In america as a harley davidson. It turns out the famous Wisconsin Bike can teach us a lot about the us economy. Hello and welcome to one hundred days, im katty kay in washington, Christian Frasers in paris. Us politics has dominated headlines since we began the era of donald trump, but now theres another election that demands our attention. This weekend is the first round of the French Election and the latest polls suggest its a tight race. In the next hour, French Television will start grilling the candidates, there are 11 of them in total, but there are five in particular who we are keeping our eye on. Each contender will getjust fifteen minutes to convince french voters they should be in the second round run off. A quarter of those who plan to vote say they may still change their minds on who they will plump for between now and sunday. The big question of course is whether the populist trend we have seen in britain and in the United States will spread to france. The histories of france and america have often followed a similar path. The American Revolution that ended in 1783 was quickly followed by The French Revolution of 1789. The question is whether history is about to repeat itself this coming fortnight. There are obvious similarities between donald trump and Marine Le Pen. Nationalism, populism, protectionism, support for brexit and hatred of the mainstream media. Both are cast by the people as revolutionaries in the battle against the establishment. There are many things besides Marine Le Pen that we regard as could essentially french. The food, the fine wines, the smell of burnt rubber in the paris metro. Equally distinctive is the french style of thinking. The programme of mr melenchon goes a long way to changing capitalism. am for macron. I wouldnt vote for Marine Le Pen. France has become increasingly inward looking. Far from the high fashion critiques of the left bank, there is no chronic unemployment. It is worst in the city suburbs amongst the young and ethnic minorities. There is slow growth and there is death. Amidst the doubt, the feeling that French Culture is itself in crisis. Since Charles De Gaulle founded the fifth republic in 1958, the french Political System has been dominated by the two party system. Now the socialists and the republicans. Three of the four main candidates, le pen, melenchon and macron are considered outsiders and it is quite possible that this second run will pit the fight back against the far left. Imagine the consequences of that not only for france, but for europe. Traditionally, the french use the first round of the president ial election to vote for the politician they want. The second round to vote for the politician they fear. The odds are still stacked against marine the end, but to predict the outcome this weekend would be foolhardy in the extreme, given how wrong we all work over brexit and trump. With me now is pierre lellouche, former europe minister for france and Member Of Parliament for the republican party. You have just come from a rally. You wrote the Terror Legislation here in france, which we will talk about in a second. A lot of people will be confused in the United States in britain, how is Francois Fillon held on question facing the weight of allegations that he did and to be within a couple of points at the top of the polls, it probably couldnt happen in any other country, could it . Probably not. He has shown extraordinary resilience and, at the same time, the schedule of the legal procedure was such that it made it just impossible for the right to have another candidate in effect. So, you still have the campaign from half of the french people. That is one of the explanation will stop had this happened much earlier, it would probably be different. We were caught ina probably be different. We were caught in a binder here. There was no way to have another candidate at that point. The right wing voters do wa nt to that point. The right wing voters do want to change the system in france. We have just had five years of Francois Hollande with a disastrous impact on the economy and on unemployment. We have 1. 2 million more unemployment at the end of this five years and an enormous amount of deficit and new taxes. A lot of people here want a change. All the candidates simply agreed that the system is broken. What happens if, come sunday evening, we are talking about a second round with Marine Le Pen and Jean Luc Melenchon of the ha rd pen and Jean Luc Melenchon of the hard left . What happens to france then . Probably some kind of a revolution. We love revolution. The country would be split into. Nobody even knows what would happen then. In this particular case, a number of things will happen. One is europe is dead. Second, Interest Rates will shoot up, making it tragic for the french debt. We have a debt now of 100 of gdp and most of that debt is owned by foreigners. That means if the Interest Rates go up, we will have a huge problem. Just to pay salaries. The crisis would be immediate and the other half of the country will disagree, so if that happened, we would enter a period of incredible instability. That is why i believe that at the last moment, reasonable probably prevail. The open they will say this is the man with experience, he can lead france. One thing is sure, after brexit and after trump, the fact that two of the key candidates are outside the system and want to go out of europe is already some kind of a victory for brexit and trump is, because if the ad of le pen and melenchon, it is nearly half of the vote. It is 23 plus 19 or Something Like that. It is about a0 , 42 . Leaving fillon and macron, who are pro european ad about this level. It is a referendum fought against europe way. If if, by any chance we are in a situation where the two extremists, right and left extremists are defined the contenders, it would be a massive crisis for europe and, probably, a moment of historical instability in the country. We are out of time. One last thing, it is not the most probable option. I do not think it is the most probable option. Even though the collection is unreadable at the moment. If you speak to any poster, they do not know. Thank you for coming. All of these candidates are campaigning. Each has come from are campaigning. Each has come from a rally, they are going to rallies. Marine le pen was in marseille. Lets hear what she had to say. We have to protect the unity of our people. We have to protect them, how to do that if we are in permanent posterity . I want to protect the people i am part of, the people who have seen he go and seen my children grow and he will seek my children. Children grow. We just heard the view from the centre right. Lets get the view from the socialist camp. With me is the socialist politician Helene Conway mouret, who serves in the french senate. You were at the senator for the expatriates abroad. you were at the senator for the expatriates abroad. I still am. Hamon hasjust expatriates abroad. I still am. Hamon has just not cut off the ground in this campaign. He is nowhere. Yes, unfortunately, after the primary which he won outright and had a very good score, he was unable to launch a campaign immediately stop i think it was about a month where he spent time talking to his opponent on the left, Jean Luc Melenchon, and to the greens. His idea was to have a big alliance on the left and then go forward , alliance on the left and then go forward, except the wasted time. During that time melenchon started getting some of the votes and macron was also campaigning. Hamon is the expression of the time that has been taken off on the left and right. Even the campaign is good, he is asking the right questions and so on and has a good programme, the french are not into the deep debate on programmes, on whatever is being offered. We are talking about candidates, the personalities and so on. It is a funny kind of campaign. You are still with mr hamon, but there are a number of your fellow senators and fellow socialist who alerted tiptoeing over to the macron side, is that where you will be going in the second round . We will have the same. My adversary in politics is the National Front. Have the same. My adversary in politics is the nationalfront. I am against everything they stand for. The Economic Programme is absolutely ridiculous as detrimental to france. The against europe. I will fight the extreme right and. Is either wandered off to mr macrons side, they just say this is the wandered off to mr macrons side, theyjust say this is the continuity candidate, this is really the candidate, this is really the candidate of mr fernandes . M candidate, this is really the candidate of mr fernandes . It is not. Nobody forces me to be part of the party. I will be part of it for as long as i am comfortable. Mr macron has greeted a new centre for he has described himself as neither right nor left. He wants to gather people who are on the centre, but the centre is a void. Maybe it has to be defined that way. Maybe it is something for the future. At the moment, it is not a clear ideology with the purpose, if you like, for the type of society that we want to live in and i think hamon has been defining that. He has been talking about ecology, talking about the place of work within our lives and so on. He has asked the right questions. I am sure mr macron has done that. The question you are asking is in the second round, if it is against Marine Le Pen, of course i will vote for mr macron because from a social point of view, he is most compatible with me and certainly not madame le pen. Good to get your thoughts. A big day for the expatriates. There are 1 get your thoughts. A big day for the expatriates. There are1 million voters in the uk. They will go to the polls on sunday and we will be watching what they do very closely. I love the tour of paris. I am jealous. It looks like a fantastic evening. I cant imagine anyone will watch that long debate. Then you we re watch that long debate. Then you were huge pool of everybody living in paris, have you found there is much excitement for emmanuelle macron. It seems we are living in a time when people want a bit of excitement about the candidate. Are you hearing about macron . There are two things surprisingly today while i wandered around the left bank am one was that i spoke to be for the full knowledge, the taxi drivers. I have two or three taxis around town and all of them said they cannot believe macron is so high in the polls. They say he is not really the outside candidate, he is the former economy ministry, he is a rothschild banker. He is part of the establishment and he is very much Francois Hollandes candidate. The media have jumped on Francois Hollandes candidate. The Media Havejumped on his bandwagon. He isa Media Havejumped on his bandwagon. He is a smart guy, he talks very well and he is up there i in the polls with a good chance to get through. The other thing which surprised me, and maybe that is because those on the left bank, is just how many people are talking about melenchon and how he can defeat capitalism. It is a strange thing for british people and americans to listen to, this idea that capitalism is a bad thing. Among many french people, they still think back to the Banking Crisis and what happened in 2007 and there is a suspicion about finance in this country. He talked to a lot of Marine Le Pen voters, a lot of Melenchon Footers and they will say we are voting for them because we wa nt to we are voting for them because we want to put down capitalism. After brexit and the trump election here, all bets are off in terms of making predictions. We are living in a very interesting and unpredictable moment. The more from paris in a moment. From one election to another. In the uk, the opposition labour Leaderjeremy Corbyn has made his first Major Campaign speech today, ahead of junes general election. He says he wants to overturn the Rigged System by putting power and wealth back in the hands of the people, painting himself as the anti establishment candidate. Lets have a listen. We dont accept that the british people just have to take what they are given, but they do not deserve better. In a sense, the establishment and their followers in the media are quite right, i do not play by their rules. And, if delivered Labour Government is elected, we will not play by their rules either. What really strikes me as interesting about that, i have not been fully chewed into the uk election today, but listening to Jeremy Corbyn, i hear echoes of what iam hearing here in Jeremy Corbyn, i hear echoes of what i am hearing here in france and i think politicians who are under the cosh and under pressure are starting to steal ideas from the donald trump campaign. We heard Jeremy Corbyn talk about the news and how he is against the system and the establishment. Francois fillon went into le monde newspaper and he was due to go with a Sit Down Interview and he walked out of that interview. He said to them as a rock god, he said it is not the media that decides the questions. Imagine that. Potentially the next president of france secci does not want to live ina france secci does not want to live in a country with the press are able to ask whatever questions they want. It is quite extraordinary. The media bashing, the theory of the fake media. Nigel farage has said he is not going to run. He has decided that your times is not a chance. He has lost seven times, so he has decided he will not run again this time. We broke the news that bill oreilly was being cut loose by 20th century fox. His departure marks a blow to the Conservative Movement in america. Mr oreilly calls the charges against him by at least five women unfounded, but his employers have decided his huge ratings success does not justify have decided his huge ratings success does notjustify the scandal. We have a contest on bill oreilly. Com. Guess where bill oreilly is common. Except bill oreilly will not be coming back to fox news where he was the biggest star for decades. Five women have come forward with claims of Sexual Harassment and the revelation the Settled Out Of Court by bill oreilly, and fox news £10 million. Earlier this week, one former colleague said the host regularly made passes at her when no one was watching and described her as hot chocolate. When major sponsors started to pull their adverts, his position weakened further, and now the parent company, 21st Century Fox, has confirmed hes been fired. We are so happy hes gone and hes no longer able going to be able to spit all of his vile comments and everything that comes out of his mouth thats disparaging not only to women but specifically to black women and black folks all over the world. Lastjuly, the boss of fox news, roger ailes, resigned over allegations that he had sexually harassed female employees. Now the acting ceo, Rupert Murdoch, has made an attempt to usher in a new era at the channel by issuing an internal memo, also signed by his sons, saying that the staff are committed to fostering a Work Environment built on trust and respect, and this comes at a delicate time, with 21st Century Fox trying to buy the remaining 61 of sky tv in the uk. Bill oreilly, who found out hed lost his job on the same day he met the pope, says that its tremendously disheartening to Leave Fox Due to completely unfounded claims, but all across america he is the main Talking Point on exactly the type of show he used to host. Colin paterson, bbc news. Lets speak now to the media analyst claire enders, she joins us from london. He has been a very significant revenue Spinnerfor Fox he has been a very significant Revenue Spinner for fox news for a very long time. Responsible by all accou nts very long time. Responsible by all accounts for up to half 1 billion of advertising every single year. He has been very significant and the major Opinion Programmes on fox news, in particular his, have been extraordinarily pro donald trump. You could say that Rupert Murdoch graded fox news in 1986 and that network created President Trump. You think there was any morality in the fox news decision to listen to what was it really all about money . Was it the younger murdoch saying we do not want a News Organisation with this cloud hanging over . not want a News Organisation with this cloud ha