[Bradford DeLong] The threat of Trumpflation and a Fed war :

Inflation in the US is lower than it was a year ago, and substantial economic weakness elsewhere is driving other central banks toward interest-rate cuts. With little empirical basis to believe that US monetary policy is not restrictive, I continue to believe that in 18 months, the US Federal Reserve will have wished that it had started cutting rates in January 2024. If I am right, the US is not headed for a soft-lan...

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