Was able to be with him during his final hours and minutes. Still at work just. Warnings that the uk economy could shrink by around 14 between now and june. Applause and a nations thanks for the third week in a row, streets across the uk will be filled with applause tonight as millions show their appreciation for our carers. And coming up on bbc news how premier League Captains say theyre uniting to help support the National Health service. Good evening and welcome to the bbc news at six. The lockdown across the uk will remain in place for now. The foreign secretary says after almost three weeks it is too early to lift the restrictions. Dominic raab, whos deputising for the Prime Minister while he remains in intensive care, said deaths are still rising and we havent yet reached the peak of the virus. Borisjohnson is expected to spend a fifth night at St Thomas Hospital where hes said to be making postive steps forward. The latest daily figures show that another 881 people have died in hospitals in the uk, but that figure does not include deaths in the community or in care homes. It brings the total number of deaths in the uk so farto 7,978. Heres our health editor, hugh pym. It was just so dreadful that no one was able to visit him for three weeks and furthermore no one was able to be with him during his final hours and minutes. Emily remembers her grandfather tony, who died yesterday. She told me visitors werent allowed because of the virus risk, but shes reassured to know two nurses were with him in his final hours. For me and my relatives, it is really comforting, just a picture of those two amazing people at his bedside comforting him and saying all the right things at the right time, and well forever be in their debt. We are just so grateful for everything they did. I raised the issue at the downing street Media Briefing today. Weve heard some harrowing stories of people dying alone because family cant be with them, for understandable reasons to do with the virus risk. What do you say to the British Public about how things will develop from here . The key thing is for people to understand how much of what theyve already done has helped contribute to avoiding an even worse situation in terms of the spread of the virus and the number of deaths, and how important it is that we dont slow up or take pressure off at this critical moment before weve come through the peak. In general, id expect the deaths to continue to keep going up for about two weeks after the intensive care picture improves, and so were not there yet in terms of knowing exactly when that will be, but thats the sort of timeframe id expect. The latest analysis of data in england and wales suggests that death rates go up with age in both men and women, but men are ahead of women in all age groups. Alex died in hospital with the coronavirus ten days ago. None of his family could be with him. But staff did set up a video call, and his son said that made all the difference. It felt like we were together. It was really rich, it was really real. He was weak. But we also connected as a family, so often thered be three or four of us on the telephone, a group video call, and we could speak with each other, comfort each other, make plans. We felt together, which is. Ive not been explained that before. This is what patients will be aware around them staff like these in Papworth Hospital in masks, visors and gowns. Its confusing and communication is difficult. Thats tough for doctors and nurses as well as those who they care for. Dr rachel clarke, who specialises in end of life care, says it can be an emotional drain. Sometimes at the end of the day, you know, you take off your gown and mask, and you just cry your eyes out in the car on the way home, because youve seen things you dont want to see, but at the same time youve tried your utmost to be there at a time when perhaps a loved one, a son or daughter or spouse, cant be there, and you are literally all the patient has and with every fibre of your being all you want to do is support that patient. The upward trend in deaths appears to be slowing. But whatever the statistics say, there are life and death issues for thousands of families to confront every day, in every part of the country. Hugh pym, bbc news. Police have told people to stay at home over the easter weekend, and warned theyll crack down on anyone found breaking the rules. Warmer weather is forecast over the coming days with temperatures set to reach 25 celsius in certain parts of the uk. Danny savage reports from cumbria. The signs are clear, but still not everyone is getting the message. Pc andy docker was guarding one of the main roads into the Lake District today, and there is a need to do so. Im not running every vehicle through the box. We are not the sort of being big brother, but what im doing is using the policeman sort of knows, if you like, and if a cars coming into the county and passed me and theres more than one person in it, and theyre from out of county, theyre going to get stopped. A car with a canoe on the roof then drifts past. Andy runs a registration check. Right, im going after that. And then heads off. He later tweeted a picture of the stop. Two men, from more than 80 miles away, are ordered to do a u turn and go home. In nearby bowness, police were checking with bed and breakfasts that nobody is trying to book in. Weve closed down. We closed down till the end of may. Well, june, end ofjune. Negative. From bowness. Airbnb today announced they are stopping all new uk bookings for non key workers for at least the next ten days. But Search Online for somewhere to stay in the lakes, and you can still find availability. Its very frustrating. All Accommodation Providers must go and block out their availability, both on their own site and on Third Party Online travel agents as well. Its very important that at this time we dont give the impression that were open for business. This is why people want to come here, and on a perfect spring day, a Bumper Bank Holiday weekend would be expected. But not in coronavirus britain. I cant tell you how cripplingly difficult it is for me to say to people to stay away from the National Park when ive spent 12 years in this job encouraging people to come here, but right now its important that we concentrate on fighting this virus and people dont visit the National Park but to stay at home. Away from the tourist sites, cumbrias Sports Centres are being turned into makeshift hospitals. This county is one of the worst affected areas outside of london. Elsewhere in the country, a tougher crackdown is being threatened. Checks are taking place nationwide but the home secretary say these comments from one constable go too far. We have a hard core a few people, a minority who are quite blatantly flouting the law, and it is to those people i am saying, enough is enough, and we are now going to start to come looking for you, and were going to find you, and if necessary we are going to arrest you. Police are also warning people not to take the law into their own hands. Thats after a district nurse staying in holiday home a few miles from here woke up this morning to find all her car tyres had been slashed. Now, shes not a tourist. She was just a key worker isolating herself from her family while working in the community. Theres concern again that a minority will disregard the government restrictions which have left many places deserted. Danny savage, bbc news, cumbria. The uks chief scientific adviser, sir patrick vallance, says social distancing is working and it will prevent deaths. Spain, france and italy are all around a month or more into lockdown already and those restrictions are expected to continue who knows for how long. Our science editor, David Shukman looks at what the government will have to take into account before easing the lockdown. Around the world there are many different ideas for fighting the virus. In the czech republic, they are relying on disinfectant and a lockdown, and the government there reckons the outbreak is now sufficiently under control to allow more shops to open. In denmark, schools and daycare centres have been told that they can start reopening. But many other countries believe it is still far too early to relax any of the restrictions. The very first step is reducing the number of deaths. Thats the whole point of any lockdown. So what does this mean for the uk . Well, the strictest measures like closing nonessential shops happened on march the 23rd. And the hope is that by the middle of this month the numbers of deaths from covid i9 will start to fall. But even in the best Case Scenario it wont be until late may or even earlyjune that there is a really dramatic fall in the numbers dying down to really low levels. So lifting the lockdown is not going to happen quickly. And this evening the governments chief scientific adviser explained why the measures have to continue. The social distancing that were all doing, is breaking transmission, its stopping the hospital admissions were beginning to see that flattening off. Still unbelievably busy, but beginning to see that flatten off. Its preventing more people going into intensive care, and it will prevent deaths. Its incredibly important we continue to do what were doing. Kiwi out of the epidemic is testing to know whos been infected. At the laboratory at portadown and wiltshire scientists are trying to find out which areas of the country and which age groups have been most affected one key way out of the epidemic. Scientists believe that younger people some believe that younger people some believe that younger people, released at risk, should be out sooner than others. We cant release people just yet but we do need to take steps to save the economy allowing young people, say, between 20 and 30, to go back into the workplace, as long as they dont live with parents. That would help to boost our economy, boost our incomes, and they would be the safest amongst us. All the time there is the risk of a second peak of infections, a resurgence of the outbreak. For the scientists trying to predict the course of the outbreak, the big fear is that people will get fed up with the restrictions and that politicians will relax them too soon, which would mean the virus getting out of control once again. Even in singapore, which has been praised for its handling of the disease, tougher measures are now being imposed for the next four weeks. There is a pattern emerging in most countries that containing the outbreak is still a struggle. David shukman, bbc news. Im joined by our medical correspondent, fergus walsh. 881 more deaths recorded in the past 24 881 more deaths recorded in the past 2a hours. Another shocking number and we are being warned that will continue to rise. Yes, really shocking, sophie. But it is clear 110w shocking, sophie. But it is clear now that social distancing is working and virus transmission in the uk is slowing. Everything we are doing, shutting businesses, staying at home, is geared towards ensuring that the nhs and particularly intensive care remains within capacity. If we look at the number of patients in Critical Care in the uk, it has gone up by 5 in the past 24 uk, it has gone up by 5 in the past 2a hours. But, crucially, there are signs that it may be flattening. It is certainly not taking off. You can see that london is by far worst affected. Intensive care units in the capital are busy and getting busier, but there is still overall capacity. That is completely dependent on people staying at home. If we then move on and look at the global death comparison, you can see that the uk is roughly on the same trajectory as italy and france. Sadly, that means many more days of high death tolls. Germanys outbreak, which started later and has never really taken off, part of thatis has never really taken off, part of that is down to them doing much, much more testing. We are coming up to this bank holiday weekend, but it is crucial that people take home this social distancing measure, because eventually it will translate into a lower death toll in weeks to come. Fergus, thank you. Theres been a spike in deaths at a number of homes in the uk since the outbreak began. Deaths in care homes are not included in the daily figures reported by the department of health, which only reports those who have died in hospital after testing positive. 0ur social Affairs Correspondent alison holt reports. At this Residential Home in luton they have now had 13 residents who have died from the coronavirus in recent days. First off, a deeply distressing fight as they had tried to protect the older and disabled people they care for. The staff here have been working very hard to shield residents themselves and their own families, who are continuing to provide the care and support needed by a residence. We have been applying additional precautions and followed all the general and sector specific guidance as far as we were able to do so. We send our condolences to the family and friends at this very sad time, because they are our family. Many ca re because they are our family. Many care staff feel the vital role they are playing in this fight against the virus is being largely overlooked. In care homes like this one, the vulnerability of their residents mean they are on the front line of dealing with the coronavirus. For weeks now up and down the country they have been asking for more personal protective equipment and for testing. The sheffield nursing home is one of three run by the same care provider. I have visited them in the past to talk about the staffing and funding pressures already faced by the care sector. Now across the homes they have had six residents die of covid 19 and 30 people are showing symptoms. We need support, the ppe, additional. We need extra funding, pay staff agency rates. At the minute it is just so challenging. We arejust minute it is just so challenging. We are just reacting daily to minute it is just so challenging. We arejust reacting daily to more problems. 19yearold ellen is a resident at one of their homes and her son says no one on her corridor has the virus but understandably he is worried. The public authorities are supposed to protect these people. What have they done . It seems to me the care homes are at the bottom of the pile again, and basically you are going to end up with these care homes being used as hospices. Both councils and those representing care providers say getting the right equipment and testing for care staff needs to be a higher priority. We need greater recognition from all the system and also from the general public for the work that we do. There is a real need as well to make sure that when we see things like testing coming through the nhs that social care is not forgotten. The government says it is distributing more protective equipment and stepping up testing. Alison holt, bbc news. The coronavirus pandemic will cause the worst economic fallout since the Great Depression almost a century ago thats the warning from the head of the International Monetary fund. It comes as survey of leading Economists Suggests the uk economy could shrink by 14 between now and june. 0ur economics editor, faisal islam reports. This is whats trying to keep the wheels of industry during a Global Pandemic looks like. A production line that is socially distanced at the same time as keeping this british export classic, the brompton foldable bike, being made. Cycling is one of the industries where demand should eventually shoot up, but even here and in the british economy generally, you cant escape the thumping impact of coronavirus and the shutdowns needed to slow its speed. In no time at all, it hit europe, so suddenly europejust drops down, 30 of our sales potential just went overnight and then it started hitting our supply in the uk, lockdown in the uk, and then we had our staff, our ability to sell, our supply chain, the whole lot, knocked for six. The first thing is protect cash. Cash, cash, cash. And what goes here, goes for the entire economy. The immediate hit inescapable and beyond imagination. The bbc has surveyed all the top independent economists, used by the treasury to calculate estimates of the initial hits to the economy. From april to june, the numbers are incredible. Have a look at the last ten years. Outside of the 2008 financial crisis, the economy has grown and sometimes fallen by 0. 3 . The next autumn, the fall anticipated by these economists on average is over a0 . That ranges from a minimum forecast of down 7. 5 , extraordinary enough, to as much as 24 , a temporary loss of a quarter of the economy. There is no precedent for such moves. The only precedent for moves of this size and speed is what has happened a century ago at the start of the 1920s depression. The treasury has been doing its own analysis of the hits to the economy from the virus and from the shutdown. My understanding is that it is in line with the bottom end of the range, extraordinary numbers in terms of decline of the economy in this quarter and the great hope would be that companies such as this can be part of a rapid rebound, but that is far from certain. The impact right now being felt up and down the country. I was recently made unemployed and have spent today looking forjobs. Matt, an it worker and father of three has computer skills ordinarily in high demand. Ive been let go from myjob, we have some reserves but they are getting rapidly depleted so we dont know what we are going to be able to do after the next couple of weeks. And you have three boys . Yes, that is correct. How are they taking it . They are not taking it too well, they dont understand what is going on with the potential that we might have to move house, and we are having to really cut back. The rest of the Industrial Estate remains eerily idle under a lockdown, necessary to protect lives and the nhs, but for which the impact on the economy is onlyjust been revealed. Faisal islam, bbc news. This pandemic is also taking a terrible toll on people suffering from other illnesses, who need treatment but cant get it for now. Among them are people who desperately need Organ Transplants many of whom have been waiting for a long time. The uks Organ Transplant N