erin, 82 of those seats are xurnt will i held by republicans. only 13 by democrats. republicans are already back on their heels on defense in the president's first midterm election here. if you're already on defense and democrats are competitive, maybe even can pull away with a win here, guess what? it gets worse. >> all right. that's a powerful way to look at it because of course it does matter. which seats are actually in play. all right, john. i want to go now to larry sabato, founder and director of the university of virginia center for politics, creator of the election forecasting nude-letter sabato's crystal ball. we've got these early results just coming in from a highly democratic county. it's always got democrat but he's got to run up the margin there, the democrat does, and he's doing that out of the gate. sweel what happens over the next few hours. the president said, as he's campaigning for troy balderson, he has said there will be no blue wave and there might even be a red wave come november. you say he's wrong. >> sure. i'll go way out on a limb three months ahead of election day. i think he's wrong because if
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