The opportunity to hold back in these decades, the wall street journal reported that trump has changed his rhetoric regarding aid to ukraine, and it is unlikely that he will abandon it. Why, can we think to predict, just in case that if trump becomes a candidate for the presidency, the president , will he help us, or after all, will he not refuse the supply of weapons, the provision of Financial Aid to ukraine . I can tell you a simple thing not a single wall street journal journalist knows what donald trump will do as president of ukraine, and neither do you, because by and large , what donald trump will do in the position of the president of the United States, only one donald trump knows, and he knows one thing today, tomorrow he knows something else, this a person with a chaotic political mindset, which is dictated by circumstances and sociology, and it is absolutely obvious to me, too, that trump. Will not go to the congress and say you know, we have to refuse aid to ukraine from today, for one simple reason if he wants to have some dialogue with vladimir putin, regarding the end of the war, he is definitely not the kind of person who wants to conduct a dialogue with a weak position, if we do not help ukraine, let it go to hell, why should we talk to him, you can so . What is his dialogue partner . Well, that means im quietly occupying ukraine, im reaching uzhhorod, why should i talk to you, about what . Well, these are absolutely obvious things, so of course, if he has the idea of a dialogue with putin and an agreement on some points there, even a silent dialogue, he will continue this process, think about it, he will want to continue this process, it is not known to what extent. It will work, but we have to remember a simple thing again the president of the United States alone does not decide anything, there is a congress, and everyone is about it for some reason they forget, there will be congressional elections, there will be a republican or democratic majority in various houses of parliament, imagine a Democratic Administration and republicans who have a majority in the house of representatives and the senate, this is one america, imagine a Republican Administration with a democratic majority or with a republican one. No one knows this, at one time, i want to remind you, in the 70s of the 20th century, when the republic of vietnam, South Vietnam, the United States practically disappeared from the political map of the world absolutely did not want this, and the president of the United States, gerald ford, and the secretary of state of the United States at that time , henry kissinger, they really wanted to help vietnam, they prepared all the documents the next time, well, the senate did not declare. This was not to their request, and that, and the troops of the vietnamese communists entered the saigon, the americans had to organize an evacuation in one day, something on 80 helicopters, they were not even going, because they were sure that the senate would vote, and the president told them, listen, where are you going . Hurry up, everything is under consideration by the senate, well , there was no consideration, that is, the consideration took place already when there was nothing to consider, so again, when we talk about all these. Processes, we must remember that they are complex, that its not worth it for us to just sit and wait exclusively for the help of the United States, that we are different from South Vietnam . Firstly, the fact that we did not have foreign troops that could be withdrawn from us, we are fighting alone and will be fighting alone for the next few years, and secondly, this is what helps us not only america, that there is a position of European Countries, but we were just talking about the fact that. The militaryindustrial complex of European Countries is being strengthened there, which means that it will be produced more, there will be more weapons, there will be more strikes on russian territory, there will be more russian strikes on ukraine. This is an escalation, only you can see it, it is building up, there will be more strikes, there will be more opportunities to help us, because we understand that if there is more destruction there, European Public opinion will be different if the war subsides, she ceases to be interested in it, if the fire breaks out, it will burn out, then, then there will be more help from the allies, when i heard this thesis from the wall street journal, for some reason i immediately thought about the voters, that here. Trump wants to play with such way with the voters, because in American Society there is a lot of support for ukraine, and withdrawing aid or blocking it can, well, he can lose trust, i think in that vector, or after all, well, among the republicans , all this is not as obvious as among the democrats, among the republicans, such obvious support for ukraine, which was in the first period of the war, is not observed sociologically, but. Support for israel is observed, it is absolutely, and trump is playing different games here, he is not absolutely here either, lets say this concretely, so he is not really afraid of the voters, he basically says what he thinks, here is the American Voter , it is the republicans who support israel, this is the voter who focuses on the rightwing israeli parties, these parties that are currently in the government coalition, but trump absolutely calmly talks about his difficult relationship with israeli Prime Minister benjamin netanyahu. Absolutely calmly criticizes him, and it is not visible that he is paying much attention to sociology, he simply understands the obvious thing that these people who will vote for him, they will vote for him so that he does not speak. Trump is the man who once said he could stab someone in manhattan and his voter wouldnt notice, its true. How important it is for him to get an additional voter, it is important, he is not without it will not win the election, but this is definitely not the kind of voter who thinks about ukraine or israel. That voter, who may be one way or another with economic problems, is seriously concerned, it is also important to him, this is also an important thing, not so much to find his voter, but to scare voters away from joseph biden so that these people do not go to vote, so lets say that biden is interested in order to stop the war in the middle east now, trump, in order to continue it, because the continuation of the war, of course. And these Republican Voters to trump, but is turning some of the democratic voters away from biden, and its very difficult for biden, hes actually on a tightrope, because he needs to be his own for this audience that says help israel, and on the other hand , his for this audience that says he s suffering the civilian population of palestine and i dont think it can cost him the presidency, but the possibility exists, its a serious screwup and hes in a worse situation than trump because hes a voter. Trump is unambiguous, he does not go to propalestinian demonstrations. Regarding the election, there was information that biden may withdraw his candidacy in favor of michelle obama. I immediately thought that, well, in my opinion, this is not a very good step, because since it cannot, if there are voters who are ready to vote for biden, then, for example, they will not vote for michelle obama. What can you say about this, nothing, its fake information, it doesnt even need to be discussed. Somewhere at the beginning of the company , they said Something Like that, but they immediately understood that in principle there are no electoral advantages, so what i dont understand where it came from, that is, why spiegel started talking about it at all, but it seems to me that its just that our german colleagues wanted more clicks on their page, more sales of the magazine, it doesnt have any, its not has nothing to do with politics, it refers to how the spire sold out in the newsstands of the federal republic of germany, you see, i also bought into it, although i love it. Information usually, but still, is it possible to replace biden, or after all, biden will not what is impossible will be until the end, there will be biden and there will be trump, it is clear what will happen, who will win, we do not know, but they will be candidates for the position of president of the United States, today we already talked about the visit of the chinese leader to various countries, he was and in serbia, and in france, and i stopped by orban, what does china want with these, these visits and. How was ukraine here in conversations with orban, with macron , and with buchic . I think that ukraine was not of great importance to shizen ping in these visits, because he dealt with ukraine lihoi, who at the very time when orban and vucic and macron were greeting each other, visited the capitals of the countries of the global south and talked with the diplomats of these countries. A new chinese peace plan that could destabilize the summit in switzerland. In general, it seems to me that they acted in the best traditions of communist diplomacy. Sidzempin simply covered luhois visit, no one followed him. Who did not follow, especially, he was kept a deep secret, we learned about all the details of this visit when he returned to lihodei to leave, at that time everyone was watching at the hands of sidzimpin, such a common political trickery, very well thought out, instead of sending him there, when i will be here and all the soffits will be directed at me, but imagine that sidzimpin was not in europe. There begins a visit to arab countries, in turkish, everyone would only talk about it, but no one even noticed, they noticed already when it became clear what had happened. As for sidzhenping, sidzhenping has two tracks in europe. The first track is related to economic relations with france, germany, and the main countries of the European Union. It must be understood that china, like russia, does not take europeans very seriously. Project, and we saw that even when Emmanuel Macron and ursula fondelein were in beijing, the attitude towards them was different, even protocolwise. And now, when ursula fondelein arrived in paris to meet sidzempin, the main character there was macron for sidzempin, ursula fondelein is one of the interlocutors during this visit, so china is trying to establish economic relations with france and germany. Words are used macron about strategic autonomy, but there is another thing, this is serbiahungary, why . Because there are countries that can and are lobbyists for chinese political interests in europe. Hungary is generally an excellent example, because the president , he can count on orban as a person who represents chinese interests in nato and the European Union. It is altogether paradoxical that orban manages to make such. Maneuvers, and with serbia it is a historical thing, it is simply an emphasis of how it is possible, because serbia is a historical ally of the peoples republic of china, when the soviet union and the people s republic of china were in a sharp conflict, they actually had no real relations between them, there was no meeting at the highest level, the embassies of the two countries were just like fortresses and there were border conflicts where they killed soviet. Chinese border guards, then the socialist the federal republic of yugoslavia, in fact, the only one of the European Countries, socialist, socalled, including romania, it seems to me, but more cautiously, did not break ties with either beijing or moscow, and the president of the then yugoslavia josif brostita was the mediator between china, china was not recognized by the west at that time, was recognized as the legitimate government in taiwan, and by the west, and the president of serbia oleksandr. Vucic, he tried to recreate the atmosphere of titoera belgrade during his visit to sidzimpin. Everyone said listen, this is very similar to how it was when the chinese leaders came to us. Thats why this is also, this is an actual signal in such a chinese style. It can be like that, in general, there can be such a europe that will be friends with us serbia and hungary, this one the list is not complete. There is belarus. Alexander lukashenko goes to this dzimpin all the time. And in fact, sijin ping is the only leader in the world who can guarantee his sovereignty, if putin tells lukashenko that everything is unifying, then the only person to whom lukashenko can fly to and say i dont i want to unite, i want to be the leader of belarus for the rest of my life, there is sidzempin, there is no one else, he, well, who else does he appeal to, no one will protect him, there are other countries, there is slovakia, she can already take this path, parliamentary president ial elections were held in North Macedonia. Which by and large ended with the victory of the eurosceptics, the parties that were always against compromise with the neighbors, who declared it, who are now declaring it, and i will tell you honestly that these compromises that the European Union offers to North Macedonia are insulting compromises, thats all one thing, if we were offered to join the European Union, lets say, make russian the state language and write it into the constitution for. Moreover, with this idea of special rights there the russian language and everything and the status of donbass, thats why they said that without it there will be no European Union, this is practically what North Macedonia is experiencing, first in its dialogue with greece, now in its dialogue with bulgaria. We dont like your name, we do nt like your interpretation of history, we dont like how you perceive your national origin, change it, its completely against the standards of the European Union, but in. North macedonia, even the big countries of the European Union, saying that this is a compromise, it is imposed, well, as a result those who say we dont need all this have won. So, if the european integration of North Macedonia, which is a member of nato, will be blocked. North macedonia can easily be another country with large chinese investments, montenegro, which is also joining the European Union, but what about the essentially proserbian government, where there is a prorussian speaker of the parliament, another such country, and we are now waiting for parliamentary elections in bulgaria, which sets the conditions for North Macedonia, you know, the house that jack built, but with with this, the authority of the prorussian forces increases every day, bulgaria has a prorussian president , and it can be, we already have many potential candidates for this chinese europe, hungary, serbia, macedonia, montenegro, half of yugoslavia, and belarus and bulgaria, by and large a little more and sidzen pin will create the balkan federation, which yosif brostito so dreamed of at the beginning and end of the forties of the 20th century, in connection with which he quarreled with stalin, only stalin does not have it now. This is putin who will do whatever shizen ping tells him, ie the situation is absolutely perfect and it is very dangerous. And what else are the balkan countries currently not planning to join, that is, as you said, to unite in this balkan, balkan union, what will happen to them, and the other balkan countries are Still Holding on, but again , its just that croatia did not win that Political Force that is ready for such and such a change of course, it simply did not win the election, but in. About the russian president , he simply did not win the election to become the Prime Minister and the head of the new government. In slovenia, quite a serious impact prochinese prorussian forces, and this is a small country and it is not geographically located where it can afford it, but in principle it is also possible, if we look at the entire map of the former yugoslavia, we will see a fixation of chinese influences, by the way, this is the same may also apply to georgia. If russian influences increase, but cannot be legalized, chinese plans can be legalized. Now lets look at ukraine. Well, imagine, the war is over, someday, lets not say when, complete economic ruin, the infrastructure is already all destroyed, there is not so much population left, well , god forbid, 30 million, 25, well, the entire territory is mined, we are leading. Talked about joining the European Union, and it turns out that no one wants our agricultural products, no one wants to reduce any restrictions, it is very difficult for us to develop the economy, where we want to go, well, viktor orban will explain everything to us, our president , who will be the president for the time being , and of course, we will normalize relations with. Moscow, as is done by all countries that want chinese investments, but i hear very often from our compatriots, that there is such a chasm between us and russia, which will not be covered by this terrible war for many decades, this is an illusion, lets look at the experience of georgia, if you just want to somehow find some money to survive, the Ukrainian Government will explain that of course russia is the aggressor, it the enemy, there were murders, there were atrocities, but she is nearby. No one gave us Real Security guarantees at the border, we have to somehow survive, here china offers us a lot of money, they will not restore diplomatic relations with russia, just russian businessmen under the chinese flag will buy up everything that is bad here, a