In favor of russia is recorded with ammunition, apparently saving missiles for likely future attacks. According to your forecast, what will the Winter Campaign be like and what can we expect from the enemy in the coming cold months . Well , the risks of missile attacks on objects are high energy infrastructure, this will all be preserved. It can be seen that the enemy is accumulating, they need more time, and they are trying to accumulate these volleys, in particular, they use drones for reconnaissance, to detect our air defense equipment, for overstrain, exhaustion, as they think, but the Ukrainian Forces are also preparing, and the west is very well understands that we need additional pppo systems. Now its about providing defense assistance, well, thats the number one issue now for ukraine, strengthening our capabilities. Russian capabilities for the year, compared to the previous one missile terror against. Our Energy Resources have not increased significantly, they remain at about this level , unfortunately, that is, they have not decreased, it must be understood as significantly as we would like, but our capabilities from the point of view of air defense have increased, we still do not have 100 what we would like to receive and what we need to increase the effectiveness of our work, but we constantly receive additional funds from our partners and increase our capabilities. For this, under such a situation, i do not think that russia is capable of achieving some greater result than they did last year, but everyone must understand that the risks for energy facilities, critical infrastructure, the nearest period of time, these threats will really be high, so we must prepare, think about how we will survive another such explosive winter, thank you for being with us today, this is oleksandr mosienko, head of the eyelash center. Of legal studies, now a short pause and a news release, cheerleaders approaching victory, help the child, dont fall into a trap on the internet. The first and main rule is to talk to yours children about Cyber Security. Dont be a controller and dont ban. Be the adult who helps and protects the child. The prohibition method does not work, trust is effective. Read more tips in the Cyber Security section of the dovidka website. Info. Lets go together. From 5. 5 to over 6. 5 million ukrainians are currently fleeing the war abroad, and only 41 of them definitely plan to return. These are the results of the research of the center of economic strategy. It is clear that the loss of millions of educated and experienced people will be one of the biggest blows for ukraine during reconstruction how can it be avoided or at least mitigated . We will speak with an expert on longterm strategies. And evgeny hlibovytskyi, director of the promov Analytical Center. Mr. Yevgeny, thank you for visiting. Good day. I would like you and i to start with how we should correctly formulate the problem, because if the problem is formulated incorrectly, then the solution will lead to the wrong place. We understand that the war will not end tomorrow or in a month, it will continue for some time, which no one knows. Every month, every year of the war, it is even less people who want to return to ukraine from abroad. And in such conditions, in the conditions of the internecine war. What do you think we should focus on, strategies for the return of ukrainians abroad, or life plans in a country with a population of 25 million, 27 million. You see, it is very difficult to talk about numbers, first of all, because ukraine has not had a census since 2001 population, and in short, the short window of opportunity , which was to conduct a Population Census immediately after the president ial and parliamentary elections of the 19th year, was erased, and as a result, we do not have a starting point points, we do not know from which number we count, from 39 million, 37, 35, 42, as a result, we operate with a very conditional, well, point, point of reference, further, due to many circumstances, we also cannot say exactly how many people left, that is, the delta between different estimates also reaches millions, and this practically means that any prediction is accurate, it turns very quickly into speculation, it is important for us to win the war as quickly as possible, i am not saying stop the war, i am not saying end the war it is important for us to win the war, it is an existential one war, and stopping that war could have catastrophic consequences for our future, so winning a war is more important than the duration of the war, but the Long Duration of the war has a terribly traumatic effect on our culture, and it is part of the problem that our western partners, it is postponed in the culture , it deepens the historical trauma and, according to all of us, it will be rehabilitated later, leaving the war in the state of an effective market economy, an effective democracy, a capable country that will be able to be attractive. If we if we talk about the return of those people who left, then most likely, the return of these people will not solve the problem for us, because even with these people in ukraine, we had a catastrophic drop in the birth rate. Very high mortality rate and together these two facts made it possible for people from other cultures, from other countries, from other religions, from other, i would say, very distant identities, to be able to pave their way, their path to the ukrainian identity by choice, and the actual key question is whether we will be attractive enough, and thats actually being sufficiently attractive means being a country with a growing economy. It means protected property rights, it means a judicial system that works and so on, it means a country that is democratic, we will have a lot of temptation to go into an authoritarian model immediately after the war, it means a country that is not afraid to open up, not afraid to open ourselves to competition in particular, it means that we are not afraid that someone who will come will be able to do Something Better than us if we dont. Then we are in for a slow degradation, and this degradation will at some point become dangerous for national security, first of all, because if there are enclaves with a small population inside ukraine, then in the conditions of large migrations that we will have in the 21st century, and ukraine is a country with four seasons, with available water, attractive agricultural lands and so on and so forth, one can simply expect that at a certain point, either by fraudulent. Way or external aggression or in some other way, ukraine will lose control over various parts of its territory, that is why population density is important to us, the efficiency of the ukrainian state is important to us, it is important to us that ukrainian culture and ukrainian identity can take a deep breath and spread its wings. But what you described, talking about attractive ukraine, which should attract people to itself. Rule of law, security , democracy, diversity, well, this is a description of conditional germany, and the question arises why a woman who has placed her child in a German School and already has security, the rule of law has everything, why should she give it up and return to ukraine, if the simple desire to live in her own land is removed in brackets , i would say that because it is easier to become a ukrainian than to become a german, and for this it is not necessary that two, three four generations, i would say the same, because most likely, given the way our political culture is formulated, we will have simpler rules than in germany, they will be easier to adapt to, and those with a more entrepreneurial flair, it will be more interesting for them to try themselves in ukraine than, for example, in germany, so i assume that it will find a way to demonstrate its advantages, but you formulated the question very precisely, because ukraine will compete for talents with more diverse countries, with more protected countries, with countries where social standards, standards and guarantees are more established, and accordingly, then the question will arise, what can we offer that is really attractive, and here i would also say that it is very important that we are attractive to the whole, the set, the identities and cultures to come to us people from both the west and the east. Both from the north and from the south, in other words, so that we get used to the fact that there will be a mix of cultures here, after all, this is not a new phenomenon for ukraine, if we look with you at such a phenomenon as cossacks, then we see scots there, we see people there who are of polish origin, from some scandinavian peoples, and so on, and so on, that is, we see that in fact this mix was here, i am currently researching the history of the ukrainian south and we have nogay people there, and mennonites, therefore, german colonists and so on, and so on, that is, we also have a huge number of different cultures there, i am not talking about autochthons such as, for example, the Crimean Tatars, well , that is, ukraine has always been a multicultural country, ukrainians and Crimean Tatars lived well in crimea , the ukrainians spoke crimean tatar, the Crimean Tatars understood the ukrainian alphabet, russia and the soviet union were engaged here, destroying everything, there is one important thing that we often someone. Relative to the Crimean Tatars, which is worth mentioning, the presence of the Crimean Tatars as an Indigenous People of ukraine, that is, a people with indigenous rights, the Crimean Tatars have no other homeland outside of ukraine, and the corresponding, appropriate protection of the crimean tatar language, culture, in fact , roots the ukrainian identity as a collective, as an umbrella, as a citizen, and this is very important, because. In moments when the ukrainian identity will feel vulnerable in various historical shades, there will be a temptation to withdraw, to return to ethnic borders, that is, to return to ethnic framework and say ukrainians are those who are ukrainians by birth. If we do that, then you and i will be in a spiral , which will actually be smaller each time at each subsequent level, thats why this openness is actually important, and now these genetic tests that people do and find out where they actually come from are very popular roots, and we see that the roots of the people who are in ukraine can reach far beyond the borders of the ukrainian lands, far beyond the borders, that is, the slavic or some other area, this actually means that we continue that a trend that has been here for decades, if not centuries. That is, in summary, it turns out that not only ukrainians who went abroad because of the war, but also other people from other cultures who do not threaten ukraine, do not want to conquer it in any way, but want to develop, they will want to live here in this country , only when it becomes attractive , there is no program, there we will give 1000 € to everyone who comes to ukraine, i would be afraid of such programs, because they make the decision to move very transactional, but i would said that at a certain point, Ukrainian Public Opinion will be dynamic, and i expect that, for example, it will look differently at the migration of russians who will want to move to ukraine already after the victory, you see, here the question is who sets the rules, if they will move to ukraine according to ukrainian rules, i agree to agree to ukrainian standards , i think that Ukrainian Society will look at this situation a little differently, oh, i think that this is a very difficult topic, maybe we will come back to it, thank you you are with us today it was yevhen hlibovytskyi, director of the promov Analytical Center and a specialist in longterm strategies. Chevrons approaching victory. Enemies thought that not. Independence is just a word for us. But from the very first steps on our land, they were convinced that we have been defending our independence for centuries and are ready to fight for it again. The Defense Forces of ukraine are stubbornly, unceasingly, step by step, winning, gnawing out, squeezing out of the enemys claws our land, our will, our independence. Thank you for every moment and for this day. We will have independence every day, we will continue to talk about good cinema, on october 12 kyiv critics week starts, it is an International Film festival where ukrainian viewers can see the best world films, in particular from world festivals such as cannes and venice, selected by ukrainian film critics, today in our studio the founder and director of kyiv critics week denys ivanov. Mr. Denis, i am glad to welcome you. Good day, tell me. What have you prepared this year . This year we really have a lot of surprises for the audience, because we will first show the Golden Palm Branch of this of the year, it will be the ukrainian premiere of justine triers anatomy of a fall, we will show a short film by pedro almadavar outside the international program, and we will show aka koresmakis film fallen leaves, which also won a prize at cannes, and a number of National Premiere of ukrainian films that were shot. And our film retrospectives a man with a film camera, tapes from everything, from the entire history of cinema, about cinema, about how it is shot, shown and so on, and a retrospective dedicated to the great ukrainian actresses of the past, called the female role. You know, festivals usually have a slogan , a logline, but i recently came back from a book forum in lviv, they had a topic of census of the future, is there such a topic, some thread running through the kyiv criticism week . Ah, there is no such and such a single slogan, because we have very different programs that represent a different view of cinema, there of its history, but we try to send a certain message there, how the program is formed, each , for example, in ukraine is represented there in the film aka korismyakis fallen leaves, one of the hits of the cannes festival, such a crowd plaza, a film that is a comedy that the audience likes, ukraine is represented there. Tapes as a constant constant reminder in the news, that is, on the other hand, there is a call for gender equality, it is presented in the female role in the program, we show the works of larisa kadichnikova, raisina deshkivska, lyudmila efimenkonka, and so on, but the female role is not necessarily the main role, and about every session with us there is a discussion between the audience and critics who present the program, that is why this is a separate film that happens at the festival , this is the peculiarity of the festival in that after watching the discussion with the film critic, they did not just come and watch it, but absolutely, that is, cinema is a reason for a conversation, a reason for a discussion, and a discussion is always a search for a common space, i was at several discussions, when after watching the film, i changed my attitude towards it several times and it became much deeper for me, after they expressed your thoughts viewers, i think mass cinema, which is from the huge. Studios, it usually reflects the tastes of the audience. There were times of superheroes, there were times of antiheroes, everyone was fascinated by various dexters, dr. Chaos, and we see what the world has come to when it is fascinated by antiheroes, and festival cinema, it seems to reflect the spirit of the times. And now the ukrainian films that we see coming out , shot during a fullscale war or refined during a fullscale war, they are so deep, sad and bitter, well, one of the main ukrainian comedies of the year is luxembourg. What zeitgeist they convey, what time people live in, where there is no fullscale war, that is the fact that people live in a time where there is a fullscale war, it is reflected in the same tape by aka kaurismaki, but if we talk about the themes there, in principle, people are concerned about the same thing, yes, that is, they are concerned about justice , they are concerned about. Equality, they are concerned about many other problems, just festival cinema, it looks a little differently, it looks at these problems in a different way, and we definitely do not share there cinema for commercial or noncommercial, for example, we we are showing in the program a new film by sofia coppolo, which received a prize at the venice Film Festival a month ago, at the venice Film Festival called priscilla, it is a biopic film of Elvis Presleys wife, but always the topic is not all about movies, because we always watch movies about love, about loss, about possessions, well, that is, some people watch movies in order to have fun, all these films of different genres, they are definitely presented in the week of criticism, the week will last from october 12 to 18, if i am not mistaken, yes, it is october in the cinema, that is, it such a kyiv festival, if a person has one or two evenings that he can devote to going to the cinema, that is, he cannot go to see everything, what would you advise not to miss, it is very difficult for me to say, there are headliners, but here is sofia kopylas invitation, once we opened the first week of criticism for sofia coppolos tape, so we could not miss her attention. Aka kaurismaki, these are all that they call, these are such hits, and if you look a little deeper, if someone wants to watch such films, which he will not see anywhere, in principle, then this is the film sweet east is like alice in wonderland, but it happens in modern america with such a slightly illogical behavior of the main character and the macabreness of the heroes who surround them, and these are ukrainian films, there we are premiering the film lapalisiad by philipp satnichenko, forever forever anna boryachkova, who was in venice. Oh, you love me, tony noyabrovy, these are all ukrainian films that each and every one of them represented ukraine at world Film Festivals, these will be their kyiv premieres, so if there are a couple of evenings, you will definitely find something to enjoy, there will be a prize, yes, the film circle , how many contestants are there, do critics have anything to choose from now, this is precisely about ukrainian cinema, we are t