With complexes, although in general they are capable of shooting down all types of missiles, because it was confirmed by the conclusions of the institute, the Scientific ResearchInstitute Forensic examination that both zircons that recently flew over kyiv were shot down, that is , there are no problems with shooting down, the problem is with the number of antiaircraft missile systems, ah, which we can use to. Destroy these enemy hypersonic missiles, that is and on the terminal last they are no longer hypersonic, like daggers, and that is why we, that is why these complexes, i listed them, patriot same, they are able to knock them down and knock them down effectively, this does not mean at all that the russians are not improving their weapons as well, how much since the beginning of the great war we see about. In the improvement of the weapons that the russians had at the beginning of the great war and now, that is, as sad as it sounds, but the russianukrainian war is probably the best Training Ground for them to test their missiles and their weapons, well you understand what the situation is, they, when they had no money, they actively developed various systems, but they saw the jdm system, yes, the american one, yes. Bombs with modules there, which allow you to turn a regular bomb into a guided bomb, as they say, the americans did it, the russians made an analogue, they made, for example, jadem, a winged bomb, the same bomb as jadem, but already with wings and with a longer range, the russians also did it, they did not start serial production, but they made such a variant, and they did. Several options, so when they felt that the war was, well, becoming protracted, longterm, they pulled out all these quickly, all these projects that only passed the stage of initial tests, and very quickly, very dynamically began to implement their production, so here they outnumber us by two heads, but everything is very fast with them, they work on military rails. The entire industry, both civilian and military, because they immediately fulfill orders, in them nonfulfillment of state defense orders is subject to criminal prosecution, you understand, the management, the enterprise that did not fulfill the state defense order, it can go behind bars, everything is very strictly, very clearly controlled, because the russians have always been able to produce means. Means of destruction, they could not do something peaceful like that, there is a tv, a smartphone, there is a coffee maker , yes, well, but with the means of destruction, they were all right, and now they are confirming their reputation, that is, that the only thing that works well in them is an industry that can create bombs, missiles, everything, that is, everything for destruction people, the destruction of their own kind, thank you, mr. Valery, for talking to you, it was valery romanenko, an aviation expert. Leading researcher of the state aviation museum. Friends, we work live on the tv channel, as well as on our youtube and facebook platforms. During the program, we conduct surveys. Today we ask you whether ukraine needs diplomatic relations with lukashenkas belarus. Yes, no, everything is quite simple on youtube. If youre watching us on tv, pick up your smartphone or phone and vote. If you believe that ukraine needs diplomatic relations with in belarus lukashenka 0800 211 300. 71 no 0800 211 382 all calls to these numbers are free, call, at the end of the program we will sum up the results of this vote. Mykhailo is our next contact. Tamus, a military expert, Deputy Director of the Army Conversion and Disarmament Research center, director of the new Geopolitics Research network. Mr. Mykhailo, i congratulate you, thank you for being with us today. I congratulate you. Just before the broadcast, it became known, mr. Mykhailo, that president zelensky signed the law on the creation of an electronic the register of obligees and on reducing the age of citizens who can be mobilized. That is, from 27 to 25 years, almost 10 months ago , this law was adopted by the Verkhovna Rada of ukraine. Zelensky did not sign this law, he signed this law, now the actual mobilization resource is increasing in order to call up the ukrainian army. Well, in addition, president zelensky signed a law that removes limited fitness. Now with such circumvention of the tsk and the armed forces of ukraine, what are these laws and signed laws, the effect of these laws, what does this mean, how will it affect the armed forces, mobilization, opportunities and expansion of this mobilization base . Well, in principle, there is a linear dependence here, of course, that when from 27 to 25 years it is transferred and decreases. Age of mobilization, then the base of mobilization increases, everything is clear here, regarding, again, the electronic register, i would honestly wait for the main mobilization law, which will manage the processes in this area, and of course, the electronic register is one of the basic elements of the new law on mobilization, because just this electronic register, it will provide the same transparency, the same fairness that everyone is constantly talking about. When it comes to mobilization, so that it is as fair as possible for all sections of the population, there were no special or nonspecial people in this process, and of course , just the transfer to electronic, to electronic form of the same paper folders, he will create those conditions for the new law to start working effectively, well, that is, i understand correctly, now our men will be divided into two. Categories suitable for service in the army and unsuitable, that is, there will no longer be limited suitability there, those who can be taken into military service, now everyone will be in military service, and people who are disabled, well, they simply will not to enter the zsu. Well, in fact, in peacetime, there are regulations regarding those with limited fitness and those who are fit for military service. In wartime, in a special period, of course, this is a different situation, and again, i want to emphasize that as far as i know, it can be carried out recertification of those people who had a decision of the vlc regarding limited suitability, they will go through all these procedures again, this will be done in order to avoid the possibility of corruption schemes that have been implemented during the last years. It has been known for some time that not everything there was clean, and therefore, in principle, this process, which will already take place under the new law on mobilization, including these issues will be regulated in relation to the vlk and the categorization of those categories of the population that are subject or not subject mobilization, including for health. For now, mr. Mykhailo, the mobilization law, or the law on mobilization, is only being prepared. The second reading of 400 amendments will begin in the Verkhovna Rada on april 10, but at the same time president zelenskyi says that the russians are preparing a new offensive, and this offensive may begin in june, in mayjune 2024, it is clear that this statement of the president of ukraine was partly addressed to our western partners, ukraine needs weapons, ukraine needs. Finances, ukraine needs help, but what can this offensive be and what to expect from him, because it is clear that the russian army is now advancing, just when zelensky emphasized that there could be a bigger offensive, does this mean that they will go there from the northeast, from other cities, or enter from the north ukraine and thus try to attack. Ukrainian army . Well, i will say right away that in principle, if you count and impose all the necessary measures that must be implemented in order, for example, to create a strike group. In the northern direction, that is, on the territory of belarus in fact, or from the northeast, including part from the territory of belarus, and part, for example, from the belgorod region, then, in my opinion, they will not have enough time to create this group of 100200 or more thousand military personnel by may or june, that is, we can talk about, for example, if we are talking about the possibility of creating such groups for the preparation of such operations, this. After all, it is either the end of summer, or still closer to autumn, or to the end of the year, if we estimate at all such probability as to other measures because when we are talking about may, the end of may, june of the new offensive, we are still talking more about the directions of kramatorskslovyansk in the donbass and the ughledar direction, these are the directions that russia determines after all. For themselves as priorities for the implementation of the same main task, which no one has canceled, that is, the kremlin is still trying to completely occupy donbas, and if they succeed in this by the end of the year, then they would put it forward as an argument for the new president of the United States that look, we are moving forward, ukraine will lose, so lets stop this war after all, we are ready, the conditions are russian, they are known, demilitarization, denazification. Neutralizing ukraine and banning it from joining nato, and, of course, these territories that are already occupied, they remain with russia, that is, that is russias plan, but judging by everything, they will not be able to carry it out, because, well, i mean occupy donetsk Luhansk Region is completely and possibly a piece of zaporizhzhya there, as they plan to bite off, and most importantly, well, if , again, we calculate what russia is preparing. And shoigu obviously spoke about this openly, about the fact that they will create new divisions, even a new district and so on, they need in addition to personnel, when they say that russia will now recruit 300,000 military personnel, well, they can recruit through contracts, for account of the zetas, or even a partial mobilization of 300 and even 500 thousand people, but the question is about equipment, after all, about a division. This is still a state staffing schedule, including weapons and military equipment, which russia simply does not have physically, they bear huge losses, that is the latest events at the front, when they threw, to be honest, it is very difficult to find logic here, maybe they wanted to take it by storm and break through the defense, when they threw more than 30 tanks, or a couple of dozen bmps in order to break through the front, they did not succeed, and suffered, just as you showed this video, they suffered huge losses, so. That is, more than 30 tanks is more than one tank battalion, so to throw it in one direction, small, and with very little prospects, you can imagine how many they need equipment, how much resources do they need, to really occupy the Donetsk Region , including kramatorsk, slavyansk, and break through in the uglydar, zaporizhzhia direction, well, these are simply colossal resources with which the Russian Defense industry simply cannot physically cope. Obviously by the end of the summer, unlikely, maybe by the end of the year, that is, they do not have a time schedule, i think that the key point here is, again, why they are talking about it now, and why they are acting like this at the front, in including obviously they understand what they have there is a certain lag, a certain gap, until the United States has decided to restore aid after all, they are trying to use this time to the maximum, normally throwing resources based on their such russian maybe, but now maybe we will throw everything away, the ukrainians will fall asleep, and then, if the United States will not restore aid, here comes trump, and in principle we will not need so many tanks or other armored vehicles, so they are now trying to throw in the maximum amount of resources in order to achieve maximum success and to create the conditions for that big offensive, if. The states do not restore aid, if the aid is restored, a full range of weapons will be provided, for example, for the f16, because let me remind you, the planes will be from europe, the f16, but the range weapons and we need a lot of this nomenclature, after all, it is american and here without american help it will be very difficult, if the americans return to the formation, lets say so, then the russians can still count on success in. Their offensive plans, i i dont think so, and here is the speaker of the state department of the United States of America Matthew miller said that america is worried. Strengthening cooperation between russia and china, and therefore made it clear that against any support by china, the russian federation, we will listen to what Matthew Muller said. We have made it clear that we are concerned about the fullfledged partnership we are witnessing between russia and china. We have made it very clear that we are against china taking any steps that would help support russian aggression in ukraine, and we will. Continue to make it clear. Mr. Mykhailo, perhaps not a military issue, but, lets say, a militarypolitical one. Why do our western partners and the United States of america not talk about how they see the defeat of russia in this war, that is, they constantly say that they will not allow the defeat of ukraine, but what should be the defeat of russia, that is, in the understanding of our western partners, for them to say, well. Yes, putin has been defeated. Well, such a paradox is emerging now that in europe, it seems to me, it is already closer to understanding that this country, which exists within the borders of the russian federation, must cease to exist. In any case, this regime must be destroyed, and this can entail already destructive processes inside the russian federation, and in europe, for example, these statements by macron and other french ones. They already make it clear that it is not easy, for example, there is help to ukraine by troops, it is after all the participation of france or European Forces in certain destabilizing measures, which will already be on the table when something happens in russia, because in reality no one is going to fight for the ukrainians, but when processes begin that will begin to threaten global, and especially european, security, including, for example, the disintegration of. Russia, it will threaten if this process is launched and not to interfere in it, it can threaten the real European Security directly. The United States, in any case , the Biden Administration, unfortunately, is still under illusions, and this, among other things, consists in certain semantic constructions of its own, which are, or live, well, the same salevan or the director of the cia, who kept the eyes. In relation to russia, since the cold war, when it was believed that the United States of russia could exist in a war, in the cold war, on gentlemans terms, but not cross any red lines, until now this is deescalation rhetoric, this is talk about the inadmissibility of strikes on oil refineries, this all of these, i would say, phantom pains in the Biden Administration since. Wars, now is not the cold war, now there are no gentlemen, now in power in russia is a bloody regime that cannot can be compared even with the soviet regimes, therefore, unfortunately, the Biden Administration will probably never get out of these illusions, and we will see in what, in what state the next, next administration of the United States will be, but unfortunately, here is the Biden Administration still maintains the main, lets say, narrative of not allowing escalation, not allowing a direct confrontation with russia, what the most powerful country in the world might be afraid of in a confrontation with putins bloody regime, i cant understand if ukrainians can fight with russia, but the United States cannot, it is absolutely not subject to any logic, it is going and i will repeat it again, the phantom pains of the cold war, when there is no mutual destruction, mutual deterrence and so on. Since there is no mutual deterrence, mutual destruction, these are completely Different Countries from different eras. You said that you slandered that the next administration, you do admit that trump will be elected instead of biden as the president of the United States of america, but with the arrival of trump, will the situation change, including regarding the attitude towards ukraine, regarding the allocation of money, because we see, even before the preelection. Campaign , trump made a lot of different statements, he also made about the fact that i will stop this war in 24 hours and put putin and zelensky at the transition table and that i will not give money and this war will happen very quickly ends, you kind of predict what might happen after trumps victory and how many safeguards are in place in the United States of america to prevent him from doing what we fear. Lack of weapons, lack of aid and pushing for the surrender of ukraine. Yes, indeed, there is one of the main factors, here it is lowprognostic. Ness of trump had the predictability of his administration at this point, that is, i, for one, believe that everything depends, again on us, if we can conduct successful operations in the 24th year on the front, it will create conditions where trump will believe that that it is more profitable to help ukraine than, for example, to make concessions to putin, they can explain it to him that way, because he thought. To fairly simple constructions, is it advantageous or disadvantageous to the United States, is it advantageous to its administration, its political position, or disadvantageous, for example, he has clear, very clear and specific, lets say, stereotypes and approaches in relation to china, and here in fact the most important thing for him is that it will still be the chinese direction, he will be very harsh towards china , why now the chinese, for example , are very nervous and are trying to reach certain agreements with. Europe, it is u