Transcripts For MSNBC The Week With Joshua Johnson 20240710

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Along the Gulf Coast we expected from such a storm. It ripped the roof off the lady of the Sea Hospital in galliano which is south of New Orleans. You can see the damage in louisiana there. Tonight, as we mentioned, the power is out for hundreds of thousands of people. Louisiana Governor John Bell edwards says his states entire National Guard is activated. More than 4,000 are out in support of the emergency effort, but officials are warning residents to prepare for at least three days of sheltering in place. This historic hurricane comes on the 16th Anniversary of another historic hurricane, katrina. Thankfully, officials expect the levees in the new Orleans Area to hold this time. From nbc News World Headquarters in New York, im Joshua Johnson continuing our special coverage of Hurricane Ida. Welcome to the week. Let us begin with the latest on Hurricane Idas path. Meteorologist Bill Karins joins us now after a very long day, and bill, we just got the latest update from the national hurricane center, right . Yeah, a tick lower. Thats all we have been doing all day long. Landfall was 150mileperhour winds. Were now at 115. Which is the lowest end of a category 3. So its really incredible to think that landfall was at 1 00 eastern time. And now were at 9 00 eastern time, eight hours later, its still a major hurricane. Thats incredible. That rarely ever happens. A lot of it is because it was stalled a little bit over the warm swampy waters of southern louisiana and it didnt weaken quickly because of that. Now its starting to weaken more quickly as its away from the swampy water and over the land to the west of New Orleans and lake pontchartrain. The Back Side of the storm is starting to fall apart, but all of these Feeder Bands In The East will be a huge issue. The winds are going to start to come down. New orleans, you had your peak winds. They were in the 80mileperhour Range for most indicates. One News Station they had a gust over 100. Right now, theyre in the 50 to 70mileperhour range. Theres 750,000 people in louisiana right now without power. Population of louisiana is about 4. 5 million. So roughly 1 out of every 5 people in the state doesnt have power, and almost all of them are in New Orleans and southeastern portions of the state. Well get additional power Outages Tonight from hammond to Baton Rouge. This is where the strongest winds will be remaining. As far as the strongest gusts, at landfall, what a beast of a storm this was. You will see a lot of destruction of even well built structures with 140 to 150mileperhour gusts in grand isle, and in New Orleans, that 87 was at the airport. We still have the Hurricane Warnings extending into southern mississippi. Tropical Storm Warnings go well into Northern Mississippi because the winds will still be up early tomorrow morning. We have a Tornado Threat until 7 00 a. M. In the morning. Isolated tornadoes are possible in mississippi and even alabama. As far at the path goes, we take it tonight, drop it down to a tropical storm. By 1 00 p. M. Tomorrow afternoon, near jackson, mississippi, that will probably be the end of it as a tropical system, then it will begin to be called an extra tropical system, kind of lake a regular storm, and then a big old Rain Maker all the way through Southern New England come thursday afternoon. Wont be a big wind event, but the flooding will be the issue. A high risk of Flash Flooding Tonight in areas near New Orleans. Tomorrow, were still going to watch the heavy rain. You have to remember, we had some significant flooding in the last couple weeks in areas of tennessee and well get a lot of rain there. Flood watches up to nashville. 14 Million people included in this. Widespread, 3 to 5 inches of rainfall all the way up here to nashville, and eventually through kentucky, and remember, only a week ago that we had a tropical storm dump a ton of rain in Southern New England. We even could get hit there with additional rain. Joshua, yes, were done with like the huge impacts with the Storm Surge and the high winds. But now we have to deal with what we would typically get with a strong storm. Before i let you go, the resilience of the storm is wild. Its ability to remain cohesive, to have a solid eyewall, ever since it made landfall, is pretty remarkable. What about the concern for tornadoes popping off the storm . Especially the quadrant thats closest to New Orleans. Every tropical system is kind of different. Some are very prolific at producing tornadoes, others not as much. So far, no confirmed tornadoes during the day, which is great. Tomorrow could be different. Tomorrow, we could get The Sun coming out in between the Feeder Bands In Mississippi and alabama. Destabilize the atmosphere, the energy, and we could get additional tornadoes tomorrow. Just because we made it through today without any tornadoes, doesnt mean we wont tomorrow. Now lets get to the teams on the ground. Nbcs Morgan Chesky is in houma, louisiana. Ali velshi is in New Orleans. Miguel almaguer is in Baton Rouge. Lets begin with you, morgan, just west of New Orleans. A short time ago, ida has been passing through where youre standing. Doesnt look quite as bad where you are right now. Whats it look like . Yeah, joshua, we havent gotten a chance to really survey the extent of the damage here, simply because it was too dangerous to leave this concrete Parking Garage that we sought shelter in for the better part of this afternoon when ida made itself known, and the outer bands turned into the inner bands, and then that eyewall passed, incredibly close to us. We were looking at Wind Gusts well over 100 miles per hour here. And just before you toss to us here, i could hear debris being thrown around in the background still. That is the power that ida brought to this community. They knew they were right in the middle of the path. It stayed on track. We know about 60 of the people followed those mandatory evacuation orders. The Fire Chief here telling me that still left about 40 of the population here left to ride this out. Power outages are widespread, just like in New Orleans. And people for the most part have been hunkering down. We know that were just now seeing first responders going throughout this area because they, too, had to seek shelter whenever this storm hit. And in fact, it could be significant. We know that right now, where im standing is barely ten feet above Sea Level. In neighboring morgan city, they sat just seven feet above Sea Level. And so when you have the Storm Surge combined with the incredibly high winds they faced here, they were going to be looking at significant damage. And right now, joshua, i can tell you there is a feeling of here we go again. Because as we stand here on the 16th Anniversary of katrina, they also got Walloped By Gustav in 2008. A lot of people rebuilding from that. And its just been one hurricane after another. And so come tomorrow morning, when we finally get a chance to survey the damage, its going to be an incredibly frustrating scene here in houma. Yeah, it sounds like theres going to be a lot of different kinds of damage. We have seen different reports from different parts of louisiana of boats being knocked from their moorings and barges knocking into bridges. Interesting to see the extent of the damage where you are. Thank you, Morgan Chesky in houma, louisiana. Lets make our way east to New Orleans and Ali Velshi who is standing by in a somewhat less windy Parking Lot near harras casino. How does it look where you are, particularly since youre near a part of downtown New Orleans thats very built up, right near a major casino resort, not far from the Convention Center. But the power had still been blinking on and off where you are despite all the tall solid structures around you. Its gone. The power is all gone. In fact, theres no light anywhere in downtown louisiana. The light youre looking at here on the white trucks behind me is coming from us. Its a generator. Everything else is dark. Right behind the trucks, across the road, not 100 feet from us, is the casino, completely in the dark. The Convention Center completely in the dark. We have a new problem here in louisiana. The first concern was flooding. Morgan was talking about where he is above Sea Level. Were generally speaking below Sea Level. The French Quarter is the highest point In The City. Everything else is below Sea Level. So they spent 16 Billion on improvements to levees, locks, gates, things like that to prevent the city from flooding like it did 16 years ago from today when Hurricane Katrina hit. We were worried about flooding. Were starting to see pooling in the streets, which we havent seen all day. Phones are going off with Storm Surge warnings. We thought we had a Transformer Blow at a Power Station right beside us. As that happened because the hotel we were operating out of went dark, what we didnt realize was going on was the entire city went dark. What you described as a Catastrophic Failure At Entergy in their transmission lines. Three of which, by the way, were going to the sewage system. So we got all sorts of new problems in New Orleans that we didnt have one hour ago. One hour ago, we were thinking we have largely dodged this bullet here in New Orleans. The winds were high. We had gusts, as i was talking to Mehdi Hasan and Bill Karins and alicia a little while ago, that looked like they were 70 or 75 miles per hour where i am. What we have seen in terms of damage in New Orleans is not trees being uprooted because theres been so much rain and the ground is saturated. Trees snapping in half, including one just on the other side of the building that im at. So theres a lot of damage around New Orleans from trees. They were taking down Power Lines. That was causing a problem. But now, the city is dark. Theres literally nothing to be seen that is lit In The City except buildings that might have generators or people with generators. One important thing to remember, a year ago, about this week, was Hurricane Laura. We side of louisiana. East side of texas. And more people died from that storm because of carbon monoxide poisoning, because they were running generators, putting them in their house. So that, too, becomes a concern. So louisiana did not get the eye of the storm. And that was what a ought of people were really thankful for, but we havent seen what the effects of the rain are going to be overnight and this power outage, we dont know how long that goes out for, i dont know what a catastrophic failure means and how long it tames to repair, but New Orleans is entirely dark. I hear you about that kind of Multilayered Problem of people just not being careful with generators, keeping them inside when they should absolutely, positively remain outside, regardless of the circumstances. Thank you, ali. Thats Ali Velshi from New Orleans. Lets continue to Miguel Almaguer in Baton Rouge, louisiana, which is expecting more of the storm, and the parish that Baton Rouge is partly in, east Baton Rouge parish, issued a curfew. Thats the most populous parish in louisiana. Orleans parish where ali is is the third most populous. What more can you tell us about how the city is preparing for the worst of the storm . Yeah, joshua. Curfew is under way for the general public. Media is allowed to broadcast outside and keep people abreast of the situation here. I can tell you, the situation is deteriorating over the last couple hours. The winds here began to pick up as we started to hit the front bands of the hurricane. As Bill Karins alluded to earlier today, and as the mayor of the city told us just a couple hours ago, they expected Baton Rouge to be in the direct path of this hurricane. Now, whether that materializes will still be yet to be seen over the next couple hours, were expecting the situation here to continue to deteriorate. The city has about a quarter million people in it, nearly No One evacuated from the city. Just about everyone, the mayor says, is hunkered down here, riding out the storm. A short time ago, before we came on air with you here, we did hear sirens in the background, some Emergency Vehicles appear to be out, but we were also told at about 50 miles per hour, the mayor said there would be no Emergency Services out for local cities. People would have to hunker down and wait until daybreak to get help if they needed it. Now, we do expect some problems along the mississippi here as we continue to see what officials told us earlier today was actually the Mississippi River moving in reverse because of the Weather System thats coming in this area. Now, they dont expect any large flooding from the mississippi. The river banks here are relatively safe. But the strong winds here are going to continue to be an issue over the next couple hours. You can hear things rattling around in the background. Thats been happening over the past couple hours, and we expect that situation to intensify as the day goes around. Its interesting you mentioned the Mississippi River. I should note that we have gotten some reports from the u. S. Coast guard that at least 13 barges have broken away on different parts of the Mississippi River. Not necessarily where miguel is, but of course, that is another one of the threats that materializes from storms like this, that has the potential to knock out power, potentially sewage lines, other roadways. Well see how extensive the damage is at first light tomorrow. Thats Miguel Almaguer in Baton Rouge, louisiana. Please stay safe. Hurricane ida is just one of the stories were monitoring. Were also watching the situation in afghanistan tonight. Today, president biden traveled to Dover Air Force Base in delaware. He attended a ceremony called a dignified transfer. Honor guards offloaded the remains of 13 service members. Families watched the emotional tearful ceremony from a private area on the tarmac. The service members died on thursday in a Suicide Attack at the airport in kabul. Here are their names and faces. The Terror Group Isisk committed that attack. And since then, the u. S. Has carried out two Air Strikes against isisk. One strike overnight hit a vehicle that u. S. Central command says was loaded with explosives. Other Media Outlets report that civilians were killed during the strike. Nbc news has not independently verified those reports. But in a statement they responded, quote, we are still assessing the results of the strike. We know that there were substantial and powerful subsequent explosions resulting from the destruction of the vehicle, indicating a large amount of Explosive Material inside that may have caused additional casualties, unquote. The Air Strike came after a dire Warning Yesterday that all americans should evacuate the airport because of a specific credible threat. Evacuations continue as the August 31st deadline gets closer. And the u. S. Has begun to pull out its remaining diplomatic personnel on the ground, according to a state department memo. But time is running out, and after this tuesday, getting american citizens and our allies in kabul is going to be harder. Joining us are dana petard, the author of hunting the caliphate, Americas War on isis. And ambassador michael mcfaul, former u. S. Ambassador to russia and author of from Cold War to hot peace. Gentlemen, good to have you with us. General, let me start with you. We noted a spokesman for centcom cited the additional explosions after the strike as indication that there was Explosive Material there, presumably that they targeted the thing that they intended to target and hit their target. What do you make of where things stand now after these strikes . Well, again, joshua, thank you for having me this evening. The strikes in themselves probably helped prevent a bombing. It sounded like there were secondary explosions, which would indicate that there was Bombing Material there or material to make a bomb. But the single strikes wont make a whole lot of difference. I was involved in hundreds of drone and Air Strikes in the fight against isis, and its going after a network that has the most effect. Following a strike with another strike is the most fundamental way and effective way to get to isisk. Ambassador mcfaul, let me get your reaction to some of what the national Security Adviser Jake Sullivan had to say. He was making the rounds this morning. Heres part of what he said about what happens after tuesdays deadline. Watch. August 31st is not a cliff. After August 31st, we believe that we have substantial leverage to hold the taliban to its commitments to allow safe passage for american citizens, legal permanent residents, and the afghan ally whose have Travel Documentation to come to the united states. We will use that leverage to the maximum extent, and we will work with the rest of the international community to insure the taliban does not falter on these commitments. Substantial leverage, ambassador. Im not sure what leverage the u. S. Has over the taliban at all right now. Is there something im not seeing . First, joshua, thanks for having me. I want to start just by thanking the families of the american heroes that lost their lives to continue the mission at hand. And i applaud the biden administration for continuing the mission. They did not stop the mission as a result of a terrorist attack. Thats important to remember. And that were now up to 114,000 out, including 5,000 americans in the last two weeks, that is a significant accomplishment. But the plan does not end the evacuation does not end, Jake Sullivan just said it, on August 31st. It means we now have to go to other modalities to get out literally thousands, maybe Tens Of Thousands of afghans that have been working with the united states over the last 20 years. I want to explain who these people are. I think theyre not understood very well. These are people that have been working with american funded ngos to promote the rule of law, to promote womens rights, to promote democracy, independent media. Theyre normatively very committed to our values, and thats what makes them so dangerous to the taliban. Thats what put targets on their heads. So the government, and i applaud them, they have said its not going to end August 31st. It means its going to be something different. They have not told us what the other modalities are. I hope they remain committed to getting everybody out who was with us over the last 20 years. General, what about you . What do you think about this leverage that the biden administration says it has to try to exact or to get any more cooperation from the taliban . It feels like the leverage is the capacity for somebody at the pentagon to basically throw a dart at somebody over the horizon and hit them drone Strike Style the way we have done so far. Im not sure what other Leverage Or Deterrent the u. S. Really has right now. Well, joshua, thats the reality. We have very little leverage. And whatever leverage we had is surely leaving with our Military Capability that is departing right now. You know, i agree with much of what the ambassador just said. With the exception that the plan as far as withdrawal was poorly planned. When troops ended up abandoning afghanistan, and thats what we did, we abandoned afghanistan, at that time, the plan to evacuate civilians, americans, as well as our afghan allies didnt appear to be a part of it. It became a part of it after we withdrew the troops and had to send more troops back in. Since then, after that stumble, a lot of good things have happened. The evacuation of 114,000 civilians is a significant accomplishment. But we still have problems with timing. And what is the strategic vision for the future. We have very little leverage. We have a little economic leverage. Supposedly, the taliban wants to be a part of the family of nations. So well see what happens. We have very little leverage at this point. Ambassador, one more clip i would like you to react to, the Secretary Of State, antony blinken, who was on Meet The Press this morning, talking about what the talibans future relationship with the world might be after this deadline. Watch. Nothing has been promised to the taliban. To the contrary, we have made very clear, and not just us, country upon country around the world, have made clear that there are very significant expectations of the taliban going forward. If theyre going to have any kind of relationship with the rest of the world. Starting with freedom of travel. But then going on to making sure that theyre sustaining the basic rights of their people, including women and girls. Making sure theyre making good on commitments they have repeatedly made on counterterrorism, and having some inclusivity in governance. Before we go, ambassador, you are an expert on russia. I think i would be more inclined to thorough belief the Secretary Of State if Russia And China had not already stepped up to the taliban and said, you know, we would like to do business with you. You have all kinds of things we can partner on, possibly help finance the rebuilding of your country, and by the way, there are some wonderful minerals in the ground that maybe we might be able to work out a deal on extracting. I think if that was not in play, maybe this assurance that the international community says it has from the taliban might feel meatier, but nations like Russia And China seem like theyre giving the taliban another way to be part of the community of nations. Thats a great point in the long run. And i dont think anybody should be so arrogant as to predict what afghanistan is going to look like in three to five years. I most certainly am not. In the short term, we need to get our people out. We need to get our allies out. And the statement that came out by the united states, signed by 97 other countries, holding the taliban accountable for getting those people out, and lets be clear about this. We are using the word leverage. Im not so sure its in the Talibans Interest to have these people left in their country either. Remember, it was isisk that attacked us, not the taliban. Why does the taliban want democracy and Human Rights Activists in their country . Actually, i think our interests in the short run are aligned. I just dont know what the plan is for getting those people out. Thats the part that i think is mysterious after August 31st. Major general dana petard, michael mcfaul, thank you both very much. Gulf coast hospitals are bracing for injuries after the storm even though theyre overwhelmed with covid patients. Two doctors on the front lines will join us, next. Im evies best camper badge. 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New orleans is in the middle of a severe outbreak. The Louisiana Department of health confirmed nearly 3500 new cases as of friday. Nearly 3,000 people are currently hospitalized statewide with covid. For more on how hospitals are coping, lets bring in dr. Durrani, an Emergency Medicine Physician in houston, and dr. Mark klein, physician in chief at Childrens Hospital New Orleans. Good to have you both with us. Dr. Klein, let me start with you. How are you all holding up this evening . Joshua, were doing pretty well, i think. Its been a long day. We have been locked down since about 7 00 this morning. That means that we have had a team of professionals, doctors, nurses, Respiratory Therapists and many others here in the hospital, taking care of patients and their families. And within the four walls of the building, activity has been very much sort of normal day to day type activity. Outside, of course, is another story. But everybody is working very hard and doing a good job. And i think that were in good shape tonight. Dr. Durrani, how much are doctors where you are preparing to receive perhaps overflow patients from the hurricane . We saw a lot of that in, say, Hurricane Katrina, where there were a number of people who fled west from louisiana into the houston metro area. How much are you expecting to see any kind of impacts from the storm where you are . Yeah, the unfortunate reality is because all of the hospitals are full, Louisiana Wasnt able to evacuate a lot of their critically ill Patients Inland or to neighboring states. What we are expecting to see is a lot of patients coming in from louisiana who may not have their Blood Pressure medications or their insulin and have out of Control Diabetes or high Blood Pressure and preparing for them to make sure that we can treat their conditions, make sure we stabilize them, and you know, try to keep them out of the hospitals, which are already full here in texas and elsewhere. Doctor, i want to make sure we dont glaze over the point youre making. Texas has gigantic medical centers. Texas medical center in houston, i mean, theres so much Hospital Bed Capacity in these gigantic complexes, that if they are full, they must be bursting at the seams with more people than they can handle. Absolutely. You know, in addition to working in houston, i work at some critical access hospitals and these hospitals are built to stabilize patients and transfer them to these tertiary care centers. We havent been able to do that. I worry about the same hospitals in louisiana seeing traumatic injuries and other downstream effects of the hurricane, and theyre going to be essentially stuck with these patients as well. Theyre going to stabilize them to the best of their ability, but theres going to be nowhere to transfer them. On a shift the other day, i was at one of these hospitals and we needed a lifesaving medicine, and we had a courier who brought it from houston. Its going to be unfortunately a tough few days. Dr. Klein, give me a sense of what youre expecting after the storm has passed. It seems like, and correct me if im wrong, youre dealing with covid cases where you have children who are dealing with long term issues. Possibly on ventilators, needing care until they come around. Then, as always happens after hurricanes, youre going to have a bunch of acute emergency cases. Physical injuries, you know, possibly people who have got, you know, Electrocution Injuries from downed Power Lines or people who slipped off roofs or who get waterborne diseases. It feels like youre going to deal with a Rouge Array of things all at once at the worst possible time. Yeah, you said it very well, joshua. You know, we will see the usual Garden Variety conditions that bring children to the Emergency Department and our outpatient clinics. Covid has been a big component of that over the past couple months. About 20 of the children that we see on an Outpatient Basis in Louisiana Today are covid positive. And then in addition, we will be seeing children who have been injured or who are ill in the aftermath of Hurricane Ida. You know, we literally saw no patients in our Emergency Department today because we were shut down. No one could come in or go out. But well see what happens in the ensuing days. I think its important to remind people that there are a lot of hazards out there in the aftermath of a hurricane, in addition to downed Tree Limbs and debris here and there, you have Power Lines to worry about and deep water in particular locations. And so we want people to shelter in place until the conditions are right. But even then, theyre going to have to be extremely cautious when they head out. Children in particular are going to be vulnerable to being injured under those circumstances. Before i have to let you go, dr. Klein, do you feel like the Citys Experience from dealing with Hurricane Katrina, Hurricane Laura last year, the storms that have happened since katrina, have made it more able to deal with this kind of multiheaded disaster than perhaps it might have been before katrina . I think so, joshua. You know, i wasnt here when katrina struck 16 years ago, but from what i can see, the infrastructure is far better today. Certainly, the Flood Prevention Infrastructure that the city and the region has, but also the infrastructure of the hospitals, and i think the state of readiness of the hospitals is considerably better today. I saw that in the Planning Phase leading up to this hurricane. So i have lived on the Gulf Coast and worked in houston and New Orleans for virtually my entire career, and i was quite impressed with the planning that the hospitals did. And i think that its been reflected in how things have turned out today. Oh, last few seconds, dr. Klein. Power has been steady where you are . You havent had any outages . So, we really have lost City Power entirely. Were working on Backup Generators right now. Im in kind of a makeshift area here. The Patient Care Areas are secure regarding power. The nonessential areas of the hospital are dark. Got you. Dr. Mark klein and dr. Durrani in houston. Thank you very much. Do stay safe. Bill karins is back to update us On Ida just ahead. Stay close. Most Bladder Leak pads were similar. Until always discreet invented a pad that protects differently. With two rapiddry layers. For strong protection, thats always discreet. Question your protection. Try always discreet. man my ex is dating a pisces. So im like, screw it. Lets talk manifesting. Lets talk chakras. Lets Talk Self healing my way through the 12th house. woman in van set your intentions. Man Sitting crystals up. woman full moon bath ritual. Cleanse and find your magic. 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Save 50 on the new Sleep Number 360 limited edition smart bed. Plus, 0 interest for 60 months. Ends monday. Welcome back. Were continuing to follow Hurricane Ida tonight. The storm is making its way off the gulf on track to reach Baton Rouge. Nbc Meteorologist Bill karins is back with one more update for us. Bill, i understand we have more advisories related to Flash Flooding to worry about. For the first time under a Flash Flood Emergency for the national weather service. They put that out for the new Orleans Area. Immediately, youre like uhoh, New Orleans under Flash Flood Emergency. The levees are fine. Its because of the heavy rainfall and the pumps are struggling in a few areas to keep up. That was expected. They said that leading up to this, if we get the anticipated foot of rain and the incredible rainfall rates, pumps might not be able to keep up. We had one inch of rain reported in the last hour at New Orleans international airport. Thats one of the reason, the torrential rain bands. The eye is just off the screen here, and thats Continueing The Feeder Bands right over the top of New Orleans. And thats why we have had the exceptional rainfall amounts over the last couple hours. That was expected. We were expecting around 6 00 p. M. The peak winds. Peak rainfall was supposed to be from earlier this evening through 2 00 a. M. Or 3 00 a. M. , and then the rainfall will hopefully begin to taper off. The eye is about to go over the top of reserve. Youre going to go through the eye. It has a gust of 75. Were still getting Hurricane Gusts out of this. Baton rouge, 45mileperhour winds. I think youre on the good side, the weaker side, i should say. And New Orleans, we just had a gust at 90 miles per hour. If thats true, that sensor is still working, that would be the strongest Wind Gust yet in the new Orleans Area. Thats at the airport. Thats pretty impressive. There still is Wind Damage being done. I was looking at one of the Energy Maps for New Orleans. I would say maybe 3 , 4 of the people still have power. Moe people now that The Sun has set, its dark, and of course, you lose your power, your Air Conditioning is no longer working. If you have been to New Orleans, that air is heavy and its thick. Its tropical air mass, obviously. So people are sitting there in their Beds Tonight looking at their phones hoping their batteries stay charged as long as they can, and yeah, its going to get humid and hot, and its not going to be pleasant. As the storm continues to go northward, well continue to watch that heavy rainfall threat, too. Along with it, the Tornado Threat. We havent had any reported tornadoes, but well see how that plays out throughout the night, all the way through mississippi, alabama, even a section of florida has a chance of getting tornadoes too, and that path will take it to mississippi. Were kind of getting to the point in the storm now, The Sun has set. Were not going to get any new video in. We have already see pictures of what people could gather, but our correspondents have only been able to look around their blocks. Storm chasers only got around a little bit. We dont know the extent of the damage yet. And a lot of people are fearful of what its going to look like. We have it kind of like a fog of war, the night, its not until tomorrow, maybe even Tomorrow Afternoon that we will get a good feel of just how Bad Ida was. I want to repeat, though, something you said in terms of the concern about Flash Flood warnings and we do not have any reports of any kind of damage that has sent water over levees. Theres different levels. Theyll give Flash Flood advisories and then Flash Flood warnings and then Flash Flood emergencies. Typically when they give a Flash Flood Emergency, it means dire, lifethreatening situation. Get out if you can. They cant get out. Hopefully youre in a safe spot, but thats the highest warning they can give to people. If people dont have power in New Orleans, theyre sitting there in their dark houses and their phones probably all beeped with this Flash Flood Emergency, and im sure it sent a lot of people into a Panic Thinking is it the levees. Its not, the pumps are just struggling right now. I just wanted to make sure we repeated that. Bill karins, you had a super long day. I appreciate you staying with us. Although some of the things we have been talking about with regard to the nature of the storm, we want to bring up with our next guest. Lets continue now with paul olrec, an associate professor of regional and global climate modeling at the university of california davis. Professor, welcome to the program. Hi, joshua. Pleasure to be here. Some of what we have been discussing has had to do with the dramatic nature of the storm, the way it has formed. Its ability to retain its cohesion. Hours and hours after making landfall. What do you see when you look at Hurricane Ida . Does anything stand out to you . Hurricane ida is a really impressive storm. Its yet another reminder, i think, of the Fury Nature can throw at us. We got a little lucky in some cases when it comes to Hurricane Ida. Its fortunate its passing to the west, i would say, rather than to the east like Hurricane Katrina did. And as a consequence, were probably going to be seeing less damage and less topping of the levees like we did during katrina as well. But theres a lot to worry about what were seeing with ida as well. The Rain Rates are intense. And i think thats been kind of a key story when it comes to ida. To the amount of precipitation thats coming off this beast is outstanding. How concerned are you in terms of the motential for it to spin off tornadoes . Its a good question, i would say. With ida, and its really difficult in order to predict with absolute certainty as to where and when perhaps those tornadoes may be coming off. I would say that people just need to be careful in this case. This has been a busy season. Even with ida in the gulf, there is tropical depression ten. Theres tropical Storm Julian that just formed. Theres another disturbance that is off the coast of the carolinas, whether or not thats going to materialize remains to be seen, but it seems like the tropics are as active as we expected. What do you see in terms of the longer term trends . The year to year trends of what our Hurricane Seasons are looking like . So theres been a lot of work done on what to expect into the future when it comes to these hurricanes, as well as looking to the past. The overall trends and the frequency of hurricanes are often difficult to pick out because we have so theres so many variabilities on a year to year basis, and a lot is connected to just natural oscillations that exist within the climate system. Into the future, though, we do have pretty high confidence in terms of what to expect from our atlantic hurricane season. Were expecting more intense storms. Were expecting a lot more precipitation from those storms. But there is some indication as well that maybe in terms of total number of storms we might see a slight decrease in the overall frequency even while we see an increase of the more intense storms. So more rain from the storms. More intense storms, but just fewer incidents of it. How much of this, and i dont know if we can suss this out yet, but how much would we attribute to Climate Change as opposed to, as you mentioned, those normal oscillations . The sort of normal periods of storms being more intense for a while, less intense for a while. Whats the balance of each as best we can tell . So to date, we had about one Degree Celsius of total global temperature rise, and we have seen that reflected pretty clearly in terms of these Gulf Of Mexico temperatures. And that contributes to about one would expect 7 to 10 in terms of the overall Mean Change of precipitation. However, if you look at certain special cases, things like hurricane harvey, because of how it stalled and sat over top of houston, you basically got about 30 to 40 increase in precipitation from what we would have anticipated without Climate Change. In the case of hurricane florence, we saw probably about a 10 increase in total amount of precipitation. When it comes to Hurricane Ida, i wouldnt be surprised if it is pretty much in the 10 to 20 increase compare today preindustrial. Before i let you go, for people who live along the Gulf Coast, who see the increasing intensity of these storms but hope, believe, pray, have their fingers crossed that they can still make this area their home, that this area will remain habitable for at least some of the foreseeable future, what would you say to them . We just have to be really careful, particularly when it comes to the coast. We are seeing Sea Level rise. We have seen eight incheses of Sea Level rise already. To date because of Climate Change, and were going to see more and more Storm Surge, more intense storms coming in and more rainfall. With Precipitation And Water responsible for 90 of the fatalities associated with any sort of hurricane event, you need to be really careful when it comes to being around the water. And as long as we have infrastructure were building up and as long as were adapting and paying attention to these trends, then we can hopefully stay on top of it. But i personally wouldnt be buying any coastal Real Estate right now. Uc davis Professor Paul ulric, we appreciate your insights. Well check in with reporters in louisiana when our special coverage of Hurricane Ida continues. For what you need. Sorry . Limu, youre an animal only pay for what you need. Liberty. Liberty. Liberty. Liberty. Ice cream is like whooping cough, its not just for kids. Whooping cough is highly contagious for people of any age. And it can cause violent uncontrollable coughing fits. Ask your Doctor Or Pharmacist about whooping Cough Vaccination because its not just for kids. vo at tmobile for business, unconventional thinking ask your Doctor Or Pharmacist about whooping Cough Vaccination means we see things differently, so you can focus on what matters most. Whether its ensuring food arrives as fresh as when it departs. Being first on the scene, when every second counts. Or teaching biology without a lab. We are the leader in 5g. 1 in customer satisfaction. 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One, two one, two, three only pay for what you need with customized Car Insurance from Liberty Mutual nothing rhymes with Liberty Mutual. Only pay for what you need. Liberty. Liberty. Liberty. Liberty. Baaam. Internet that doesnt Miss A beat. Thats cute, but my internet streams to my ride. Adorable, but does yours Block Malware . Nope. It crushes it. Pshh, mines so fast, No One can catch me. Big Whoop Mine gives me a 4k streaming box. For free thats because you all have the same internet. Xfinity xfi. So powerful, it keeps oneupping itself. Can your internet do that . Tonight 12k3w4r50eu6r7b8g9sdz. Rescue crews are on the tpwroupbd but officials say it could take up to three days to reach some of the affected aeurb kwrauz. Joining us now is david mitchell, a reporter for the Baton Rouge advocate. I am seeing a tweet from the mayor saying that theres preventative work being done to close the underpass and asking people to use Emergency Routes for hospitals and looks like the city is trying to do the last bits of shoring up it can before ida gets there . Yeah, thanks for having me. Thats one of the more wellknown areas, and we have under passes that tends to flood when it rains hard and thats probably a Lastminute Move they are making before things start getting flooded. We have seen people making preparations for the last several days, and i cant tell you how many times we have heard the words hunker down the last few days, and category 4 gets peoples attention. Baton rouge, we have been watching the storm come at us all day. Were now starting to really feel it. I am sitting here at my house, and you may not be able to hear it on tv, but its blowing outside. I dont know how hard it is, but it sounds hard. Tell us about Baton Rouge, and people know about New Orleans, but not Baton Rouge, and are there areas that are of particular concern because of ida where theres being extra work being done to shore them up and protect then and get them evacuated, that the city is putting extra attention on . Baton rouge, even though its on the river, a majority of the city drains into something called the amy river, which is a smaller river to the east. The city is also grown in that direction, and you have a lot of development in low lying areas where all the water also drains, so that has been an ongoing sort of Policy Conflict about where to build and how to drain with infrastructure, and we had a significant flood here in 2016 that caused extensive flooding not only in Baton Rouge and that stirred up how do we grow and how do we plan for that . Another storm like this, frankly, is giving people bad ptsd from 2016 because of how devastating that flooding was for us. We have not quite seen a lot of rain, at least not in Baton Rouge, and we have not seen a lot but the meteorologists have promised we are going to get it and it remains to be seen how significant that flooding will be. We have Housing And Development in low lying areas that could be affected by high water basins, and that could be the Area Watch as it rains in hard hit areas. What about covid . How hard has that hit Baton Rouge and how has that factored into the Relief Effort after the storm is gone . Well, we had a pretty severe fourth wave in Baton Rouge, really in the entire state. Some of that was due to low vaccination rates, frankly, and that has affected the hospitals, and we have had Hospital Officials all over the state urging people to get vaccines for weeks if not months, and were starting to come off that peak and its coming down, and the governor said today that that has dropped, and capacity in hospitals are at a real alltime high and they dont have the a lot of room to work with if theres a lot of injuries because of the hurricane, and if we had social distancing we have shelters and people are being told they have to be social distancing and masked up, and they have to make the best of it because they need shelter, and it complicates things in a lot of ways, and rescues and stuff like is that a whole other dimension. I can only imagine. Mr. Mitchell, thank you for making time for us and please stay safe. Ali velshi will join me next here on msnbc. Feel the power of contrast therapy, so you can rise from pain. I suffered with psoriasis for so long. 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