the money is betting on president trump. but 71% of investors think the president will win. a similar survey for the 2016 presidential contest had wall street betting big on a hillary clinton victory. so in retrospect, not 2020 or on 2020? tom bevin is here. it's early but it's telling. >> 17 months give or take. >> neil: people think the markets never fail. they actually do quite afternoon. in this case, they don't jive with main street polls and quinnipiac polls and others that are out that show a different race going on. what do you think? >> yeah, look, i think -- part of the central question right now is historically speaking, candidates that run for re-election with this kind of an economy are shoe-ins for