comes from independents. if you look at independents or white, college educated women in the suburbs, that's the house landscape. that's where the vulnerable republicans are currently in office that are threatened about being defeated by democrats here. those independent women, white college educated women, have been driven away here by brett kavanaugh. they were driven away by trump and the brett kavanaugh situation solidified that. the battle for the senate is playing out on republican turf. and here's the thing. in those states, the brett kavanaugh confirmation process, the getting him on the court could be a shot in the arm for republicans. in that quinnipiac poll, 84% of republicans support his confirmation. so when you are battling out on very republican turf as democratic republican senators are, getting a boost of enthusiasm for republicans is not what you want in these final