is "the ingraham angle". my ankle moments. first come up with 5 months into election day not every ball that comes out is meticulously dissected. diss we lays with momentum is. this time around we seen trump looking umlostrong in bowl afte pole. but, a few preset servers including one from us here at fox shows the race title. triggered some wishful thinking rr quarters.some >> big shift among independent voters can signal subdued momentum for president biden. >> repulsive just a tight raceh. this one shows momentum. >> better news that martin has had in months. >> this underscores the party campaigns theory of the case here which is that as people start to dial-in they would find trump less and less appealing. >> for they start making plans for the second prided inaugural let's break this down. look at heak athings in some co. first, even with the latest polls factored in, trump is still leading the national rcp average albeit slightly.this is important. remember back in june 2016 trump was wabehind in the rcp average by almost 6 points. of course he went on to owin. in june 2020 though, prided was ahead and the average by 9.5 points. the fact that trump is still leading at this inpoint is a massive shift from what we seen before. i did is also relying on the women vote to solidify his pack to victory. his current standing among women is the weakest lead democrat hascr had since 2004. see bush went on to win that. another key point. while national polls are very interesting, it's fun to dissect them. the 2024 election like the wi last likely come down to a handful of swing states. today, new emersonme bowl is fantastic news for trump. he's currently up for points in arizona and georgia, 3 in nevada and wisconsin, 2 in pennsylvania, one point michigan, tied in liberal minnesota. yes, minnesota. >> is not that donald trump is winning so big in iowa. that's all the story. is that he's making it close in minnesota. it evokes democrats and every te present residential campaigns apocryphal. i seek trump within 2 or 3 points in minnesota. i don't think the media understands exactly what is a degoing on right now. yes, trump dropped a few points after being found guilty . that would've destroyed any candidate. the fact that donald trump is still tmp ieven with orbits of asleading joe biden after being found guilty of 34 felonies. my god. >> by the way that pains frank to say this.he's not a big fan of trumps. he's honest e honehere. course no matter what the polls say, trump knows he has to do what he has to do which is fight for every single vote. he needs to keep going to these evcities about thesesi democrat strongholds, preach a america first gospel with optimism. listen to voters concerns of the sameime. time. people want cheaper gas, they want cheaper groceries, they want more money in the pockets and it's time for trump to perhaps, i don't know, resurrect the old theme song. ♪money money, money money. this is what the american eypeople care about. the portable unassailable truth is 3 and half years with divided in the white house has left americans, half of americans struggling to ggstay where they are financially. everyone's paddling trying to stay above water. no wonder prided doesn't want to talk about his record. he wants us instead with this apparatchiks to wallow in the images of january 6 or the hush money conviction because they know that trump's record as president delivered strength at home and abroad. during this doubt is capital theory, chairman of o'leary ventures. kevin, again, people get stuck on well it's about democracy or someone's tone or the way someone talks about the press ssor whether he is nice to cats and puppies. is this election again about the economy. >> it is, but it's more about the future than the past. some of the issues are just t detailed or historic in nature in some cases long forgotten. the challenge for the administration currently is that inflation is really hurt on food prices. there 30 percent since pre-pandemic on housing energy. that's not going away. for the average american doesn't come the stock martin is doing it's a big debate. foreign igaffairs every day in the news whether your pro or con whichever side. these are big debate issues. i think we should buthinaddress 5000 elephants in the room. this debate, i don't understand why it's happening. if i were biden and the polls are closing i wouldn't do this debate. i would even take the risk. unless he's very sharp andt, it this could be very costly. i think that's what people are talking about. given humane default in anyways because you can vote against trump if you don't like him and i get that. you're an independent 'tikdolineedlelike trump and yo for biden. biden has a lot of guts to do this. team biden must be saying we gotta show up and we gotta perform. we've got to be really clear and precise and sharp on that debate. >> may take issue with something you thasaid. but it has a lot of guts to do this. i think it's only card they have to play. when franklin's was absolutely arden never trumper, he tries to smooth itum over. he's 8 never trumper, it's fine. when he's talking as a pollster about minnesota and others seeing maine and virginia and new york state tightening to eat points. the state that biden won handily double digits in 2020. that'sth big and biden has got change them. i don't think they had any choice except to do this debate. his strategists aren't dumb people. tty smt.they are pretty smart. >> you may be right. i ran into him in washington. i still say why? >> because he's gonna lose if he doesn't do it. >> you gotta perform that night. you gotta be sharp. you gotta bring it. if you don't bring it that's going to really be bad. d'tgoy >> well, i think people thought about this. it's not a novel point. expectations of biden are quite low. i'm going to get into this next segment because i have a wholee debate advice angle coming out. expectations for him are quite low. i want to get back to this point , kevin about what matter to people right now. matters? is january 6? is it the economy? is it how much money they have to spend every month just to get by? it seems like that j because th new monmouth pole b& go ahead. >> i will rank them for you. inflation, number one. inflation no2, inflation number 3. you cut a deal with those first. then there's border security, then there's foreign affairs and everything else. if you're the kitchen table and champagne in illinois. you don't care a anything that you getting squeezed by 30 percent increases in protein. by 20 percent increases in energy. i housing is unaffordable. that's it. that's what matters. that's what the debate is about. everything else interesting. not as important. >> i think when you looked at real median income. familiest mpraoofaes wages in t years under trump. i was takeout coven because it was a once-in-a-lifetime nightmare for yeamerica. for the first time had a very long time blue-collar wages were rising. there are a lot of people run big companies in united states. they don't necessarily like that. they like the never float, never ending flow of cheap labor in the country. that was good news to middle america. also kevin, to lirpo a immigran. they have little money in their pocket. it felt good and they could maybe quantification everyone that with their families. which a lot of people can't do right now. that was then, this isat w tn e. i did doesn't want to talk about that comparison. he can't i. >> i'm sure trump will. you're buying power has been eroded by 30 percent. there's no getting around it. inflation always hurts the incumbent. you don't want to in an election year. you do not want inflation. it's one thing that touches people every single inthday. they buy the bread, they buy the chicken, the go fill up their car. they pay their rent. yolamb. you fill it. you can't get away from it. that i think is going to be the noissue.ne election how these candidates talk a little bit about how they're gonna solve this problem. s that will be interesting. this debate will be watched by more people than the legendary hillary clinton /trump debate. i'm rolling out the carpets. where do the popcorn. we've got gas coming. this is good to be the show. it's good to be a very, very'so large ãa massive cohort watching this. it's can be huge. it's each candidates chance to address the dependence will decide the selection. this is the show of the season. it's good to be shark tank ratings i can tell you that. >> kevin, do you think this big announcement that melinda gates, one of the richest people in the world supporting biden?un is that really the message they want out there to connect with the regular working class people? or does not solidify they lived in a bubble and they don't care how bad the economy is. it doesn't matter tobay? b her. >> no, she would be better off to give every independent voter $4200 that they lost and buying power since january 1. that would've been better. that would've been way better. >> i love that. that is good kevin. great to see you as always. as kevin said that big debate showdown is one week from today. my advice to trump coming up next. - [narrator] life with ear ringing sounded like a constant train whistle i couldn't escape. then i started taking lipo flavonoid. with 60 years of clinical experience, it's the number one doctor recommended brand for ear ringing. and now i'm finally free. take back control with lipo flavonoid. norman, bad news... i never graduated from med school. what? -but the good news is... xfinity mobile just got even better! now, you can automatically connect to wifi speeds up to a gig on the go. plus, buy one unlimited line and get one free for a year. i gotta get this deal... i know... faster wifi and savings? ...i don't want to miss that. that's amazing doc. mobile savings are calling. visit xfinitymobile.com to learn more. >> debating joe biden. doc? thus the focus of tonight's angle. i've been thinking a lot about next week's cnn presidential debate. what both sides will attempt to do to convince those voters they deserve another term. well, first as we previously noted, the fact that this is happening sorely it's just further confirmation that fthe biden camp knows he's in a hole and he needs to turn the tide is adjusted to kevin o'leary. the stakes for him couldn't be higher. >> this is the entire election as far as i'm concerned. biden goes out there and messes up it's game ifss over. if he walks out and a week later he's lower in the polls it's panic in the party. >> second, the's panra fact tru agreed so quickly to the timing and the format tells us he's confident about winning.>> they said were going to do a debate we like to challenge you to a debate. they didn't want me to accept. they didn't think i was gonna do it. they thought i wouldeyid say i inwouldn't do it because he and his fake nose. you will see immediately if it is or not. i will debate 3 people instead of one half of aea person. >> if you think former president trumps all spaces that you think think jake tapper reminded people then you been sleeping for the passover years. >> president trump lives in anl atmosphere of disinformation, false information. >> insults and outright lies. that's what we heard from donald trump at iowa this weekend. >> now bash and taber so far in the dc bubble there obviously just frustrated when trump leads biden on key issues. >> us and affairs, israel gaza. trump has an advantage. if you look at the israel gaza question the fact want trump has a 20 point advantage in michigan. i mean, the world is upside downdown. >> the world is upside down. no people have eyes and ears. it's because for them the world only makes sense, democracy only works when joe biden is reelected and literacy trump as hitler. >> dehumanizing rhetoric of adolf hitler is once again alive and well on the national political stage. this time given life by former president and current republican presidential front-runner donald trump. >> keep in mind of the moderators are. it's more wimportant part in t trump handles these 90 minutes well. the complaint about how pious they are. they'll note theirbi help biden and hurt you. sometimes arise smile is better than showing the world that news anchors can actually get under yourly g skin. i simple advice, debate. don't take the bait. the democrats have been stupid enough to tell everyone what the campaign strategy amigis. >> one of the key goals for biden heading into next week showdown is trying to paint his opponent, donald trump, as a divisive and chaotic figure who is unfit to serve in the office of the presidency. >> keep your cool, no matter what. don't give them what they lwan. if trump maintains his composure and doesn't step into their traps is going to win handily. remember his reaction after winning iowa? >> working to rebuild our cities of work with the democrats to do it. i will be glad to work with the people of new york. written work with the people in chicago and la. working to rebuild our cities.im >> i was standing there and i was like yes, good on him for doing that. when pressed on whether he will support a never trump larry hogan and his senate bid. >>about the party and about the country and i would like to see him win. >> so you are endorsing him? >> nobody's asked me that but essentially i would be endorsing him. yeah.>> is also letting bygones be bygones with nikki haley as a well. last weekend in detroit, well, a picture is worth a thousand words. african-american voters see a republican according there events for change of the big issues. they're not doing it by cheap pandering. the caricature that chris returned to paint donald trump with begins to melt away. substance, results, i will record opening money in people's pockets with a strong economy of course. it pays off big time for trump. remember, trump is really is funny. >> i just got this and somebody handed it to me and not as a joke. i said anybody have any tick tax? the guy said yeah, i have one. look at the size that sucker. thatthis is called biden tick t. this cost more money than the one that was like 10 times bigger. this is inflation. >> even with no live audience situation. take a few opportunities to make the tv audience which is going to be very big laugh. we all need to laugh. by the same token, if at the end of the.n debate a lot of t was spent on the 2020 election, january 6 or judge mershon, agoften break or run a phyllis. i think democrats at least will consider that a significant win for them. they know biden is weak. this is not to she say the weaponization of government is not a huge issue. it is a big issue. it's not what's driving voters to the polls. i'm quickly dispense with that. i could see tapper may be asking trump something like, sir, is a convicted felon there's a possibility you may be sentenced to prison and other cases down the road. how does that make you fit fors the residency,, sir? no that this type of question will be asked and one kedthing. well, don't get trump to try to get trump to lose his cool. that's why that question is being beasked. again, trump doesn't need to take theke t bait. now, on their convicted felon point. it's ugly say, will jake most people see these cases is driven by politics. and they know that i decided not to run for office ofneouagain none of them would've been brought. setting that aside we believe we have a strong appeal in the new york case and we expect to win that appeal. and mostveno americans, jake, h no time to follow the minute details of these cases they are too busy trying to figure out how to pay their grocery bills and mortgage because of joe biden. their wages jake, are keeping up with winflation. joe biden's inflation. biden's open border fence maddox keeping wages low with millions of new immigrants flooding into our cities and towns they believe that is the answer. under my ministration, wages and family income were up good when i left office inflation jake, was at 1.4 percent. always privet to what matters most for the regular people watching. it's about them. what they are most worried auth about. red and butter issues. inflation, the economy, the border appeared trump beats biden on all 3 issues. he should stick toree issu thos. but i didn't doesn't know the names of the victim's of his border invasion. that's another huge issue appeared trump should and he already does. when the debate wraps the moderators and brightest people, they want their primalm moments. they want to seentrump trump la out losing his cool. if trump sticks to comparing his record to biden's and also forecast what biden is going to do if he gets another 4 years including getting us into a war with russia. joe will be the one who start buttering by the end and lashing out. the moderators, what will they do then? it will be left with little more than tonight, 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biden 's administration will say. it comes to racial will. >> hearts break for the children, the families, the love ones, theon friends of the individual who was murdered. the thwoman, the mother appeare. >> when you hear rachel refer to as the individual. by the t secretary of homeland security. what is your reaction? >> my reaction is it's a completely political statement. because they're not even willing to acknowledge that she was a female. that she was a mother, a daughter. it totally to personalizes her. makes her an object. >> no, we reach out to dhs before the interview with rachel's mother, patty, asked why marcus wouldn't say her daughter'sdaey name. they finally got back to us today with a general note about not commenting on ongoing criminal investigations. the ended it with, our hearts go out to rachel moran's familys. okay. that's too little, too late. the party shown their true colors. have you heard from any official in the biden administration about your daughter and your loss? ma