hello and welcome to audiences in the uk and around the world. we're covering all the latest coronavirus developments here in britain and globally. but first let's bring you some breaking news: chinese state media is reporting that wuhan city — where the outbreak began — has revised its total death toll up by 50%. that's 1,290 to more than 4,500. the number of confirmed infections was also revised upwards of 325 to more than 50,000. the wuhan municipal headquarters said the revisions were because early reporting had been delayed and inaccurate. but it stressed there had been no cover—up of the realfigures. the city of 11 million has spent months in strict lockdown conditions, which have only recently been eased. it comes as new figures indicate the country's economy has contracted for the first time since records began. its gross domestic product for the first quarter has dropped 6.8%, compared with last year. and a quarter before that it had grown by 6.4%. and we'll have more on that story in our business briefing a little later. president trump has outlined his plans to lift the coronavirus restrictions across the country, saying some states could get moving straightaway. he made the announcement hours after it emerged that the number of people claiming unemployment benefits in america had risen by another 5.2 million. he told a news conference that he wanted the economy to get back to normal as soon as possible, adding that individual states would make their own decisions about when to move on the three stages he outlined. the bbc‘s david willlis has the latest. he'd wanted a sudden, more dramatic end to social distancing guidelines. in the end, president trump settled for a more gradual reopening of the american economy. 0ne for a more gradual reopening of the american economy. one that will vary from state to state. we are opening up our country and we have to do that, america wants to be open and americans wa nt wants to be open and americans want to be open. resident trumps that it would be up to individual state governors to decide when to relax the existing guidelines stopping about a document called opening up about a document called opening up america again, a three phase plannerfor easing the up america again, a three phase planner for easing the current lockdowns in order to move from lockdowns in order to move from lockdown to phase i for example. the guidelines say there should be a downward trajectory of greater viruslike cases over the course of two weeks and therefore any number of people testing positive. hard—hit areas such as new york expected to be subject to social distancing guidelines for quite some time by the president said other states would be in a position to reopen soon, possibly very soon. reopen soon, possibly very soon. those states that are in great shape already, they will be able to go literally tomorrow, yes. if they have met all of the guidelines. the administration's guidelines don't include provisions to increase testing for the coronavirus, something that democratic lawmakers regarded as key to controlling the spread of the virus. business leaders contends that without more drive—through testing centres such as this one in texas, many won't feel safe to return to work. the speaker of the house, nancy pelosi, described president trump's's measures as vague and inconsistent and said they did nothing to make up for the president's failure to distribute national rapid testing. with more than 20 million americans now out of work, growing number are reliant on food handouts. the coronavirus has wiped out nearly all of thejob coronavirus has wiped out nearly all of the job growth here since the great recession more than a decade ago. president trump was forced to shut down at the world's largest economy just as shut down at the world's largest economyjust as he was about to ramp up his bid for re—election in november. little wonder then that he is eager to get things back to normal, what sort of normal that will be remains to be seen. david willis, bbc news. let's take a quick look at the latest on how europe is handling the coronavirus crisis now. more than 22,000 people have died in italy from covid—i9, with spain, france and the uk all among the most affected countries worldwide. rich preston has this report. for the second day in a row, france said on thursday it had seen another fall in the number of coronavirus patients in hospital, but the country's death toll remains high, with nearly 18,000 fatalities and a strict state of lockdown remains in force, raising concerns about the economy. president macron says the future of the european union itself is in danger if the bloc can't work together through the coming months. a sentiment which feels all too realfor some countries. yes, it is true that no—one was really ready for this. it is also true that too many were not there on time when italy needed a helping hand at the very beginning. and, yes, for that it is right that europe, as a whole, offers a heartfelt apology. italy remains europe's worst hit country, with over 22,000 deaths. across europe, countries are slowly, cautiously easing restrictions on movement. germany allowing small shops to open as of next week and for children to return to school. poland says it'll reopen parks and forests and let more people into shops and churches. slovenia says as people will be able to play non—contact sports and to visit holiday homes. but europe's reach stretches beyond the continent itself. britain, france, and the netherlands all have overseas territories. they say they'll work together — their armies, navies, and air forces, delivering vital supplies, food, and medical equipment. french officials say the territories of guadeloupe, martinique, and mayotte have seen 19 coronavirus deaths between them. while many in europe feel the worst has passed, thousands are still dying every day. fear of the virus and its long—term consequences are still very real. rich preston, bbc news. ridgejoins me now in the studio. ijust ridgejoins me now in the studio. i just want to start with what the newspapers are doing today. this is the daily mirror, allin, altogether, stay at home. it is government announcement and hey presto, it is on every newspaper across the country today. this is also the country today. this is also the daily telegraph, the inside of that cover and that is the measure, no end in sight for lockdown stop is a pretty bleak message to be putting out really. it is a realistic want isn't it, the government has set another three weeks at least. absolutely. these measures came in on the 23rd of march and have been in place forjust over march and have been in place for just over three march and have been in place forjust over three weeks. it is worth remembering that the people around the world, especially, this was announced by dominic robert, not boris johnson because boris johnson is still —— raab. the virus himself and is something that can himself and is something that ca n affect himself and is something that can affect anyone and does affect everyone. another three weeks, at least by law, have to be reviewed every three weeks. the government has said there is light at the end of the tunnel but they can't be more specific than that. on too papers reflected that light at the end of the tunnel. the daily telegraph clearly did and with no ends inside. it is difficult for a lot of people in the uk now is that you can look around europe and a loss of countries are taking measures and laying out their strategy, their approach to easing restrictions. and looking at that makes the situation here seem that much worse. it does but the reason the lockdown is staying his place is simple, the death toll in the rate of infection is still high. | in the rate of infection is still high. ion thursday, more than 800 people in the uk died. we are following friends that we have seen elsewhere in europe. we take a look at this graph for example, italy, she mentioned earlier, what of the worst affected countries in the world was not weird just a couple of weeks behind italy and following the trend. what the uk government wants to do is make that we can try and latin disco about and stop the numbers rising stop as we have seen elsewhere. when the government first introduced these measures, it was kind of asa these measures, it was kind of as a last resort. they had been advising people to stay at home and encouraging them to do that but they have not been heading the devices much as they wanted to. they brought in these lockdown measures and still people aren't heeding the advice. police say they have brought in hundreds of fines because people are still out and about. the government's still very clear. it is really only for a social worker is an essential travel otherwise, people to be staying at home. you should say that hundreds of fines isn't really that bad considering the size of the country. what is interesting is that we have seen many other countries, we had donald trump doing it today, outlined the exit strategy if you like and thatis exit strategy if you like and that is something that this government does not want to do yet. that's right, does not wa nt to yet. that's right, does not want to do it. the opposition labour party has been quite firm, saying there should be an exit strategy. the government saying it just exit strategy. the government saying itjust can't do that until it knows exactly how this virus is going to play out, exactly when there might be things like vaccines made available. exactly when there are going to be more testing kits available, we just can't be certain when we are going to be certain when we are going to be out of this lockdown.. british farmers are hoping to fly into the uk more than 500 people from romania to help pick fruit and vegetables amidst the crisis. the supply of farm labour from abroad has been effectively cut off and not enough british workers have come forward to meet demand. our business correspondent sarah corker reports. in eastern romania, farmworkers bound for the uk arrive at the international airport. they are boarding the first of six special flights chided by dish farmers to fly in the fruit and vegetable pickers they urgently need. some here though were wa ry need. some here though were wary of travelling in the middle of a pandemic. translation: we going to because we have no jobs translation: we going to because we have nojobs here, no income and we have to find work somehow. here in romania, we have nothing left to live off. translation: yes, we are afraid but we have to do this regardless of fear. we have no options here stop if it is meant to happen, it will happen, here or there regardless. before boarding, all 150 passengers have their temperature checked by fmo scanner and complete health questionnaire is all to combat the spread of the virus. there is an estimated shortage of 70,000 seasonal workers. farmers have warned that crops could rot in the fields this summer. why are some british farmers flying in foreign workers in the middle of a global pandemic? there were jobs back in october and november last year the boarders remained open and however to travel. many are returning to a skilled at thejob travel. many are returning to a skilled at the job and understand exactly what is involved. they are just a small pa rt involved. they are just a small part of the workforce that is so critically required to make sure that we are able to harvest those crops which have been grown in the field and ultimately get them into the supermarket and onto people's plates. recruiters say that for the first time in a generation, british workers have applied forfarm british workers have applied for farm work. is something, something to feed people who are need. manchester university student zoe is one of themis offering accommodation to go out and work on a farm and pick fruit and vegetables for a period of weeks. i wanted to help out really because i felt quite useless. i thought it would be quite a good opportunity to feel like i'm doing something. for thousands more, they are still needed. at the airport, the romanian flight the airport, the romanian flight was one of the only planes in the air. these new arrivals are heading to cambridgeshire where they were soon be picking this letter scrub and helping to train up 500 british workers. farmers say flying in foreign pickers isa say flying in foreign pickers is a last resort to help keep the nation fed. and you're watching bbc news. the latest headlines: president trump has announced plans for easing lockdowns and restarting the american economy, but critics have called them vague and inconsistent. however, the british government has extended its coronavirus lockdown for at least three more weeks. the world health organisation is warning that africa could become the next epicentre of the covid—19 pandemic. the continent has seen a sharp rise in cases over the last week. there are currently more than 17,500 confirmed infections in the region and more than 900 people have died. the bbc‘s global health correspondent, tulip mazumdar, reports. africa is bracing itself, as some countries on the continent see a rapid acceleration in cases of covid—19. see a rapid acceleration in cases of covid-19. i don't want to strike a gloomy picture while being very clear that the situation is going to be very severe and africa. we need to get ready for this and this should spur us to be even more determined. this doctor who is leading the who's response to this outbreak in africa told me that even though it has taken the virus longer to get there, it is now taking hold. the virus longer to get there, it is now taking holdlj the virus longer to get there, it is now taking hold. i have to say today that of the 47 countries, 45 have reported cases of covid—19. in a country like south africa which has the highest number of cases, it has spread to all the provinces of south africa. the epicentre is the most developed, most populated, and where most international flights arrive and in other countries as well, in nigeria, in cote d'ivoire, in ghana, in cameroon, we have seen the virus spread from the capital city and in some cases spread countrywide. many countries in africa simply don't have the resources to deal with a method hospital and intensive care treatment. there are only around five intensive ca re are only around five intensive care beds available for every 1 million people in most african countries. that is compared to 4000 beds for every million people in europe. we want to minimise the proportion of people who will get to the point of needing critical care and an icu, because we know these types of facilities are not adequate by any means and the majority of african countries. all this and the global shortage of personal protective equipment has health workers like this nurse in south africa extremely worried. we are unprotected and unsupported. is the number of infections keeps on increasing in this country, every day when we wake up we feel for our lives. countries including south africa, rwanda and kenya have all ordered restrictions on movements to help slow the spread. but it is particularly challenging for people and some of these communities. it is very difficult if you live in a large multigenerationalfamily as many african people do, and your house is not very big, to stay indoors all day with the entire family especially taking into account the claimants that we have in many african countries. and these are some of the challenges aren't they, because it is all well and good thank social distance and washer and but if you don't have access to clean water then how are you supposed to do those things? we have to help them have access to water and soap. think we have to go further and provide people with water at the household level. it does take a lot of money to water around and distributed in households but in the case of corona, this has been done. the world health organization says there is still time to prevent there is still time to prevent the mass of drinks we have seen elsewhere, unfolding and africa stopping the continent has, after all, successfully fought off many deadly outbreaks in the past. this is a brand—new virus, and africa needs to be properly resourced in order to fight it. isa is a huge challenge and worth bearing in mind, different needs for different countries in terms of response to this pandemic. want to speak to someone now who might know a little bit more about how africa may deal with a pandemic. mushfiq mobarak is a professor of economics at yale university. hejoins us from new haven in connecticut. i think you can hold up sierra leone about how best to react to these sorts of challenges? yes, and it is important for us to hold up that example to begin with, unlike the ebola crisis and is a crisis which started in the south, the a crisis which had barely, so your show today is a case in point that airwaves have been dominated by the stories coming out of the us and europe and the strategies that technologically advanced countries have been employing, and those are not things that are particularly relevant or useful for the global south and therefore for countries like pakistan, nigeria, indonesia, bangladesh, it is important for us to examples where capacities are similarand we us to examples where capacities are similar and we can learn things that are feasible. to go on, you are going to see the sort of things that sierra leone has learned ebola and can put into practice now? sierra leone had the unfortunate experience of going into the ebola crisis so they learnt a lot in the process, one example, you need to inform people in remote rural areas about the disease and how to deal with it, so early on, with the ebola crisis they had sent out military vehicles and what happened was instead of listening, people ran away, given the history of military intervention in the country, so this time around they immediately jumped to community—based decision, involving religious figures, local women leaders, even town criers, they have innovated and how to communicate with people to earn their trust, and those other types of simple, frugal innovations that many more developing countries need to try out. that is interesting, the more local, the more trustworthy possibly. is also the idea that lockdown is for rich people who can afford to say, you know what, i will said through this. may be i have got some savings, i can manage, and it is simply not applicable in these other parts of the world. yes, even the very influential model, the imperial college model, the imperial college model that we have heard a lot about, even when you run that model as we have done, with the developing country day you actually don't get the same answer, you don't get the a nswer answer, you don't get the answer that lockdown, extreme forms of social distancing is the way to go, and there are two reasons for that that are easy to explain. the first one is that the age structure of the population in poor countries are very different, you have a lot more elderly people because fertility rates and rich countries are a lot lower. and we know that this particular virus attacks and is much more fatalfor the elderly. and the second one is that the reason why we social distance is flattening the curve, the way you're trying to flatten the curve, because you don't want the health system to get overwhelmed, you want the disease rate to always stay below that health system capacity. the problem and africa or in south asia is that the health system capacity sta rts the health system capacity starts out at such a low rate that delaying the infections doesn't really help us save any additional lives, so you are bearing the cost of a lot of economic distancing, people have to make economic sacrifices, we are already seeing data now that they are going hungry. i am sorry, i'm going hungry. i am sorry, i'm going to have to cut you short here mushfiq but it is clear that the challenges there are very different and the need to respond is critically and. thank you very much indeed for joining us here on the news. ——0n joining us here on the news. --0n bbc joining us here on the news. ——0n bbc news. around the world, leaders have come under great scrutiny over their handling of the coronavirus outbreak. but in nicaragua, president daniel 0rtega simply vanished for more than a month after the first cases of the virus began to be detected in the central american nation. will grant reports. social distancing is still not being enforced in nicaragua stopping a sign of adherent the traditional easter procession, com plete traditional easter procession, complete with a mockjudas being dragged through the streets stopping the church cancelled its mass during the coronavirus outbreak, the staunchly catholic locals decided to hold their colourful annual event anyway. is the town watched on, the gathering flew in the face of the world health organization's advice on tackling the spread of covid—19. tackling the spread of covid-19. we have concerns for the lack of social distancing, the lack of social distancing, the convening of mass gatherings, we have concerns about the testing, contact tracing, about the reporting of cases. critics say the government and nicaraguan lacks a clear strategy on coronavirus, especially the president daniel 0rtega went missing for more than a month. president 0rtega hadn't been seenin president 0rtega hadn't been seen in public since this military event in late february. pro 0rtega social media accounts even released this heavily produced tribute to the absent leader which wouldn't have looked out of place and a memorial service, further stoking rumours of the 74—year—old's ill—health. now he has reappeared, shaking hands and hugging ministers like anything out of ordinary the has gone wrong. he made no mention of his extended absence, instead saying there has just been one death from coronavirus in nicaraguan and insisted he wouldn't be ordering the country into lockdown. translation: in the midst of this pandemic work has not stopped because here, if you stop working the country dies and if the country dies the people die. they become extinct. while reports of his death were greatly exaggerated, nicaraguan's did it used to facing the crisis without daniel ortega. now that he is back, the decision do not order a lockdown will further worry those who feel he doesn't have a handle on the severity of the pandemic. will grant, bbc news. we all have a need to fill chapel at the moment so let's have a look at a mum and her newborn baby. she had an emergency c—section while she was on a ventilator and this was on a ventilator and this was the winter which she met her baby boy, ten days after giving birth. obviously she had covid—19 and pneumonia stopping the good news is, they are both doing fine. story there. just wa nt to doing fine. story there. just want to remind you of the breaking news the sour coming out of china, out of wuhan city in fact where the outbreak began, and it is that the city has said that the number of deaths linked to the disease was higher than they had initially said and they have raised by 50% for wuhan, though the figure went up 1290 to nearly 4000. the number of confirmed infections also revised by some 325 to more than 50,000. it is also the day that china announced its gdp for the last quarter fell by 6.8%. we will focus on that in the business news injust a moment. hello once again. while some areas saw a really glorious end to thursday, the cloud began to fill in across some parts of the british isles, especially in the south. signs of a change, to the extent that there is in the forecast a little bit of rain on the way for some areas. and, for many of you, that will be really quite welcome after a really dry start to april. now, a waft of cloud was all that we really got from this major area of low pressure, throwing belts of weather ever further towards the north. but this is the direction that we're looking in over the next few days to see these areas of cloud, bringing perhaps a little bit more in the way of significant rainfall to some as we get through friday, and indeed on into the weekend. first signs of that change really getting into the south—western counties of england quite early on friday morning. elsewhere, it's a dry enough and a fine enough start. you'll see that this rain around about lunchtime and the early afternoon gets into the south and central parts of wales, but it struggles to get north of the m4 corridor. and elsewhere, away from the north—eastern shores of england, where again there's a fair amount of cloud and an onshore breeze, and still that onshore breeze into the eastern side of scotland, well, there's dry and bright weather to be had to western scotland, northern ireland and the north—west of england. and here, we'll see the temperatures come into the teens. on the east coast, though, eight or nine degrees only. through the course of friday evening, that rain again begins to make a little bit of progress into the northern parts of wales. there are odd heavier, thundery bursts perhaps just trying to get across the channel into the southern counties of england. saturday not a great deal of difference, just that we'll see further pulses of showery rain just trying to work their way that little bit further north. so it's saturday where we may well see the odd showery burst of rain just trying to get into the north of england, maybe flirting with northern ireland, but the bulk will be found across the midlands and towards wales as well. not a great deal changing in the overall setup, so again the temperatures on the east coast around about eight or nine degrees. but inland, we'll be looking at somewhere comfortably into the teens. come sunday, it looks as though we're in for essentially a dry day. perhaps more cloud just coming up through the irish sea into northern ireland, with the chance of a burst of rain here, but elsewhere it's dry and fine. and by this stage, at last, at last, we can talk about double—figure temperatures on the east coast. hello and welcome to audiences in the uk and around the world. i'm david eades with today's top business stories. china's economy shrinks for the first time in decades — a devastating slowdown as a result of the coronavirus. and, closed for business — how coronavirus has shut down one of the world's biggest movie industries. hello and welcome to audiences in the uk and around the world. we're covering all the latest coronavirus developments here in britain and globally. we start in china, where the economy shrank by 6.8% in the first three months of this year compared with last year. data just released shows the worst decline for the world's second largest economy in almost three decades. china is the first country in the world to report growth figures, and so this is the first indication of the true economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic. joining me now is tom rafferty, principal economist at the eiu. thank you very much forjoining us. is that pretty much in line with what you would have expected? yes, i think it was com pletely expected? yes, i think it was completely in line with market co nfessors. completely in line with market confessors. we completely in line with market co nfesso rs . we we re completely in line with market confessors. we were forecasting a 7% decline in the first quarter. it's not entirely surprising, it's an historic contraction but the chinese economy was in lockdown conditions for several weeks in the first four of the amber numbers out today show what a devastating impact the lockdown has had on economic activity. as well—trained tackle this pandemic globally, even in the case of a fast—growing emerging economy like china. exactly, and when you see the figures in black and white in print in all sorts of comes home in a way. the forecast that you might get from the imf saying that 3% global decline in gdp. that holds up doesn't it? it roughly holds up doesn't it? it roughly holds up. it's going to be a bit different, the economy depending on the extent of the lockdown is and how effective it is implemented. in china's case, over the quarter, it is implemented. in china's case, overthe quarter, but several weeks of a lockdown. it is enough to have a devastating impact on the first figures. in a resumption. now, that's where it is and when looking at the second quarter to see how quickly the economy can get back up to scared again.|j quickly the economy can get back up to scared again. i saw a spokesman from the national bureau of statistics in china, saying look, long—term growth potential unaffected. what does china still have to do, tom, in terms of economic stimulus now to get back up and get back up as quickly as possible? when you have a contraction of the scale, is going to have an impact of income, it meansjob losses, corporate bankruptcies. there's a lot of stuff to do it in terms of trying building up its economy again going forward. at the moment, china is still being quite cautious on stimulus compared to western economies for example. we think the data today and probably the external demand here is going to come and hit china's explores in the second—quarter means that china has to exhilarate harder in terms of domestic stimulus. we are expecting more in terms of supporting infrastructure in the country but also in terms of supporting its consumers as well which is the main driver of the economy these days. i respect a lot more in terms of the port from china going forward if there's going to be any sort of recovery are at all. we went to see how that pans out. give very much indeed, tom. so many other countries seeing china as effectively their economic driver will be anxious about what they're going to be able to expect from beijing now. to india now, which has further extended its lockdown till the third of may bringing all non—essential economic activity to a halt. one industry that's been deeply affected by this decision is bollywood, which employs millions of informal contract workers who live on daily pay cheques. our india business reporter nikhil inamdar has more from mumbai. that is bollywood's biggest superstar urging you to remain at home during the lockdown, perhaps even pick up a new hobby. action! it is good advice but not bond that resonates with the majority of his over 2.5 million colleagues, largely informal contract workers employed directly and indirectly in bollywood, the world's biggest movie industry going by the number of films produced. translation: i have lost five or six projects because of coronavirus. i am or six projects because of coronavirus. i am a or six projects because of coronavirus. i am a daily wage contract worker. i don't have the financial resources to sit at home for more than 15 days. she is a stunt woman used to exchanging blows on the big screen. she has worked with the biggest stars and loves herjob but the coronavirus has put a strain on her finances. but the coronavirus has put a strain on herfinances. film associations have announced relief measures for contract workers like her but the support is unlikely to be enough. as the virus shuts down at one of india's most lucrative exports to the world, bollywood is facing its toughest year in recent history. i all projects that we re history. i all projects that were under way around to a halt and theatres have closed and new releases postponed indefinitely. 80 200 million rupees have been wiped off com pletely rupees have been wiped off completely because of the uncertainty in terms of production, distribution and release of films. a lot of big budget films were supposed to release in the first quarter, as was the second quarter, but everything is at a standstill right now. filmmakers in india produce over a thousand movies every year. when things return to normal, they will be a mad scramble for release dates, a strategy that is needed so that millions of fans won't feel like they need to choose one movie over another. that could result in splitting revenues and perhaps send the studios into further losses. so, what's missing in this picture? this is paris in the springtime, something missing. well, tourists and no tourists means no money. the world travel & tourism council says up to 75 million sectorjobs are at risk globally due to coronavirus. so how is the travel industry coping and how are tourism companies pivoting their businesses? what will change in future — and how quickly can the industry the industry bounce back? joining me now is axel hefer, ceo of trivago, the global accommodation search platform. you very much forjoining us. i mean, we're still in, you can talk about their future after lockdown but we are still very much in it. so what is your approach now? what sort of picture are you building up as to what the what is going to be like for your industry in a matter of weeks, months, frankly years as well? in a manner of weeks, i think we will still be a lockdown and there will be no trouble activity. because the most important thing right now is to keep the virus under control and travelling is just not help for. —— helpful to do that. and travelling is just not help for. -- helpful to do that. and in the longer term we have to work out, what are you going to offer again? because we are going to enter a completely different rent economic planets, almost? absolutely. i think you are spot on. in the long—term, is very difficult to say but let's focus on the mid— term for now. so, once the situation is more under control, some form of daily life will restart in a controlled way. excuse me. and, at some point in time, some troops will feel safe again from a customer perspective. so thatis from a customer perspective. so that is something that we are currently preparing for and thatis currently preparing for and that is something that is in the mid— term, the most likely and biggest trouble activity to do something, or drive somewhere to get out of your apartment. because at that point in time, you are likely to have spent the last two, three, four months in your apartment. sorry to interrupt you. you are silly right and i get that but there is going to bea get that but there is going to be a huge number —— absolutely right, this going to be a huge number of people who can afford to ta ke number of people who can afford to take a long weekend or this or that stop is going to be a changed environment for you? absolutely and you are imagining the economic impact which is going to depend on how long the lockdown is going to last and how strong the government support will be, sector by sector. but i think it is very likely that we will enter a quite severe recession and that has always had an impact on travel activity. so what can you do with trivago, for example, what can you do really to bring people back on board with you? have you got any changes in mind? absolutely. the first thing that we did was stop marketing because we did not want to encourage people to travel in a time when it is not really help full if people travel because the sooner this gets under control, the better it is for all of us. the second big thing that we have done is really focus on the moments in time where it starts to feel safe to do some trips, and of course it will be a lower activity than we had before. as i said, we think that near short travel is the most likely first travelling activity and we are basically going through our whole offering and adapting it to bea whole offering and adapting it to be a betterfit whole offering and adapting it to be a better fit for that moment end time for the customer, and what they needed that point in time. that is all we can do i think. thank you very much for talking us through that. that is axle, the ceo of trivago. us president donald trump has proposed guidelines to begin a phased reopening of the economy in three stages. speaking a few hours ago, he said a prolonged shutdown could be deeply harmful to the economy.the bbc‘s michelle fleury has the latest from new york. thursday was a choppy day on wall street as investors tried to shrug off the latest economic news. just over 22 million americans filed for unemployment claims in the last four weeks. that means that in just a single month, the us has erased all of the jobs created since the 2008, 2009 recession. now, economists are hopeful that the numbers may have peaked and could soon start to come down. as president trump outlined guidelines to reopen america. my administration is issuing new federal guidelines that will allow governors to ta ke that will allow governors to take a phased and deliberate approach to reopening their individual states. i've dealt with them and now a long time and we've had a great relationship. and the calls to return to normal are growing, like this protest in virginia. reopen virginia and let people decide when they are ready to go to business. if they are not wanting to go out of their house, stay home and i fully support that. those of us who are healthy and want to get out of our house and do business, we need to get this going again. it is time. in kentucky too, they want an end to stay—at—home orders. too, they want an end to stay-at-home orders. right now, i'm struggling with sourcing inventory and keeping that running because everything else is shutdown. while donald trump has made it clear his desire to reopen the economy quickly. his formative economic adviser, gary cullen, who was also the president of goldman sachs during the last recession, believes getting the economy going again will be a gradual process. now we have to think about restarting our economy but not restarting the infection cycle and that is important. so i think a successful return would be very methodically bringing back people into the workforce in smaller groups and seeing what happens. making sure that people don't become reinfected. wall street continues to struggle with how to price the reopening of the american enemy. with several states, no still many weeks away with new york, california and others extending their shutdowns. i was just talking to the ceo of trivago about life after lockdown for his business. here is lucy with more on that theme. the coronavirus pandemic has created seismic shocks of such magnitude and wide—ranging consequences, could change the world as we know it. in coronavirus, life after lockdown, we continue our look at how current events will include everything from geopolitics to the environment. and today, we're focusing on aviation. of the sector's is as is expected to disappear this year with noble passenger traffic following 48%. this could lead to more than $300 billion lost in revenue. worldwide demand for flights is already down 80% compared to last year and an estimated 25 millionjobs around last year and an estimated 25 million jobs around risk as a result. let's discuss this with three gas. the director—general of the air transport association which represents airlines. andrew is the outgoing director—general of the association of asia—pacific airlines. and helen is the senior airlines analyst at the cullen financial services company. alexander, i was not with you, is catastrophic the right word to use in terms of the state of the industry. it is the right word and it is a totally disastrous situation. it has declined by over 90%. there is no flight in the air, no passengers in the aircraft. cargo is doing better u nfortu nately for cargo is doing better unfortunately for everybody, for coronavirus, in terms of transporting players, medical equipment and also fresh food and anything for the supply chain in the industry. apart from that, the industry is in a very, very bad shape stop we desperately need some cash and the implementation of the rescue plan that has been announced by several governments all around the planet. andrew, obviously the aviation industry is facing unprecedented challenges right now as we have in hearing, how would you describe the picture across asia? alexander has painted a very accurate picture that this is had a global impact. obviously had started in asia and we are still seeing a lot of airlines essentially granting their fleets and traffic is roughly at 10% of normal levels. however there are some reasons for a degree of optimism because if we look at the epicentre of the original outbreak which was china, china is coming back in the domestic market is back to having fallen to about 20% of its normal level during the intensity of the outbreak, it is now back to about 60% of normal levels, but international routes have still not opened up to any considerable extent to and from china and much of the rest of the region essentially aircrafts are on the ground and industries have shut down, with the exception of cargo. cargo isa the exception of cargo. cargo is a big part of what this industry does and it has continued to provide that service for medical services, pharmaceuticals and other time sensitive good. elaine, how damaging has this been to the us airlines? same. it is a disaster stopping traffic is down between 96 and 98%, and just to give you an idea of the numbers, last year at this time, the transportation security administration was screening about two to 2.5 million people every day and yesterday they screened less than 100,000, so that gives you an idea of the magnitude of the decline and we don't see any hope for this year. i think 2020 is pretty much lost. i think it will be a long time before people feel comfortable getting on aircraft again, whether for a short flight or a longer flight. in the whether for a short flight or a longerflight. in the us especially, a lot of damage is being done to people's personal balance sheets, we are at about 21 million people unemployed, and they are not going to be thinking about going to disney world anytime soon, they are thinking about putting food on the table, making sure their utilities are paid for, and their rent is covered before they consider flying, so we don't see a recovery in the us before the second corner of 2021. let's talk about that recovery. alexander, what does the industry need to do now to survive? what we say is three things, first of all, at the very, very short run, we need implementation of the financial rescue plan that has been announced. we are very grateful for governments, billions have been put forward by governments, now they have two be flown into our balance sheet, it is a matter of days, it is an urgency because we are running out of cash. second point, we need a strong cooperation between governments, because you can close your borders or restrict travel, but unilaterally it is what happened but you can not left these restrictions, you have to co—operate with a lot of states probably first domestic than regional then continental and intercontinental, so we are prepared for a four phases approach. and third point, we need the government, health authorities, and the industry to discuss and to implement harmonised measures. we cannot have a different set of measures for health control, sanitary control, passenger test or temperature control thatis test or temperature control that is different from one country to another. it will be too complex, too complicated to implement and totally ineffective and inefficient. it will create an additional barrier to traffic and frankly we don't need that. andrew, do you think that level of global cooperation across the airlines and the governments as well is possible or achievable? it is absolutely essential, for the reasons that have just been explained, and i think it is very important we understand that the issue here is not that people are afraid to fly. people are unable to fly because of government restrictions, quarantines, travel bands both outbound and inbound. so the key here is that governments have to restore trust and each other's systems, they have to have faith in the ability of other countries to control these epidemics, pandemic in its entirety, and then regain the trust and reopen these flight routes. industry will be a willing partner, airlines, airports, all the service providers. everyone is ready to do that but without key governmental to governmental cooperation and rebuilding trust, we can't have a timely and orderly restoration of our service, so that is where the focus is, and it has to be evidence—based and well—informed by the medical experts, but the industry is ready stopping this is a very resilient industry, it will recover, it is going to be a long, hard uphill struggle but they have every confidence the industry will recover and i'm certainly confident that people will want to travel, just as they soon will want to go out and celebrate and eat with friends as the lockdown ends. that is already evidence of that in china as we have seen exactly that, but we have to enable it and we have to do it ina way enable it and we have to do it in a way that is co—ordinated and harmonised. elaine, you have a ready made the point that many people may not be able to afford to travel with the recession that is about to hit or is already hitting the global economy. i wonder if you think it is appropriate for airlines to be bailed out by government? the answer is yes andl government? the answer is yes and i wouldn't call it, i'm trying not to call it a bailout, i'm trying to call it a lifeline. it is not the industry's fault. if you look worldwide, in general the industry entered 2020 and probably the best financial shape that had been and ever, certainly the north american airlines fell into that category, and then to the earlier points by alexander and andrew, governments forced this shutdown, and basically said you have to stay at home, you can't go out and so on, and that meant that people couldn't fly, and it is not, in my view, it is not the industry's fault. they did everything right, they didn't over expand, they didn't over extend their balance sheets, and now we have to re cover sheets, and now we have to recover from it, and i agree, it has got to be domestic first, regional second, international third, and i think it will take certainly from the us, longerfor international to recover, just because of the distances. i think people may feel uncomfortable getting on a plane for a long period of time without at least a prophylactic drug. you don't necessarily need a vaccine to make people feel comfortable, you just need them to feel like if they get sick, this is a bad flu and they can take something, whether it is amoxicillin or tylenol or advil or something like that that would get them through, i think they would be more comfortable flaying. i think the issue is, how do you make people comfortable on our when you are travelling with 180 of your closest strangers. there will have to be, alexander or andrew could properly address this better than i, probably some form of leaving middle seats empty or flaying 60% full instead of 80 or 90% full for some period of time until people get comfortable or until there are some measure of treatment that can occur. i want to bring alexander and on that exact point about how things are going to change for the consumer, because easyjet has announced there will be a seat in the middle that will be left to create that social distancing on the aircraft, but what else are we're going to see, alexander? will we see fewer roots, more expensive fa res ? fewer roots, more expensive fares? how are things going to change for those of us fly? the point is, first of all, if the airlines are not helped enough and early enough to survive, you will have less companies, soa you will have less companies, so a reduced offer and probably less competition and fewer roots. if the packages that have been announced by governments are implemented, we can save the last part of the industry. second point, if we're going to implement some health control measures or sanitary measures, that is something we're going to discuss with health authorities, some of them could have an impact on the way we are running our operations. that is the director—general of the international air transport association on life after lockdown, when it comes about. that is a pretty sobering account of the situation facing aviation there. you are watching bbc news, thanks for being with us. hello once again. while some areas saw a really glorious end to thursday, the cloud began to fill in across some parts of the british isles, especially in the south. signs of a change, to the extent that there is in the forecast a little bit of rain on the way for some areas. and, for many of you, that will be really quite welcome after a really dry start to april. now, a waft of cloud was all that we really got from this major area of low pressure, throwing belts of weather ever further towards the north. but this is the direction that we're looking in over the next few days to see these areas of cloud, bringing perhaps a little bit more in the way of significant rainfall to some as we get through friday, and indeed on into the weekend. first signs of that change really getting into the south—western counties of england quite early on friday morning. elsewhere, it's a dry enough and a fine enough start. you'll see that this rain around about lunchtime and the early afternoon gets into the south and central parts of wales, but it struggles to get north of the m4 corridor. and elsewhere, away from the north—eastern shores of england, where again there's a fair amount of cloud and an onshore breeze, and still that onshore breeze into the eastern side of scotland, well, there's dry and bright weather to be had to western scotland, northern ireland and the north—west of england. and here, we'll see the temperatures come into the teens. on the east coast, though, eight or nine degrees only. through the course of friday evening, that rain again begins to make a little bit of progress into the northern parts of wales. there are odd heavier, thundery bursts perhaps just trying to get across the channel into the southern counties of england. saturday not a great deal of difference, just that we'll see further pulses of showery rain just trying to work their way that little bit further north. so it's saturday where we may well see the odd showery burst of rain just trying to get into the north of england, maybe flirting with northern ireland, but the bulk will be found across the midlands and towards wales as well. not a great deal changing in the overall setup, into the teens. a dry day. perhaps more cloud just coming up through the irish sea into northern ireland, with the chance of a burst of rain here, but elsewhere it's dry and fine. and by this stage, at last, at last, we can talk about double—figure temperatures on the east coast. good morning. welcome to breakfast with charlie stayt and naga munchetty. our headlines today: the lockdown is on for another three weeks as the government commissions top scientists to look at how the uk will get out of it. the boss of a major nhs hospital says he fears staff will run out of protective gowns this weekend and asks two leading fashion chains for help. in the chinese city of wuhan — the source of the global pandemic — the death count has been raised by 50%. cheering and applause. the nation salutes the frontline workers putting their lives at risk as we clap for our carers. the duke and duchess of cambridge on life in lockdown,