This is to mom nan we get used. Travelers with specialized insurance area, not necessarily subject to what is going on in this state. Dan leonard, senior meteorologist looking at what were looking at. Dan, the briefing, everything coming up, the president is alerted how prepared the state and States Affected will be. A lot depend how long irma sticks around, right . Obviously and exactly where the landfall is. We dont talk about the specific landfall point. We dont focus too much on that. In irmas case that is important, ill tell you why. If landfall is key largo or so, that drives a big storm surge up biscayne bay into the greater miami area. Miami is normally protected by the barrier island, miami beach, right . When symptoms come in the east like they typically do, you get a breakwater effect and cuts down on storm surge. With the storm coming from the south, you dont have that. It could be much worse situation in miami with a storm of this magnitude had it come into the east. That is why landfall point is so important for the greater miami area. It is about the storm surge. Looks like landfall is west of miami, which puts miami on the strongest, most eastern part of the storm, neil. Neil there could be variations of official predictions. Im so glad you emphasize that, i often get that wrong, but these predictions have swings of 80 miles or no more. That is average. That in the case of florida makes a big difference, doesnt it . Yeah of the absolutely. 80 miles talking difference between miami landfall and key west landfall. That makes all difference for greater miami. I will say this. There is latebreaking data coming in. The american gps model just came in. It looks like it did jog a little bit to the west. Looks like landfall west of key largo as opposed to key largo. Good news for the miami area, bad news for the keys and west. West coast we have to Pay Attention to naples mortgage miers area. Theyre closer to the storm track based on very latest data. Neil than, thank you very much for the update. Irma could impact were told every major city in the state of florida. Adam putnam, florida commissioner of agriculture. Thank you. Neil even as category two up near orlando, youre talking something that area has not seen. I can understand the effect here. So for those trying to leave harms way, how far north do they drive . Well thats the question unfortunately continues to evolve. At this point, georgia, alabama, care lines are being threatened. This is the worst possible path of state of florida. It doesnt matter if it wobbles to the left or wobbles to the right, palm beach, tampa, naples, st. Pete, fort myers, central florida, all the heartland will be impacted. At this point were looking at path like hurricane charley and hundreding up and churning up entire state. Entire state, 16 Million People are in the path of the storm. Jogging a little to the left or right over the next 48 hours doesnt change the fact that people need to evacuate, if their home can not handle significant Hurricane Force wind. And if possible, relocate close to home. Go to a shelter. Our roads are congested, as more people move north there, is limit what we can add to the load. Were asking people to take reasonable precautions, make sure that youre prepared to ride out the percent two or three days without, make sure you have the water on hand. Make sure you have the food on hand, the baby supplies, the pet supplies. Dont let the pet be reason why you dont evacuate. We have pet friendly shelters in florida. In aftermath, all the government, state, local federal is positioned to put florida back together, to rebuild communities as quickly as possible. Neil commissioner, thank you very, very much we appreciate you taking the time. Thank you, neil. Neil former democratic governor and congressman charlie crist. Good to have you. Thank you, neil. Neil how is it looking there . Im in st. Petersburg. It is like the calm before the storm, to be honest with you. It is beautiful day. Sun is out. We know what is coming. We have to be prepared and vigilant. Neil congressman, how do you play this though . If every city, you know, is potential target and every city is, stands to get even an indirect hit, im thinking all of those hundreds of thousands of evacuees, maybe into the millions by tomorrow at this time, where do they go . Do they go into georgia . Do they keep going north . How far north . All depends obviously. The closer the storm gets to us, neil, more precise the prediction comes as you know. It looks like it will have a good possibility of coming right up the spine of florida, right in the middle of the peninsula, perhaps. Although, you know. I remember back in 2004 with hurricane charley, it was coming up the gulf of mexico and predicted at that time to go directly into tampa bay. Then at last minute it takes a hard righthand turn and went into port charlotte, one miles south of tampa bay. You negative really know of these things. That is why it is so important to continue to watch, listen to local officials. Heed their warnings, stay in touch. Neil governor, how did you handle it in governor days . I talked to a lot of folks, with not exclusively elderly but more elderly residents who live in highrises, for example, many on the ocean and they dont want to go through the hassle of evacuation with medication and everything else, unsure how far to go, so they risk it . A lot feel being in a highrise, the chance of a highrise getting destroyed is slim, saying well stay exactly where you are. Im sure that happens when you were governor. I dont know how officials deal with that or convince them not to do that but what do you do . That is a very good question. You make a very good point. I was with the sheriff at Pinellas County at the Emergency Operations center and that came up. They issued an Evacuation Order for the lowest lying ground in st. Petersburgclearwater area. His point, the sheriffs point, this was a mandatory Evacuation Order. That was going out on local television, trying to make the point, to seniors and all others that this is not a joke. We have to take it seriously. We have to be, you know, smart in how we handle this and heed the warnings of local officials because safety is the most important thing. It is all about safety first and you know, whenever the warnings go out theyre only being made to keep people safe. Neil how do you prepare, there will be some destruction, we dont know how much, the straight made great inroads after andrew 25 years ago, in 1992. Yeah. Neil there is nothing assure as you know hurricaneproof construction but more hurricane resistant. As governor, you were championing that cause. Others have as well since. Yes. Neil im wondering, if there is a great deal of destruction, an even buildings and homes and businesses, that were reinforced with the tougher construction an they fail, then what. Well, you know, do the best you can to rebuild, obviously. But again, andrew taught us awful lot here in the sunshine state. After that occurred. Youre absolutely right, we significantly upgraded requirement for building codes so that our buildings, our structures, could with stand much more in terms of wind that a more power storm might pack, and so we are in much better shape today than we were back in the early 90s. Storm, i dont know if we ever seen one of this magnitude last this long. Neil yeah. So you just dont know, but you know, were resilient people in florida. Americans are resilient. Well be back and be back strong, regardless what happens. Well just take it day by day. Neil yeah, youre right. You are resilient people. Very fiesty at that. Governor, congressman, thank you for taking the time . Thank you, neil. Always good to be with you, sir. Neil same here. Well monitor all the developments. Tomorrow morning of course that is when at least first brushes of this storm could hit the florida coast. No way to know for sure. This much we know for sure. Fox will be with you every step of the way. Were live on fox news, 10 a. M. Eastern time through noon. As will entire network. We got you covered on this. The real human angle which is the most important at all, safety angle. An economic impact. What happens in that state, if it were stand alone country would be 8th most productive economic power on the planet as a standalone country. That is what is at stake economically. Well have more after this. You know how painful heartburn can be. For fastacting, longlasting relief, try doctor recommended gaviscon. It quickly neutralizes stomach acid and helps keep acid down for hours. Relieve heartburn with fast acting, longlasting gaviscon. 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That people come in droves, cap their tanks and left . I think the difference here probably not a panic. I think what were looking at is evacuations. People trying to get out of the way in the storm. In texas it was more of a panic. Here is there is so much advance notice, that motorists moving north. Interesting to look at the data but south florida was eppy center, stations running out of fuel is moving north. Seeing gainesville, jacksonville with, elevated outages. Neil i look at futures market for this stuff as im sure you do far better than i, i point out pat, aaa, lets go even before harvey and on average depending on the contract youre up even with a dip today from 25 to 30 cents more a gallon than we were dealing with even before harvey. How long does that stick . How honk does that kind of thing normally say . At wholesale level like you said were seeing a scaleback, and were within 24 hours to 48 hours seeing the National Average peak. Good news irma will not affect gas prices in the way harvey did. Florida motorists thankfully, not seeing any change in prices. Just small incremental increases. Thanks to wholesale prices going back down. Because refineries getting back on line after harvey. Which by the way the situation has improved. We used to a few days ago be concerned about refineries down for at least several weeks. Now looks like we may talk about days or a week or so, instead of those longer projections. Neil right. You know getting this to the mile is tough but this is taking a westward lean, that will be more to the west side of florida, the naples area, rather than palm beach area on the eastern side. If that, is far cry from going so far westward that youre back in the gulf again or is it . Im thinking with you and expertise with refineries and gas, that could be another whole bailiwick of troubles right . Looks like all models have nowhere near the Mississippi River being affected. It would have to go considerably west that looks with model run after model run, sure there is progression west. By the way, now were starting to see the western part of states rise in terms of disruptions as well. According to our gas tracker. So you know really looks at this point impossible to go far enough west where were talking any impact to gas price is knock on wood, whatever. Patrick, thank you for taking the time. My pleasure. Neil youre following stocks a little bit. Stuart is giving you an update. Were up 37 points. This is most incredible thing. Were looking at 10year yield. Price goes up, the yield goes down. It has been back and forth today. But that is back to where we were in the election last fall. In other words, were back to levels of november 2016. I say that because, separately getting indications on those betting another rate hike, little more than a month ago the betting was 75 rates would go up at least another quarter point before the end of the year, presumably at the december meeting of the Federal Reserve open market committee. A to expectation it will 30 pecs expectation. What changed . Could the hurricanes and slow down have any effect on that . Does Mother Nature wreak potential havoc on markets as a result . To gary b. Smith watching this, doesnt necessarily mean it last as while, but gary that this doesnt give any reason for the Federal Reserve to certainly consider tightening because if anything we could be seeing things slowing, do you agree with that . I do. I think you know during the obama years we used the word malaise a lot for the economy. Then trump got elected and there was a lot of excitement about the potential. Since then weve seen very little action. Health care failed, in my opinion, i dont think tax reform is going to get done. Neil wow. Add two hurricanes or more since were neil stop you there, sorry, buddy. Yeah. Neil you say tax reform will not get done. So obviously the impetus and lift you would get from it, if it were done is out of equation for gary b. Smith . Exactly. I think, for me the writings was on the wall, neil, i saw health care, which should have been a slamdunk, they should have had all the ducks lined up, that went nowhere. In fact it was a mess. Tax reform is exponentially harder. So to think that is going to get done, especially since trump doesnt seem to really have any allegiance to the Republican Party as witnessed by his past actions. I think there is going to be a heck of a lot of fighting, even if he was aligned with ryan and company, i just dont think thats going to get done and youre right, that removes a big carrot in front of the stock market. Neil you know you could flip it around the other way, gary, and say, well, we dont get tax cuts lets say this year. We have slow and steady growth, not great growth but i guess it beats no growth is the argument. The market will do okay with continuing earnings though maybe disney is telegraphing something that could be worrisome but what do you think of that . Thats a good argument. The flip side of it, i suppose, is that, i have always argued, say worst case possible, trump gets nothing done, and sadly he is on that path, but he does no harm, okay . Well make that assumption. Then we have slightly better conditions during the eight years of the obama administration, and then the market was up, i think, 125 . So if thats the case, well, maybe youre right. Maybe its not too bad. We just dont have the jet fuel for a dow 25,000, if you will. Neil how are you holding up in vero beach . That is where you are right now. Exactly. I dont think i have ever thought i know as much about Spaghetti Models and cones and website of the National Hurricane center. Im monitoring that thing, i guess it gets updated every four hours or so. For us, of course being on the east coast with the track moving slightly west, thats good. Of course florida is not that wide. Were only maybe, if it goes where it is now, 100 miles from the center, so, yeah, im worried. Neil be well. Hope your family is well. Thank you. Neil hang in there my friend, gary b. Smith. Gary was touching on it here, the president is staying and working with democrats to keep the government lights on another couple months. They approved that in the house. Its a done deal. He worked with democrats to get there and there is a great deal among frustration who republicans whether he sold husband soul to do it, and maybe sold the party down the river while he was at it. The fury on the right, after this. 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Hes green money, for spending today. Makes it easy to tell you apart. That, and i am better looking. I heard that. When its time to get organized for retirement, its time to get voya. I dont get it. I used to be a member of the House Freedom caucus and i remember arguing many, many times for shorter term debt ceiling increases. So, in many ways im surprised the rightwing of the has not been more receptive to this concept. Gives more time to make their case gives them time to have the debate in december. Neil that was budget director mick mulvaney, what treasury secretary Steve Mnuchin told maria bartiromo, yeah, we might have been a little shellshocked the president had with nancy pelosi and Chuck Schumer, to avoid a government crisis, keep the lights on through december an also provide Harvey Relief but it clears the debs for big things we want to do like tax cuts. Others say it will have the opposite effect. Conservatives are going nuts, attached to a debt ceiling measure, which is about overspending, they attach more spending. We can get into the weeds. Get a big picture, get an eye what is going on with our own charlie gasparino. What do you think . I hate to taught our competition, paul bell ga la of cnn, helped elect bill clinton twice, why this is a bad deal for republicans. He gloated a lot but there were nuggets of information. Think about it, three months, 90 days time, the republicans have to vote on the debt ceiling or congress has to vote on debt ceiling. In order to get the ceiling passed in three months, okay, you ne