A third wave is expected around October or November. It is expected that during the probable third wave, rural and young population are likely to get affected more. LUDHIANA: As the number of daily cases is witnessing a drop in Ludhiana, an analysis by Christian Medical College and Hospital (CMCH) indicates that the district has crossed Covid peak around May 15 and cases are expected to come down drastically by June end subject to people following Covid norms. The projections have been made by preventive and social medicine department of CMCH, said a doctor on conditions of anonymity. He added that projections are based on recent available data.