going to put more tariffs on us. we'll probably have more on them and goes on and on. does that catch up to the u.s. economy by november? >> certainly, trish, if we enter into a massive trade war that would be the case. i don't expect that to be the case. we're seeing some clear evidence that not being the most likely scenario. specifically in mexico. a new president there. there's good moves toward negotiation of nafta. i don't think we'll enter into a trade war. at the end of the day, trump will negotiate for freer and fairer trade. that's the m.o. i think conventional wisdom does hold that if the economy, stupid, montra is the way toe go. but not in this case. we have predents showing that the incumbent president will lose seats in congress and the