Scarce commodity think about what is the ultimate scarce commodity. The most scarce commodity of all time and that isnt the headline here ikea becomes 1st retailer to let customers pay using time ikea is now letting customers pay for goods with their time yes thats right the more time customers spend travelling to ikea the more they can buy because beginning from this month ikea dubai is running a campaign that will allow customers to spend their time as a currency simply by showing ikea checkout staff their google maps timeline which proves how much time they spent travelling to ikea stores now this is fascinating on a number of Different Levels 1st of all ikea is recognizing that time has value time has value in traditional Financial Markets time also has values and its expressed in an Interest Rate a 2 year bond 5 year bond 10 year bond would yield greater interest because it is good for a greater amount of time and time has value so its remarkable that we live in an era in the 21st century the era of negative Interest Rates which implies. Is that not only does time have no value but the value of time is negative thats what wall street wants you to believe thats what Central Banks in europe thats what denmark wants its savers who put deposits at saxo bank to believe that they can confiscate wealth with a negative Interest Rate because according to sachs so not only does time have no value but it has less than 0 value heres ikea saying oh you know what time has value were going to pay you for that time in a discount you make a purchase at our store the point i think is that Going Forward now the ultimate scarce commodity of time will factor heavily into all kinds of Financial Products in our lives and im waiting for someone to invent the time futures contract rematch and if you can trade time on a futures contract you could travel backwards and forwards through time which would be great especially for Goldman Sachs if they want to go backwards in time and steal from customers from 20 years ago they can do so with the time futures contract weve kind of have that in a way and thats what youre seeing here in the u. S. Elections i believe either its like some other nation and there diabolical means or its the young people who are basically witness saying time travel the boomers collateralized they pull forward the next 4050 years of consumption and it was their millennialism generations e that they they they consumed their lives so thats why there is this offered moment of when where is 0 rates Interest Rates time no longer has value because 40 years ago when Interest Rates were up at 20 percent. They see more value to time now where all the way down is 0 percent and where do we go from here were trying to do negative were trying to go back in time and and take back some of that future consumption that we already spent so yeah this is an interesting right by lowering Interest Rates down to 0 you encourage hyper consumption in hyper consumption consumption for 203040 years in the future consume today you end up with 2 things number one the genesee inherit a lot of debt because the other way you can bring the Interest Rate down to 0 is if you issue a lot of debt and have a central bank buy that debt paul krugman at the New York Times remember he said its only debt that we owe ourselves hes wrong that this debt we owe generations e generation millennial is accent or a so thats where the circle is squared is that the future generations are left with this hyper consume world of nothing the 2nd corollary would be Something Like the coronavirus coronaviruses the product of hyper consumption due to 0 percent Interest Rates due to chinas attempt to compete with america on a compressed timeline by floating their economy with trillions of dollars with the debt and having everyone engaged in hyper consumption now weve got the coronavirus thats a direct result and so will the now we go back to the middle ages as weve been saying for years though a return to neo feudalism is upon us since some parts of china today they are now revisiting feudal times theyve been stripped of all the modern era of technological advances and theyre digging in the ground with hoes trying to find roots and vegetable soup survive ikea of course you know cut down chopped down a lot of forests around the world and turns them into you know betting and and cupboards and stuff like that so in a way maybe this is also them trying to realize that were running out of time and they themselves want to cap. All eyes on that nevertheless this program is only available right now in dubai its called dubbed by with your time the idea behind the new promotion is that customers usually spend an inordinate amount of time traveling to ikea outlets usually because said outlets reside on the outskirts of town in view of this ikea has added time currency prices for every item in its dubai stores which are based on the average dubai salary as such customers are now able to buy products using all the time they spent traveling to ikea over the years in addition to the usual derms so i guess its kind of like Airline Miles be your encouraging i guess are having problems with people wanting. To i really want to drive an hour and a half ikea but if youre being discounts at the time. Well yeah theyre competing with amazon out there in other words amazon they dont have the problem of the super stores located 30 miles away from where you live they have overnight delivery so i keep saying especially sometimes i was probably going to branch out into those areas like furniture that ikea does and that was on doesnt currently do so well and theyll say look will compensate you for that distance they arbitrage between ikea and amazon will be close because were going to pay you for the distance and time that you spent getting to the ikea store but you said something just there thats kind of interesting maybe ikea recognizes that were running out of time and i think that that is something that people are starting to realize you know member the Doomsday Clock and every 6 months or year that some organization i dont even know what the organization is they say heres the Doomsday Clock and were 10 seconds closer to midnight and up until recently i think people thought that was a marketing gimmick but i think now people are understanding that that is in fact a documentary of where we are as a species we may actually be approaching the end of the species so why not rush out to a kid and buy just a drawer for your 6 year old before the end of time another person who. I think weve already discussed this see so were running out of time as iran mosque and his electric cars now his you know mad max sort of vehicle that is apparently doing very well and of course his plan b. Perhaps e. S. P. Queen i believe he does but his other plan b. Is to get to mars to abandon this planet and try to find more time there but this electric car story is also in the news because again this is you know time is one of the major ingredient in terms of Financial Markets and pricing commodities and anything equities but is also important for what were going to listen to here as electric car sales soar the industry faces a cobalt crisis 1st it was lithium now its cobalt electric vehicles need them for batteries but supply issues will only worsen as demand rises so there is an increasing demand for electric cars in a mosque has you know helped popularize it were also running into the same old conflict that we had with the Combustion Engine and oil based cars in the resource how to get that resource and again that heads us towards that dooms day of more war we have some would argue or some do suggest that the situation in bolivia is due to all of them having a huge part of the Global Lithium supply cobalt could be the same thing because apparently theyre running out of cobalt and everybodys fighting to get supplies is actually hitting production on some manufacturers will go in to see right well capitalism works if the price signals are clearer and they reflect true supply demand the problem with fossil fuels in particular oil for 50 years is that we havent had an accurate price signal given the fact that the amount of credit and capital needed to drill in the environmental consequences of burning the price of a gallon of oil show. Be at this time probably 90. 00 to 100. 00 a gallon to truly reflect the actual cost oh that gallon of oil in a true free market capitalist system they use to say when the price started to get to 23040. 00 a gallon you know maybe 20 years ago 25 years ago then we would have already been on the fast track to developing alternatives to fossil fuels by now and we wouldnt have waited to the very last doomsday 2nd to say oh my god we didnt allow capitalism to clear these markets in an efficient way so now were going to become prematurely extinct but im going to upload my subconscious to a computer somewhere and put it on a lawn mosques were bidding platform to get to mars and hope theres not just another place where i cant get a date going back to this story just so you know for electric cars Global Production of electric vehicles is predicted to top 4000000. 00 globally this year in 2020 providing the coronavirus doesnt go full pandemic and destroy demand like it has in china and there is a 92 percent collapse in car purchases. It is expected to grow again providing everything continues as it has in the past and there is you know that is always an assumption for many investors they think oh times being great you know Interest Rates keep falling forever for the last 40 years stock markets keep going up for the last 40 years its going to continue like this for the next 40 years so right now if they continue in the same trajectory theyre predicting that there will be 12000000. 00. Cars sold in 2025 right well look up on the Search Engine there the concept of g. A a this is the idea pretty much the holistically we live in one to rare am inputs and outputs and if you have an exaggeration of the inputs lets say Global Cancer that is. The Combustion Engine going for too long it will kill the entire to rary and is destroyed but gaia is not without their own ability to push back so is the coronavirus of gaia pushing back against humans is big coing gaia pushing back against money i would posit yes absolutely i dont i think goes back to the seti project of the mid ninetys the search for extraterrestrial intelligence a massively parallel computing project that i was participating in the mid ninetys i believe we made contact with actual trust rules and i believe they reversed engineered their way back into our collective unconscious thats who invented big coing and that is now part of the move toward extinguishing everything except what is truly sustainable whats not sustainable is the segment we have to take a break and when we come back i have no idea whats happening dont go away. The world is driven by a dream shaped. Thing. We. Ask. Thousands of american men and women choose to soon of a new countrys military decision. Bring them to a complete. Kill me and i see how do you. Any screamed at me and he made me come in and he grabbed my arm and he right means berthing area if you take into account that women dont report because of the extreme retaliation and its probably somewhere near about half a 1000000 women have now been sexually assaulted in the us military rape is a very very traumatizing thing to have happen but ive never seen trauma like ive seen women who are veterans who have suffered military sexual trauma reporting rape is more likely to get the victim punished by a friend and almost 10 year career which shows very invested in and i gave the sex offender who was not even put to justice or put on the registry this is simply an issue of power and violence male sexual predators for the large part of target whoever is there to prey upon whether thats a man or woman. Welcome back to the kaiser report im max hisor time now to turn to willie wu he is a partner at the adaptive fun crafting hyper sheet and a specialist on chain analysis of bitcoin willie welcome thank you makes great to see you were here in vegas and confiscate a bill conference lot of great people like yourself and others are here and its a good time now on trade analysis what is that why do you do it what sort of analysis can you derive from looking at the change. Like new stuff. Being a financial instrument is your unique we dont see this in wall street it has a legion we can look on to it lead you we see capital flows if you can divine that date or you can get a read into with the markets going and you are also well known on twitter and elsewhere for making some good pressure and calls about the direction of break well get into that a 2nd but lets talk about this on chain analysis now there was a recent brouhaha over a company thats been paid 50000000. 00 per year by the u. S. Government to trace coins on the block is that separate to what you do. Says like who are these people with the funds going. To track with the financial modeling the whole market movements of capital but actually the forensics come into it sometimes you want to see we are leaving exchanges are they going to personal wallets mine is selling will they going they going to. That sort of thing is predicting provides a predictive signal to the market. The whole k y c kind of thing. During the day its another speak on chain analysis we dont deal with it so capital flows and as you point out what that train analysis is you get a unique look you dont get in other markets and so you are dealing in capital flows. And youre seeing where this capital is coming from where its going and before this what was your were you into Financial Markets. Traded the banking collapse in 2008200200 extension 8 but im a tick what drew me into becoming this is a new sort of field bleeding edge and i really like bleeding each right now cash flow is very important for example you know Morgan Stanley i believe came out with that whole acronym the brics you know brazil russia india china this was the cash flow is flowing into these developing countries and it was a new trend and it was set in motion a whole period of investment do you see those types of macro trends do you see can you tell us looking at the data that now weve got more institutional money coming in because people talk about it but is it verified is it borne out by the data that stuff a little bit harder with institutions because they dont actually teen to use the block chain like retail you. Hold the coins in your wallet institutions to hold a provider and. Some of it is shielded because they phase we we do custody ownership of those coins and they dont actually move on chain just legal agreements sort of a. Legal way so i think well start to lose some of the signal theyre getting from the from from county got the retail side but institutional stuff is still sort of. In the shadows again more so right where theres a whole shadow Banking System and there is there used to trading in the shadows so i wouldnt be surprising that theyve expanded the shadow soon clued going but lets so lets get into this idea then that studying the capital flows you can kind of make some good guesses about which way the price is going right so youve been tweeting recently that the bull market is back but this is a trading advice by the way to anyone you need to do your own research but this is an interesting topic what sort of range do you see. For the next talked well the bull market is back so we got down to 3500. 00 so that you saw this 20000. 00 blow off top 2017 beginning that is a massive correction that weve had at least 4 times or because that i remember when i lived through and so your work suggests that that is correction is over and were back to a bull market and so where were will we were is this going to go the next 6912 months ok so a lot of the stuff. Kind of see with the top those with. Not so happy moving clings around new guys and coming in we got very good clues at the bottom you can see the sort of train reversal happening between investors you know price sort of reflects that on the markets you know maybe 4 weeks 6 weeks later. We dont really need to get. The price at which its going to trade it we know the direction ality we can do other models of trying to pick the top right like for example you could go 30. 00 times 35. 00 times the cumulative every inch of the price and they picked every single top in the history of the coin in right now i believe theyre sitting around about 50000. 00. But it keeps climbing the longer runs full so its time to we dont know the future we dont know how long was. Generally these things a 4 year cycles if you strip fellated the current cycle with the general 4 year cycle which is kind of like a reason and so what youre getting is these pushes because the mining havening in a few minutes like a bath tub and you just pushing that water and it just sloshes every 4 years thats the kind of the cycle we cycle in with them because if you make a piece case. Its about 100000. 00 i think one of the more common sense predictions would be around 100. 00. 5000 based on the timing signature in 35. So im looking at around the 102250000 range depending on how long this bull market runs rice imagine every 4 years and then you mention the happening so the protocol biquad every 4 years the output the reward to mining cut in half this is the way that the protocol works and this year are somewhere in may i believe that reward goes from 12 and a half to 6 a quarter because. And this is talk a little bit about what this means to the supply so the plots the this why its being constrained right this is this is significant because when we do this. The inflation rate of bitcoin drops below the inflation rate of go. There becomes you know gold being the Gold Standard of which we have traditionally made money since the fee it will hundreds of years before that and now weve got this new digital ski city which is more perfect which to continue to be more skilled. An