it is 10 p.m. in israel where prime minister benjamin netanyahu rejected u.s. calls for a humanitarian pause in its war against hamas. telling secretary of state antony blinken that we are going full steam ahead unless hostages are released. the idf has confirmed that its encirclement of gaza city complete on focus on dismantling hamas following terror attacks that occurred four weeks ago today let's go right to trey yingst live in jerusalem with a exclusive look inside the idf military operations inside gaza. trey. reporter: good evening today for the first time in 29 days, the israeli military a lot of small group of journalist into the gaza strp to see first hand thierptions against hamas. take a look. right now we're in a armor carrier and cut in half and fought their way to the mediterranean sea and encircled gaza city they're waiting now for orders to go further had. seconds after arriving on the outskirts of gaza city track of gunfire pierces the air. >> right now we're in -- israeli troops move carefully over mounds of dirt and debris they understand hamas can target them from above and below ground. >> we find two tunnels and -- now we're going destroy them. >> the distance black smoke billows from the skyline. as israeli forces take positions on nearby rooftops. [sound of gunfire] you can hear what gunfire in the distance. the vallis are trying to engage anyone who tries to ambush their forces in the battle street by street it is urban -- warfare as hamas's popping out of tunnels and ambushing israeli troops. eight days ago israelis invaded with two missions. to hunt down hamas leadership, and bring hostages home. the latter proving to be far more difficult. >> we know that hostages most of them inside gaza city and inside suburb area and underneath city. when doing everything we can in order to free them -- >> lieutenant colonel is fighting his third war. the 38-year-old is in charge of five battalions his soldiers include those like jeremiah wallace originally from philadelphia. he moved to israel and joined army now he points to why the war began. >> whatever happened on october 7th never happens again. reporter: as the ground war continues, hamas and islamic jihad still firing rockets into southern and central israel 29 days into this conflict. paul. paul: thank you trey. let's bring in fox news senior strategic analyst far star general what do you think of the military strategy and how it's unfolding and how much progress they're making so far? >> well, certainly their national leadership signed a tough mission to the israeli military and that is -- to rengd or to hamas military and terrorist organization ineffective in term of its capabilities, obviously, to change the political epghtty of hamas governing gaza. and that's completely different than the other military encourage where they're going for a number of weeks go hard and fast, kill as many as they could, destroy as much infrastructure as they could, and then get out as soon as they could. so this operation is characterized being slow, deliberate they were encircling gaza as an example of that and clearing operations inside of gaza certainly focusing on where most of that military infrastructure and leaders are, and that's in this extensive and comprehensive tunnel complex. and obviously, they will go very slowly and dealing with this because the -- the hamas terrorist can pop up at any place and they really need 360-degree situational awareness. paul, we already know that given casualties that have taken place right now, in just the first week of the war, that's twice as number of casualty days that they have experienced experience past and it gives you a concern because this war will likely go on for weeks for sure. but many months more likely -- and that is upper most in their minds is number of casualties they may sustain through this operation. >> all right so you heard the secretary of state anthony blinken in israel ask the israelis for a humanitarian pause for allowing aid to get into gaza as well as time for hostage negotiations. what do you make of that recommendation? was netanyahu right to resist it? >> yeah. i actually think he is. i mean, when you look at this operation tactically on the ground if we stopped and given where all of the troops are prepght they're not outside of gaza behind their own lines. they're in the middle of one of the most dangerous spots that i can conceptionallize in my own behind tunnel complexes all around them. that is a very -- dangerous situation and he doesn't want to stop because he knows he's going take casualty and he knows hamas will take advantage of this situation. not only to attack his troops, but to regroup, to reorganize themselves. and make -- doesn't make much sense tactically i still think that we can get people out through the southern portal. at rafa we can still get things in through that -- portal of rafa, obviously, trying to get they will all away to gaza city that will be a challenge for sure that's why the israelis told as many of those people to get out. i think about 800,000 have gotten outs and i wouldn't be surprised that the 300,000 that are still there many of the hamas leadership are holding them in place for their own protection. >> you -- obviously have experience in the laws of war. answer a question for me about the civilian casualties which would be in gaza become such a focus of critics of israel. when are civilian casualties a war crime and when are they not? >> they're not a war crime if they're distinctal to what you're attempting to do. you're attempting to conduct a military operation to kill military targets and if civilians incidental to that then that's not a war crime if you're targeting civilians, then it is a war crime. and that is, obviously, what hamas did in brutal savage attack changed focus from the past on israeli soldiers with a primary focus was on civilian and, of course, it was butchery at that. what you see in ukraine by rush russia they have in government area in kyiv complete focus of breaking the will war crime to be sure. paul: what do you make of the speech, the hezbollah leader hassan gave on friday, and do you think that the -- is he eager is he reluctant rather to open a second front and do you think that american deterrence with the carrier groups and the med are maybe making a difference? >> yeah. a couple of things well certainly it was a fiery speech talking about the success of the lebanon beirut operation with a blew up our tour of our embassy and and we did pull our troops out as a result of that. i'm not here to relitigate that. and totally takes that as success and then all of the other proxy things that have happened that iran has organized in the middle east. are successful from their perspective but i think he has a certain reluctance that 2006 war with the israelis have much as israelis left with a tale between their legs all of the service were fired the impact on lebanon was significant. they truly haven't recovered from that economically. i doubt seriously based on his tone that he's reluctant to really expand war beyond a limited military operations he's doing at the board unless he's pushed by iran to commit. because of this success that the military operation in gaza is unfolding. >> all right general keane thanks so much for being here very -- good to see you still ahead our panel weighs in on the politics of a pause by israel here at home. as president biden facing growing democratic desent over his support for israel. my brain. so i choose new neuriva ultra. unlike some others, it supports 7 brain health indicators, including mental alertness from one serving. to help keep me sharp. try new neuriva ultra. think bigger. welcome to ameriprise. i'm sam morrison. my brother max recommended you. so my best friend sophie says you've been a huge help. at ameriprise financial, more than 9 out of 10 of our clients are likely to recommend us. our neighbors, the garcias, love working with you. because the advice we give is personalized, hey, john reese, jr. how's your father doing? 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(vo) get your competitive offer at opendoor dot com. just as the united states would not agree to a cease-fire, after the bombing of pearl harbor, or after the terrorist attack of 9/11, israel will not agree to a with hamas after the horrific attacks of october 7th calls fr a cease-fire are calls for val to surrender to hamas to vender to terrorism to surrender to barberrism. that will not happen. paul: that was israeli prime minister benjamin netanyahu this week rejecting demands for a cease-fire in gaza more than a dozen democratic senators have joined the biden administration's call for a short-term pause in hostilities releasing statement that says, quote, the failure to adequately protect nine combatant civilian risk dramatic escalation and imposes severe damage on prospects for peaceful coexistence between israelis and palestinians. let's bring in our panel wall street journal columnist dan he think henninger and paul and you heard general keane talk about his part of the pause but you read that letter from the democratic senators is netanyahu right to resist calls for a pause? >> of course he's right. i mean, first of all these democratic senators are playing to their domestic constituents who are out running these protests and putting all of the focus on this civilians who are dying in palestinian. palestine but the fact of the matter is in gaza i should say. but the fact of the matter that the merle -- military cannot do this pause it is preposterous they're in the middle as we saw earlier when we they let news report rs into gaza yeah. they're in the middle of a very dangerous battlefield you can't just all of a sudden step back and say okay we're just going to wait here for a bit and you know other thing is that this pressure is designed to get a result had is hostages and we hear lots of complaining from the democrats about -- the humanitarian losses. but we don't hear much about the fact they're still holding some 240 hostages. >> you can make a case dan for a pause if you really thought it would yield hostages and save their lives but likely outcome is for hamas to dribble them out to two or three and get a prop propaganda game that's a leverage they have. >> absolutely and maw make a good point because we have had no evidence or indication whatsoever from the other side from hamas that they're willing to do any such thing. all of the pressure has been completely on the side of the israelis. and indeed we should try to think through this pause a little bit. presumably it means that israeli stand down let's assume for the sake of discussion they do that for two days, for three days to allow something humanitarian aid to flow through. at the end of the pause presumably israel resumes its fighting then we're back to the same situation we're in right now and, of course, they'll be more calls for another pause. how can the israelis agree to something like that? plus -- you might make the argument by israel going through gaza and opening it up, they will probably do more may do more for human tarn existence than if they paused today they open the main highway from the north down to the south. if palestinians topght leave up there they're now free to pass down through into the south. paul: kyle, the democratic pressure, though, as mary suggested from the left is building. on joe biden, and the tone markettedly that president biden has had shifted this last week where he, you know, stall -- support for israel has been stallwork no question request about it but shifted and came out for the pause do you think it is for the pressure from the democratic left? >> they're being explicit about we will stay home and not vote for you in some of the states particularly michigan, where he needs to win in 2024. if you do not call for a cease-fire, but the problem is that he has i think many members both of the democratic party and the broader electorate independent who is accept the kind of arguments that you're hearing here. which is that, maybe there would be a case for a pause if you can give over those 240 hostages including children that hamas is still holding. but you don't see any indication of that instead you have a member of hamas political bureau going on tv in lebanon saying what happened on october 7th was justified and we will do it again and again and again. paul: mary let's shift to the aid for israel which passed house this week $14 billion along with some cuts to funding for the irs. that passed the last year -- but that bill is not going anywhere on its own in the senate. president biden said he would veto it. but is there any doubt in your mind that we're going end up passing sol aid for israel here at the end of the day? >> i think we will for sure egg there's enough bipartisan support both sides of the aisle that will let that what. i mean question is what is attached to it and this week we have a little bit of chatter about possibility doing something asylum law in the border in order to satisfy republicans who are concerned about, you know, the fact that you have so many people coming across without even actually being judged as graduating asylum but getting into the country because they have credible fear so there's some talk maybe they're going to adjust that law i think -- you know if i were president biden i would grab that. because -- he can blame it on the republicans. but it will also help him and making the border a little less porous. >> across biden presidency he's been -- he's been reluctant to take the party left and strong on israel for a month. i wonder if he's willing to do that on immigration whatever else he needs to do to get that aid through and not just aid for israel but aid for ukraine. >> i think the simple sanction no he will not take on his party's left mainly because they've decided that younger democratic voters seem to be planed -- opposing military aid for israel. they are part of the left now. joe biden numbers have been falling. he needs all of the democratic voters he can get. so he's in an unfortunate situation i have to say. ideally i think we're talking about helping ukraine, helping israel doing something that is octavely important that ultimately joe biden probably should step down in allow the democrats to have an open fight -- i know they're not going to talk about that right now. but he is so far behind that he keeps playing to the left wing constituents he's going to get in the way of helping ukraine and israel. >> quite a way to end segment dan all right when we come become a stark warning from the fbi amaster's degree a surge in anti-semitism on u.s. college campuses and beyond. causing a lack of sharpness, or even trouble with recall. thankfully, the breakthrough in prevagen helps your brain and actually improves memory. the secret is an ingredient originally discovered... in jellyfish. in clinical trials, prevagen has been shown to improve short-term memory. prevagen. at stores everywhere without a prescription. nice footwork. man, you're lucky, watching live sports never used to be this easy. now you can stream all your games like it's nothing. yes! [ cheers ] yeah! woho! running up and down that field looks tough. it's a pitch. get way more into what you're into when you stream on the xfinity 10g network. ♪ ♪ >> i will say that this is a threat that is reaching in some ways sort of historic levels. in part because as you know all too well, the jewish community is targeted by terrorist really across the spectrum. our statistics would indicate that for a group that represents only about 2.4% of the american public they account for something like 60% of all religious base hate crimes. >> that was fbi director christopher wray tuesday warning congress that anti-semitic threats in the united states are approaching historic levels. cornell university canceled class on friday citing what it called extraordinary stress its campus has been under since the arrest this week of a jr. at the school in connection with a series of online post threatening to kill jewish students. kyle, this suggest to me that the conflict over there could end up coming here. i mean, you see it in synagogues across new york city where we live and across the country have higher security it's a distressing turn of events. . right it's always important to be vigilant about this and last grave on this front on the fbi director said was when isis caliphate was declared and copy cats and people, sick inspiration across the world so vigilance by law enforcement is always important i think it is also important and incumbent on people to tamp down on that kind of rhetoric hamas supporting kind of rhetoric that can be an inspiration to people like that even though itself is not trending towards violence. paul: we feel like it was 1972 when colleges were turning closing campuses because of vietnam protest extraordinary this has to happen. i suspect, though, a lot of americans are surprised to see this pro-hamas sentiments on campus. are you? >> i am not completely surprised. that's for sure. because truth to tell paul, it has a lot to do with the late 1960s and the early 1970s back then it was called the about antiwar movement anti-vietnam. guess where a lot of college presidents administrators came from the antiwar movement back in the 70s. they were there at the creation, a roll it forward a lot of them are now running these universities out of the same mindset and what was interesting about the period back then was -- by and large democratic party got on the wrong side of the american people. they were regarded as antimilitary anti-defense. it took them a good 20 years to dig out from under that and now the question is, whether they are going back into the same mode of being out of the sync with american people who by and large support israel and its right to defend itself against a terrorist group like hamas. i'm heart put to see college administrators pushing back very hard and could be more donors like those at ben penn and harvard and pull back and maybe wake them up politically, though, paul i don't quite see it happening. paul: on that note mary 24 of america leading law firms sent a letter to the law school dean said it was 24 at the start i think it was well over 80 last count law firms saying protect your jewish students hate will not be tolerated at our firms and subtle implication is if this continues we're not going hire those students. >> yeah. i think it's about time. i mean that's, you know, you look at this and you think what took them so long? is one thing and the left is saying, wow you know they're trying to control political speech. but this is not about political speech. this is about basically targeting hatred of groups which we're supposed to be against. so i'm glad to see these law firms stepping up. you know, i would go back you guys are talking about the 70s. rallying up mob is not new i want to bring up the french revolution. >> i was not alive then mary. >> neither was i but i read about it. idea of cancel culture we've seen on university campuses we've seen speakers go to yale law school, and be shouted down and run away. i mean, there's a certain narrative or certain -- i would say moral authority that young people have today that they think if they have the right idea, then anything they do in extreme manner is fine because they're right. and of course, this is the very definition of intolerance and it's -- i'm glad to see the law firms stepping up. paul: kyle, the member of congress from michigan has said that biden is supporting genocide by he used that word by supporting -- the israelis and their exercise in gaza. and threatening basically to withhold support for biden in 2024 is that a serious, political threat? i assume they're not going to vote for donald trump what would they vote for cornel west? >> i suppose that is the threat to vote for cornel west. i have a hard tile thinking states like michigan if push came to shove to 2024 and they're in the ballot booth and choice is between trump or biden or cornel west or third party candidate, i suspect that many of them would come home to bide about. biden but what is interesting is whether we see a movement in the democratic party to try to primary some of these candidates who are on the fringes and becoming problems for the democratic party and we've seen a little bit of that in the republican party. at times madison cawthorn in carolina losing to a primary challenger and wonder if democrat funders will say this is another opportunity where democrats need to have party discipline on what is acceptable under our brand name. paul: 20 seconds do you think that's going to happen those primary challenges because this is a fundamental split over some very serious issues. >> i think it's very possible there will be primary challenges and very possible that after all of these years, jewish vote will not be as reliably democratic as it has been. they are extremely upset over what's beginning on over on those campuses and i think that could be up for grabs. >> when we come back we'll go live to northern israel as hezbollah leader in lebanon threatens first escalation and the state department urges u.s. citizens to leave. plus, alaska senator dan sullivan on clash in congress over aid to israel and ukraine. when you have chronic kidney disease... ...there are places you'd like to be. like here. and here. not so much here. farxiga reduces the risk of kidney failure which can lead to dialysis. ♪far-xi-ga♪ farxiga can cause serious side effects, including ketoacidosis that may be fatal, dehydration, urinary tract or genital yeast infections, and low blood sugar. a rare, life-threatening bacterial infection in the skin of the perineum could occur. stop taking farxiga and call your doctor right away if you have symptoms of this infection, an allergic reaction, or ketoacidosis. when you have chronic kidney disease, it's time to ask your doctor for farxiga. because there are places you want to be. if you can't afford your medication, astrazeneca may be able to help. ♪far-xi-ga♪ paul: state department issued a security alert just hours ago telling u.s. citizens to leave lebanon due to unpredictable security situation and urging them to go now while mecial flights still available. warning comes day after hezbollah leader hassan nasrallah claireed in a speech all options are open and that the fighting on israel lebanon border could escalate into all out war. let's go live to northern israel where chief international correspondent steve harrigan is standing by. >> u.s. come in imai route has been a scene of angry protest issued a steady drum beat telling americans to leave lebanon immediately those warings getting more emphatic 80,000 americans in lebanon and to leave while flights are still running. here in northern israel already rockets come in from hezbollah in lebanon pretty much on daily basis sometimes by the dozen hitting border town pps tens of thousands of israelis left their homes many of them have been traumatized by the experience. >> grab whatever they can, and they just go away because there was a threat that because we are near the border hezbollah will come like they did in gaza and come into our houses. >> the back and forth fighting here has largely been confined to the border area roughly about two miles on each side. hezbollah firing its shorter range missiles they've lost about 60 hezbollah fighters over the past three weeks. we heard from the leader hannen nasrallah yesterday saying all options still on the table for hezbollah that really dispengdz what actions israel takes on gaza and israeli forces here all across the north on high alert. back to you. paul: steve thank you joining me now alaska senator dan sullivan a member of the article services committee, and recently returned from israel where he was part of a bipartisan congressional delegation. welcome, senator great to have use here. >> back on the show thank you very much. paul: you were just in israel. is -- what do you make of their military response so far? and how long are they determined to go with this kind of operation? >> well look, i think the one big take away from the trip to israel was just the sense of vulnerability. it is really hard for americans to imagine that but the vulnerability there and just survival of their state is at stake. i think that to me that was the bigs take away and so -- with regard to what's happening right now, i think we have to give israel the time and the space and certainly the support equipment intel, corporation to let them destroy hamas. we need to make sure that people are viewing hamas the way we view isis the way we viewed al qaeda they deserve that designation. and i think we have to keep that in mind. but they view it as this -- the survival of the state of israel and we need to give them space to destroy this incredibly horrendous terrorist group. >> what do you make of the president and secretary of state blinken's request for a pause? is that they say they want get hostage you want get them not everybody wants to get them out. it would do you think a pause would accomplish that? and -- and can we ask that of should we ask that of netanyahu? >> i think again we have to trust israelis and give them the space right they're ones on the floor. one thing that was very powerful in meetings we met with the prime minister and met with war cabinet. they emphasized you know all of our children are in the idf. we're not doing this lightly. every one of us has a real skin in the game, and as you know, paul, when you're doing this pause, hamas is going to no doubt use this to resupply about are rearm, dig in more, and that is something that i don't think should be acceptable. they also said imagine we were there a couple of weeks ago. imagine two or three weeks after 9/11 if the world community said to the united states hey, we need a humanitarian pause for this civilians, what would the reaction in the united states have been? i thought that was a powerful argument and you saw -- netanyahu said that recently. so again, i'm not supportive of a pause right now. i think it prevents -- it could cause too much trouble as opposed to helping civilians we all want to help civilians israelis don't target civilians united states doesn't, hamas targets civilians. paul: is the administration doing enough in your view to deter these attacks we're seeing from iranian proxies on american facilityings and on -- americans who are in the middle east they've responded twice. they keep saying if they keep attacking we'll respond again. but they keep attacking. >> yeah. i worry that right now the responses have been too weak and that's only going to engender more tabes. the broader strategic issue paul is you know, and again, iran's finger prints are everywhere. people are debating whether or not they were involved on october 7th. but let's remember, there's no hamas without iran. there's no hezbollah without iran. there's no houthis without iran. they are everywhere, and if this horrendous attack on israel hopefully can do one thing in my view, it will help to break what i call the fever dream, the democrats have about always cooperating with the iranian terrorist looking for that moderate so-called moderate the appeasement policy of the biden administration has failed miserably as it relates to iran. so do they need to do more on deterrence, yes. but strategically we need to be reimposing sanctions reimposing ballistic missile regime there's so much more we can do kind of strategically to go after iran again. that they let up after the trump administration did a very good job in that regard. paul: all right let's turn to the debate in congress which is heating up as you know about aiding israel and ukraine. the house passed the through israel with the irs cuts, clearly that's not going to pass the senate. where do you stand on linking aid to ukraine with aid to israel? do you want one vote or can you separate them? >> well i don't think there's going to be a vote on the bill that passed in the house that's, obviously, up to schumer and he's already said he's not going to do that and what i've been calling for a number of weeks now -- is that we need to recognize that these challenges are all inner connected this new era of aauthoritarian aggression putin and ayatollah in iran and response needs to have four pillars, israel, taiwan, and aid critically the border. i've told jake sullivan senior people at white house border is the linchpin if you're going to continue to allow 8 million people come in, 17 members of the terrorist watch list that were, that were caught at the border just in september. it's a huge security risk. to the country it's got to have that but the border got to be policy changes, stop the flow. without border, without a serious border policy change this could be tough in the white house and chuck schumer everybody else has that message. paul: they won't get the votes you don't think -- >> we have leverage in the senate normally that's gong require 60. if the border policies are not changed we can withhold closure, and so we're very serious we've all sent that message. paul: if you get those policy changes like change in the asylum law tougher standard. do you think that there will be enough of republican votes to break a filibuster in the senate with a single bill to pass ukraine and israel aid as one? >> i do think so. and again it's got to have a strong border component and by the way, it also has to have a strong taiwan and supplemental that the biden administration put forward was really weak on that. and >> 3 or 4 billion. >> that was weak and what i'm hearing and sources in the white house said they did that because they didn't want to ruin mood music on the xi jinping visit with bide my view is the best way to greet xi jinping when he comes to america is have a new package of, you know, $15 billion to taiwan with new weapon systems. that's what we need to show xi jinping. not some kind of weak you know john kerry approach to this visit, and so -- we're going to add more and by the way i think that's actually quite bipartisan bolster taiwan defenses as well. paul: senator dan sullivan thanks so much for coming in. appreciate it. >> absolutely paul. thank you. paul: 5 gop presidential hopefuls gear up for a make or break moment in next week's debate as they scramble behind front runner donald trump plus our panel on the races to watch in tuesday high stateses off year elections and what they could tell us about 2024. with the freestyle libre 2 system, know your glucose level and where it's headed. no fingersticks needed. manage your diabetes with more confidence. freestyle libre 2. try it for free at freestylelibre.us when you're looking for answers, it's good to have help. because the right information, at the right time, may make all the difference. at humana, we know that's especially true when you're looking for a medicare supplement insurance plan. that's why we're offering "seven things every medicare supplement should have". it's yours free, just for calling the number on your screen. and when you call, a knowledgeable, licensed agent-producer can answer any questions you have and help you choose the plan that's right for you. the call is free, and there's no obligation. you see, medicare covers only about 80% of your part b medical expenses. the rest is up to you. that's why so many people purchase medicare supplement insurance plans like those offered by humana. they're designed to help you save money, and pay some of the costs medicare doesn't. depending on the medicare supplement plan you select, you could have no deductibles or copayments for doctor visits, hospital stays, emergency care, and more. you can keep the doctors you have now, ones you know and trust, with no referrals needed. plus, you can get medical care anywhere in the country, even when you're traveling! with humana, you get a competitive monthly premium, and personalized service, from a healthcare partner working to make healthcare simpler and easier for you. you can choose from a wide range of standardized plans. each one is designed to work seamlessly with medicare and help save you money! so how do you find the plan that's right for you? one that fits your needs and your budget? call humana now at the number on your screen for this free guide. it's just one of the ways that humana is making healthcare simpler. and when you call, a knowledgeable, licensed agent-producer can answer any questions you have and help you choose the plan that's right for you. the call is free, and there's no obligation. you know medicare won't cover all your medical costs. so, call now and see why a medicare supplement plan from a company like humana just might be the answer. >> republican presidential hopefuls getting ready to square off and foreign policying and america role in the world is sure to take center stage. so far five candidates appear to have qualified for wednesday night showdown in miami. as the scramble for second place behind front runner donald trump heats up. we are back with our panel. so dan, we'll see what happens on the debate, donald trump will not be there. he says, but the big news in the last few weeks in the presidential race is that nikki haley has surged now second in south carolina, and new hampshire and tied with ron desantis for second in iowa. what explains her progress? >> well, probably it's her herself, what else could explain it? we have expression in politics called big mo means big momentum, and i don't know where that goes so far to say nikki haley showing big mo at the moment but pretty big momentum. there's some momentum, and the expectation was that nobody was going to be able to compete with donald trump. but she is rising in the polls. she is turned out to be extremely articulate on the subject she talks about. that includes foreign policy, foreign policy is in the news now. and i want to raise the question here about whether donald trump at some point has to worry a little bit about reverse momentum he's not going to be on this stage. he's just not participating, the world is shaking right now. people are looking for individuals to make sense of it. and nikki haley and i would assume chris christie and ron desantis will be on that stage talking some sense about what the united states should be doing. he'll be there -- >> trump answer no words on my watch no wars again and i'll end ones we have. that's his basic -- >> if you believe. if you believe that -- manches, but haley former ambassador of the united nations gives a foreign policy credential how much do you think foreign policy is playing in her progress? >> i think it is huge and very good when she was at the u.n. and clear spoken she was very -- energetic and brave frankly saying things that, you know, a lot of other people didn't want to say. so she -- i think she gets a lot of credit for that. and you notice that people who are some big donors who are fed up with trump are starting to go her way also like ron cameron from arkansas, a poultry guy. you know she's getting money from discontented trump voters so that's also helping her momentum. paul: got a long way to go really trailing kyle, trump in any of the states that race seems frozen so far with trump at the top. so, her goal really is like desantis consolidate and get herb else out and trump one-on-one. >> she seems to be doing that up in south carolina clear number two beating desantis i think by eight points in the realclearpolitics average now number two in new hampshire over desantis by about four there, and then she's not quite number two in the average yet in iowa. but she seem to be gaining some ground the latest des moines register poll has her tied with desantis both of them at 16 and so what is notable about what is if she becomes a consensus number two, she's already leapfrog tim scott in iowa. then perhaps she can force some consolidation and gets some endorsements from people who are still in the race. but don't want to see trump win. paul: let's talk dan, about races next week big one is in virginia govan glenn youngkin has invested a enormous political capital trying to turn state senate republicans control the house but that's up too because they have redistricting so big -- shot here to really show his brand of republicanism. can, in fact, win in a swing state. >> it is going to be an interesting race when glenn youngkin won they swept most of the other states offices as well. and the expectation has always been that virginia was sort of trending purl because it was so -- >> so blue. >> glenn youngkin is interesting and not compromised on conservative principles but suggested that portion should have a 15-week limit on it rather than six and in which other states have which seems to cause republicans problems. so glenn youngkin is trying to put together an interesting coalition and if he -- secures control of that legislature, the youngkin model is going to be looked at very hard by a lot of republicans. paul: mary kentucky democrat favored for big lead in the polls but now daniel cameron protege of mitch mcconnell dead heat looks like. >> biden is helping republican -- in kentucky -- [laughter] biden is not well liked in kentucky trump beat him by a lot, and the last election. and i think that if bashir wins it will be because he's been able to distance himself from bide but it is a very clear message for, you know, 2024 about how the state will go if biden is a democratic candidate. >> very briefly kyle ohio referendum on abortion there that would put it in the constitution right to an abortion. >> right and further than roe v. wade went and a signal of whether enthusiasm on abortion issue is going to be motivating democrats to the polls in 2024. the way that it was last year, and it is special elections earlier this year. >> what do you think will happen? >> i think that that probably will pass in ohio i'm looking also at some other local races to see the abortion issue. >> we have to attack one more break when we come back hits and misses of the week. ameritrade is now part of schwab. bringing you an elevated experience, tailor-made for trader minds. go deeper with thinkorswim: our award-wining trading platforms. unlock support from the schwab trade desk, our team of passionate traders who live and breathe trading. and sharpen your skills with an immersive online education crafted just for traders. all so you can trade brilliantly. rsv is in for a surprise. meet arexvy. 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[laughter] >> all right dan thank you. that's it for this week's show, thanks to my panel and thanks to all of you for watching i'm paul gigot. hope to see you right here next week. ♪ ♪ my most important kitchen tool? my brain. so i choose new neuriva ultra. unlike some others, it supports 7 brain health indicators, including mental alertness from one serving. to help keep me sharp. try new neuriva ultra. think bigger. when migraine strikes you're faced with a choice. ride it out with the tradeoffs of treating? or push through the pain and symptoms? with ubrelvy, there's another option. one dose works fast to eliminate migraine pain treat it anytime, anywhere. without worrying where you are or if it's too late. do not take with strong cyp3a4 inhibitors. allergic reactions to ubrelvy can happen. most common side effects were nausea and sleepiness. migraine pain relief starts with u. ask about ubrelvy. learn how abbvie could help you save. right now get a free footlong at subway. like the new deli heroes. buy one footlong in the app, get one free. it's a pretty big deal. kinda like me. order in the subway app today. this is spring semester at over 13,000 us school districts, which have become top targets for ransomware attacks. but there's never been a reported ransomware attack on a chromebook. which is why thousands of schools like the fairfield-suisun unified school district switched to google tools for education. so they can focus on teaching and 22,000 students can focus on learning, knowing that their data is secure. 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