of 17 or 18 celsius. still pleasantly warm, particularly in the west. this is bbc news, the headlines at 11. home secretary amber rudd says the government "will not resile from taking action" against technology firms if they host material that could aid terrorists. we wa nt we want them to recognise that they have a responsibility to engage with government, with law enforcement agencies when there is a terrorist situation. scotland yard says the westminster attacker khalid masood acted alone and his motive may never be known. detectives confirmed the attack lasted just 82 seconds. the family of murdered pc keith palmer has thanked those who fought to save his life and said they were grateful he was not alone. more than 30 people have been injured, two seriously, after a suspected gas explosion on merseyside. the pentagon investigate a us—led coalition air strike in the iraqi city of mosul, where dozens of civilians were reportedly killed.