Transcripts For BBCNEWS Beyond 100 Days 20200210

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as the nationalists sinn fein take the biggest share of the popular vote. this is bbc news. the headlines at eight. four cases of coronavirus confirmed in the uk. it's now been irish prime minister leo varadkar says his fine gael will not be taking part in any coalition talks. closed. experts say there is and in the other major upset, opportunity to contain the disease. the south korean film parasite the detection of the small number of becomes the first non—english language film to win best cases could be this part that becomes a bigger problem. for now, picture at the oscars. it's only this part. i don't want to hello. i'm katty kay in new hampshire and christian fraser is in london. for a while pete buttigieg was the young mayor with an unpronounceable name, go back to prison. a year after from a small town few people had heard of, and he got largely ignored by his fellow democrats who were running to be president. being cleared of a sword attack that has all changed. outside buckingham palace. cleaning last night mr buttigieg up outside buckingham palace. cleaning up the mess again. people across was formally, finally, england are angry as a flood declared the winner of the iowa caucus and the other candidates seemed to wake up defences flood to the realisation he is a real threat who needs taking down. so the attacks began. it's not personal — it's what happens in american politics when you're a front runner. but it was noticeable how much the tone sharpened this weekend amid anxiety that democrats are struggling to find a strong candidate to run against donald trump in november. forget the kumbayah of a few weeks ago, this is what the democratic race sounds like now. he is no barack obama. he is right, i'm not, and neither is he. going after every single thing that people do, i don't think that's what people wa nt do, i don't think that's what people want right now. we have a new, in the white house and look where it got us. this is going to take sucking up to billionaires or being a billionaire to get the democratic nomination, to run for president, then all i can say is buckle up america. bernie says you have to bring people together, and we have to have medicare for all. but he doesn't say how much the damn thing will cost. unlike some appear, i don't have billionaires contributing to my campaign. the tone of it gives you the sense of how important new hampshire is. with me now is holly shulman spokesperson for the new hampshire democratic party. thanks forjoining me. after the chaos of iowa is new hampshire going to give a clean result that will help narrow the field? it's very different from the caucus system in iowa, people show up and they are given a ballot, they mark it, it is counted and that is it. so we will have a result tomorrow night. does the tone we have seen over the course of this weekend reflect how important the candidates think new hampshire is? definitely. we are the first people to cast our ballots so new hampshire citizens take this very seriously. they know the responsibility they have and they know their vote matters. if the candidates don't do well here in new hampshire, what does it mean for theircampaign? takejoe hampshire, what does it mean for their campaign? take joe biden, hampshire, what does it mean for their campaign? takejoe biden, down infour in their campaign? takejoe biden, down in four in iowa. there are four early states, so the candidates will have two more chances to prove themselves and then we will see what happens. in new hampshire we are still looking at it being anyone's game. 49% are still undecided, according to the last poll i saw. the tone of the last few days, is it helpful to democrats as they take on donald trump or should they be focusing their attention on donald trump? we saw over the last few yea rs, if trump? we saw over the last few years, if you are here in 2016 it has been a much more divisive campaign to what we are seeing now. i think when donald trump shows up tomorrow night, people will regain their focus and know that this election is about him, his broken promises and contrasting that with democrats who have a vision to move oui’ democrats who have a vision to move our country forward. how soon do the democrats need to come up with a candidate to rally their party around? we have lots of possibilities, people are excited about the choices we have. what i hear from democrats is about the choices we have. what i hearfrom democrats is they about the choices we have. what i hear from democrats is they are anxious. i know how important it is to beat donald trump so people are worried about who is the best candidate to beat him. electability is ranking at the top of the list this week but we will have a nominee $0011 this week but we will have a nominee soon enough. the forecast is not great for tomorrow, it was drizzling and snow when i arrived. turnout matters for democrats, it was not high in iowa. i —— how good is turnout going to be tomorrow if we get more rain and snow?” turnout going to be tomorrow if we get more rain and snow? i will say new hampshire folks go around in snow all the time, it is i see all the time. do you get a sense of what we saw in iowa aware that democrats are tired and exhausted by politics at the moment? i think people are tired but they will still vote. people know that this matters and they will be there. 0k, thank you very much. very diplomatic, very confident. it is important for democrats to get out and vote, it is a big election and turnout has to get up. it has to be better than it was in iowa. some news from the bernie sanders camp, formally requesting a recount. maybe we have already moved on from iowa anyway, it is all about new hampshire this week. this is how the poll looks. this is what pete buttigieg was looking like at the beginning of the week. you see the vote was on the fourth, so 1796, see the vote was on the fourth, so 17%, and it's been rising all the way up through the week. the little dip is probably because those in the middle, the centre ground, are torn, but as they told us last week roughly a 10% bump when you win iowa. which given that we only got the official result last night is remarkable. democrats had not really heard about this mare from south bend indiana, and now he is the guy to beat. this is still bernie sanders' state, it is the state he w011 so sanders' state, it is the state he won so resoundingly last time around. sanders is still the guy who is the frontrunner, but the fact that pete buttigieg and notjoe biden is the candidate everyone is talking about, the centrist candidate, i think is indicative in and of itself. i have spent the last few days talking to democrats in washington and they are really nervous, concerned that their front runners at the moment are not candidates they feel are solid to ta ke candidates they feel are solid to take on donald trump. there are too many negatives about bernie sanders and pete buttigieg, too new to the game, and biden seems to be disappearing. so early in the race, but the pivotal day tomorrow. let's turn to coronavirus. there are four newly confirmed cases of coronavirus in the uk, and two of them are health care workers. two health centres one in brighton and one in northamptonshire have closed as a precaution. the four people infected were all in contact in recent weeks with a businessman who contracted the virus at a conference in singapore, and was diagnosed in brighton last week. so, is it spreading more widely? and can it be effectively contained? we have gone back in time to monday 20th jan when the who first began tracking and publishing a tally of those infected. here are those same stats a week later. by the third february there had been quiteajump. but today's figures show a significant increase, more than 40,000 infected, 910 deaths and 97 of those deaths have come in the last 2a hours. we can speak to lauren sauer, assistant professor of emergency medicine atjohns hopkins. she's an expert on preparing for critical events. and with me in the studio, peter 0penshaw an immunologist and expert on experimental medicine at imperial college london. lauren, cani lauren, can i start with you? we have eight cases now confirmed in the uk. the government today deemed the uk. the government today deemed the virus is a serious and imminent threat. is it spreading? yes, i think we knew it would be spreading. some people are calling them super spreading events and any time you see health care workers getting infected you can be sure you will see more spread. peter, let'sjust talk about this business men. he comes back from a conference in singapore and he goes to a chalet in chamonix, and all told he has infected 11 people and they are calling him a super spreader. with normal flu, if you calling him a super spreader. with normalflu, if you had a cold calling him a super spreader. with normal flu, if you had a cold you would in —— infect one or two people, so does this virus spread more easily or is in more contact with people? what do we know?m more easily or is in more contact with people? what do we know? it is a controversial term, super spreading. it was kind particularly in relation to the sars outbreak in individuals infecting a lot of people, because they were in a&e departments and needed intubation which meant they were exposing a lot of people to their secretions. it looks like this particular individual seems to have been able to get around and behave relatively normally, maybe even go skiing, yet has been able to infect a large numberof has been able to infect a large number of people. it's a matter of how much virus is being produced and how much virus is being produced and how easily it is contaminating other people. there are so many things we don't know about how the virus spreads and why it is some people seem spreads and why it is some people seem relatively unaffected personally, but seem to produce a virus that goes on to affect other people. lauren, you dealwith emergency responses to this kind of thing. let me clarify about the masks, how effective are they? we know a lot about masks but one of the things we have been seeing in this outbreak is people wearing masks who are otherwise well. what the who do not recommend is using masks is a well person to protect yourself from the virus. masks when yourself from the virus. masks when you see them in a health care environment, for example during flu season, it is for patients with respiratory infections to prevent them from potentially infecting other people. health care workers wear masks because of their prolonged exposure to patients who are sick. masks in well people is not recommended, it is not evidence based. we don't have science that supports their use and may potentially do harm in people who are having respiratory responses. my second question is how smart is it to be incubating people, isolating people on these cruise ships? yes, the cruise ships are a really challenging question. obviously they spread virus pretty easily, we see that in the regular norovirus outbreaks on cruise ships. from what i understand these people are isolated in individual rooms. the sick people are separate from the well people so the well people have been quarantined and they are kept separate as best as i can understand. ideally you want to get eve ryo ne understand. ideally you want to get everyone off the cruise ship and into ca re everyone off the cruise ship and into care or home quarantine as soon as possible. there is a woman who has been taken to a japanese hospital and she has got coronavirus but she has not shown many symptoms. her husband who slept in the same bed, he is not showing any symptoms and has not got it at all. there is so and has not got it at all. there is so much we don't know about how this virus is spreading, what it is that makes one person susceptible and another not. it may be that we all carry genetic variations in our immune system which will defend us against viruses in different ways and we are just learning so much. the opportunity for doing some really important research, not only in countries and cities where there are a lot of cases but also for example in cruise ships so we can really understand this well is extraordinary, and the rate at which china is coming out with wonderful research findings which really helped us understand virus is remarkable. peter, is it the speed at which this virus is spreading or the lethality of the virus itself once people have it that concerns you the most? the impact of any pathogen is a product of multiplying the speed at which it spreads by the danger that it creates for the individual. in this case it is spreading much faster than the sars virus in 2002, 2003. it was possible to defeat that but it was a severe pathogen. this seems to be less lethal but a much better spreader. the result of the high number of people plus the appreciable lethality is the thing we are concerned about. we have been carrying —— covering this for weeks now, and it estimated 1% of those infected die, so that is on a par with seasonal flu. are we blowing this out of proportion? the death rates, estimates are just that, estimates. we don't know a lot about this virus or the more in mild cases so this virus or the more in mild cases so hopefully we will see the death rate drop. we often tend to compare risk of well—known things like flu with unknown things like this coronavirus because it helps us put that risk into context. that can be troublesome because there are things about flu that are very different. we have good diagnostics, we have vaccines to varying degrees of success , vaccines to varying degrees of success, and we know how to manage flu cases. we practice for it every year. even pandemic flu cases we can learn a lot from our seasonal flu management. in this case with all these unknowns it is a different threat, and that is what is driving the more extreme measures of precaution happening now. very quickly, peter? i agree. what is frightening about this is the unknowns, and also it is a protracted disease and the deaths are occurring at week three. with influe nza are occurring at week three. with influenza it tends to be won in 1000 or less, and here the mortality of one in 100 is really very high. fascinating. thank you both for your thoughts. but to clarify all of that. —— good to clarify all of that. in china — counting the cost of the disease goes far and wide — xijinping said his government will work to prevent large—scale lay—offs. many in china were due to return to work today after the lunar new year holiday, but much of the country remains closed to contain the virus' spread. the economic cost has mounted as shutdowns in the country continue to disrupt global supply chains. our economics editor faisal islam reports. it should be back to work in china. after celebrating chinese new year, tens of millions of workers were expecting to have returned to the cities and to the factories, one of the fundamental drivers of the world economy. but the commute is so far is quieter than usual and in the offices that are reopening, it's anything but normal. translation: our company has adopted special measures, including sanitising every day. the building is in isolation. we are required to wear masks the whole day while at work. in the shops, food prices have surged, up 20% on last january. pork prices have more than doubled, at the same time the economy is slowing. the actual economic impact will depend, of course, on the global health impact. what we do know is the virus, and measures to contain it, have led to many factories remaining closed today that should have reopened by now. slowing chinese demand for luxury goods and crude oil, as well as reduced chinese tourism abroad, and some supply chains for key parts manufactured in china are broken, with many global businesses seeking alternatives, for example in vietnam. the already weak chinese economy is expected to see the slowest three months in over a decade, possibly a contraction, and in turn that could see the same for the entire world economy, an immediate global hit worth over £200 million. worth over £200 billion. the expectation — that this will be made up over the rest of the year when, or if, things get back to normal. that can be seen even 5,000 miles away in this yorkshire electronics factory, dependent on components shipped in from shuttered plants near the centre of the outbreak. we have been able to find alternative sources for the materials, but because we need them quickly now, then there are price implications and some of that has been as much as three times the original cost. there has been major disruption likely to delay recovery in an already fragile world economy. president xijinping, appearing in beijing in a protective mask, says if the virus is contained, the impact should be temporary. but that is not certain right now. faisal islam, bbc news. that economic impact spreading around the world. there has been an earthquake in irish politics. sinn fein, known historically as the political wing of the ira — and a party that for a long time was shunned by the political establishment — is now the biggest in ireland. they won the popular vote in this weekend's election beating both fianna fail and fine gael. the two centrist parties that had governed ireland since the republic won independence a century ago. sinn fein won almost a quarter of the first preference votes but are unilkely to hold the most seats in the parliament. michael martin — who leads fianna foil the party that came second — has not ruled out working with sinn fein. the current prime minister leo varadkar — who leads fine gael — came third. he's ruled out any coalition talks with the nationalists. una mullally. which way do you think this will go? who knows? we are now in uncharted waters with regards to the power sinn fein holds going into any kind of government negotiations. mary lou mcdonald, the leader of sinn fein, was initially talking like she was reaching out to left—wing parties to see if they could form a left—wing coalition government. the numbers don't look very clearfor coalition government. the numbers don't look very clear for that so now it is down to whether or not fianna fail and sinn fein will go into coalition or whether fine gael and fianna fail will go into coalition together, or whether no government can be formed and it gets kicked back to the electorate. so interesting weeks ahead. what do you think has happened here? ireland is the youngest country in europe and we have seen extraordinary reforms in recent times on abortion, gay marriage. is thisjust in recent times on abortion, gay marriage. is this just an extension of that? it is interesting. ithink this election is kind of an echo of the economic crash. i think fine gael came to power in order to clean up gael came to power in order to clean up that mess, and what has transpired is that the subsequent policies they have implemented have not been to the electorate's liking, so not been to the electorate's liking, so you have this in where you have a so—called booming economy, yet it is quality—of—life she is speaking about where people are really hurting. we have a dysfunctional property market, there is a real lack of supply of housing, and despite assistance and the belief things were getting better, people weren't feeling it on the ground. that combined with the health service and a broad left surge, sinn fein has capitalised on that and filled this vacuum where people want to see change. let's take this and broaden it out a little bit. even though we don't know what the final result of the government will be, what does this mean for brexit and borisjohnson? what does this mean for brexit and boris johnson? who knows? leo varadkar tried to boris johnson? who knows? leo va radkar tried to centralise boris johnson? who knows? leo varadkar tried to centralise brexit at the start of the campaign, saying that fine gael had the best team to manage brexit but ultimately the irish electorate weren't really thinking about brexit. brexit is kind of happening over there from an irish perspective, although we know there will be huge economic ramifications with regard to the north in particular, but really the exit polls showed that 1% of people cared about brexit when they were voting. so we don't know yet who borisjohnson will be continuing his negotiations with, but it certainly wasn't something on the minds of the irish electorate when they were voting. the idea is that although they weren't thinking about brexit when voting, the common thought is they will probably drive a harder bargain than leo varadkar was driving a few months ago. we don't know yet if sinn fein will be in government. everything is up in the air. i don't see how any government can be formed quickly from these numbers at all. even fine gael and fianna fail coming together, they wouldn't have the seats required to form government so we don't know what will happen. it is very fluid, the counting is still ongoing, so who knows? 0k, thank you very much. a lot still to play for in ireland. so plenty of heartache for the two main parties in the irish election, but we do have a happy ending to report. holly carins and her partner christopher o'sullivan were both running for parliament for rival parties in the same constituency. which reads like the script of a disastrous romcom. anyway it turned out ok because there were three seats up for grabs in cork south west, and holly and christopher nabbed two of them. phew! crisis averted... for now. until those late night votes in parliament, when no doubt they will be on opposite sides again. you know how they say don't go to bed cross? i wonder how that will work out. this is beyond one hundred days from the bbc. coming up for viewers on the bbc news channel and bbc world news — on the eve of the new hampshire democratic primary we go out in search of the most fiercely sought—after demographic of them all — the undecided voter. and the oscar award for best picture goes to a non—english language film. in the wake of storm ciara we still have rain across the country but our focus has been shifting to snow. temperatures dropped by five celsius in the space of one hour and the rain turned to snow. we had snow not just across shropshire but a swathe of other places. overnight the risk of other places. overnight the risk of icy patches developing but there will be further snow showers overnight as well. scotland, the hills of northern england and the hills of northern england and the hills of northern england and the hills of northern ireland too. temperatures in towns and cities just about staying above freezing but they might dip down in the countryside. the greatest risk of snow lying on the ground on tuesday will be across the pennines, the cumbrian fells, the hills of northern ireland and the hills of scotland, where we could see ten centimetres of snow in places as we start the day, so there is the risk of disruption on the roads here. through the rest of tuesday, showers coming through thick and fast. a similar kind of date of the one we have just had similar kind of date of the one we havejust had in similar kind of date of the one we have just had in that there will be plenty of showers, windy around the coast, and inland gusts of up to 50 mph. with the air a degree or two cooler. feeling cold in the wind. into wednesday we will continue to see the snow showers feeding and across northern ireland, scotland and northern england, particularly over the hills, and that's how we start the day again on wednesday. further south pressure building, becoming dry with fewer showers and more in the way of sunshine. but later on we will start to see a band of rain moving in from the south—west. that is associated with this area of low pressure moving through on wednesday night into thursday morning. it is notjust rain coming ourway thursday morning. it is notjust rain coming our way but also snow on the hills of northern england and scotland. that could cause some problems, and the heavy rain means we could see further flooding around as well on thursday. that is your latest weather. you're watching beyond 100 days with me katty kay in new hampshire, christian fraser is in london. our top stories: after the fiasco of the iowa caucus, democrats are gearing up for the all important new hampshire primary — and hoping their nominee will be ready for the fight. i want some fire and some fury. i wa nt i want some fire and some fury. i want really good... how they are going to attack trump. four new cases of coronavirus in the uk. two of them healthworkers. all of them connected to a super spreader who had returned from a business trip to singapore. also on the programme: a cabinet reshuffle, a decision on the hs2 rail line and immigration policy post brexit — all in a week's work for the british prime minister. plus, the actress who carried the ultimate edible accessory to this year's oscars. we'll explain all. amid the chaos of the iowa caucus results one story got a little lost. turn out was pretty low. democrats went into iowa predicting so many people were mad at donald trump that they would turn out in droves, and smash historic records. they didn't. and that's a bad sign for the party heading into november's election. here in new hampshire, democrats hope to reverse that trend. but in a worrying sign, many voters here haven't even made up their mind yet who they're going to vote for tomorrow. and that can affect turnout. jane o'brien joined the search for those who might be open to persuasion. hi. how are you? hunting for election gold on the streets of manchester. voters who haven't yet made up their minds. you can send out thousands of pieces of mail, you can send out a tweet that reaches a million people but, ultimately, face to face conversation is still what people like. voters don't live on twitter, they live behind their doors. around half of new hampshire voters are registered independent but can still vote in the democratic primary. they could decide the outcome. because of a couple of trends in our politics we don't talk to them, we really focus on making people afraid of the other party instead of wanting to come to our party. and campaigns really focus on who they know will vote, now they can do a youtube pre—roll ad instead of doing a tv ad to everybody and that means a lot of these people are getting left out of the process and we need to talk to them. canvassers know exactly who they are targeting thanks to apps that reveal personal data and likely preferences. so we know the woman who lives in this house voted in the last two general elections but has never voted in a primary. she probably supports gun control but is less likely to support the minimum wage. she definitely supports a woman's right to have an abortion and might have a college degree. from a small country towns in the mountains to the seaside, candidates have spent months campaigning for every single vote. but new hampshire isn't going well for former vice presidentjoe biden who is now fourth in the polls and could be real trouble. i do have some concerns, more about, to be honest, his age. it's not age, it's energy. and i'm here today to find out if he has the energy to do it. and i don't know the answer to that question. i want some fire and some fury. i want some really good, how they're going to attack trump, my most important thing, how are we going to beat him? are you not hearing that at the moment? not yet. some experts say the polls have too much influence and could be damaging the election process itself. the voters who are turning out right now are new mobilising independents is essential if democrats are to be donald trump in november. but as disappointing turnout in iowa showed, getting them excited about the candidates is another matter entirely. with me now is paul steinhauser, political reporter for the concord monitor. do we know how many people are undecided? one in ten. new hampshire voters are traditional late deciders but in addition to those one in ten around half a saying they're supporting a candidate but they might change their mind by primary day. they've had lots of access to the candidates over the past year, what does it take for them to make up their mind? i think we are spoiled here, the same nio, because we get to see the candidates many times. right now, for democrats especially, they want to find somebody who can be donald trump. is there a candidate you think could do well in new hampshire who did not do well in new hampshire who did not do particularly well in iowa? could a stroppy surprise? it could. polling indicates a bernie sanders isa polling indicates a bernie sanders is a favourite, he won big four yea rs is a favourite, he won big four years ago here, he is from neighbouring vermont. the minnesota that senator who did not do well in iowa has been getting some momentum in the past few days. what is it that new hampshire voters like abbott bernie sanders? progressives love him and there are lots of progressives in the base here and they love him not only because he's progressive on the issues but the love he's been preaching this forfour issues but the love he's been preaching this for four decades. he is not a johnny come lately. i remember 2004, standing outside this building and i was thinking today going back over past new hampshire primary is the atmosphere i remember most that this feels like its 2004 when democrats really wa nted its 2004 when democrats really wanted to beat george bush and they we re wanted to beat george bush and they were nervous, are you wanted to beat george bush and they were nervous, are you picking up on that? they are nervous, especially with the not very high turnout in iowa. what is it making people nervous and depressing turn out? that's the great question because we've heard for the last year democrats cannot wait to get out and vote against donald trump but we did not see that turnout in iowa and there is a fear of divisions in the party and make —— maybe not everybody will get behind the nominee and maybe trump wins another four years, that's a big concern for voters. is there a name you are hearing about that is not particularly mentioned? mike bloomberg, are people talking about him? lots of moderates and centrists are concerned thatjoe biden might not be the saviour for the party are starting to look towards michael bloomberg. he has lots of money, he makes donald trump look poor and he is waiting for a super tuesday in a few weeks. very interesting. i remember 2004 and the feeling that we've got to be george bush, that was the overriding concern, the height of the iraq war, it feels like that now and it doesn't feel like democrats are very happy. isn't it interesting joe biden's camp are talking aboutjust surviving new hampshire, not the winning but surviving. when you look at history in new hampshire it's not very kind if you arejoe biden. if you don't finish in the top two, all the way back tojimmy carter in 1976, you are not likely to get denomination. no, the only counterargument i would make is in several of those races they were pretty much only one or two candidates, particularly recently. it was hillary clinton versus bernie sanders, it was pretty much barack obama versus hurley clinton in the last two elections but this time there is a broader field. more people who could end in the top two in that the spreading votes a nd the top two in that the spreading votes and making it harderfor the top two in that the spreading votes and making it harder for the ones at the top. it's also going to bea ones at the top. it's also going to be a busy week in british politics. borisjohnson is preparing a series of major announcements before a long anticipated reshuffle of his cabinet on thursday. today the treasury unveiled the governments plans for freeports — which if adopted would create up to 10 tariff—free enterprise zones around some of the poorest coastal towns in the uk. on wednesday we are expecting a decision, finally, on hs2 — the proposed high speed rail link they estimate will cost over £100 billion — deeply unpopular with some conservative mps — and on friday before they all disappear, the new cabinet will sign off on the government's post—brexit immigration policy. let's speak now to olivia utley — deputy leader writer at the sun. let's start with free ports because i remember pre—brexit there was a row about it and labour said it would eat into regulation and we don't even know whether they work but the government says it will create thousands ofjobs and some of the poorest areas. it's interesting because it's a very good pr move. after the election when borisjohnson won this coalition of voters, natural conservatives in the south and the red wall fell and became blue, very different type of water and this policy is great for bringing together the coalition because for the free market brexiteers it's all about being out of the eu red tape that was strangling the economy and these economically liberal things like new policies which tear down regulation which is great but also it is supposed to come if it works, isa it is supposed to come if it works, is a bring jobs to port towns in the uk which are voted conservative for the first time. —— poorer pounds. and they are manufacturing jobs which truly appear to people. whether it will etch the work is another question. there's always a chanceit another question. there's always a chance it will not drive growth and just all concentrate jobs in particular areas, jobs that would have happened anyway. it's one of those for the new northern voters in particular? but what is particularly interesting as it does not cost taxpayer money, one of the very few policies that doesn't! on the reshuffle, do ministers know whether they are in or out already? no. i don't think so. so no lea ks? i think there are so many leaks and so i think there are so many leaks and so many i think there are so many leaks and so many rumours i think there are so many leaks and so many rumours they all heard a million things. when i worked in parliament i was amazed they really did not know, they would get the phone call and their face would go whites. it depends whether you're walking through the front or the back door, via the back garden. olivia, what is the priority with the reshuffle? he's got this pic majority, presumably there are not people he needs to please so what does he do with it —— he's got this a big majority. i think, for so long we've been used to minority governments and small majorities, where the prime minister has to have a cabinet full of people who are very good in the media and good at getting out the message and good at getting out the message and good at getting out the message and good at confrontation and able to bat away questions from interviewers. now boris johnson bat away questions from interviewers. now borisjohnson has an 80 seat majority, he can promote people he thinks are good at the job, it does not matter what they sound like how good they are at media, it's all about how good they actually asked we might see some names. . . he does not lead to rewards, or keep the northern wall happy, then? i think he does but the strength of his position at the moment is the whole of his mps are behind him com pletely whole of his mps are behind him completely and the whole of his party so i don't think he needs to bring in people to keep them happy because everyone is happy so it's not a question of promoting friends, they are all his friends anyway. the big story in westminster this week is about dominic cummings because apparently according to the daily mail, anyway, carrie symons, the prime minister pours my other half has had a bit of a tussle over this cabinet reshuffle with dominic cummings and it struck me reading this today that we've seen this before, haven't we? yeah. first of all, i thought we we re yeah. first of all, i thought we were always right! i think there's risk for aids to leaders getting above the station and we are all thinking of steve bannon, he was the quy thinking of steve bannon, he was the guy everybody was talking about in the white house early on in the administration he could do no wrong and was super close to donald trump and was super close to donald trump and then his picture turns up on the front page of time magazine being heralded and you have to wonder whether donald trump didn't think he was getting too much limelight, time for him to go. does that happen to dominic cummings? what do you think or olivia? is he good at attracting bad news and in a shield he promised from it? i think there's definitely some truth in that but i think perhaps he is more vulnerable than one might think because i think in westminster he is seen as this all—powerful figure but the interesting thing about boris johnson is figure but the interesting thing about borisjohnson is unlike theresa may is he has more intellectual security and he is more ofa intellectual security and he is more of a natural leader and theresa may was sober as her senior advisers could put their policy ideas into —— so whereas her senior advisers... he is not the point is dependent on dominic cummings is dominic cummings thinks. so if he was causing too much trouble i don't think boris would balk at seeing the back of him. i always think number two is a very good, the other half should always be kept around. just as long as the number two does not make the mistake of thinking they are number one, christian. after the senate's aquittal, there was no ‘reconciliation'. for president trump it was time for retribution, culminating in what the american press called the "friday night massacre". a purge of those witnesses who had testified against him. first out was alexander vindman — the top ukraine expert at the national security council — then us ambassador to the european union, gordon sondland. and for good measure colonel vindman's twin brother was ousted too. no—one leapt to their defence in republican circles. some of them would say they deserved it. but the senate minority leader chuck schumer has weighed in. he sent a letter to all 74 federal government inspectors general. there is, he said, "a dangerous, growing pattern of retaliation, against those who report wrongdoing only to find themselves targeted by the president and subject to his wrath and vindictiveness". we're joined now from new york by legal analyst and criminal defense attorney — caroline polisi. good to see you, as ever. the point is for these poor guys that were frogmarched out of the white house, they were subpoenaed, they did not have an option but to give evidence did they? exactly right. gordon sondland's firing is a bit unremarkable in that he was a political appointee and essentially bought the ambassadorship through the million dollar donation he gave to the trump committee but when it comes to carnal alexander vindman, it's a different story —— when it comes to carnal alexander vindman. he was subpoenaed to give truthful testimony and he was one of the rare witnesses that overheard that now infamousjuly witnesses that overheard that now infamous july 25 call between witnesses that overheard that now infamousjuly 25 call between the president and president zelensky where in the president withheld aids to the ukraine for this investigation of the and alexander vindman spoke his truth and said how he felt, he was remarkable, —— it was remarkable, he said, remarkable call. the president is within his legal rights to do this, isn't it? exactly. —— the -- the nsc —— the nsc served at the pleasure of the president sojust —— the nsc served at the pleasure of the president so just like the firing of james comey, the president so just like the firing ofjames comey, what is the president so just like the firing of james comey, what is the motivation behind it and chuck schumer obviously believes there is a retaliatory motive and effect and he is calling on 74 inspector generals to look into vindictiveness and into whistle—blowing in terms of what types of retaliatory measures the president is taking... it was unrealistic to expect they would carry on serving this president, having testified in the way they did? absolutely. according to reports they were preparing quietly to exit they were preparing quietly to exit the administration in just a few months, many of the impeachment witnesses have either left or their own accord or are planning to leave quietly. apparently when president trump got wind of that he wanted to make a showing use them as examples and show he will not tolerate in his administration. so far the republican party is still rallying behind him, maybe with the exception of mitt romney. he knows how far he can go. of mitt romney. he knows how far he can golj of mitt romney. he knows how far he can go. i agree, you've got to have the trust of the world by the —— trust of everybody in yourteam, it world by the —— trust of everybody in your team, it would be put if you passed alexander vindman in the white house and to test against you but i suppose the stops anybody else coming forward, there is no protection for whistle—blowers or anyone else that might be subpoenaed by congress? exactly right and that's been the concern with this president and this presidency in general, not only is he defying the norms but is goes against internally ingrained, institutions and things we've taken asa institutions and things we've taken as a country for decades like showing up to testify before congress when subpoenaed. obviously he would prefer those people had not done so but he is taking a hard line and showing he will not back down. he's not going to change anything we've seen he's not going to change few years. —— if anything over at least three years, we've seen he's not going to change he is. this is beyond 100 days. still to come — south korea's parasite wins the oscar for best picture — making history as the first non—english language film to take the top prize. a 58—year—old man was killed in hampshire by a falling tree as storm ciara battered britain yesterday with strong winds and torrential rain. thousands of homes are still without power — and there's disruption on the roads, railways and at airports. sangita myska reports. this is what it looks like when you're actually above the flood. stranded, just one resident of one village almost submerged by storm ciara. badly hit, the pennines and yorkshire dales, where millions of pounds spent on flood defences in the region have proved useless. the couple that own this hardware store in mytholmroyd, west yorkshire, have had enough. they have owned the shop for 30 years. i'd like to know where the environment agency is. we've seen nobody today at all, nobody has been round. and the sirens. .. and the siren didn't go off. with 100 flood warnings in place, the government says it is taking action. there are hundreds of environment agency staff on the ground, working to help make sure our flood defences are working properly and help with the clean—up. government obviously stands ready to support. storm ciara has caused travel chaos, gusts of up to 100 mph have toppled trees into the paths of drivers, killing at least one man in hampshire. rail routes across the north of england and scotland have been worst affected. here at euston station, trains delayed or cancelled, leaving passengers stranded. it feels like the people who are trying to put the infrastructure in placejust don't seem to care about the impact it has on people. last night, 20,000 homes were left without power overnight, much of which power companies say they have restored. storm ciara has hit the length and breadth of britain. this sinkhole opened up in manchester, while this one swallowed a car in essex. weather experts say the worst of the storm is now over, but counting the cost will continue well into the days and weeks to come. sangita myska, bbc news. there were no female directors nominated at this years oscars — and only one person of colour was nominated in the acting categories. but best picture did go to an unexpected recipient. the south korean film, parasite, is the first non—english language film to take the top prize. and that is pretty significant — particularly in south korea where they interrupted their usual programming to report on the surprise win. we're joined now by alison willmore — film critic at vulture. what does it mean to the future award ceremonies of the oscars? it's a lwa ys award ceremonies of the oscars? it's always difficult to predict because in the past as we have seen milestones can be marked but that does not necessarily mean great change right away. this is the first foreign language film to beat best picture winner and first nominee from south korea up much less the winner. it's a huge history making event. iron said joaquin phoenix would win best actor because i watched ajoker on the plane over to our your, very dark but an amazing character portrayal. also one of those films that's very transformative, the also one of those films that's very tra nsformative, the kind also one of those films that's very transformative, the kind of acting the academy has tended to salutes in this category. i was interested... we all got crossed there, sorry. because it is acting notjust based on playing emotional cues, it is also based on physical transformation, based on someone changing the way they look and the way they behave and i think that big, large scale acting is what the oscars have often been about. i understand. can we talk about little women? it felt to me like the film got best costume almost as a kind of consolation prize for being squeezed out of best director, best picture nomination categories. the that feel like that to you? i was really hoping it would get nominated for best director which of course ended up being an all—male category but i think her adaptation of the material that's been brought to screen many times before it is extraordinary. she brought new eyes to this got what she did with the timeline brought new life to that so i was really hoping it would get the screenplay award. unfortunately costu me screenplay award. unfortunately costu m e was screenplay award. unfortunately costume was all it got which was kind of the expected consolation prize. i felt that. it felt to me like there was not a very many big surprises, i don't know if this is just with the oscars, there's been so much build—up with the golden globes, when we got to the best actor and best supporting actor categories it was pretty much a foregone conclusion, is the oscars losing some of its excitement? i think it is a strange year in all of the acting categories went to the people who have been predicted to win for ages and at the same time i don't think anyone had seen parasite coming to when the big prize. it was a strange mix of all of the expected pics in acting and then suddenly this a very startling and for me very welcome winner of the best director and best picture. 0k, director and best picture. ok, alison, thank you very much for joining us. imagine what it's like... imagine what it must be like to be invited to the oscars. to shimmy up the red carpet, the champagne flowing, the gourmet food. well, that's how i have always imagined it. except maybe it's not that good. not according tojulia butters, the 10—year—old actor who starred in once upon a time in hollywood revealed to a reporter she'd secretly packed a turkey sandwich, in her handbag. "i don't like some of the food, she said. "it was mostly vegan." when do you get time to eat a turkey sandwich? maybe you'd have to eat it hidden behind the menu. or secluded behind a red curtain? i don't know. see tomorrow. hello. in the wake from storm ciara we still have flood warnings across the country but our focus has been shifting to snow and something interesting. look at the showers over north wales and the midlands, temperatures drop by five celsius within one hour and the rain turned to snow. snow notjust over higher ground but across lots of the north midlands, north wales and lincolnshire, snow at low elevations with a couple of centimetres in places. overnight risk of icy stretches developing but there will be further snow showers overnight as well, scotland, the hills of northern england and northern ireland although temperatures in towns and cities just staying above freezing they might dip down in the countryside. greatest risk of lying snow for tuesday will be the pennines, the cumbrian files, and the hills of scotland and northern ireland. the scottish hills could see ten centimetres to start the day so the risk of some disruption on the roads. through tuesday showers continue to come through thick and fast. similar date to the weather we've just had in that there will be plenty of showers can win the on the coasts with gusts of between 50 and 60 mph, 40 or50 inland. feeling slightly cooler, more showers will turn to snow across the northern half of the country. temperatures 4-8. half of the country. temperatures 4—8. feeling cold in the wind. tuesday night and into wednesday we continue to see snow showers feeding in across northern ireland, scotland and northern england. that's how we start the day on wednesday. further south pressure building for a time, becoming dry and fewer showers and more sunshine around but later on we will start to see a band of rain move into the south—west, that is associated with this low pressure moving through wednesday into thursday. not just rain moving through wednesday into thursday. notjust rain coming our way but also some snow on the hills of northern england and scotland which could cause some problems and after recent flooding issues the heavy rain means we could see further flooding is well on 00:58:34,784 --> 2147483052:06:02,856 thursday. that is your latest 2147483052:06:02,856 --> 4294966103:13:29,430 weather.

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