Were done with the chaos, the anger, the hate, the failure, the refusal to take any responsibility. The president seeking reelection during the worst covid outbreak yet. Its killing me inside. Im kind of broken. Im broken. And my colleagues are broken. With cases now approaching 100,000 a day. Is it no matter how you look at, its not good news. Plus, our final nbc news wall street journal poll just out on where the race stands with 48 hours to go. This morning well get reports from our four battleground states who could win the election, and on the chances the election could be decided by lawsuits and from our pollsters on the latest numbers on whether we could see another Election Night shocker. Join egg me for insight and analysis are nbc White House Correspondent kristen welker, nbc news correspondent kasie hunt, rich lowry, editor of National Review and former democratic senator claire mccaskill. Will to sunday and a special election edition of meet the pres press. From nbc news, the longestrunning show in television history, this is meet the press with chuck todd. Good morning from our headquarters right here at Rockefeller Center in new york city. Ment were amid the strangest election of our life time, fought amid the dangerous pandemic during a century will finally come to an end. Or will it . Yes, on tuesday millions will go to the polls to either reelect President Trump or make him a onetermfavorite of president biden. Not only because we dont know who will win and 92 million all right voted and some battleground states count early votes very, very slow and late, we dont know when were going to know who wins. But heres what we do now, our final nbc news wall street journal completed overnight shows joe biden leading President Trump by 10 30i79s over registered voters 5rks 2 42. That 10point spread is the biggest for any president ial candidate in our poll at this late stage since bill clintons reelection in 1996. For those of you with dreams or nightmares about a 2016 repeat, it is worth noting, our last poll four years ago showed Hillary Clinton with a shrinking fourpoint lead. It was 44 40 on this morning four years ago. That was down from a 10point lead and more importantly clintons 44 number left a whole lot of undecideds in a campaign where far fewer early votes had been banked. Remember, all of this is happening amid a coronavirus pandemic that resulted in the u. S. In more than 9 million cases, it has taken 232,000 lives and counting so far. And not only isnt it rounding the corner, it is at his highest peak yet. And with midwestern battleground states being hit particularly hard in this moment. Yesterday President Trump, joe biden and their running mates were all across the battleground making their Closing Arguments. We win pennsylvania, we win it all. You know that, right . It here in michigan, where the right to vote is the most fundamental right. The road to victory goes right through the tar heel state florida is going to determine in every way who will be the next president. If biden wins, youre going to have a stock market collapse the likes which you never had. He says he paid an income tax of 750. He knew how to game the system. Guess what, mr. President , im coming for you joe biden says were in for a long, dark winter. President trump said were going to distribute the vaccine, were going to defeat the virus. His Closing Argument this week is that the press and people are too focused on covid. Co covid19 i covid19, covid, covid hes complaining. People are focused on too much. Zblf youre right. A lot of people call that treason. Well see what happens. Everybody knows who donald trump is. Lets show him who we are this morning were going to take a look at four battleground states, all of which President Trump won in 2016 and all of which he will likely to have win again if he wants to keep his job. We will begin with the mother of all battleground, my home state of florida, where president ial elections are often decided already. More than 4 Million People voted today in florida and today is the big of the last day of early vote. Total of 9. 4 million voted in the states so they may surpass that total today. Our latest nbc news marist poll out just days ago had joe biden with a fourpoint lead in which we know can disappear immediately. Ellison barber is standing for us in miami. It is miamidade, not a swing county, it does seem to be the giggest battlegrou biggest battleground between the two campaigns. Hey, check, it is the last day of early voting. We have a plane flying over us. If polls are right, its going to be a nailbiert in the state. We are in Miamidade County at a polling site in deerl. We spoke to independent voters who have have said they voted for joe biden. We spoke to people who said they voted for donald trump. You can see here this is the voting line. Normally it would be a lot longer but its not that long right now and that probably has a lot to do with the fact over 60 of registered voters in miamidade have already cast their ballots. If President Trump is going to win this state, he needs to beat his margins and his best hope for doing that is is with the help of cuban and venezuelan voters. Kbooid hopes to get his voters to the polls. Democrats outpace republicans in absentee ballots in the state of florida but Florida Republicans are actually outpacing democrats when it comes to inperson early voting. That was not the case in 2016. But today is souls pot polls and and democrats are hoping, praying if you will, to shift the early numbers. Chuck . Allison, its a reminder for us nobody ever wins florida the same way twice. Up next, bordering state of georgia, a state democrats carried just once in the last president eight president ial cycles but one party believe its biden who has the slight edge now going into election day. More than 4 million casts in georgia compared to 4 million cast total four years ago. And they have biden up by just a point and a half and it maekz georgia a true tossup state. It is where we find blayne alexander. Shes in atlanta. Really, it is about atlanta turnout and distant suburbs. What do you tell us, blayne . Just the fact were even talking about the sate of georgia now tells us how much things changed in this once reliably red state. President trump won the state of georgia in 2016 by five points without making a single stop here once he became the partys official nominee. Now were seeing the president twice in the peach state in the final three weeks of this campaign, including a stop today. Now, on the democratic side were seeing a stop from senator kamala harris. Also told and tomorrow former president barack obama will be in atlanta and all of this comes on the heels of joe bidens appearance here just last week. So, chuck, in addition to all of these Closing Arguments though, were going to be watching closely to see exactly how georgia actually handles this election. Remember, the last time we saw georgians head to the polls was during the june primary, thats when we saw people waiting in line, outside in the rain for hours casting their ballot and many of the early voters i spoke to this time around say that was a big reason they came out early this time. That coupled with Stacey Abrams narrow defeat for governor in 2018. They say they want to make sure theres enough time to trouble shoot, as they say, to say if they come into issues with technology and long lines, they can work that out and have their vote count. As if all of that wasnt enough, this year georgia has not one but two u. S. Senate seats up for grabs and democrats are hoping to flip them both, chuck. Blayne alexander, ill tell you, if georgia does turn blue, i had somebody say it is not hype, Stacey Abrams will deserve credit there. Anyway, something to watch for tuesday night. Lets move up the atlantic coast. Were going to turn to North Carolina, which democrats have won just once since jimmy carter took it in 1976. At this point more than 4 Million People voted in North Carolina, it is not far off from the 4. 7 million votes cast in total in the state four years ago. In fact when all of todays totals are put in, its likely North Carolina will have already passed that total. Our last nbc news marist poll had biden leading President Trump by six points among likely voters. It was a big spread. We are seeing late other polls are finding similar results s morgan shaw is standing by live in North Carolina. Morgan, does joe biden have momentum at the end . He absolutely has momentum, chuck. To be clear, simply put, North Carolina is the state to watch. Theres no one but two important races to shift the balance of power not only in the state but also in the country. One, you have the president s race. North carolina is essentially a mustwin state if President Trump wants to stay in the white house. Its a state he won by less than four points, less than 200,000 votes in 2016. Chuck, right now hes slipping amongst support with the very people who put him there. Suburban voters, women voters, College Educated voters and those are exactly the voters who joe biden are going after right now. Those who may perhaps be disillusioned with the president and particularly is handling of the coronavirus pandemic. Chuck, i have to tell you, theres probably no one who needs North Carolina more than senator chuck schumer. This one of the critical swing states the democrats are hoping to flip in their quest for three states that can put them back in the balance of power. Right now you have a vulnerable incumbent republican who is now being edged out in the polls by a democratic challenger. Chuck, this is now on track to be the most expensive u. S. Senate race in history. That is now surpassing the 2018 record held by florida. In all of this, chuck, were wondering is how is it going to affect the state of play in a state where already 4 1 2 Million People have cast their ballots and well have a lot of data on Election Night but november 12th is the date to watch because thanks to a latebreaking Supreme Court decision, that is the date by which all of these mailin ballots must be counted. Chuck . In an extraordinarily close election, november 12th becomes then the second election deadline, if you will. Morgan radford in North Carolina, putting it well when it comes to the battle for the senate as well. Finally, its pennsylvania. Pennsylvania, once of the three blue wall states. Michigan and wish wiconsin and number two. They all fell in 2016, giving mr. Trump the presidency. Right now pennsylvania appears to be the closest of the three rust belt states. The New York Times seattle poll has biden up 6 points, 49 43, pretty consistent in the other states. And were in a part of the state now that the president has to overperform in to overcome joe bidens lead. Mara, what do you got . Chuck, pennsylvania still could be anyones game. In the seven months i have spent here i met farmers and manufacturing workers who want to support the president even while acknowledging his trade war hasnt helped so much but suburban women are tired of trumps rhetoric and black democratic voters are working to engage those in their communities that didnt show up back in 2016. Thats why we saw President Trump make four stops here yesterday, playing into his conservative rural base. Republicans feel very confident about their 21 added Voter Registration advantage but democrats still hold the overall lead in this state. Joe biden working to cut into President Trumps margins, especially in the suburbs and hes been majorly outspending the president here in pennsylvania. Biden will be in philadelphia today working to engage voters while President Trump coming back to northeast pennsylvania tomorrow in the final days ahead of election day. Chuck . Maura bennett in pennsylvania, where if were waiting for pennsylvania and waiting for that vote count to determine the presidency, some might argue that means its already been a good night for donald trump. If joe biden wins, we may look back at three moments as key to his success. Theres congressman james clyburns endorsement that sent him on his way in South Carolina and on super tuesday wrapped up the nomination. There was President Trumps trip and photoop on st. Johns church june 1. And then the president s disastrous performance in the first debate. All three were seismic polling shifts that became durable after the shift. If the president wins, it will largely be because hes a dedicated and durable base that is large and well positioned enough to snag an Electoral College victory even when mr. Trump loses the popular vote. Joining me are our two pollsters, who have been up all night, were not making that up, crunching the numbers, joe macon and jeff pohorwitt. We told you the numbers at the top, its 10 points. But we want to focus on the virus because if theres movement in the poll, its over the virus, bill and jeff. Weve been tracking, most important issue dealing with the virus and economy and intertwining, do you focus more on the virus over the economy or economy over the virus . Midoctober economy had an eightpoint edge. The economy still has a eightpoint edge but its now just three points. Is this the midoctober surprise, particularly with independent voters the virus the surprise . I dont think numbers are changing, chuck. Among the numbers you say coronavirus is the most important issue, theyre overwhelmingly voting for joe biden by almost 80 points but among people who pick economy, theyre voting for trump by 85 points. You will see the coronavirus number didnt shift. But their question, if the coronavirus magically never happened, this would be a very different election with a very different economy and very different structure for the incoming president. Jeff horwitt, look, were reminded, we learned a lot about National Polling versus battleground state polling. We have a tenpoint lead. In the battleground states, we have biden with a smaller sixpoint lead. The question a lot of people are going to simply ask, can trump overcome that skix points and when the Electoral College . Its going to be very hard and its going to be very hard for a couple of reasons. One is unlike 2016 this is really a referendum on donald trump. We had four years of a trump presidency. We know what it is like. Weve see r seen it. We have lived through it. For the first three years wep woder what an unconventional president , how he would address the crisis not in his own making. As far as his presidency, we know. The verdict is not good when we have 40 who can prove the job hes doing and handling covid19. And then the other thing is the numbers really have been stable in terms of the ten points now, 11 and 14 after the debates. Theres been no movement to suggest donald trump is making ground. The last point is joe biden. Joe biden is knelt positive. His personal ratings improved over time, which was not the case in 16, while donald trump remains net negative. I want to put up a couple of other democratic splits, bill. First we have whites with College Degrees and whites without College Degrees, this has been a split. Weve been tracking four years. You can see the split here, 21point edge for the president among whites without a college degree. A 15point edge from joe biden. But lets go through the age groups here quickly. Biden dominating among 18 to 34, thats not surprising. Middleaged groups are very tight with the president with a light edge among 35 to 49 and 50 to 64. But its 65plus, bill, that suddenly is 19point edge, which was a bit of a spike from some of our previous polling. Yeah, look, there are volatile groups but i think the other thing to look at is who has not voted . Among 310 people who say they have not voted yet, theyre voting for donald trump by almost 30 points and the states to look at, you focus the right thing, white, noncollege, look at the states with huge numbers of white noncollege who have not yet voted. Pennsylvania, michigan, ohio and wisconsin. And this election is going to come down to those states again and just like weve seen historic early vote, i think were going to see historic volt. The other thing to remember like 04, like 2012, those are two incumbent races, bush and obama, where you give smart people a lot of time and a lot of money to change the composition of the electorate. The Republican Party has done a good job registering new people in these states and they devoted a year to try to increase turnout in rural and nonwhite college in these states and i think these states will get very, very close. Theres certainly evidence of it, particularly in florida for what weve been able to track. Jeff, let me end with this and its something you and bill talk about all the time and its the importance of the job rating number, foreign incumbent president , because it gives you a hand what the ballot number will be. To put up the graphic here, you can see going back to 1984, just the reelections, reagans reelect Approval Rating 58, reelection percentage, 59 . George w. Bush 36 37. Bill clinton bit more of a gap because of a threeway race, 34 49. Most two recent reelections 49 job approva