secretary pete buttigieg is holding a news conference with improving air travel this week. 30 million are expected to fly. >> carley: prosecutors want it back in place, trump team arguing it violets his freedom of speech. >> todd: and president biden will celebrate his 81st birthday at the white house. he will host the turkey pardon. you are watching "fox and friends first" on monday morning, i'm todd piro. >> carley: i'm carley shimkus. brand new poll shows donald trump beating joe biden for the first time in nbc news polling history. alexandria hoff will break it down. >> alexandria: this is first time in a dozen polls conducted by nbc. 44% said they would vote for president biden if election would today, 46% would vote for the former president. voters 18 to 34. former president held 4% advantage 46 to 42. 63 years younger than president biden, born in 1942, things were different back then. in the throws of world war ii, mo movie casablanca. gallon of gaffses $.20. biden campaign is facing heat, particularly from donors. the report notes supports pushing the campaign to equal age equals wisdom. former president trump is 77 years old, concern is not age alone. the poll shows deep dissatisfaction of handling of foreign policy approval rating is down to 33%. >> carley: happy birthday to president biden, your polling is bad and people will call you old all day. >> todd: a house was less than $4000, insanity, that was my time to shine, i got stuck here. >> carley: the war in israel, idf says it has taken out three hamas company commanders as biden administration makes it sound like we are getting closer to a hostage deal. >> mr. president, when will more hostages get out? [indiscernible] -- >> i believe we are closer than we have been in quite sometime to getting this deal done. >> todd: trey yingst live on the ground in southern israel, trey. >> trey: good morning, israeli forces operate in gaza city and over the weekend released new information about al-shifa hospital and hamas activity. israelis releasing video of hostages being taken into the hospital on morning of october 7. the revelation raising new quest questions,a amid ground fighting. overnight israeli military and security agency released new video of the tunnel. the tunnel found under the hospital is 30 feet deep and turns into another tunnel with a blast door. israelis expect to find more around this area. idf pushing deeper below gaza city, there are regional concern about iran and proxies climbing escalation ladder. on sunday a cargo ship was hijacked. it had no israeli citizens onboard. developments over the weekend, not even noting northern part of israel with dozens of rockets fired by hezbollah that continue to get involved in this fight. >> carley: trey yingst live in southern israel. thank you. back at home, former president donald trump landed major new endorsement. we need donald j trump back as our president of the united states of america. >> carley: border security could play a role in gop primary. >> todd: did you see this? >> they do. vikings bring the heat again. caught for a touchdown by sutton. >> todd: broncos, fighting dana perino's. looking at highlights from sunday's biggest games when "fox and friends first" rolls along. ♪ 18 years from tonight, grant gill will become a legend. when he totally kills it at his improv class's graduation performance. knees will be slapped. suds will be sprayed. people won't know what hurts more: their cheeks, or their sides. that's why he's already keeping himself in-shape and razor sharp today with health tips and wellness tools from aarp. to help make sure his health lives as long as he does. because the younger you are, the more you need aarp. the power goes out and we still have wifi to do our homework. and that's a good thing? great in my book! who are you? no power? no problem. introducing storm-ready wifi. now you can stay reliably connected through power outages with unlimited cellular data and up to 4 hours of battery back-up to keep you online. only from xfinity. home of the xfinity 10g network. >> we need a president who is going to restore world peace as opposed to outbreak of warfare under joe biden. we need donald trump back as our president of united states of america. >> todd: texas governor abbott endorsing former president donald trump. >> mr. governor, i am going to make your job easier. >> carley: washington examiner kaylee mcgee white joins us now. this is endorse mment ron desans would have loved to have had. how do you think this endorsement will impact the gop primary? >> i don't think it changes anything, trump is running away with the primary nod and i don't think anything will stop that at this point. if anything, this bolsters the case for a trump nomination. abbott and texas have been carrying the weight and he's looking for a candidate who is going to take a lead on tackling this issue. the thing with trump, he not only talks about immigration, he did something about it for four years. remember in 2018 and 2019, the u.s. experiencing a similar surge and trump came in and implemented number of. he can do it again. >> todd: i think personality got joe biden elected in 2020. i think inure 22, the american people don't care as much about personalities, i think they look at issue like economy and immigration. we need to do something or we're going to lose this country and political experts thought immigration got trump elected in 2016. do you think immigration gets trump re-elected in 2024? >> it is certainly one of the factors. you have this phenomena in 2024, there will be anti-biden voters. in 2020 many voted for biden because they did not want to vote for trump. i think you will have the opposite this time around. yes, i think trump's handling of the economy, immigration, part of his record, people look back to his four years and people miss that. they will vote for him in 2024. >> carley: 69% of voters are concerned about border security. mike pompeo was on yesterday and pointed out it took hamas to plan the attack on israel. as matter of politics on national security, are you surprised the biden administration has not done anything so far? >> no, i think it is intentional crisis. trump proved you could stop the flow by stating you will not allow them into the country. there was an effect when people realized trump administration was serious about cracking down on illegal immigration. biden has not done any of this, he can barely even call it a crisis. you have people coming back in. it is important to note this issue is no longer just for border states. migrants are making themselves into sanctuary cities, other voters are having to experience the weight of what illegal immigration cost us. will this affect vote in new york and illinois? it could. >> todd: and swing states, all 50 states are swing states. mrs. carter passed away at the age of 96, what are your thoughts on the legacy of first lady? >> she created office of the first lady, she was very involved in jimmy carter's administration. this couple was married 77 years. when so many people in our society do not value it anymore, i hope we all get the opportunity to be married 77 years. >> todd: trump and obama issuing nice statements. kaylee mcgee white, thank you. this holiday may not be so sweet, there is a sugar shortage, your costs are going up. >> carley: one business owner tells us how it is impacting her business and how it will impact your thanksgiving table. don't go anywhere. i'm jonathan lawson here to tell you about life insurance through the colonial penn program. if you're age 50 to 85, and looking to buy life insurance on a fixed budget, remember the three ps. what are the three ps? the three ps of life insurance on a fixed budget are price, price, and price. a price you can afford, a price that can't increase, and a price that fits your budget. i'm 54, what's my price? you can get coverage for $9.95 a month. i'm 65 and take medications. what's my price? also $9.95 a month. i just turned 80, what's my price? $9.95 a month for you too. if you're age 50 to 85, call now about the #1 most popular whole life insurance plan available through the colonial penn program. it has an affordable rate starting at $9.95 a month. no medical exam, no health questions. your acceptance is guaranteed. and this plan has a guaranteed lifetime rate lock so your rate can never go up for any reason. so call now for free information and you'll also get this free beneficiary planner. and it's yours free just for calling. so call now for free information. >> carley: concerns over travel trouble this turkey day starting to grow. powerful storm system in the gulf mexico bringing weather later this week. >> todd: tsa expected to see 30 million passengers screened at airports nationwide. pete buttigieg would hold a news conference about how to navigate. senior meteorologist janice dean has the fox weather forecast. it is going to be wet. >> janice: flight-mare, new term. i will say we have potential for a lot of trouble starting today through wednesday. we have this area of low pressure moving across the plane states bringing heavy rain and flooding and strong wind, hail, snow and tornados today. severe thunderstorm warning in effect for parts of texas, this is just the beginning as it you have moos eastward, for texas, mississippi, alabama, arkansas, very likely we'll see strong storms later today. if you are traveling, be prepared. definitely cancellations and delays. moving toward the northeast and coastal low we'll have to watch through wednesday and thursday. bottom line, there are travel delays. have a plan in case you are at the airport michaelstr stranded. in toward the eastern seaboard. on thursday, quiet some people will have to adjust and travel on thanksgiving. next few days will be pretty awful. >> carley: not perfect, not a bad idea. >> janice: have a plan. people will be at the airport and there willing delays and ca cancellations. >> todd: turning to new not so sweet, price of sugar on the rise thanks to a supply issue thanks to weather in india and thailand. ashley brown who owns ashley's famous cookies joins me now. stuff to make cookies without sugar. how tough to make a profit when sugar costs are this high? >> it is really tough. we are looking at an issue that has became a small business issue and american issue. everybody is trying to absorb the cost, grocery list org a baker like me trying to absorb the cost so the product is not too high. >> todd: are you forced to pass cost on to the consumer? >> absolutely, we are absorbing as much as we can, it will be impossible to stay in business if we do not raise our goods. >> todd: understood, your cookies look amazing. from supply chain to trouble finding workers and now this, how difficult have the last three years been on you as a small business owner? >> it's been rough. outside of the pandemic, there have been many shifts, i had twins in 2020. trying to find a work-life b balance, not only for you, people looking to survive, it has been hard. biggest issue was things were delayed, but now with the sugar shortage, almost unaffordable. >> todd: when you talk to fellow small business owners, are you optimistic your fortune would improve under a different president? >> so, i have friends all over the board. everybody has different opinions. a lot of people are uncertain what to believe at this point being things are so -- people are optimistic that change is good and people are open to this under a different president. >> todd: i know it is tough trying to keep cost low, your cookies look amazing. best of luck and best of luck with the twins, not easy. >> carley: never too early in the morning to have a cookie, my stance on the matter. look at all-american christmas tree. join us tonight for the fourth annual lighting. would you like statistics on the tree? >> carley: it stands 50 feet tall, 12,000 ornaments and there is more than four miles of cord wrapped throughout, the treetoper is six feet tall. catch it during "the five," todd and i will be there, we love this event. >> todd: will we be there with bell on? you will wear a bell? >> carley: i'm going to buy them. my favorite part of christmas on fox square, you play music and it feels like you are in disney land. >> todd: for six weeks, you hear that sound. >> carley: you can take pictures with the christmas tree in the back, nothing but good. >> todd: i'm looking forward to happy hour afterward. hemmer, we're going. >> carley: there you go. >> todd: highlight of my year. >> carley: live on television. president biden celebrating his 81st birthday today and president trump celebrating his lead in the latest nbc poll. >> this is significant, first time former president trump beats president biden. >> first time in a dozen polls we've seen a result like this. >> todd: young voters playing a huge role, our gen-z voter panel next. i told myself i was ok with my moderate to severe rheumatoid arthritis symptoms. with my psoriatic arthritis symptoms. but just ok isn't ok. and i was done settling. if you still have symptoms after a tnf blocker like humira or enbrel, rinvoq is different and may help. rinvoq is a once-daily pill that can rapidly relieve joint pain, stiffness, and swelling in ra and psa. relieve fatigue for some... and stop joint damage. and in psa, can leave skin clear or almost clear. rinvoq can lower your ability to fight infections, including tb. serious infections and blood clots, some fatal; cancers, including lymphoma and skin; heart attack, stroke, and gi tears occurred. people 50 and older with a heart disease risk factor have an increased risk of death. serious allergic reactions can occur. tell your doctor if you are or may become pregnant. done settling? ask your rheumatologist for rinvoq. and take back what's yours. abbvie could help you save. hillsdale was founded in 1844 we're passing on a cultural heritage, the culture of the west when the federal government started giving money to colleges, we didn't take it. that independence has allowed us to stay with our mission that we established 175 years ago. because we don't accept federal money, we are free to concentrate on the mission of the college we care about freedom and that affiliates us with the free institutions of america. >> todd: celebrations in the streets of argentina. milley will be the first ever libertarian head of state securing a 12-point victory after campaigning on the crippling economy. the president elect promising the crowd today begins reconstruction of argentina, today ends decline and impoverishing state which only benefits some. likely tough road ahead, he is tasked with addressing the 400 billion dollar debt. pay attention to this win, could be a precursor of things to come. >> carley: new poll shows trump beating biden. watch. >> this is significant this is first time in history of our poll that former president trump beats president biden still within the margin of error, still significant. >> 2019, trump trailed them, this year he trailed all of them, first time we've seen result like this. >> carley: the erosion of support as young voters break from biden favoring trump by four points. gen-z voters join me now. this number, this number that shows that young people support donald trump over joe biden by 4 points is particularly surprising and important because young people in swing states really led to joe biden winning. what is driving this number? >> absolutely, joe biden is out of touch with younger generation but basically everybody. i think on the left so many people feel disengaged from politics and what he's adv advocating for. >> carley: biden's birthday blues, trump takes the lead and dems hit panic button as joe turns 81 today. happy birthday, president biden. how to combat the age concern. they are going to say joe biden may be old, but his ideas are not pritzker said -- may be young, what they stand for is old and ugly, what you think that strategy will work? >> no, no shot that will work fchl it does, only because democrats control the media. we ought to focus on the fact, not about the age of the candidate, competence of president. is joe biden's mind sharp you have in, i don't think so. gen-zers are waking up to this. america to be united to be united states, have multi generational effort to preserve freedom. >> carley: this poll shows 70% of voters disapprove how president biden is -- many support ceasefire and palestinian side over israeli side, what do you think is driving that? >> well, good morning. i think it is clear that biden exudes weakness at time our country is facing multiple cr crisis. this is true irrespective of his age. the fact we collectiv collectiv our breath like after the meeting with president xi. it speaks volumes to confidence americans have in him as their leader. i think biden's history of global weakness is worry some now, misguided calls for ceasefire grow within our party. we need a president that exemplifies what leadership is. >> carley: thank you for joining us this morning. all right, cardi b back in politics calling out new york city mayor eric adams for taking police officers off the streets. wait until you hear what she has to say. >> todd: formula one in vagsz /* vags vegas slapped with a lawsuit. what is going on? ♪ ♪ we planned well for retirement, but i wish we had more cash. you think those two have any idea? that they can sell their life insurance policy for cash? so they're basically sitting on a goldmine? i don't think they have a clue. that's crazy! well, not everyone knows coventry's helped thousands of people sell their policies for cash. even term policies. i can't believe they're just sitting up there! sitting on all this cash. if you own a life insurance policy of $100,000 or more, you can sell all or part of it to coventry. even a term policy. for cash, or a combination of cash and coverage, with no future premiums. someone needs to tell them, that they're sitting on a goldmine, and you have no idea! hey, guys! you're sitting on a goldmine! come on, guys! do you hear that? i don't hear anything anymore. find out if you're sitting on a goldmine. call coventry direct today at the number on your screen, or visit coventrydirect.com. ( ♪ ) mommmmm! daddddd! ( ♪ ) nice footwork. man, you're lucky, watching live sports never used to be this easy. now you can stream all your games like it's nothing. yes! [ cheers ] yeah! woho! running up and down that field looks tough. it's a pitch. get way more into what you're into when you stream on the xfinity 10g network. >> carley: cheryl casone has the blazing post sent to adams. >> cheryl: you have a rapper upset with our mayor. you have to wonder if she's going after the wrong target. this is cardi b, there are budget cuts. here is what is happening in new york city. because of the budget crisis, spent is migrant. the mayor is like, we'll start cutting stuff, social services, fire and 130 million, major budget cuts across the board. you will see more trash in new york city. she is upset about this. she is a bronx native, she puts this post outer saying $120 million budget cut, blank new york is already blank super dirty. all i can say here. >> todd: best you can do. >> cheryl: she talks about president biden. biden has been asking for money, not sure she is sging after the right target, it is the open border and you have migrants streaming into this country. 1.6 million gotaways this year. she does mention biden, to be clear. you either have the money or you don't. in new york city, we are running out. >> todd: is this the point where blue cities finally vote against democratic policy? the play book is give free things and get votes. >> cheryl: i sort of agree, new york city, i've lived here for almost 20 years, i disagree, it is keep voting and voting because "new york times" to