documents. and this isn't a gotcha show, but i want to ask you about you're currently 81 years old. >> who told you that. >> all jokes aside this is real concern for american voters. how do you address that concern as you come up to the 2024 election? >> well, a couple things. number one he's about as old as i am and he can't remember his wife's name. >> that was president biden last night on late night with seth myers. today the president could face a sizable protest vote in michigan's primary. we'll go through that straight ahead. meanwhile, the president is optimistic that a cease-fire in gaza could happen in a matter of days. we'll bring you the very latest on the negotiations between israel and hamas. and that comes as congressional leaders are set to meet with biden today at the white house in hopes of hammering out a deal to avoid a government shutdown. good morning and welcome to "way too early" on this tuesday, february 27th. i'm jonathan lemire. thanks for starting your day with us. and we'll begin this morning with a presidential primary election in michigan that's being held today. president biden is expected to easily defeat his only real challenger, congressman dean philips of minnesota. but his biggest challenge is likely to come from the state's large arab american population. we'll explain that in just a moment. meanwhile, the republican primary is much more complicated. today's results will determine only 16 of michigan's 55 delegates. the other 39 will be decided saturday during a state party convention. but there will be competing conventions this weekend because of a leadership dispute within the michigan state gop. christina, an election denier and donald trump supporter, was removed as chairwoman last month following a vote by state party committee members. she has refused to accept the results and still claims to be the state party leader. earlier this nupt the republican national committee recognized a man who was endorsed by trump as the actual state party chairman. he'll oversee a convention in grand rapids while karamo is holding her gathering in detroit, deeply confusing. biden campaign cochair gretchen whitmer acknowledged a large portion of the electorate will not vote for biden protest his handling of the israel-hamas war. >> i think there will be a sizable number of votes committedch. i think it is very person's right to make their statement what is important to them. >> the uncommitted organizers have said they want to get at least 10,000 votes. do you think they'll reach that? >> i think that's possible, yeah. >> president biden has seen significant backlash in the state from his arab american and muslim american population as well as some young progressive voters. we should note governor whitmer will join us later this morning on "morning joe." joining us now white house reporter for "the wall street journal" subriana siddiqui. good to see you again this morning. the president faced a protest vote in new hampshire. some people were encouraged to right in a cease-fire instead of the president's name and that amounts to nothing. today feels much more sizable. give us the lay of the land. what should we and president biden expect in michigan today? >> thanks for having me. well, i think first and foremost president biden will comfortably win the michigan primary. there's no question about that since he's facing minimal opposition. but as you point out there is this effort to get voters to cast their ballots as uncommitted. and michigan is the state with the highest and number and percentage of arab americans in the country. and those who have been frustrated by president biden's handling of the israel-hamas war and specifically the humanitarian crisis in gaza is using this as an opportunity to really warn the president he does not currently have their vote. and barring a significant change in policy, they are likely to either vote third party or stay at home in november. it's not they're planning to vote for former president trump. but i think the margeern this group -- this effort is looking toward is having at least 10,000 uncommitted votes. that was trump's margin of victory in 2016. now president biden won by roughly 154,000 votes in 2020. but i think the message is still if this is a close election, then that margin of victory or that margin of 10,000 could actually make a difference. if thought they could potentially secure more uncommitted votes and it is a warning sign to president biden and the white house that they need to change course in their handling of the war and do a lot more to try and reassure this community and reaffirm their support with the community in the past elections has predominantly voted with democrats. >> it could be a real warning to president biden and potentially humbling if those numbers are sizable. sabrina, let's take the other side of this then. what does the president and his campaign staff -- how are they going to address this in the aftermath of today's election? how do they reach out to the community, and how do they hope to repair things by november? >> it's been a bit of a problem because last month the biden campaign dispatched its campaign manager to meet with some local arab american leaders and the biden campaign manager was rebuffed by many local officials. in recent weeks you actually saw some top foreign policy national security officials from the biden administration sit down and have a consideration. now, the biggest problem isn't that these voters are not looking for a shift in tone. they're looking for a shift in policy. so what i often have heard from them is they don't want to talk about the politics. they don't want to talk about, you know, thou hoir going to vote in nchb so much as what is the president going to do to what -- to bring about what they want, which is a permanent cease-fire in this war as well as, you know, the u.s. no longer sending military aid to israel, at least in the course of this conflict. and that's something that this administration is not really prepare to do. the president is pushing for a temporary cease-fire and last night he said he hopes there'll be one by monday, but we're not expecting a significant shift in the u.s. support for israel in this -- in this war and so, you know, what the lasting impact of that is going to be with this community is still untold. again, i think the biden campaign is trying to draw contrast with former president trump, a lot of his inflammatory rhetoric and policies towards muslim and arab americans but it's not clear drawing that contrast is going to be enough when these voters are i think really frustrated by and disappointed with president biden's posture especially as the death toll in gaza has neared 30,000 people most of whom are civilians. >> you make a great point here. the president has hopes of a cease-fire coming, and certainly those around his re-election bid hope the war in gaza will fade from the headlines in november. but will this population of michigan and other places friv and move on and come back to the president sphthat's the open question. terrific stuff to start us off this morning. sabrina, thank you. we'll talk to you again soon. >> meanwhile, president biden and former president trump are both expected to visit the southern border on the same day. this thursday. in a statement yesterday the white house announced biden's trip to brownsville, texas, where he will, quote, reiterate his calls for congressional republican tuesday top paying politics and provide the funding needed for the border. meanwhile, about 300 or so miles away in eagle pass, texas, donald trump is also planning to deliver remarks. that's according to two sources telling nbc news. speaking to reporters after filming his appearance with seth myers yesterday, biden briefly commented on the competing trip with trump. >> will you meet with migrants while you're there, mr. president? >> well, i'm not going to announce it ahead of time. secret service -- >> the president enjoying an ice-cream cone there with seth myers as he spoke woo reporters. ahead of their trip tuesday the border new polling finds most americans view immigration as a major issue. 61% of adults say that illegal immigration is very serious problem. that's up from 46% back in 2019. that includes 91% of republicans, 58% of independents, and 41% of democrats. as for the border security bill that house speaker mike johnson refuses to bring to a floor vote, nearly half of all adults, 48% say both parties are equally responsible for its blocking. 36% believe congressional republicans are more to blame, and 13% say congressional democrats are more to blame. the answer here clearly is republicans but shows a messaging issue for democrats. they're working on it. meanwhile, republican congressman scott perry of pennsylvania is calling for speaker johnson to cancel president biden's "state of the union" address next month. the former house freedom caucus chair is saying that republicans should use the opportunity to put pressure on biden over the southern border. take a listen. >> we need to use every single point of leverage including the spending and certainly including an address to the people from congress. he comes at the invitation of congress. the republican are in charge of the house. there's no reason we need to invite him to get more propaganda and actually blame the american people for the crisis he caused. >> that's certainly not going to happen. still ahead here, as we mentioned we'll show you president biden's new comments about a potential cease-fire deal between israel and hamas. plus nancy pelosi's message to european allies amid concerns about a possible second term for donald trump. we'll also preview today's high stakes white house meeting between president biden and congressional leadership including speaker johnson. all those stories and a check on sports and weather when we come right back. sports and weather when we come right back here's to getting better with age. here's to beating these two every thursday. help fuel today with boost high protein, complete nutrition you need... ...without the stuff you don't. so, here's to now. boost. 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(crowd cheers) sore throat got your tongue? mucinex instasoothe sore throat medicated drops. uniquely formulated for rapid relief that lasts and lasts. that's my babyyy! -ow! get mucinex instasoothe. it's comeback season. whoa, how did you defeat them? with a little kung fu strength and by connecting my devices to the most powerful force of all. skadoosh. hah, huh? cool right? amazing. harness the power of xfinity internet and stay connected to the things you love. ah, they'll be like this for hours. hello dad, hello dad, hello da. uh-oh. good bunnies. ahh! welcome back. president joe biden is now saying he hopes to see a cease-fire and hostage release deal in the middle east within a week. he made the comments while speaking with reporters in new york city yesterday. over the weekend israel's war cabinet approved broad terms of a deal that would involve a six-week truce for the release of about 40 hostages. the cease-fire would coincide with the muslim holy month of ramadan, which begins next week. the president wouldn't elaborate on those details but signaled significant progress has been made. take a listen. >> can you give us a sense when you think it'll start for -- >> oh, i hope by the beginning of the weekend or the end of the weekend. at least my national security advisor tells me we're close -- we're close. we're not done yet. my hope is by next monday we'll have a cease-fire. >> elsewhere overseas, after 19 months of waiting, the nation of sweden is now officially set to join nato. this comes after hungary prime minister, victor orban, finally allowed his country's parliament to vote on the matter. posted on social media after the vote writing swedesen is ready to shoulder its responsibility for euro atlantic security. the vote came after sweden's prime minister made a visit to budapest last friday. "the wall street journal" is pointing that sweden will strengthen the alliance. the alliance will gain a solidly anti-russian member with a robust military that provides critical defense of europe's noorn flank. it also brings a country whose uh-uh proach to national security engaging teenagers, retirees, police officers in the country's defense offers a model for other european models fearing russian aggression. sweden joins finland as the second country to join nato after russia invaded ukraine. meanwhile, as concerns rise overseas about the possibility of a second donald trump term and the volatility it would bring, former house speaker nancy pelosi is encouraging our european allies not to fret. take a look at part of her recent discussion with sky news. >> what advice would you give to the europeans on how to deal with him? >> i'd say to them what i've said to some of them today. the plural, the anecdote is not data. that's an expression we use in the appropriations committee. just because he says things and people say he could win or this -- don't agonize, organize. that's what we say ourselves when we have to win the election. so i think it's a strain on them to be worrying about something that may never happen. but in the meantime the more he speaks out, the more clearly we understand what his motivation is, and that's an opportunity to. >> next up, we'll turn to sports and a controversial ending to the knicks, pistons game last night that had one head coach absolutely fuming afterwards. we'll be right back with that. ls wel 'lbe right back with that. what is cirkul? cirkul is the fuel you need to take flight. cirkul is the energy that gets you to the next level. cirkul is what you hope for when life tosses lemons your way. cirkul, available at walmart and drinkcirkul.com. can neuriva support your brain health? mary, janet, hey!! (thinking: eddie, no frasier, frank... frank?) fred! how are you?! fred... fuel up to 7 brain health indicators, including your memory. join the neuriva brain health challenge. saved. knocked away. ten seconds. he throws it away. picked up by brunson. brunson inside. >> so the new york knicks escaped the pistons last night with a 113-111 win over detroit, and they got some real help from the referee. as we showed that here. an egregious miscall right there. he tackled him. the refs later admitted they missed that foul call during the final sequence when knicks guard divin cleanseo crashed into the legs of the pistons rookie. the head coach was rightly livid after the game as he aired out his grievancewise the official. >> the absolute worst call of the season. no call. and enough's enough. we had a chance to win the game, and the guy dove into the legs, and there was a no call. that's an abomination. that situation is exhibit annal to what we've been dealing with all season long. enough is enough. it's ridiculous, and we're tired of it. we just want a fair game called, period. and i've got nothing else to say. we want a fair game, and that was not fair. i'm done. zbloits been a tough year for the pistons and coach williams, but he's not wrong there. that was really bad. we turn now to college hoops and for the first time in over a month there's a new top ranked team in the country. houston is number one in the ap poll for the first time this season climbing to number one spute to defend. the huskies following number 3 and the first defeat in two months. perdue moved up. now to international soccer and a historic loss for the u.s. women's national team. the americans fell 2-0 against mexico last night in theifiable first-round match of both teams of the women's gold cup tournament. the u.s. losing for just a second time in 43 all-time meetings between the confident rivals and the first time in nearly 15 years. mexico and the united states will have to wait to learn their opponents in the quarterfinals. to major league baseball now. the dodgers are bringing back a familiar face to los angeles. the team has resigned utility man kike hernandez after they traded manuel margot to the minnesota twins. meanwhile shohei ohtani is set to make his debut today. he'll be the designated hitter in his first game since signing a ten-year, and he's not expected to pitch this year coming off surgery. but he'll hit. oh, he'll hit. time now for with weather and let's go to meteorologist angie lassman for the corest. >> we've got multiple impacts across the country. one of them we're going to keep a really close eye on here as the day goes on especially afternoon and evening wise is the threat for severe weather. we do have the potential to see large hail, golfball-sized, strong winds as well as a couple of tornados. it's thanks to this powerful system giving us a roller coaster ride of temperatures over the next couple of days but also bringing rain and snow across portions of of this region. by tomorrow it's the east coast that will see the heavy rain. more closer as this system moves offshore. the temperatures i mentioned once again records possible across parts of the midwest and stretching down into the plains. but notice this colds air behind it. we've got chicago headed to the upper 70s today. look for chicago is by tomorrow, 27 degrees. a big temperature drop for much of the country. we'll still be fairly warm for parts of the east coast, washington, d.c. expected to hit the mid-70s, but that temperature will likely take a tumble here as the days go on as well. and another storm sms out west going to impact folks from washington to oregon. what part of the country doesn't have something going on right now? >> it seems very unsettled and those temperatures drops, people are going to get sick. that's what always happens. still ahead on "way too early," with the government funding set to expire by the end of the week, we'll bring you the very latest from capitol hill as lawmakers from both sides of the aisle head to the white house today to meet with president biden. we'll be right back with that. we'll be right back with that. you didn't live this strong, this long to get put on the shelf like a porcelain doll. if you have postmenopausal osteoporosis and are at high risk for fracture, you can build new bone with evenity®. ask your doctor if you can do more than just slowing down bone loss with evenity®. want stronger bones? then build new bone; evenity® can help in just 12 months. evenity® is proven to reduce spine fracture risk by 73%. evenity® can increase risk of heart attack, stroke, or death from a cardiovascular problem. do not take evenity® if you have low blood calcium, or are allergic to it. serious allergic reactions and low blood calcium have occurred. tell your doctor about jaw bone problems, as they have been reported with evenity®. or about pain in your hip, groin, or thigh, as unusual thigh bone fractures have occurred. don't let a break put you on a shelf. talk to your doctor about building new bone with evenity®! here's to getting better with age. here's to beating these two every thursday. help fuel today with boost high protein, complete nutrition you need... ...without the stuff you don't. so, here's to now. boost. no, my denture's uncomfortable! dracula, let's fight back against discomfort. with new poligrip power max hold & comfort. it has superior hold plus keeps us comfy all day with it's pressure absording layer. time for a bite! if your mouth could talk it would ask for... poligrip. whoa, how did you defeat them? with a little kung fu strength and by connecting my devices to the most powerful force of all. skadoosh. hah, huh? cool right? amazing. harness the power of xfinity internet and stay connected to the things you love. ah, they'll be like this for hours. hello dad, hello dad, hello da. uh-oh. good bunnies. ahh! welcome back to "way too early." it is just before 5:30 a.m. here on the east coast, 2:30 out west on this tuesday morning. i'm jonathan lemire. thanks for being with us. president joe biden will meet with congressional leaders today over government funding and aid for ukraine and israel. biden is set to emphasize the need to pass the legislation in a timely manner especially as government funding is set to expire in a little less than four days. while no deal has been announced, lawmakers have said that progress has been made, but it has been slowed by far-right house republicans trying to inject poison pills into the bills. senate majority leader chuck schumer is making clear the responsibility is on house republicans to avoid a shutdown. meanwhile, punch bowl news is reporting senate minority whip john that you know is saying congress may need to pass a stop gap funding bill maybe just for a couple of weeks in order to keep the lights on. as you can see there, there are two different deadlines. the far bigger more consequential deadline, march 8th, still rapidly approaching. joining us now congressional reporter for the hill. thanks for joining us again this morning. so let's start by previewing today's meeting. do we expect anything to actually get done today in terms of keeping the government open or funding ukraine? >> hey, jonathan, good morning, yeah. that big high stakes meeting today at the white house with president biden before congressional leaders that's beginning at 11:30 in the oval office. and you asked the key question what are we actually expecting out of this meeting? i don't think the expectation should be too high for too much progress. look, this has been going on on capitol hill behind the scenes. the negotiations for these full-year government funding bills. and negotiators and congressional leaders had hoped they'd be able to rollout those bills this weekend, but senate majority leader chuck schumer on sunday telling colleagues they did not yet reach a deal because of these house republican demands. we've been seeing for months hard line conservatives in the gop conference have been demanding controversial policy writers on hop on issues like abortion, transgender matters and a litany of other issues. we're now seeing conservatives hold the line. there were a number of hard liners yesterday and in recent days saying they'd be willing to shutdown the government over this matter. the chairman of the house freedom caucus going as far to say a shutdown is not ideal but not the worst thing. that gives you the dynamics where things stand right now. speaker johnson has a big decision to make. strike a deal with democrats other other republican who want to govern and keep the government open, but of course that begs the question of is his job safe. >> let's spend time there on speaker johnson who has frankly struggled in his new post, having trouble getting basic bills passed and as you laid out well, faces a real dilemma on his future. what's the latest you heard with republicans what johnson might do? how safe is his job? >> jonathan lsh let's set the scene and give context. this is the third time he's up in the funding dead line and has to make a decision of shutdown or a deal with the democrats. the two previous times johnson was in the predicament he ended up cutting a deal with democrats to pass a continuing resolution and buy more time to finish out these full year negotiation. he's now faced with that same question, but hard liners are really throwing down the gauntlet and digging in their heels. and they're frustrated with speaker johnson. like i said the two previous times he was in had situation, he turned on them, struck that deal with democrats. republicans really this as one of the last opportunities they can flex their muscles and use leverage to their advantage to try to force some policy concessions. now, if johnson doesn't go down that path and ends up striking a deal with democrats to keep the government open, that then begs the question how safe is johnson's gavel? we all remember that speaker fight in october after mccarthy's ouster. it was messy and not a great look for republicans, so there's a big question are they're willing to go back down that path? if speaker johnson does go ahead and strike a deal with democrats to keep the government open, there's going to be a lot of angry conservatives, and there's going to be a lot of speculation about his job security. >> that is safe to say. i also think a safe bet if government were to shutdown in an election mind you, republicans will take the blame, not president biden. next up here we'll go live to cnbc for a look at morning's top business headlines including a look at the newest addition to the dow jones. you're watching "way too early." we'll be right back. "way too ea" we'll be right back. hey! asthma's got you going through it? grab nucala for fewer asthma attacks. nucala is a once-monthly add-on injection for severe eosinophilic asthma. not for sudden breathing problems. allergic reactions can occur. get help right away for swelling of face, mouth, tongue, or trouble breathing. infections that can cause shingles have occurred. don't stop steroids unless told by your doctor. tell your doctor if you have a parasitic infection. may cause headache, injection site reactions, back pain, and fatigue. ask an asthma specialist if nucala is right for you. time now for business. and for that let's bring in cnbc's silvia amaro who joins us live from london. good morning, silvia. investors are looking aed to a busy day of economic data and retail earnings. what's the sense as to what's driving the market this morning? >> so on monday we saw the major indexes in the united states ending the session on a negative note. in fact, 8 out of 11 sectors posted negative performances on monday, but today the big focus is on economic data, in particular as we expect personal consumption expenditure price index figures. this is a metric that is closely followed by the federal reserve, and therefore investors will also be looking at it quite closely. but there's more. we're also going to get durable goods, housing and consumer confidence numbers today. and on top of that, the earnings season continues. we're going to hear from macy's and beyond as well. so plenty in the equity market, john. >> wall street blue chip index is getting a shakeup. tell us about it. >> we are indeed seeing a bit of a shakeup when it comes to the dow this week. so the latest change is the fact that amazon is now a member of this index. actually replacing the drugstore operator walgreens alliance. the dow is becoming a bit more modern, and analysts are suggesting these changes in the index could actually mean that it could reverse some of the recent performance. let's see. >> lastly, united airlines is set to resume direct flights from u.s. to israel next month. this stopped in the wake of the october 7th aterrorist attacks. tell us more about it, please. >> exactly. so we heard from united. they have said from march 6th the plan is to start daily nonstop flights to israel, and of course that is an important announcement because they were among the companies that stopped this traffic in the wake of the october 7th attack. now, we have seen some european airlines also making similar moves. for instance, air france, they've all restarted this traffic, these flights to israel, and all in all what we're seeing is a bit of a return to more normal air traffic. but, of course, it's also important to keep in mind and keep in focus monitoring what's happening in the geopolitical picture to see whether we might see further changes when it comes to what airlines are doing. >> we'll certainly keep an eye on that. cnbc's silvia amaro live from london, thank you as always. next up here we'll bring you update on a couple of donald trump's legal battles including the hush money case in new york where prosecutors are asking the judge to take action about a month before that trial is set to begin. we'll bring you that next. l is t to begin we'll bring you that next. 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[ passing wind ] welcome back. donald trump and some top executives at his company are now officially appealing their $464 million civil fraud case. lawyers for trump filed a notice of appeal yesterday challenging judge arthur engoron's finding that the former president lied about his welt as he grew his real estate empire. writing in court documents, trump's attorney asked the state's appeals court to decide whether the judge committed errors of law and/or fact, and whether he abused his discretion and acted in excess of his jurisdiction. it's unclear how trump would pay the judgment and the roughly $100,000 a day in interest, an amount that will simply grow until it's paid. it's likely the appeals proceedings can last a year or more. meanwhile prosecutors in trump's hush money case are asking the judge to impose a partial gag order on the former president ahead of next month's criminal trial. the manhattan d.a.'s office is looking to bar trump from making or directing others to make public statements about potential witnesses, jurors, court staffers, and members of d.a. alvin bragg's legal team. the d.a. cited trump's, quote, long history of making public and inflammatory remarks about the participants in various judicial proceedings against him. wave also learned trump's legal team is hoping to block key witnesses from testifying including his former fixer, michael cohen, and the two women he paid to stay quiet about affairs they alleged to have had with trump. adult film star, stormy daniels and former playboy model karen mcdougal. joining us here on set state attorney for palm beach county, dave aronberg. good to see you this morning. let's start there on this criminal trial. what is your assessment as to can trump's lawyers be kesful in blocking testimony from three witnesses, cohen, mcdougal, daniels, who are key to the case? >> not really. it's a criminal defense lawyer's dream to be able to say don't let them testify and don't harm our case too much. and they're saying michael cohen lied. he was convicted of lying to congress, put that's who prosecutors put up as witnesses because people who engage in crime hang out with other people who are not, you know, choir boys. and michael cohen i think has come forward and did the right thing, but he did lie. that doesn't mean he can't testify. it's for the jury to decide what kind of credibility he has, not for the judge to exclude the testimony all together. i think it's a pipe dream the lawyers are going to keep him out. >> do we think the d.a.'s request for a gag order will be appropriate and happen? >> jack smith won the day when he got a partial gag order. the d.c. court of appeals upheld it, plus he saw the disgusting messages salven bragg received when he started to throw verbal hand grenades at him. we should never have taken for granted or be numb to the fact the leading candidate for president on the republican side poses a real danger through his words on potential jurors, the witnesses, the judges, and prosecutors. >> so let's shift to the appeal trump's attorneys have filed on the civil fraud judgment. big number. what's your sense as to the possibility of success for them? and will trump still have to pay while the appeal is being heard? >> he's got to post a bond -- >> when does he have to do that? >> well, it's 30 days after the judgment. so the clock is running, and it's going to be tough for him because i don't know how liquid he is. he also has to pay the bond to appeal the e. jean carroll judgment. so it's going to be tough for him. plus i don't think he has the likelihood getting the verdict overturned. judge engoron was pretty thorough in his decision. in the end it was donald trump who inflated the size of his own apartment three fold. that's not a rounding error. you know, that's not harmless puffing, that's fraud. >> yeah, state attorney general letitia james suggested perhaps if needed if trump can't pay some of the his assets including property could be seized in order for him to make good. dave, there's just so much each and every it seems like on the trump legal front. and we're expected to get developments in the fulton county case today, the fulton county case. they're going back to court. >> this is big day there. terence bradley, who was nathan wade's former diverse lawyer has said he cannot testify of a lot of their details of their relationship because of attorney-client privilege. well, judge mcafee there in fulton county said, no, the privilege does not block you from testifying any longer. you need to take the stand again and come clean. and boy, that could mean some bombshells. we'll see. today is a very big day in that trial, in that hearing. >> there's been some revelations since that may be damaging to her and maybe the future of that case. and lastly we know as just covered the new york hush money case is going to go to trial before the election. there's the other case trump is facing that could do the same would be the federal election interference case. there's a consensus georgia is probably next year, the classified documents case probably next year. it's this jack smith january 6th case. we're all waiting on the supreme court. what's your sense as to a time line there? >> i think the reason why they're slow walking this a little bit, is that they're going to come out with a denial of cert and there's probably a judge or two issuing a dissent. i think that bodes well probably for prosecutors because that case is the greatest existential threat to donald trump's future freedom because it's the one case i think will be heard before the election that could lead to future incarceration, so that's why donald trump wants to delay it so badly, but i don't think he's going to prevail on that. >> we're certainly keeping an eye on the highest court in the land for that update. covered a lot of ground for us this morning. thank you, dave. up next on "way too early" in just a couple hours polls will open in michigan for today's primary elections. we'll show you nikki haley's final we'll show you nikki haley's fina final pitch to voters. we'll hear from michigan governor gretchen whitmer who says she does expect a sizable number of protest votes against president biden. we'll get into why democrats there could be turning away from the president. plus, health and human services secretary will be a guest from birmingham in the wake of alabama's ivf ruling. what he's hearing from families impacted the controversial decision. you won't want to miss that. "morning joe" just a few moments away. so i didn't think i needed swiffer, until, i saw how easily it picked up my hair every time i dried it! only takes a minute. look at that! the heavy duty cloths are extra thick, for amazing trap & lock. even for his hair. wow. and for dust, i love my heavy duty duster. the fluffy fibers trap dust on contact, up high and all around without having to lift a thing. i'm so hooked. you'll love swiffer. or your money back! ah mornings! cough? congestion? i'm feeling better. all in one and done with new mucinex kickstart. headache? better now. new mucinex kickstart gives all-in-one and done relief with a morning jolt of instant cooling sensation. it's comeback season. here's to getting better with age. here's to beating these two every thursday. help fuel today with boost high protein, complete nutrition you need... ...without the stuff you don't. so, here's to now. boost. rsv can severely affect the lungs and lower airways. but i'm protected with arexvy. arexvy is a vaccine used to prevent lower respiratory disease from rsv in people 60 years and older. rsv can be serious for those over 60, including those with asthma, diabetes, copd, and certain other conditions. but i'm protected. arexvy is proven to be over 82% effective in preventing lower respiratory disease from rsv and over 94% effective in those with these health conditions. arexvy does not protect everyone and is not for those with severe allergic reactions to its ingredients. those with weakened immune systems may have a lower response to the vaccine. the most common side effects are injection site pain, fatigue, muscle pain, headache, and joint pain. i chose arexvy. rsv? make it arexvy. you look at what's happened in the early states. they'll talk about donald trump winning, and he did. i give him that. but what about the fact that in all the early states, he did not get 40% of the vote? donald trump will say, oh, those are all democrats that voted in south carolina. no, less than 5% were democrats or unaffiliated. those are republicans. same thing in new hampshire. look at iowa. 40% of the vote is not with him. you can't win a general election if you don't get the 40%. is he doing anything to help himself? no. he said anyone who supported me was barred permanently from maga. [ applause ] think about that. if you're running for president, your job is to bring as many people to you as possible, not push people out. >> oh, yeah. >> right! >> that's what he is doing, pushing people away from the republican party. >> she's not wrong. that was former south carolina governor nikki haley in grand rapids yesterday, making a final pitch to michigan voters before today's primary in that state. joining us now, politics editor for bloomberg, laura davidson, who has been closely watching the race in michigan. let's start on the republican side. it is expected that donald trump will win again. but what is the sense as to the showing haley can have? is she going to get a similar number to, as she eluded to, where perhaps 30%, 40% of republicans will opt not to go with trump? >> you know, she has a less good advantage than she did in south carolina. that was her home state. she'd been advertising there significantly, and she had great name id. michigan's rules allow for an open primary, so, therefore, she could pick up moderates, independents, even democrats who choose to cross the party line. but, still, she's not expected to win. this race is really confusing because michigan not only has a primary today but a convention on saturday, and delegates are awarded at both the contests. this represents the fractured nature of the republican party. even on saturday, there are going to be two conventions because of fighting between the leadership there. in some ways, this is advantageous to haley. even if she doesn't win, she's able to point to this party that's fractures, divided, and, in some ways, is saying they don't necessarily all want donald trump to be president. >> that's certainly a good point here. that plays into her argument. she is commitment no matter what happens today to stay through at least next week, which is super tuesday and a host of states vote. what is her team saying as to how they think she can fair a week from now? >> they're not setting expectations that she will win or even poll ahead of donald trump. she's saying, look, there's 40% in new hampshire, in south carolina that want an alternative to trump. we're going to keep running. this advantages her. she is able to, as she keeps going through these primaries, pick up delegates, even if she's not winning. she gets, you know, a small fraction of them. if for any reason down the line donald trump for legal reasons, for health reasons, for something unforeseen, isn't able to run, it positions her as the heir apparent in the case. >> donald trump's first criminal trial starts in less than a month. i'm sure haley has that in mind, as well. certainly, though trump keeps racking up the wins, there are real warning signs for his general election campaign. let's shift to the democrats now. president biden also going to win today. there's no question there. but as we covered earlier in the show, there are some voters who are planning to protest his handling of the war in gaza by threatening to vote uncommitted. tell us your sense on the ground, what you've heard from michigan. how big of a number is that going to be? what message could it send? >> it's really not clear. it's about 70,000 arab-american voters in michigan. this is sort of the group that's sort of pushing this vote uncommitted for biden. there's some thoughts that internally, they're looking to get 10%, so roughly around 7,000 votes. obviously, there's a range of reasons, not just the gaza issue that could have democrats dissatisfied with biden. this is a bellwether for how biden and democrats could fair in michigan in the fall. michigan is a key swing state. biden has a complicated coalition he needs to pull together. he needs arab-americans, black voters, union households. right now, state polls show in a head-to-head matchup with trump, he is lagging. >> let's talk a little more about november which we will likely see biden and trump. in michigan, one of the most crucial battlegrounds on the map. trump, of course, won it in 2016. biden took it back for the democrats in 2020. it's hard to see a map for the president to re-election if he loses michigan. tell us more about the coalition and what the trump team is really targeting to try to win pack that state. >> the trump team is looking more at black voters than women. they've decided that suburban women aren't their best target, but they picked up a lot of support, at least initially in the polls of black voters showing that they're interested. remains to be seen whether that'll hold through november. michigan, wisconsin, and pennsylvania, the blue wall in the upper midwest, is something both biden and trump see as key to their path to victory and noted that biden won it in 2020, trump won it in 2016. that's why you see the president and trump both going to michigan frequently in their travel schedule. >> we certainly heard donald trump's, shall we say, unorthodox pitch to black voters over the weekend. hard to see how that'll help. we have complete coverage of the michigan primary all day on msnbc. politics editor for bloomberg, laura davison, thank you for joining us this morning. thanks for getting up "way too early" with us on this tuesday morning. "morning joe" starts right now. >> there is a conspiracy meme. you seem to have fun with it. you've co-opted dark brand, and this is a yard sign. do you enjoy playing around with the dark brand meme? >> no, i resent the hell out of

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