SBP bullish on growth, sees downside risks from lockdown Business June 4, 2021 KARACHI: The central bank has revised up its growth forecast to 2 to 3 percent for the current fiscal year on reviving large scale manufacturing and better wheat output prospects, but it sees downside risks stemming from a potential COVID-associated lockdown. “With half of FY21 now passed, the recovery in economic activity is becoming more visible,” the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) said on Thursday. SBP expected real GDP growth to exceed the target of 2.1 percent and revised its real GDP forecast for FY21 upwards to 2-3 percent from the earlier range of 1.5-2.0 percent provided in the first quarterly report of FY21.