Troll Donald Trump over a second debate. With the Bombshell Reporting about Mark Robinson means for North Carolina in republicans in the national ticket. Israel expands strikes in lebanon as fears of a wider War Grow. The 11th hour gets underway on this monday night. Good evening once again. I am symone sanders townsend. We are 43 days away from we Election Day, but plenty of people are already casting their votes. Early inperson voting is underway in minnesota, south dakota, and virginia and several other states are sending out mail in ballots. A new Nbc News Poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris with a big Popularity Boost and a five Point Lead on Donald Trump which is within the margin of error. Here is Nbc News senior Correspondent Garrett Haake with a closer look. With six weeks until Election Day, former President Trump in critical pennsylvania is showing new signs of strengthened three other crucial battlegrounds. Bulls tonight revealing gntrump leads Vice President Kamala Harris in North Carolina, georgia, and arizona, all within the margin of error. Nationally, terrace with the edge according to our Nbc News Poll. The fivePoint Lead within the margin of error powered by huge jump in her favorability, Up 16i Points from july. The biggest boost in Nbc News Polling since george w. Bushs surge after 9 11. Trump beats harris by eight points, inflation and rising cost. If you cast your vote for Kamala Harris, your vote for four more years of brutal job losses, higher taxes, surging prices. Reporter trump visited a Grocery Store in pennsylvania. When you talk to the people here paying 30, 40, 50 more for groceries, which i think i can say is right . Its a disgrace. Reporter inflation dropped to 2. 5 . Prices have risen nearly 20 since president biden and harris took office. Here is claiming a speech later this week. I believe in what we will create in terms of opportunity for the american people. Opportunity economy. Vp harris accepted an invitation to debate with Donald Trump next Month But Trump said that would be very bad since voting has started. Keep in mind, folks, trump took part in October Debates in 2016 and 2020. Starting tonight, democrats are trying to pressure trump into another debate by calling him a chicken. The dnc is putting billboards outside trump really saying theres no debate, Donald Trump is a chicken. The billboards were set to greet him and his event didnt pennsylvania. He trashed Jimmy Kimmel and talks how much he loves Elon Musk a will close the department of education. Something you could find in project 2025 actually. We will see j. D. Vance take the Debate Stage and he will face off with Minnesota Governor Tim Walz. He has been preparing for weeks with this team. His Wife And Trump advisers. Minnesota governor congressman, tom emmer, will play walz in his final rehearsals. With that, lets bring in the leadoff panel. Susan glasser, Staff Writer for the New Yorker. Gabriel, national correspondent for New York magazine. And white House Correspondent for bloomberg. Thank you all for being here. Susan, i will start with you. This is very much so a margin of error race. I think its going to stay that way until Ride On down to Election Day. Do you think so . Are we beyond the days of having a Landslide Election in this country . You know, after all is said and done and by any account, incredible news few months with the debates and Biden Dropping Out and two Assassination Attempts on the former president , if you look at the national Polling Averages right now, essentially, you can go back to the Spring Or Summer of 2023, and it looked almost exactly the same. Donald trump in particular, has had an in movable core of support. Somewhere in the 46 or so in these Polling Averages. Most people after nine years of trump have made up their minds about him. It is very hard to get it to move even one point. You have seen the movement this year is among democrats, many of whom were not sold on the idea of another term for Joe Biden. They have come home with a real considerable amount of Concerns Thatmo Enthusiasm for Kamala Harris, but its hard to see theres more percentage there. At this point, she might leg a little bit behind where biden was aware Hillary Clinton was at this point. In their respective elections, but theres not more movement. Its a Safe Bet to suggest we are just not going to know in a clear way the outcome of this election until the Election Night or even afterwards. Lets knock on Wood And Hope that set the case. It could be another election week, as i think we remember from 2020. Gabriel, this particular new Nbc News Poll, and i want to caution people, polls in general, i think they are indicative and not predictive, but this Poll Shows a very big spike in popularity for Vice President Kamala Harris. I am wondering if we can say the excitement around her is not just some honeymoon phase. It seems very rural, palpable, and lasting. Its definitely real. Theres still not much to be compared this moment to because of this unprecedented compressed nature the Harris Campaign. She is still relatively new to this version of the national stage, and a lot of voters say they are learning a lot about her or still want to learn more about her. When you look at this new poll is what it tells us is theres interest and she is benefiting from this new focus on her. Thats why you see her talking about wanting another debate, because of first one went so well. She was able to introduce herself to a bigger slice of the american electorate. Even when you look at these polls that seem to show a slightly growing margin for her on the national scale, still a very divided country. More to the point, she can win the national vote by as much as she wants, but what matters is the Electoral College and thats why you see her focusing on a smaller and smaller slice of states like pennsylvania which many think will be the h tipping point. Others like North Carolina and georgia t. Which look like a tougher ride for her but when he she needs to be competitive in. I think the campaign announced they are launching the Vice President herself is going to be visiting a number these midwest Battleground States and more sunbelt states. To me, it says the race is close. We have talked about, they want another debate. Donald trump very clearly seems he wants nothing to do with another debate. That gives democrats the final six weeks of this campaign to call him out for not wanting to debateti. What do you think abo the calculation here . Do you think this changes depending on how the Vice President ial debate goes . I have to imagine Trump Wouldnt want j. D. Vance to have the last word . This Vice President ial debate is the last thing on the calendar until november and it will have the Media Attention that debate straw. Harrises on the trail and going to rallies, but shes only talking to a small portion of the electric. We saw from the pole, she has had a boost from the debate. A lot of people got to know her more. People had favorable perceptions but the Race Hasnt had a big shakeups i think another debate could be the thing that could move some points in some of the crucial states. Get voters to know her better. People say they want to learn more about her character, policies, and another debate would give her the opportunity. We will see if trump changes his mind. Susan, you point out on social media, more voters say that harris is tough more tough than trump. Now we see Democrats Pushing Trump to debate by calling him a chicken, if you will. Did that last debate show the code has been cracked maybe on how to get under trumps skin . This is an unprecedented moment. The polls have nothing to compare this to. Lets stipulate the Chicken Suit has been around a long time. Thats a golden oldie when it at comes to candidates refusing to debate. I remember that from many years ago. I think there is something Donald Trump, the collective psychoanalysis that we have all been engaged in these last nine years, trying to figure out the unusual character of the former president is something that i have been fascinated to watch harris who clearly has a different theory of the case it seems to me then Joe Biden when it comes to the former president. To great effect in the debate where she was very aggressively needling trump, not just in the efforts to get him to take the bait which he seemed to do every single time. Using some of his own buzzwords, his own trigger words, if you will. Donald trump loves to talk about himself as strong and tough. He loves to demean his opponents as weak or sick like a dog. What is it with him and dogs . Lets talk about that. I think its very interesting this issue of how she is seeking to undercut his very palpable kind of sexism when it comes to now the second woman is run against. There was this interview the other day, i dont know if you notice this clip, he said she is a woman. She is doing better. The tone of incredulity in his voice. I can imagine when he saw a survey like that recent Ap Poll that showed her more voters rethinking that she was tough enough to be president than trump. It was close but it ghdid have her narrowly ahead, that that would be a big trigger for Donald Trump to see a result like that given how he prides himself on being seen as this image of a tough guy. It has struck me how in this election, its been Donald Trump that has wanted to weigh into what we refer to as the cultural wars. He wants to talk about the w effects of Race And Gender in ct the election than maybe some people are surprised that democrats are not doing that. The Harris Campaign and the Vice President herself is very much talking about why she would like to, why she thinks shes the best choice based on a host of other factors and not that she that voters will make history by electing her. I see the endorsement she is getting. The most recently there are hundreds of National Security, military officials, i am talking former chairs of the main republican party for example who have endorsed this harris walz ticket. Do you think the strategy that the Harris Walz Campaign is employing and especially with these endorsements and how the Vice President is taking on the issues in the race, will it make a difference with independent and rightleaning voters . Folks are undecided lake maybe they need to see more . I dont want to speak about brett specifically, but when you talk about marginal voters, thats what this game is about and i think the Harris Campaign is been smart to telegraph, we dont need to worry about the democratic core voters. We arent going to convince republican core voters. This will be down to a few thousand voters in a few states. When you talk Saabout Trump taking the lead on a lot of d these cultural issues, this is, what youre seeing is democrats learning from previous Election Cycles when people have not always respond well to democrats trying to bait him into that. Voters have not responded well at all to a trump weighs in on these cultural war issues. You see his positions and what democrats talk about is extremism which is reflected in polling. People find trumps views extreme. This has not worked for him in election after election. Its when people find him to bee the least effective as a communicator. He swings at leevery pitch. Democrats know he wants to make news constantly and talk about whatever seems to be inflaming the right wing specifically. When you see here is talking y about the economy, thats responding to polls because voters say, especially undecided, they want to hear more from more on that. They want to be reassured about the economy which is the number 1 issue with. When you see him rolling out endorsements from republicans, democrats have been doing that since Hillary Clinton ran against trump. The reason they are doing that is they are aiming at suburban, moderate voters who say they would be open to harris but they are not sure these are people who vote for republicans in the past, and people for whom a validator like a local Wh State Party Chair for someone likecheney, wouldnt necessarily be someone they would follow wholeheartedly. It gives them a permission structure. That is the theory. Will it work out . We will have to see. Its worked in the past but only in the margins. This is going to be a campaign and erase. We talk about it will be close. These independent voters, moderate republican voters will matter for Donald Trump and Vice President enKamala Harris. Base voters for each. Lets not forget, Nikki Haley made a good run in the republican primary, and then you have the space democratic voters that democrats want to turn out. What are the operations of Moea Campaign when it comes to it Infrastructure And Money . The Harris Campaign is proud of their Ground Game. They feel they have more offices in Swing States and offices in nebraska where theres one Electoral College vote. Florida for example. They are proud of their infrastructure, and they are out raising trump by a lot. Harris outraised him last month 3 to 1 but fundraising is not the endall, beall. Clinton out raised Donald Trump so they have to get their message out and knock on doors and connect with people because money is not going to be ne enough, offices are not enough, if theyre not getting the message deployed. Susan, folks are talking about trump saying if he loses he will run again in four years . Id like to refresh someones memory. 2016 and 2020 he said if he lost we wouldnt see him again a here we are. Is there anything significant about at this time . He also says he would only accept any results of the Selection that involves him winning. I think thats the more proximate concern for those who care about american democracy, and im not anxious, and im sure most arent, to have a repeat of 2020, but Donald Trump is already singing when it comes to refusing in advance to accept the results of the election if he loses. Thats enough of a five Alarm Fire for me. 2028, talk to me later. Truly. Susan, gabriel, kayla, i appreciate your time. When we come back, Mark Robinson, he is not dropping out of the race for North Carolina governor. He is losing a bunch of top staff. What does it mean for the president ial race in a crucial Swing State . Important news out of nebraska about a proposed change the good Help Trump in the Electoral College. The 11th hour is just getting underway. Getting underway. Y start at ag. Hpv vaccination a type of Cancer Prevention against certain hpvrelated cancers, can start then too. For most, hpv clears on its own. But for others, it can cause certain cancers later in life. Youre welcome now, as the dad cab, its my cue to help protect them. Embrace this phase. Help protect them in the next. Ask their Doctor Today about hpv vaccination. Whenever heartburn strikes, get fast relief with tums. Its time to love food back. Also try new tums gummy bites. San franciscos been through tough times. London breed led us through the pandemic, declaring an emergency before anyone else, Saving Thousands of lives. From growing up in the western Addition Housing projects to becoming mayor, london has never given up on the city that raised her. London is getting people off the streets and into care. London never gave up on me. I found a home, and my life is on the right track. London made it super easy for me to open my small business, by cutting city fees. And shes reinventing downtown to make our City Vibrant again. Shes building 82,000 new homes and helping first time homebuyers, just like us. And londons Hiring Hundreds of police officers, and arresting drug dealers. San francisco has been through difficult times, but our hard work is paying off. Working together, were building a better future for the city we all love. Ad paid for by reelect mayor London Breed 2024. Financial disclosures are available at sfethics. Org. The hits just keep coming for Mark Robinson and his campaign for governor in North Carolina. He is facing calls to drop out of the race following a report by cnn alleging he referred to himself as a black nazi on a Pornography Site years ago. Now the republican Governor Association appears to be pulling the plug. The red by expires tomorrow. They have not made another one. Over the weekend, four, four, four is a lot, of his campaign managers, four resigned from his campaign. Robinson insists he is staying in the race. We hav