auliffe coming out moments ago not conceding this race, bu it's not looking good for him a the moment. up mark right major divisions over education, the economy and the current president's low approval numbers and a former president lots of baggage. >> glenn youngkin has 49 percent , 49.864 mcauliffe. 98 percent insofar. mcauliffe failed to hold a significant push. one by president biden a year ago but there were plenty of vote still to be counted. its arrays that many people believed could be a harbinger o things to come for the 2020 to midterm election. here is the deal. youngkin has a commanding league . it is a commanding lead. but our decision test has not called that yet, there is still a significant amount of outstanding voters in highly populated counties, they're not ready to make the final decisio yet. this could be extremely good news for republicans in extremely bad news for democrats . >> we will look at what happened . we will digest the numbers. they're are still number still coming in very it's a very fast-moving story tonight. we're going by the numbers and we will figure out what's going on here. exclusive analysis from some of the best political minds in the country, all of that in the nex 60 minutes. beginning with our chief cough top fox coverage. >> we will break down where things are and what went right and wrong for the nominees. with the 340 campaign would. we begin with alexander who's watching the youngkin team and i'm sure they're anxious to get out on stage. >> we just heard from a campaig spokesperson short time ago the came out briefly to say that he is here and he's excited, but he's waiting for a few more votes to come in before he plan on taking the stage. within the past hour we saw a lot of the signs come out greatly seen them all over the place small businesses for mc auliffe to, democrats for youngkin. its apparent for youngkin signs that really stand out. it was back in september during that second and last debate of this race when the democratic opponent made that statement that parents should not be telling schools what to teach. lots of people took offense to that. they have felt voiceless and changes that have been going on in schools, and they came in to fill that void advocating for parents in a way that has picke up momentum around the campaign and especially in the past couple weeks. his campaigning style he is grassroots, what he's done as a child away from being a big names onto the tree campaign trail. he wanted to sell his vision alone. and that's what he did includin over the weekend when he traveled down six hours away from here to the far far southwest virginia for eight many could've seen that as a wasted day given that it is so sparsely populated, so heavily republican, but what these numbers tonight look like that' accomplished for him is that he was able to raise that the expected turnout hopefully for him, giving him some advantage in areas where he otherwise may have lost, so this is not calle their ships, but as you can tel behind me, this is a party atmosphere. i even spoke to a couple registered independents, one is ahead of that and he said that the last time around he voted for mcauliffe for governor governor, but he said his mind was changed over the. >> he seems to have done very well with latino voters in virginia. we will dig into those numbers as we go through this tonight. let's go to the mcauliffe campaign. standing by where it is as bright side, a lot of carpet that we can see on that floor. >> they're is an awful lot here and it happen pretty quickly. eutectic those who we're involved trying to get terry mc auliffe elected again and they quietly acknowledge that things don't look so good right now from where they are. you don't need to talk to political sources to figure tha out just by looking around the room and looking at the people here, there is no sense or air of celebration going on right here now. thierry mcauliffe took the stage another indication of where things are right now. spoke very briefly, tried to give folks here little bit of hope that things weren't finished yet, but there was really no sense of optimism whe he did appear he here he is. >> we've still got lots of boat to count. we are going to continue to count the votes because every single virginian deserves to have their vote counted. >> in that address he thanked his supporters, he think his family, but there was no sense of optimism surrounding it as though he were going to win are going to even be close to victory at this point. he spoke, the crowd began to empty out after that. much of it has emptied and has either gone into the hotel or gone home or hit the hotel bar from here. that was about 45 minutes ago. a little bit earlier, around 930 , we were hearing from campaign aides that they were still very hopeful with a lot o numbers coming in they said places like fairfax, richmond and other urban areas they've outperformed the rest of the states and they were really hoping to get turnout in those particular spots to try to push them over the edge. as they stand right now, they are still not lots of sins that that is in a position or a spot right now where they feel even comfortable keeping this going. they just shut the music on off and we have no sense of whether we are going to hear from terry kamala again tonight or when we may hear from him again. he ended this campaign bringing out a lot of the democratic heavyweights. he propped out president joe biden and kamala harris the las couple weeks. a number of democrats out here to turn out the democratic vote right he had all the democratic hotspots throughout the state and continue doing so throughou the last couple of weeks of thi election. all to try to turn the voters out to the bowls. beyond that also, he tried making this as much as he could as a referendum on former president donald trump. while he denied that fact was something he was trying to do, there wasn't a campaign stop he made where he didn't bring up the former president so we are watching to see where we go fro here up right officials say the are still evaluating where they stand and where we may hear fro him again but as it stands righ now. 97 percent of the vote in. >> let's find out where the votes are coming from and we want to talk about another phrase. we want to go to new jersey because that's very close. i want to take you down here, w will start down here in virgini beach and we've got him with a lead here about nine or ten points here. but our numbers tell us 40 percent of the votes are outstanding in virginia beach. it's on the population it's there could be a lot of boats out there. we cannot say, but we just said he's got to begin ending need and then we stand by that. you cannot make a call given 40 percent of the votes outstanding. the other one i would say appea nova, northern, virginia,. we believe to last check in prince william county. they're is about 80 percent, i' sorry, 40 percent of the vote still outstanding as well. by the way, and heavy turnout i virginia. last november you had more than 4 million virginians votes in the presidential race. we believe there's well over 3 million voters who voted tonight in the gubernatorial race. virginia has never been in that area before so a lot more votes from a lot of different areas all throughout the state. i will tell you one more place here taking out of chesterfield this is the good suburban counties south of richmond city. we still believe in chesterfiel there is at least 40 percent of the vote outstanding as well. at present are performing on percentage basis. you just went in the county. 51-49. that one horde ten good things for the rest of the states. he has done that, he's hanging onto that in a moment. whether or not there's a lot of blue boats out there it ready t take away that percentage is something we cannot say. i would say generally speaking in the southeast here in the central partner richmond and appear across close up of three we're waiting unburied. >> they're is not a path here. the path is very narrow for mc auliffe to get those votes. really single-digit possibilities of somehow gettin those votes for that number. >> i would say he would have to run the tape specifically in those three large counties i just referred to, yes. >> let's look at new jersey which everybody had pretty much written off and now, let's i think there's about 60 percent of the vote in new jersey so tell us what you're watching in my home state there. >> the republicans had a rally that really ran on the tax issu and interestingly enough, new jersey is one of the states where salt came into play comes state and local taxes bear that was one of the things eliminate on the trump tax plan in 2017 and it really blue states like new jersey and new york and connecticut, it's a big deal in the northeast because people thought hey, where is my deduction. it has yet to be included in th plan that they are building right now in washington, dc, bu there was a headline that poppe earlier today that said salt will be talked about and included for a period of five years. i don't know if there was a minimum on it or a maximum on it , republicans are going to say it's a tax break for the rich, that's going to be there attack angle, but there are moderate members of the democratic party in places like new jersey who say no salt, no dice. they haven't had to vote yes, okay, but that is what they've been saying. i would come down here to ocean county, donald trump did very well here. just 11 months ago. up here and monmouth county, likewise. you know, you talk about the those who analyze the state. they are thinking the republicans are really going to run this number up on account o what's happening in the rest of the states. may be that's the case, or mayb like virginia, new jersey is coming out in the vote today an away we really did not predict or expect. suburban middlesex county. this was a county that chris christie won handily. like 15, 16, 17 points on his reelection bid in new jersey at the moment, murphy is up about nine points in middlesex. essex county, here we go. they're is a lot of boats still outstanding. can get this is newark, new jersey that you're looking at there. obviously a big population per eight i think you do have less than 1 percent of the boat and in essex county there, bill? >> it doesn't even give us an exit. the estimated vote and is about 77 percent. use the lead here in the northeastern corner of the states. i mean it's really interesting, i would just say based on what we are seeing right now, there are pockets of democratic votes in the state of new jersey that have yet to come in so we will see what that holds, but honestly, new jersey is not a state that we have studied. i mean martha, you would admit that, right? no one really thought this was on the board. >> you know, i've been saying, but are we going to cover new jersey to? in kept saying what about new jersey. let me read this. >> new jersey gubernatorial rac is much closer than expected late into the evening the republican challenger is outperforming his expected vote in key counties, but a significant amount of remains t be counted. he was expected to easily win their second term, this could b a cliffhanger. that's from our decision to ask for it. >> i was just finishing my poin on this 2017, this is where murphy's vote was. now in 2021, at the moment, is this going to stand? it might. if it did, you're talking about a red wave through two states. new jersey clearly is considere a democratic state and virginia i mean for 12 years, they have been talking about how they're just going more and more blue. under the few people that argue that virginia was not a blue states. every time he came on the air with us he said this is a purpl state. may be he was right in the end after these results that we are seeing. >> i would mention one thing, and 2009, he won by about 3.5 percent in new jersey so the spread right now between these two candidates is about 3 percent per. >> i will just give you one mor thing here guys. it's been a fun exercise throughout the night, fun in th loosens to look at the percentage of the vote, not rea vote numbers. presidential elections more people turn out more people vote , but on a percentage basis when you consider biden and trump, it was only 11 months ago , so here is where we were last november in new jersey. so it's roughly 16 points would you say between biden and trump? and this is where we are in 2021 . we will see what happens. >> in outcome at the turnout also in virginia was expected t be around to point to million, and it is over 3 million. the turnout has been huge in virginia. >> energized especially in the republican and south part of virginia, outperforming trump's numbers and a lot of those counties that were deep red. >> i am just looking at this, guys. i've been looking at the vote difference here. you saw it, right, you saw a shift. only started this hit we were well over 100,000 in favor of youngkin over mcauliffe. i just picked up again that means that votes are coming in so if you give me a minute here i'll just go back to the three main counties and we will see whether or not there's changes during the course of this particular report here. youngkin dropped a couple of points here. still outperforming what he expected to do in virginia beac city. this is 2017. just for comparison sake and that went to the democrats. biden, he took it from trump by about five points in 2021. that is where we are in virgini beach city. just back to chesterfield, whil at got you guys he has got a lead, real votes 10,481. still hanging onto that 50-50 percent margin there in chesterfield. really, if this holds up, it's going to be a significant story about how a republican goes into . and wins without trumping on th ballot. you go back into the suburbs an when that boat back. prince william appear, with the differences 29,000 real vote in favor of mcauliffe. in that pretty much stands. let me check my notes on prince william county. going into tonight, the floor for youngkin was right around 4. the floor, if you were to hold at 41 percent, that would indicate that he would do very well statewide. look where he is, he's a tenth of a point below that so maybe he reaches 41, may be he stays there or go slower, but that wa the floor again as we started. >> bill, you've got the different races in this commonwealth, potentially but republicans, governor governor, lieutenant governor, attorney general and the house of delegates and you look at the numbers right now. again, we have been called this race yet, but we're probably getting pretty close as these numbers, the path is narrowing. but you are looking at somethin that is larger than just one candidate. >> s, listen, i'm trying to see through the lens of the issues over the past ten months. and you know, virginia is very unique. they have it in the commonwealt constitution to have essentiall an open seat every time you vot for a governor. because it comes a year after a presidential election, and no governor can run for reelection like terry mcauliffe, he can run after his term is over, but he can't run for a consecutive term, so effectively you have i virginia, you have an open seat in the november that follows every presidential election. that is truly unique and then you start to get a measure abou how the country is feeling abou the direction, et cetera. in our poll that came out a wee ago, we found the enthusiasm ga to be ten points between mc auliffe and youngkin. it was 79-69. if that is where the energy is, and this is as close as the races right now too, two and a half points. ten points on the enthusiasm margin is significant. i would argue at the moment, that's probably the reason why you see the split here. that is one thing to think about . i think the other thing, in rural southwest virginia, i've showed you guys a bit earlier today and again i'm just talkin about percentages, not raw votes . look where youngkin is. 87.6. it's really incredible to. you go back and you look at the trump votes, and i mean, he was doing gangbusters down here. he was 883, brett, right? he did 84. and in 2021, you know, he exceeded those percentages in those counties. i just find it very impressive. the fact that you can flip montgomery county and do what you're doing right now and some of these suburban counties they have to feel pretty good in a razor tight race here now all this stuff matters straight eve the small counties down here in the southwest and clearly the bigger most populated counties. we will head back as we get a little bit more. at think were going to get more soon. we will get back to the billboard. >> these are very close races and they are tightening up as w watch these final numbers come in. let's take a look at what some of the folks were saying as the came out of the vote today in virginia. shannon bream is taking a look at our voter analysis, and as you sift through it, what is standing out for you? >> we are looking at a couple o key issues. education was taken a lot of attention the last couple weeks. he close the gap there in a lot of ways by winning decisively onto other issues brady's brady a former businessman economy voters is bonded to that he won them by a margin of 25 points a for those voters who they're to issue was education and the washington post the top issue here, he won them by an even bigger margin topping mc auliffe was 40 points. some of that was due to this over critical race theory. the critical race theory was th single most important factor those went for youngkin by more than 2-1. this is a state that went for president biden by ten points just year ago and where a majority of voters still hold a unfavorable view of former president trump meaning that youngkin is walking a fine line. winning the vast majority of people who still see him favorably while also near winning over nearly to in ten virginians who have an unfavorable view of the former president so they might not lik president trump, but they voted for youngkin. many of his best groups were those who went for president trump by wide margins last year big win for him was men come ou ives without college degrees, role voters and white tv in gel goals. now, he's picked up some momentum tonight with a big squint 32217. one example of that is the nearest. they went to the republican candidate for governor by just one point. this time around, they are breaking for youngkin by about 14 points. one less thing, a majority disapproves of the job the president biden is doing that i not been helpful for terry mc auliffe. something bad for democrats nearly two thirds think the country is on the wrong track, potentially that could be more bad news for mcauliffe as we wait and watch to see who the winner will ultimately be. at one point there was discussion within the mc auliffe group they were going to have folks like president biden come out they had all the big names come out the last couple weeks and we will see where it falls tonight when voters tell us in this analysis they don't feel good about the biden a ministration or the way the country is going that might not have been the right choice for the mcauliffe camp. i think we will know soon. >> here is a crazy fact. they're is a third candidate in this race in virginia. princess blinding, she received almost 22,000 votes and .7 percent. so that is something. that is 51-48.3 per janet, than you very much. this is fascinating to watch. let's get a lot of reports on the new jersey governor's race that we've been talking about. democratic incumbent trained to hold off the challenger and eri shawn is covering that race for as he's at murphy headquarters right now in asbury park, new jersey. what is the mood there, eric? >> the mood can be by the song they just played which is bridg over troubled waters. they wouldn't play that if that wasn't the feeling here some people have already started to leave. the mood is down because there could be a major upset in the making here in new jersey running for governor, the last two years of farming new jersey assembly men, he basically went after some of the major issues that have bothered people in ne jersey for years, taxes running against the incumbent governor bill murphy on the highest tax rate here in new jersey that is doomed previous democratic governors in the past you've only served one term the last time and new jersey democratic governor was reelected to the statehouse twice was back in 1997. also the subject on the issue o school curriculum and what parents can learn and white children can learn from parents has come up in this race. murphy has been criticized by over what is being taught at some of the local schools. you can hear some of the cheering now we expect the lieutenant governor to come dow and give an address. he was against defending the police. he ran on public safety and crime. he faced a new york legend, popular radio talk show host, the founder of the guardian angels. he said crime and public safety are important in the number one issue to bring new york city back here is what they said earlier tonight at their campaign headquarters. >> we are so divided right now we are missing the beauty of ou we have to end all of this division of who we are. >> i will tell you this. in the aftermath had single-handedly destroyed the city we love. >> single-handed. >> and pledging my support to the new mayor eric adams becaus we are all going to have to put together in harmony and solidarity if we are going to save this cd that we love. >> right now we are waiting for the lieutenant governor to come to the podium. you can hear they cheering behind me she will likely say it's not over as the flamed you genki and new jersey residents. and ain't over till it's over a. and it's not yet over. martha, back to you. >> it might not be over for som time. >> also interesting, boston elected its first woman, asian american as mayor to the boston mayor, so a lot of interesting elements. minnesota with the police referendum saying we don't want two defund the police come, but we want more police. >> as we've heard from people i those areas where the homicide rate has been skyrocketing in minneapolis and in the arm iron around minneapolis, so that is an interesting outcome there bright as we continue to watch these new jersey race and virginia race and as you say, there was going to be a female mayor the first female mayor of boston either way. >> let's talk more about some o the key races. this election night by joining us, political concerns and, the political editor of townhall.com . i was on your show earlier toda and there was a lot of indications that youngkin was going to do well. the indication and momentum was there. we have been called the race, but it looks like he's going to pull this off. your thoughts on this day and what it means? >> it's a great race with 96 percent of the votes counted in virginia so i feel like we haven't called it yet, but the math and the path for the democrats is basically more or less nonexistent at this point very talking to a lot of the to level people on the youngkin campaign get they said their numbers were perdita consistently for the past few weeks at plus three and look where we are right now pradip plus three. i went to that loudoun county really last night. the final rally of the campaign for glenn youngkin. i was struck by his messaging and the way that he appealed to really sauce of voters. probably between 1500 and to thousand people. it was biden plus ten, but in other states that are more closely divided in 2020 for example, that is a potent combination and looking for candidates who can do that i think is job number one moving forward for the republican party . i would encourage a lot of purple state republicans to study glenn youngkin, his rhetoric, his messaging, his restraint, his discipline study all of it because what he has done in virginia is pretty extraordinary. >> it's very interesting to watch great kevin, i want to bring you in here, that coalition that seems to have formed in virginia between suburban moms and school issue oriented parents and blue-colla southwestern virginians, what d you make of it? >> it is a great question. i think in every election it's either a base election or persuasion election and this wa a persuasion election. glenn youngkin ran a strong campaign. i think one of the key stories coming out of this evening will be the notion of biden and youngkin voters. folks that delivered the majority of congressional districts in virginia to the democrats in 2018, repudiated, trumpeted 2020, and most of those suburban counties as you've talked about throughout the night with bill on the wall and now flip back to glenn youngkin pro he spent $7 millio for example on a positive persuasion in support of his campaign before terry mc auliffe spent a dollar. he had really strong favorables and a lot of that exit polling that she has been talking about with these voters reaction to this. that was a really hard deficit, even though terry hammered home the idea that glenn was glenn was trumped, that wasn't necessarily the case in a lot o the mindsets of these voters as we are seeing this play out in the commonwealth. >> it was white women in virginia that was the biggest turn. biden one 50-49 over donald trump in 2020, and this race, white women, 57-434 youngkin over. >> if you look at the exit polls , they will still get finalized in the next couple of days, but this whole effort by terry mcauliffe to paint glenn youngkin as of donald trump. on the state of virginia. they have really second wind down in trump territory. this is what the republican contract what has come turn int a blue state in the last decade in particular. they're is a lot of lessons to learn there. it is quite an extraordinary evening in virginia. >> and the first black woman elected as lieutenant governor that is significant as well. >> and she is a very interestin player in this race very she wa born in jamaica, raised in the bronx, she is a u.s. marine, a very interesting up and comer political person to watch great if this goes the way it looks like it's going to go, she coul be the first woman, black woman lieutenant governor in virginia. but kevin, i want to ask you a question about president biden because i think he may have landed now from his trip and hi return from scotland right before he took off he said look whatever happens in virginia it's not a reflection on me or my agenda but when he lands, at the very least he's going to be told that these are two races that are much tighter than anyone anticipated. do you think you take something away from that? does he look at that and say maybe i have allowed the progressive wing of my party team will pull me to a place with the american people just aren't? >> that's a good point. i think there are some takeaways . i'm helpful this we'll be a wake-up call to democrats to actually do something and pass the bipartisan infrastructure package, pass the budget reconciliation act that will do so much for the american people because that's what they were elected overwhelmingly to do last november. they got to start delivering fo the american people beyond the great thing that came of american rescue package fred we not only have to do something, but we have to campaign on that. the fact that we're not talking about the fact that we cut childhood poverty and half in the last nine months since this administration has taken over, it's a big deal and we're just not getting that message out. hopefully this is a wake-up call . about a year before that to not only deliver for the american people, but campaign and get that message out. that's the key take away for th ministration emperor democrats at large. ngn with the atlantic braves winning the world series 7-0, that means that republicans in georgia also have something to celebrate tonight with the fact that a major league baseball took the all-star game out of atlanta in now they are the world champions. >> enjoy that, mister commissioner and welcome home, mister president. what a night. >> thank you very much. >> amen. >> a lot to process tonight. we're going to get analysis fro all kinds of folks. they've got their virginia call we have the new jersey call tha is tightening even still. standby. with voltaren arthritis pain gel. my husband's got his moves back. an alternative to pills, voltaren is a non-steroidal anti-inflammatory gel for powerful arthritis pain relief. voltaren, the joy of movement. ♪ [laughing and giggling] (woman) hey dad. miss us? (vo) reflect on the past, celebrate the future. season's greetings from audi. up to one million dollars. that's how much university of phoenix is committing to create 400 scholarships this month alone. if you're committed to earning your degree, we're committed to making it accessible. because we believe everybody deserves a chance. and sometimes one chance is all it takes to change everything. see what scholarship opportunities you may qualify for at phoenix.edu >> election night in america an we can say this it's a good night for republicans outperforming where they though they were going to be we just don't know how good of a night it is especially into states th commonwealth let's find out where the votes are coming in i the virginia race and the new jersey race. bill hemmer is back in forest. >> we're going to start, virginia,. just talking to her decision desk trying to get a fix on wha we're seeing and what were not seen. what were not seeing as a good handle on the early vote some o these larger counties. or that meal and vote that has not yet been fully counted and if you go back several hours, they ran some ballots through and then they ran through them again with delayed the county little bit, but then things started to really kick in up in fairfax county. what we can say is how much of the early mailing vote could have occurred in fairfax. the same thing for prince william. listen, that is three of 133 cities and counties. that's one of 133 cities and counties of these are not small areas also, they are democratic strongholds and because of that this margin of difference here less than 88,000 votes, we don' feel comfortable enough yet it may change at any moment you ma get a dump and at any second perhaps from northern, virginia and if that changes, we would b able to go ahead and fix our eyes on a potential winner here in virginia. right now, we just don't have the information yet great i wil pop up to major new jersey. there was a big dumb pure grade we were talking about essex a short time ago. that's where you find new work. there was a big dump there and murphy has a clear lead at leas in this county 73,000. now to be honest with you, this is bergen county, erg and count does not vote for republicans, at least not that we have seen now and there is a five-point lead, why do i say that? four years ago, in murphy's race , he won it easily by about 15 points in that county alone so the fact that he is hanging in there with a number like thi in northeastern, new jersey, would be very impressive and good news for him to try to kee this race close and two stay in that. i will just pop down to two mor and then you can fire away here. monmouth county, we knew he had a good number. it seems like he has done that down here in ocean county, new jersey. the better degree in new jersey at 68 percent, that's pretty good. let's see how all of this unfolds for this jury in new jersey the last time we talked democratic strongholds still ha a lot of vote out there, but some of this checked in here an essex, so maybe we have a bette fix at what is happening in new jersey now. the overall point on this, rais your hand if anybody predicted this margin of difference with just about three quarters of th vote like we are seeing in new jersey. >> we don't have voter analysis for new jersey but there was a lot of anecdotal evidence that the polls that were strong in the close and that late decider may have been leah was still learn just one other question. postmarked it by today, it woul be counted by friday. so it's actually too narrow. i don't know how many outstanding boats there are tha were mailed out but that could potentially be a factor. >> so 286,000 that they had received, and they had 107,000 that had not come back very tha had been asked for but had not come back. >> as of this morning. >> as of this morning. we don't know what that number is as of tonight. as of this morning. 107,000 ballots out there. >> you're right on the law, postmarked by today open by friday and accounts. at the postmark as the critical thing. engage a's like pennsylvania an my head. >> so am i. >> this is a commonwealth, and counting that they don't have the signature with the envelope that keeps the same. this was pennsylvania's deal once they separated it they had the ballot separate in the envelopes over here. than it gets really messy if yo have to go back and double chec where they are. >> just as we're talking here, this is the big number. when we set this sucker up here it was something we wanted to see between counties and within the state itself. right now, you just jumped up 4,000 votes, youngkin did. you just shy of 92,000 at this point in the night. just watching that. sorry, didn't mean to interrupt redgate this is the covid votin era, and it remains because those rules are still in place, so last time around you had about 100,000 plus people who decided to mail their ballot in in normal time, now you've got over a million ballots that you're dealing with. that were all mailed and. so it is a factor in how the orchestration and the accountin and all of it is obviously a twist. >> we should say to set the table that is a big number to overcome that separation even a you look in these counties vote still outstanding. it is possible, but you're stil looking at running the table if you are the mcauliffe people with all the numbers. >> absolutely to your point and we will see if they can do it you would have to pitch a perfect game at this moment. that is a big margin right now. how many male and votes do you have here in prince william? you are going to get 170,000 counted so far it could be higher than that. fairfax committee looking at th numbers here. in excess of 400,000 votes, and how many more could be out there ? that is something we can't determine. i would also say chesterfield county it's in a similar bucket. this is a good number. he essentially flip this county just from last november. .3 percentage points. just right and those. donald trump, so it now in 2021 this is it was his target, to take this suburb of richmond an bring it back to the republican party. he's going to win the county, but we can't say that. republican glenn youngkin is holding his leads. a commanding lead that's what recalling it at this point in the race that has been really amazing to watch over the last several weeks it has changed dramatically. we chase it back to august when the president had a lot of problems with that messy exit from afghanistan and when that' when the subject became so a lo of dynamics that have come to play in that state. we continued to take a look at this. we bring in one williams. and former utah congressman yur take when you look at these numbers, what do you see, and d you think that they are surmountable for the person who is still a bit behind. >> it is a huge number to overcome. i think the decision desk is making the right decision and not announcing the winner you had your eight i think terry mc auliffe has permeated the democratic democratic party, when your president wins this state by ten percentage points in one year later, you leaves the governor's race, which is right on the precipice of leasing, the attorney general's race, the lieutenant governor's race, perhaps the house of delegates, you are struggling i new jersey. these are blue states where democrats should have dominated and they brought in their big guns they brought in obama, the brought in biden, they brought in stacey abrams and they tried to close it all with vice president harris and it didn't do anything, in fact i think it reminded people that the last year has been abysmal on policy and it wasn't just the one policy, it was a lot of policy that push them back. >> morgan, what you think? >> just a couple of weeks ago i was on your podcast which all o our fox viewers said should listen to and we talked about two things i was looking at one was specifically the hispanic vote in virginia. these are just exit polls i'm looking at so there is variability, but one of them i saw was a 9 percent of hispanic voters in virginia were breakin for youngkin. as you talked about this evening , we have the first hispanic and the first immigran attorney general in virginia, s these are important as the gop has tried to around the country make more and more inroads with the hispanic community. i would also say one of the jus interesting antidotes from my conversation with this evening is how fired up gop women are about the new lieutenant governor and the in virginia. i am really seeing some enthusiasm amongst the new life that is being breathed into our party with the diversity of candidates. as we look at the virginia house , as doug osterman reported their state constitution for 50- 50 type. they're is no way to determine who is in charge of the chamber so that will be something interesting with all the blows now i think the democrats are ahead and buy at five crucial feet, so if this 50/50 tie holds , that will be interesting to see how that power-sharing goes on. >> your thoughts as you look at tonight when's we wait for the final numbers to commend. >> we live in the trump era, an you stop and think historically and say well, this is an off year election and the party in power often does poorly in not only midterms, but especially off year elections because thei voters aren't energized. at the thought was that g, it looks like so much democratic energy going in and given the last ten for biden in virginia last time, may be that would turn around. it turned around for the republican and they ran on a very polarizing culture wars issue with critical race theory. parents responded to a. he played it. he also played donald trump masterfully because i think in both virginia and new jersey, i think what we are seeing here i a lot of the cultural issues once trump was out of the picture. >> me let me put you back a little bit. they're we're people who will say critical race theory, not b that name, but in those schools a lot of people are standing up standing up for a reason to think they have problem with it. they're were real parents, real concerns. number two, what do you think the voters are saying in virginia and in new jersey tonight which wasn't even on th radar for a lot of people. this is not just a one off like they did look at the shiny thin over here, this is something, i says something, does it not? >> no, no, no, i absolutely agree it says something. we are in an off year election, but i think this says something and boy is it going to loudly like a boom in terms of democrats years because they ar going to take this as a shocker. they did not expect new jersey anyway, anyhow, and they had hopes that terry mcauliffe who is seen as a great political salesman, that's what you saw obama, biden, and here is in there. everybody went in there black community people, stacy abrams, they thought they could rescue him. they couldn't do it right so ye it will resonate freight in response to your earlier point about parents is i think it's almost like we are both parents it's almost like instinctive you're going to do something to protect your children. whether it's true or not and i know it's not true, people don' teach critical race theory in virginia schools, it doesn't matter at this point because youngkin said it and they believe it. >> so you think these parents were all fooled and that's what got them fired up and they went in there or you think it was because they were at home looking over their shoulders of their children and seeing what they were learning in school an they got concerned? why would they fabricate that concern, why would they make that up when a lot of them were independent voters, some of the were democrat voters, why would they do that? >> i don't think anybody had to fabricate anything. i think it's the case that they felt somehow that people weren' listening to them and they hear all this talk about critical race theory in there was anothe case by the way over whether or not you had to crawl and then there was a sexual assault case so a lot going on. >> there was a lot to. >> but for me, the kicker is if you play the culture wars issue and then for republicans, they can successfully get some residents, especially with suburbanites. i think our exit full showed that glenn youngkin the suburbs it specifically with white wome in the suburbs they came out to vote. i don't know if you could say the same about that democrats. >> we have to run quickly, jason , but does joe biden change because of this election? does joe biden change the way h operates? >> i think all the democrats have been tone deaf, if they don't understand that this is more than just about crt and some meeting in loudoun county, they are really really in deep deep trouble. as a republican, go ahead and take your time at getting there because this is a lot more than just about this it's about mean math, it's about mandates, it's about all of those things. >> thank you so much. >> we continue to monitor the governor races, very tight righ now. fox news at night with shannon bream continues our coverage after the break. don't settle for products that give you a sort-of white smile. try crest whitening emulsions... ...for 100% whiter teeth. its highly active peroxide droplets... ...swipe on in seconds. better. faster. 100% whiter teeth. shop crestwhitesmile.com. to make progress, we must keep taking steps forward. we believe the future of energy is lower carbon. and to get there, the world needs to reduce global emissions. at chevron, we're taking action. tying our executives' pay to lowering the carbon emissions intensity of our operations. it's tempting to see how far we've come. but it's only human... to know how far we have to go. up to one million dollars. that's how much university of phoenix is committing to create 400 scholarships this month alone. if you're committed to earning your degree, we're committed to making it accessible. because we believe everybody deserves a chance. and sometimes one chance is all it takes to change everything. see what scholarship opportunities you may qualify for at phoenix.edu welcome to fox news at night, i am shannon bream in washington. >> breaking tonight, much close to telling what could be a huge upset in virginia governor's race. no decision yet as the republican outsiders glenn youngkin given little chance th beginning has come rowing from behind what could be a shocking defeat, we are down to the fina

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