Im Chris Jansing live at Msnbc Headquarters in new york city. A day of terror, fear, and pain continues to multiply. As we speak, the war that began with the hamas Attacks On Israel One year ago today shows no sign of ending, with thousands dead, millions more suffering. Among them, the parents of an israeliamerican hostage still being held, Omar Nutra. They will join me later this hour. Plus, the shockingly Powerful Storm Bearing down on western florida. Hurricane milton surging from a tropical storm to a Category 5 in the span of just 24 hours. Now, as Residents Race to get out of its path, Emergency Officials already stretched thin by Hurricane Helene Scramble to be ready when it hits. And the Supreme Court back on the bench today. Its first time hearing cases since dropping that huge decision on president ial immunity back in july. How this terms cases from transgender rights and ghost guns to Flavored Vapes will impact the lives of americans. A lot to get to, but we begin by marking one year since the horrific events of October 7th, the lives that were destroyed on that day, the Tens Of Thousands that have died in the bloodshed thats followed. It has been, in the words of one u. N. Official, a year of unimaginable suffering with no end in sight. The raw emotion was evident early this morning at the site of the Music Festival where the Hamas Massacre began and where a Moment Of Silence was broken by The Sound of one womans grief. [ screaming ] 1,200 israelis were killed that day, 250 more were kidnapped, with roughly 100 still being held hostage. And the war that has unfolded since in addition to the israelis who have died, nearly 42,000 people have been killed in gaza, according to the palestinian government. And the situation continues to escalate today with new israeli strikes against hezbollah and new evacuations ordered in both Northern Gaza and southern lebanon. Nbcs Erin Mclaughlin is in tel aviv. Nbcs Ali Vitali in washington. And David Ignatius is Washington Post foreign Affairs Columnist and an msnbc contributor. Thank you for joining me today. Erin, a line in the Washington Post Today said that in israel, quote, war has become the Background Noise of whatever future is coming. I wonder how you would describe the experience of being in israel today, such a solemn day . Reporter well, chris, what happened on October 7th remains an open and gaping wound that for many israelis only deepens with each passing day that the hostages are not returned. Today, we saw a number of ceremonies across israel, thousands gathering despite wartime restrictions, including where i am now at Hostage Square in the heart of tel aviv. Thousands here to listen to the counts of Family Members of those that were left behind there in gaza. Many openly weeping at the memory of what happened on October 7th. Now, at the weekend, we visited kibbutz near oz, the hardesthit of the kibbutz. Nearly a quarter of the residents near oz were either kidnapped or killed on October 7th. There we met rita lipschitz, a resident. She gave us A Tour of the homes still standing, abandoned, many of them charred. She talked to us about her fatherinlaw, 84yearold oded, who was kidnapped and taken to gaza. She does not know if hes dead or alive. She tells me that there can be no piece until oded and the other hostages are returned. Take a listen. Before talking about peace, we need our 101 hostages back home now. The center now is to bring back our hostages. We can its very difficult to start a life without them. We cannot forget them there. Reporter now, earlier today, here in tel aviv, sirens sounded once again, sending people to shelters. Hamas, according to the israeli military, had managed to fire a barrage of rockets, despite yet another israeli offensive that they announced over the weekend in the north, evacuating some 300,000 palestinians from their homes. The Missile Fire this morning, a stark reminder that this war is far from over, as israel presses on, not only there in gaza, but also now in lebanon. Many here in this square tonight, chris, are concerned that with all of this violence, the hostages will be forgotten and left behind. Chris . Erin, thank for that. It is a day for remembering. Its also a day, arguably, for assessing. And i wonder as we look back across the last year where you think israel is or at least Benjamin Netanyahu is on his goal of making sure that October 7th never happens again . Reporter so, i think, chris, israel has after a very painful slow start after being shocked and unprepared, begun now to reestablish deterrence. They are taking down Irans Network of proxies. Hamas is basically hiding underground. Its been crippled by this war. Hezbollah has been decapitated in lebanon. So you would say that israel has reestablished the conditions of security, even though the war continues. What haunts me after a year of so much suffering, so much loss of life, is whether something thats going to be different is being built. Whether were going to have a day after to use the phrase that was so common, in which theres more Stability And Security for israelis, but also for palestinians and lebanese. And i think thats an area where the united states can take the lead. Its something thats been very difficult for israel to do during this year, but its essential. If we dont look back on this as just a period of terrible, terrible bloodshed and tragedy, we wont look back on it as the beginning of something more secure. You know, david, the question is what does victory look like if you can speak to victory, when so much horror has been inflicted . Do you think that Benjamin Netanyahu is on the same page as the israeli people or the majority of israeli people, when it comes to an end game. What constitutes victory in this conflict . So, i think for this year, netanyahu has struggled just to get back to a sense of a strong israel that can take put down its enemies, on all of these different battlefields, that can strike at iran and its proxies. I dont think netanyahu has thought adequately about what comes next. He is a tactical thinker rather than a strategic thinker. And thats the vexing issue at the heart of this war, as we think back, what did this year mean . It meant reestablishment of israeli security, it meant terrible loss of life for israels adversaries, but did it mean building something different . And thats not the case yet, but it must be. You know, i know you spent a lot of time in israel in the 90s, and i was there quite a bit in the late 90s. I think often of two children who were getting on a bus and told me how they and they were little, i think they were 8 and 11. How they looked for people who might be dressed in a way that could hide a bomb. And they said it very matteroffactually, that was a part of their everyday life. And i wonder if we look at the everyday violence, the fear that people in israel now have to live with, are we in a place where this way of life is essentially normalized . Not just for israel, but for the entire region, david. So, chris, youre right, people have grown used to living under the threat of death, wherever they are in the region. Israels done, i think, its best to end those days, when people look at everybody in a bus. I remember that as much as you. And just think, whos the Suicide Bomber . Those days have pretty much passed. But people in the north, 60,000 People Cant go home, because theyre afraid of hezbollah rockets. Is that going to end soon . What about the people in gaza . 90 of the population of gaza has been displaced. 90 . Where are they going to go . What kind of homes will they live in . Most of the housing in gaza has been damaged. I mean, those are the i just hope after a year, we begin to think about those questions. How do we rebuild so people dont go to bed frightened every night, in israel, in lebanon, in gaza . So, ali, talk to me about the events in washington and what people there have been telling you. Reporter chris, were seeing a variety of events here. On the other side of the White House from where im standing, theres a vigil being held throughout the day by the families of people being still held hostage by hamas. Of course, the pressure and the desire for a ceasefire and the return of those hostages looms over all of the events and commemorations being held today, but here you can see, as i stand here, a bit of the Security Posture that looms over this as well. Ill have our cameraman, tracy, turn to show you the line of fencing that goes around. Of course, you can see, were standing in the shadow of the washington monument. Secret service are also here, because in the next few minutes, you have senator j. D. Vance, who is going to be speaking here. The highest Profile Politician to address the rally on this side of the White House. You can see a little bit behind me, you can see the stage, but you can also see the heavy black fencing thats being put around this event, a reminder, again, of the high Security Posture and the tension around both the commemoration of 10 7 itself, but also the political climate happening right now in the united states, when it comes to those who are at the top of the president ial ticket. Of course, vance being here means that Secret Service is involved in the posture of this event, as well. Hes set to get on stage, im told, at some point in the next few minutes. But the politics is part of the Security Posture, is part of the larger posture here on the ground for the commemoration of this day. I have seen people going into this event wearing proisrael tshirts. There is a mood here of almost a quiet rallying cry. I know that where erin is and where she was speaking to people, it was a much more somber tone, certainly. That somberness is here, but theres also been moments during this rally where weve heard speakers elicit cheers from the crowd, a tone of defiance in such a somber moment for people who are on the proisrael or the progaza side. And we have seen people showing up trying to show their support for israel physically on their signs or on their tshirts, but in the mood of the event and the speakers weve heard from so far. I imagine that senator j. D. Vance will only continue with that rhetoric and that kind of proisrael posture, chris. Thank you for that, ali. So david, Where Do We Go From Here . Where does this go from here . So, Wars End when the combatants are exhausted. Israel is on a roll in lebanon. It is taking apart an adversary its feared now for decades. At some point, it may go so far that hezbollah is just a shadow of itself and the Lebanese Army, an army that the united states has supported now for several decades, trying to build up their strength, that Lebanese Army can regain the sovereignty of a lebanese they can go all the way to the israeli border and allow the israelis to withdraw with a sense that Hezbollah Wont come back in and fill that void. Thats the outcome that i would most want to see in lebanon. In gaza, its a question, i think, of finding the arab partners theyre there. Theyre willing to help who can work with palestinians to build security with hamas hold on gaza broken. Hamas isnt that Ideology Wont disappear. But hamas Led Gaza and palestinians into a tragedy and they know it. And i think with wise leadership and with american help, we are essential in this. We may think were kind of, you know, not playing, not lifting our weight, but were essential in the future of gaza. Only the united states can organize the coalition that will bring some kind of new life to people there. So i hope we begin to move into that job, thinking on this anniversary of so much pain, so many deaths over the years, we begin to think about how to build conditions where people can live. David ignatius, thank you. And still to come, parents of an israeliamerican hostage will join me here. 366 days after he was taken by hamas. And in just 90 seconds, florida residents are getting out with milton now a Category 5 hurricane and threatening areas already reeling from helene. S already reeling from helene. Has no idea shes sitting on a goldmine. Well she doesnt know that if she owns a Life Insurance Policy of 100,000 or more she can sell all or part of it to coventry for cash. Even a Term Policy. Even a Term Policy . Even a Term Policy find out if youre sitting on a goldmine. Call coventry direct today at the number on your screen, or visit coventrydirect. Com. Speaker my little miracle is beckett. [christina perri, A Thousand years] i have died every day waiting for you. We wouldnt be where we are without saint jude. And in turn, we wouldnt be where we are without those people that have donated. Why use 10 buckets of water when you can use 1 fire extinguisher. And to fight heartburn, why take 10 antacids throughout the day when you can take 1 prilosec. For easier heartburn relief, one beats ten. Prilosec otc. One pill. 24 hours. Zero heartburn. In florida, some residents are already packing up and moving out. The first wave of whats expected to be the states largest evacuations in seven years. Hurricane milton is officially a Category 5, and its now a race to clear away debris from helene before the place is still reeling from that deadly storm or hit by what the national Hurricane Center calls multiple lifethreatening hazards. Heres Governor Ron Desantis and the director of fema this morning. We need as much of this debris picked up as possible. This creates a safety hazard. Its a 24 7 roundtheclock mission. You should assume that theres going to be some form of evacuations. That is going to happen when you have the potential for Storm Surge of this magnitude. We also have a storm thats already very powerful. They need to evacuate if theyre told to do so, because these storms are bringing more water than they ever have. And so while we have the wind risk, its the water is whats killing people. More water than they ever have. What is looking to be a gargantuan challenge comes as were learning that fema is running short on critical funds needed to help. But House SpeakerMike Johnson Wont commit to calling back congress for more aid, even as he criticizes the federal response last week as a massive failure. Nbcs Bill Karins is here, Nbcs Antonia Hilton is on the ground in North Carolina, and im joined by political analyst, and former Chief Strategist for the bush cheney campaign, matthew dowd. All right, bill, lets start with the obvious question. How bad could milton be . A major Hurricane Hitting one of the most populated areas on any u. S. Coast. I mean, thats as bad as it gets, as far as number of people that could be impacted and the amount of financial damage that could occur because of the storm. I zoomed in here on the eye, just to show you, because its pretty historic. Its a Category 5. Weve only had ten in our history in the Gulf Of Mexico. And this one rapidly intensified, as fast as any Storm Weve ever watched. It went up 100 miles per hour in 24 hours. You can thank the deep, warm water, recordsetting warmth in the Gulf Of Mexico for that. You can see, theres that Pin Eye i just showed you. The storm actually is relatively small, especially compared to helene, right . Helene was a huge monstersized storm, and intense. Right now, this ones just intense and on the smaller side. But thats going to change. Even though it begins to the max winds, which is only the eye, begin to weaken as it approaches florida, the actual size of the storm go