Transcripts For BBCNEWS Dateline London 20170610 : compareme

Transcripts For BBCNEWS Dateline London 20170610



think that is actually quite likely, even though most of my conservative contacts, senior tories that i have spoken to, do not think that would bea spoken to, do not think that would be a good deal idea. they think they need to get through with a pretence of stability and it would just cause more uncertainty and doubt if she was to be replaced. the trouble is, it is stability without strength. stability without credibility. going into the brexit negotiations with a leader who has been so register and has lost all credibility is very serious. what the remain faction, who have turned this into a second referendum on the eu and voted tactically to destabilise her, have succeeded in doing is creating the conditions for the worst possible deal that britain can get in the eu negotiations, and as a result, they have devastated the future of all those young people who are now voting so enthusiastically for corbyn because the economic future looks bleak. owen jones, i want to pick up on this question of young people. i was in leeds and in one constituency alone they had registered 13,000 new voters. there isa registered 13,000 new voters. there is a real sense that this idea that the young do not vote and are not motivated was blown apart by this election. i suppose the question is what happens to that now and how sustainable is it that it can still be inspired. i think the enthusiasm of those young people cannot be understated. what we have had for the last few years is when politics intrudes in their lives it is not good. the scrapping of the education maintenance allowance, the small amount of money for those working class and aspirational children who stayed on at school. the scrapping of youth services across the country. a housing service that disproportionately affect them. the lack of secure jobs. i could go on. young people over the last few years have had a hammering. and the cartilage and politicians over and overagain is cartilage and politicians over and over again is that we can do what we wa nt over again is that we can do what we want when it comes to people because they are never going to vote. they will never bite back. what we saw this week was the young people fighting back and voting for a party which had an inspiring vision for them and for millions of people across the country, with policies that have been produced and vilified and ignored by most of the media in this country, that by asking those at the top of society to pay a bit more money to invest in our services, in education, to get rid of student debt. and yet we still have a conservative government. let's be clear about what happened. labour had the biggest increase in its share of the vote, not since tony blair in 1997, since clement attlee. there was the small issue of world war ii at the time. this time round, labour started from a very low base. its achievement, where kensington in london is now a hotbed of socialism. canterbury, which has beena of socialism. canterbury, which has been a conservative seat since the 19th century. but why dismiss people based on their age? it is notjust young voters. obviously, there are 40 million people under 25. the problem is that a win is right. 40% of the vote is a huge chunk. the problem is under the first past the post system, that does not necessarily transfer into seats. that is why there is no ukip around any more. the conservatives got a higher proportion than that. they got a higher proportion than margaret thatcher, which won her famous landslide. so the smaller parties collapsed, this is why this has happened. i really want to make a point about the vision. i think this is a repudiation clearly of anything it is of the politics of focus group and message control and public relations and advertising slogans. this is finally a return to ideological politics, which is probably a healthy thing. but the cynicism of that period, when every political message had to be manipulated and controlled and it was all about the manipulation of public opinion, that was sickening. and i think now we really have seen a repudiation of that. and was that what the conservatives were guilty of? yes, i am afraid so. thomas, you have been watching elections in this country for a very long time. what did you make of it? well, i think i agree with the janet that this was the worst i have seen and it is more at the astonishing because when theresa may became prime minister, when she was put in that position, she went outside and give her famous speech which sounded like a great empathy for the working people and so empathy for the working people and so forth. i said, hey, this is exactly what we need to hear. she needs to address yourself to the woefully inadequate situation domestically, and then afterwards she ran away and it was nothing but brexit. i think she totally left the agenda of what is wrong with britain to the hands ofjeremy corbyn and that gave him an absolute leeds in people's mind. his vision is to raise more money and spend more money. but it destroys the jobs of just the people you are in sympathy with. the increasing corporation tax. it is just the with. the increasing corporation tax. it isjust the huge corporations that everybody hates, but the little companies that make jobs. what labour is arguing for is to go back to the level of corporation tax that we had in 2011. and to go to the level of the us, which is not known as a hotbed of socialism, i can tell you that. the tories started with everything stacked in their favour. no prime minister has had that much political traction. she had twice the support according to the polls of labour, a much higher opinion rating. she had the backing tory press, whose role in this election was despicable, to smear labour, and the people rejected it, which i think is worth noting. but notjust that. it is that point and it makes about the popular vote. the ukip vote was always going to inflate the tory vote, because it collapsed. but what we saw in this election, this is what i think is so interesting, the most radical labour leader in history got 40% of the vote in 2017, even though all the odds were stacked against him, and what i think that shows, and i think we are now at a turning point which we have seen now at a turning point which we have seenin now at a turning point which we have seen in other countries. we have seen seen in other countries. we have seen bernie sanders in the us and new parties in spain. in the 19705, the post—war con5en5u5 new parties in spain. in the 19705, the post—war consensus of social democracy crumbled and collapsed. i think we are seeing that consensus, that margaret thatcher established in1979, is that margaret thatcher established in 1979, is beginning to crumble and i think there is every chance next few years of a labour government coming to power which will transform this country in just the way margaret thatcher and clement attlee before it transformed britain. what this election contest reminded me of was the spirit of michael foot, and he was the most radical leader, not jeremy corbyn, was revived, and without the countervailing voice of margaret thatcher. nobody was doing the critique. nobody was saying what is wrong with this position. so apart from attacking him personally. his history was too extreme in their view. they did not take on the argument at all. let's talk about the question of where this takes us. the next question is a deal, some sort of arrangement with the democratic unionist party in northern ireland. a lot of people watching in this country and around the world won't really know very much about the dup. the only thing they might remember is ian paisley junior. as the founder of the dup. but it is notjust the party of protest a ny but it is notjust the party of protest any more. it is the party that will be in government. yes, it started off as a protest movement in the early 705. and it was based around the free presbyterian church, which ian paisley founded and also the party. it is deeply conservative. and as we have seen with what ruth davidson is saying in scotland's is they are socially conservative, there will be issues around marriage equality, abortion as well. but if you put those to one side for a moment, as well. but if you put those to one side fora moment, because as well. but if you put those to one side for a moment, because they are the ones making the headlines, the single most important thing for the dup is the maintenance of the union with britain. they are brexiteer 's, but they want a soft border because a lot of their trade, particularly in food and agriculture, that kind of thing, goes north and south across the border. so they are in this strange position where they are strong brexiteer is, but they want the open border. there is one thing to rememberabout them the open border. there is one thing to remember about them as well. there was a suggestion of having a special status for northern ireland, which sinn fein actually pushed quite strongly. the british government have ruled that out. the irish government certainly haven't argued for it either. it is unlikely to happen. but the reason the dup will put this on their list of asks, the special status being one foot in the special status being one foot in the single market, one foot out, is because most of their trade is actually with the rest of the uk. we do need to be clear. the british people need to understand what the situation they're about two faces. a prime minister with no authority whatsoever, a conservative party humiliated and now facing huge division, is now going to be held over the barrel by the most extreme party in the house of commons. the democratic unionist party, which lets just be very clear, we talk about social conservatives, it is anti—lgbt about social conservatives, it is anti—lgb t wright, anti—woman's rights, they oppose the right of women to choose, and equally they are backed by loyalist terrorists. they are now going to be... have a huge influence. just to clarify that, they say they are backed by them, but they have no formal link. they are enthusiastically supported by loyalist paramilitaries. they are enthusiastically supported by loyalist pa ramilitaries. that they are enthusiastically supported by loyalist paramilitaries. that is just an objective fact. you can see the loyalist murals all over belfast. what this does is threaten the northern ireland peace process, would you have one sector of a party which now has disproportionate influence over the westminster government. we have just had ruth davidson assuring us from theresa may that this will not imperil lgb t writes, but the one thing we know about theresa may is that you cannot trust a single thing she says because the one thing she has done is consistently u—turn. it is very worrying when you have a political party which is sore extreme on birdie—mac and climate change and in terms of the northern ireland political process. from your point of view as a corbyn supporter, i would not want too much about terrorists and i would also not go on too much about social prejudices. the people who refer to me as the zionist due janet daley the people who refer to me as the zionist duejanet daley every time i attackjeremy corbyn is not a pretty picture. there is left wing bigotry and there is right—wing bigotry. picture. there is left wing bigotry and there is right-wing bigotry. do you want to pick up on this question about whether it will be extremist in its approach. a lot of the things we are talking about our deferred issues. they have a veto on the issues. they have a veto on the issue of marriage equality and so on. there are 18 westminster seats in northern ireland. the dup won ten of them this time around. i mean, you talk about democracy. that is democracy. they got elected. you talk about democracy. that is democracy. they got electedlj you talk about democracy. that is democracy. they got elected. i don't see what the issue is there. they are as entitled as any other party sitting in the house of commons to form any kind of alliance they choose. and i'd say? i am entitled obviously and those of us who are horrified by the prospect of an electoral alliance, a parliamentary government being formed with the support of that party, had every right to speak out. that party opposes the basic civil rights of me asa opposes the basic civil rights of me as a gay man. it would be absurd if idid not as a gay man. it would be absurd if i did not express that.|j as a gay man. it would be absurd if i did not express that. i am not suggesting you shouldn't. of course, the dup can do what they want but british citizens have every right to speak out. they are the largest single party in northern ireland. let's hear from thomas.|j single party in northern ireland. let's hear from thomas. i know their position and they are not very attractive at all. but they are not going to be influential in informing of social policy in great britain as a whole. there is not equal marriage in northern ireland. but that will not impinge on the legislation. one of the assurances ruth davidson was trying to get from the prime minister was that this would not impede her supporting for example the extension of birdie—mac in northern ireland. but in any case, asi northern ireland. but in any case, as i have said. —— lgbt rights. northern ireland. but in any case, as i have said. -- lgbt rights. the dup or not going into this alliance to start rolling back equal marriage in scotland or england. the dup are going into this alliance to ensure that, for example, farmers in northern ireland, who will be very damaged by brexit, suddenly get more money from the uk treasury to make up money from the uk treasury to make upfor money from the uk treasury to make up for that. this is about money, jobs, livelihoods. when you talk about the dup social agenda, one of the dangers... you are talking about their social agenda. this is not about the social agenda. it is about the economic agenda. if we had a vote on abortion in the house of commons, then obviously there are implications. that is a free vote. we know they are a party which opposes birdie—mac and that will have a huge influence over government. —— lgbt rights. have a huge influence over government. -- lgbt rights. people watching will wonder why brexit is such an important issue in the coming months that sinn fein has done so well in elections that it is happy to sit in the northern ireland power—sharing agreement, why its mps will not take their seats, even in this election were actually they could have quite a lot of influence at westminster at a time when that could affect things. it is simply because sinn fein as a republican party have a long—standing abstention is policy. it is not something i understand or necessarily agree with. gerry adams was asked several times in the last couple of days, now you have increased your representation, why, and he has ruled it out. on sinn fein, ithink and he has ruled it out. on sinn fein, i think one thing is significant. there is no power—sharing executive and there has not been for some time in northern ireland. it broke down for reasons we do not need to go into right now. the british government in whatever talk school or now after the election. they were suspended during the election. it is supposed to be an almost broke. this alliance with the dup will make that a little more difficult in any future talks with the british government sort of refereeing whoever the secretary of state for northern ireland maybe. in the middle. while the dup are in an alliance, even at a loose electoral alliance. that is the biggest paradox in my eyes. people who are imported there will now be part of the government. and it will make it more difficult to re—establish power—sharing in northern ireland, which is important or northern ireland right now. that is an interesting point you made about the economic agenda and the concerns aboutjobs economic agenda and the concerns about jobs and employment and so economic agenda and the concerns aboutjobs and employment and so on because that is something that was almost completely missing from this discussion and one of the reasons why i really despise corbyn and labour as why i really despise corbyn and labouras an why i really despise corbyn and labour as an next lefty myself is that it labour as an next lefty myself is thatitis labour as an next lefty myself is that it is now a completely bourgeois phenomenon. this is now a monopoly, monopolised by urban professionals and middle—class university students, and there has been scarcely a word said about the tragedy, the post—industrial tragedy, the post—industrial tragedy, of working class communities in this country. it is now dead, that kind of life, a community built around a local industry, steelworks or manufacturing or coal mining. that is gone. we have lost a generation. and those are the truly forgotten people and nobody on either side of the fence and it is particularly culpable on labour's part has had a word to say about this. there is no easy solution, but they might have had something to say to the old industrial proletariat.” had something to say to the old industrial proletariat. i think that isa industrial proletariat. i think that is a very interesting point. obviously, 40% of the publishing voted for labour over that and are not middle—class professionals and university students. this will not work unless i can say... because when you speak i do not interrupted. i will try to speak and then you can come back and then we will have a discussion. what we saw in many ex—industrial areas of britain is those who previously voted for ukip did notjust those who previously voted for ukip did not just vote for the conservatives as predicted but also voted for the labour party as well and that includes many of those ex—industrial workers. what labour have argued in this election is for a genuine living wage to be introduced. if you haven't got a job! there we go again. on the basis that most people in property are in work. and the second thing is an active industrial strategy, learning from countries such as germany, which haven't had the approach of letting the market decide and industries will disappear and then something else will rise, but instead have intervened, for example supporting localjobs. instead have intervened, for example supporting local jobs. equally, instead have intervened, for example supporting localjobs. equally, a house—building programme, which labour have committed to, will also create huge numbers ofjobs in construction. your right to raise that. the tories have nothing to say on that. how is it that jeremy corbyn can ask theresa may to stand aside so he can form a government? he lost the election. the figures simply don't add up. unless you want your dup, who you like so much, to join him. i don't like the dup. how isjeremy corbyn join him. i don't like the dup. how is jeremy corbyn going to form a government without the dup?” is jeremy corbyn going to form a government without the dup? i think the odds are that the labour government... who do i speak to you? there are two people here. i can only respond to one point at a time. i think what labour are doing is a very clever and canny political ploy to expose the fact that theresa may humiliatingly lost this election and now has a coalition of chaos. jeremy corbyn lost this election. what i think will happen... i want to bring in thomas to talk about the other issue, which is the brexit negotiations. does this result in any way change the landscape models those in positions? well, i wonder what the will of the people really is? theresa may keeps quoting the will of the people and someone to write a novel about 50 shades of brexit. 50 is enough. and so in a sense, we have to wait and see. we cannot legislate about what is going to happen. we cannot speculate. we have to wait for the negotiations. will they be pleased are disappointed with the outcome, do you think? i think they will be pretty neutral, on balance. this is too serious a matter to be sort of hoisted on what you prefer or what you do not prefer. you have to be professional. you have to get down and work out a deal which is also accommodating for europeans and so forth. and i think this result will influence the direction of the nature of the negotiations. ask you, janet, about something interesting which came up this morning. i had a tory mp on the channel only a couple of hours ago saying what this proves is that hard brexit is dead. this is interesting because conservative mps will now start to argue in terms of brexit, then the dental factionalism in the government side is quite serious. i think the tories are pretty ruthlessly disciplined and i think that will be brought under control, that kind of talk. but that is neither here nor there. the real issue remains that there is serious disagreement within the party and serious disagreement even among conservative voters. when i said that they use it as a way of having a second referendum, there were an awful lot of dedicated voters who voted tactically deliberately to sabotage the government's attempts because they were convinced that it would go for hard brexit and partly because they hoped to destabilise the situation so much that they hope they would have to go away and that is just not political possible. they would have to go away and that isjust not political possiblem isjust not political possiblem is with the situation of theresa may being not very credible as a brexiteer. unfolding the flag. the biggest u—turn is interning from a quiet remain to a brexiteer. she was a lwa ys quiet remain to a brexiteer. she was always able to remain, but that makes it even more suspicious. if she is not frank about these things. i don't see why eu leaders in any sense can take theresa may seriously after this. clearly, she sense can take theresa may seriously afterthis. clearly, she got sense can take theresa may seriously after this. clearly, she got this election on a false premise meaning that the more seats she got would strengthen her hands. eu governments have no interest whatsoever in the scale of her majority. they are interested injust doing the deal with britain. they want to revellers sitting in the seat across the table from them. can ijust sitting in the seat across the table from them. can i just finished that point? eu governments are accountable to their own electorates. their own voters. that is what they are interested in. what britain does is to britain. in terms of that, we have seen that she has had a shambolic campaign. she is now drastically weakened her own authority and she now has two sets of people, well, three sets. she has the dup on the one hand, she has hard—core right—wing brexit supporters, and she also has a liberal remain faction like nicky morgan. and the problem is, before she struggled to get legislation through, do you remember national insurance when she tried to do a u—turn on that but she did not have a majority. how is she going to get anything through when she has three completely different factions?” will give you all one last word. how long has theresa may got? at least until the finalisation of the first negotiations on brexit. a year. maybe a year. she has no authority. she will not last until the end of this year. thank you all very much. a real pleasure to have you here. what a fascinating week in politics. we will be back with more next week. from all others on programme, goodbye. hello. once again, the weekend has started with quite a variety of weather on offer across the british isles. some, it has been a glorious start, with pictures like this from the channel islands and also from the channel islands and also from the isle of wight. further north than the weather was ok across parts of the southwest. further north again, and forthe of the southwest. further north again, and for the good part of wales and indeed into the north of england, things were a good more dreary and for that you had to thank this area of clouds, coming in from the atlantic. it is a weather front and the cloud has enough about it for there to be quite a bit of rain. across the north of england and wales and the west of england. having come across northern ireland in the first part of the day and increasingly it will become confined to the northern isles of scotland. following behind, some brightness. 20-22dc. following behind, some brightness. 20—22dc. some showers in western parts there. northern ireland faring quite nicely there. not far behind in the temperature stakes. a lot of dry weather your. there is no escaping the fact that that weather front is slow moving across the north of england and across the cumbrian fells, the northwestern heels of wales, 50 millimetres of rain. what a work contrast. the uv levels are very high, as indeed is the pollen, quite widely across the greater part of england and wales. at hamden, later on in the afternoon, scotland versus england should benefit from those brightening skies, although there may be a shower later on as we just push some of these showers from the atla ntic to push some of these showers from the atlantic to finish the day. the weather front in the wee small hours staggered its way into the south—eastern quarter of the british isles to generate quite a mild and muqqy isles to generate quite a mild and muggy night. 15—17dc below. not a cold night, where ever you are spending it. sunday starts with low pressure to the west of the british isles. notice the number of isobars. quite a blustery day. especially if you're close to the centre of the lowell. you may well see more showers than sunshine in scotland and northern ireland. those showers come into play across western england and wales. the best of the sunshine further east for the humber and down to central and southern england. but eventually begins across the south east. you're watching bbc news. i'm jane hill at westminster, where pressure mounts on theresa may. the bbc understands some conservative mps are demanding mrs may sack her two chief advisers or face a leadership challenge. to shore up her government the prime minister is expected to finalise her team of ministers and is preparing to hold talks with the democratic unionist party next week. the scottish conservatives leader is one of several to express reservations about mrs may doing a deal with the dup. labour took the conservative seat of kensington in west london — the final constituency declaration, after a third recount.

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